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Simplicity, Scientific Inference and Econometric Modelling

Datos Bibliográficos

ID9712977
AutoresHugo A Keuzenkamp (Tilburg University), Michael McAleer (0000-0003-2707-3835, The University of Western Australia)
Año1995
Volumen105
Número428
Páginas1
Fecha de publicación1995-01-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessNo
TipoARTICLE
RevistaThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
EditorialOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.2307/2235317
OpenAlexW2023698897
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas1

Two issues are discussed in this paper. The first is whether a formal definition and justification of simplicity (parsimony) in scientific inference can be found, and whether an optimal level of simplicity is obtainable. A definition of simplicity is possible, as are the optimum conditions for the desired degree of simplicity. The model of inference used here relates Bayesian inference to algorithmic information theory. Simplicity is examined in the light of induction, the Duhem-Quine thesis, and bounded rationality. The second issue relates to the role that simplicity might play in econometric modelling. This is elucidated with some remarks on the `general to specific' approach to modelling and discussions on the purpose of a model

Bayesian inference · Bayesian probability · Epistemology · Inference · Mathematical economics · Simplicity · Artificial Intelligence · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Computer Science · Mathematics · Philosophy

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Obras citantes distintas1
Citas por año0,06
Intervalo de citas2010 - 2010 (1)
Velocidad de citaciónhistorical
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 1
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