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A Limited Defense of the Pessimistic Induction

Datos Bibliográficos

ID8399261
AutoresJESSE HOBBS (University of Mississippi, autor de correspondencia)
Año1994
Volumen45
Número1
Páginas171-191
Fecha de publicación1994-03-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessNo
TipoARTICLE
RevistaThe British Journal for the Philosophy of Science (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0007-0882 • E-ISSN: 1464-3537
EditorialOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/bjps/45.1.171
OpenAlexW2113951393
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas3
Referencias citadas7

The inductive argument from the falsity of most past scientific theories (more than 100 years old) to the falsity of most present ones is defensible, I argue, if it is modified to account for the degrees of theoreticity or observationality in such theories, and the extent to which they are hedged. The case of descriptive astronomy is examined to show that most of the true theories of the 1890s were high in observationality and/or significantly hedged. The false theories of that period, however, were not even approximately true. Apparently, scientists are more interested in supplanting theories with improved observations than in producing true theories.

Argument (complex analysis) · Epistemology · Falsity · Pessimism · History of Science and Medicine · Philosophy · Philosophy and History of Science · Science and Climate Studies

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    Open Access•Peter J Lewis•Synthese•2001

  • Human inference

    Richard E Nisbett•Human inference•1980

  • Studies in the Logic of Explanation

    Open Access•Carl G Hempel, Paul Oppenheim•Philosophy of Science•1948

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    Open Access•Larry Laudan•Philosophy of Science•1981

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  • Fact, fiction, and forecast

    Nelson Goodman•Fact, fiction, and forecast•1983

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Obras citantes distintas3
Citas por año0,11
Intervalo de citas1999 - 2025 (27)
Velocidad de citaciónrecent
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 3
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