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Electoral volatility, competition and third-party candidacies in US gubernatorial elections

Datos Bibliográficos

ID6316633
AutoresR E Best (0000-0001-6297-348X, Leiden University, The Netherlands,), Steve B Lem (0000-0002-9390-0483, Kutztown University, Pennsylvania, USA)
Año2011
Volumen17
Número5
Páginas611-628
Fecha de publicación2011-09-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaParty Politics (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 1354-0688 • E-ISSN: 1460-3683
EditorialSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/1354068810376181
OpenAlexW2111775851
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas2
Referencias citadas39

Third-party participation in plurality elections should be rare, given the low probability of electoral success. In the United States, the entrenched two-party system makes third-party candidacies especially puzzling. We develop a general theory of these candidacies based on the electoral context, focusing on electoral competition and volatility. When electoral competition is either low or high we expect the number of third-party candidates to be high, due to the opportunities to raise attention to policy issues or affect the election outcome. Moderate levels of competition will produce low levels of third-party candidate participation, as there are fewer prospects of drawing votes or attention. Volatility is expected to have a positive effect, since high volatility signals a de-aligned electorate. We evaluate our claims using US gubernatorial elections, 1977—2005. The results support our claims, suggesting that third-party candidacies are shaped by the degree of electoral volatility and competition

Competition (biology · Economics · Financial economics · General election · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Third party · Volatility (finance · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Media Influence and Politics · Political Influence and Corporate Strategies

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Obras citantes distintas2
Citas por año0,67
Intervalo de citas2023 - 2025 (3)
Velocidad de citaciónrecent
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 2
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