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The effects of electoral anticipation on portfolio allocation

Datos Bibliográficos

ID6314599
AutoresHarunobu Saijo (0000-0002-4130-9966, Duke University, autor de correspondencia)
Año2021
Volumen27
Número5
Páginas1044-1054
Fecha de publicación2021-09-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaParty Politics (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 1354-0688 • E-ISSN: 1460-3683
EditorialSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/1354068820914547
OpenAlexW3014347423
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas5
Referencias citadas20

Whereas much of the existing literature on coalition formation has focused on the disparity between Gamsonian payoffs and the outcomes of bargaining models, dangers of ministerial drift, party ideal points, issue salience/emphasis, and negotiation complexity, very little has been said on the role of the way public opinion affects political behavior via expectation of future electoral returns. Following the logic of “issue yield,” this article argues that politicians allocate ministerial portfolios according to the distribution of public opinion in the hopes of obtaining better returns in subsequent elections and find compelling evidence linking public opinion with portfolio allocation

Anticipation (artificial intelligence · Distribution (mathematics · Economics · Financial economics · Law and economics · Microeconomics · Negotiation · Political science · Politics · Portfolio · Positive economics · Public economics · Public opinion · Salience (neuroscience · Yield (engineering · Computer Science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Law · Psychology · Social Policy and Reform Studies

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Obras citantes distintas5
Citas por año1,25
Intervalo de citas2022 - 2025 (4)
Velocidad de citaciónrecent
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 5
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