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Impact of Extreme Rainfall Days on the Welfare of Households in the Formal and Informal Sectors

Datos Bibliográficos

ID7170996
AutoresMajah-Leah V Ravago (0000-0001-8031-9502, Ateneo de Manila University, autor de correspondencia), Gerald Gracius Y Pascua (0000-0002-4343-0671, Ateneo de Manila University), Loubill Dayne Aceron (Ateneo de Manila University), Emilio Gozo (0000-0001-6882-6536, Manila Observatory, Ateneo de Manila University campus), Faye Cruz (0000-0003-4074-3477, Manila Observatory, Ateneo de Manila University campus), Gemma Narisma (0000-0002-1014-9023, Manila Observatory, Ateneo de Manila University campus)
Año2025
Volumen61
Número9
Páginas1422-1442
Fecha de publicación2025-09-02
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessNo
TipoARTICLE
RevistaThe Journal of Development Studies (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0022-0388 • E-ISSN: 1743-9140
EditorialInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00220388.2025.2474978
OpenAlexW4408787204
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas2
Referencias citadas56

We differentiate the impact of extreme weather shocks on the welfare of the formal and informal sectors by utilizing nationally representative household survey data from the Philippines. We deviated from the typical measure of extreme tails of normalized rainfall values using normal distribution and instead used a novel measure of extreme rainfall from satellite-derived data. We estimate the vulnerability of households using an endogenous switching regression model to account for the heterogeneity in the decision to be in either sector. We find evidence that households’ welfare is adversely affected by extreme rainfall days, but the negative impact is bigger on the welfare of the formal sector. Households in the formal sector have higher incomes and thus have more to lose. However, the adverse impact on informal households may be irreversible given their weak capability to recover and their limited ability to smooth out consumption even during years considered normal. The negative effects of experiencing extreme rainfall three years ago linger. Thus, vulnerable households in the formal sector can potentially slide down to poverty, and those in the informal sector go deeper into poverty when hit by extreme weather events

Business · Economics · Labour economics · Market economy · Natural resource economics · Welfare · Agricultural risk and resilience · Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis · Income, Poverty, and Inequality

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Obras citantes distintas2
Citas por año2
Intervalo de citas2025 - 2026 (2)
Velocidad de citacióncurrent
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 2
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