David K Guilkey
Biographic Data
| ID | 103700 |
|---|---|
| NAME | David K Guilkey |
| GIVEN NAMES | David K |
| FAMILY NAME | Guilkey |
| SIGNATURE | GUILKEY D K |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 62 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 657 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 62 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1975 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2023 |
| H-INDEX | 15 |
Longitudinal Examination of Which Married Young Women Use Contraception to Delay a First Pregnancy in Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, India
Early marriage and childbearing put young women and their babies at risk of poor health and well-being. This study uses two rounds of longitudinal data from young women ages 15-19 in 2015-2016 and followed in 2018-2019 to determine factors associated with contraceptive use before a first pregnancy among young, married women in Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, India. Discrete time hazard models were used to analyze time to first use starting from the mont…
Does Provider Bias Affect Choice of a Facility for Family Planning Services by Women in Urban Senegal
Few studies to date have determined the effect of provider bias based on age, parity, and marital status on women's method and facility choice. Using data from women using modern methods in six cities of Senegal and a facility survey that included a facility audit and provider interviews, we undertake conditional logit analyses to determine whether women's choice of a family planning facility is associated with provider bias at the facility, cont…
The Examination of Diffusion Effects on Modern Contraceptive Use in Nigeria
This study uses data gathered for an evaluation of a Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation–funded initiative designed to increase modern contraceptive use in select urban areas of Nigeria. When the initiative was conceived, the hope was that any positive momentum in the cities would diffuse to surrounding areas. Using a variety of statistical methods, we study three aspects of diffusion and their effects on modern contraceptive use: spread through mass…
Pathways of Health and Human Capital from Adolescence into Young Adulthood
Social inequalities in health and human capital are core concerns of sociologists, but little research examines the developmental stage when such inequalities are likely to emerge-the transition to adulthood. With new data and innovative statistical methods we conceptually develop, and empirically operationalize, pathways of physical health and human capital accumulation from adolescence into young adulthood, using an autoregressive cross-lagged …
Examination of youth sexual and reproductive health transitions in Nigeria and Kenya using longitudinal data
The findings from this study can be used to inform programs seeking to serve young people based on their varying reproductive health needs in different contexts over the adolescent and young adult years
The Effect of the Removal of User Fees for Delivery at Public Health Facilities on Institutional Delivery in Urban Kenya
Objectives In 2013, Kenya removed delivery fees at public health facilities in an effort to promote equity in access to health services and address high maternal mortality. This study determines the effect of the policy to remove user fees on institutional delivery in a population-based sample of women from urban Kenya. Methods Longitudinal data were collected from a representative sample of 8500 women from five cities in Kenya in 2010 with a fol…
Trajectories of Unintended Fertility
How do individual-level sociodemographics and neighbourhood-level characteristics influence residential location behaviour in the context of the food and built environment? Findings from 25 years of f…
BACKGROUND: Little is known about how diet-related and activity-related amenities relate to residential location behaviour. Understanding these relationships is essential for addressing residential self-selection bias. METHODS: Using 25 years (6 examinations) of data from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study (n=11 013 observations) and linked neighbourhood-level data from the 4 CARDIA baseline cities (Birmingham, Al…
Understanding bias in relationships between the food environment and diet quality
Background The relationship between food environment exposures and diet behaviours is unclear, possibly because the majority of studies ignore potential residual confounding. Methods We used 20 years (1985–1986, 1992–1993 2005–2006) of data from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study across four US cities (Birmingham, Alabama; Chicago, Illinois; Minneapolis, Minnesota; Oakland, California) and instrumental variables (…
Obesity and health-related decisions
Fast food price, diet behavior, and cardiometabolic health
The Educational Consequences of Teen Childbearing
A huge literature shows that teen mothers face a variety of detriments across the life course, including truncated educational attainment. To what extent is this association causal? The estimated effects of teen motherhood on schooling vary widely, ranging from no discernible difference to 2.6 fewer years among teen mothers. The magnitude of educational consequences is therefore uncertain, despite voluminous policy and prevention efforts that res…
Family Planning Use among Urban Poor Women from Six Cities of Uttar Pradesh, India
Cohort Profile
The Cebu Longitudinal Health and Nutrition Survey (CLHNS) was originally conceptualized as an interdisciplinary study of infant-feeding patterns, particularly the overall sequencing of feeding events (milks and complementary foods), the factors affecting feeding decisions and how feeding patterns affect the infant, mother and household. The idea was to study these topics within as natural a setting as possible and to analyse how infant-feeding de…
An economic analysis of community-level fast food prices and individual-level fast food intake
Overcoming Methodological Challenges in Evaluating Health Communication Campaigns
In this study, we examine the effectiveness of the Smiling Sun multimedia health communication campaign in encouraging women to use family health services in rural Bangladesh. We control for endogenous program placement and address the potential endogeneity of self‐reported campaign exposure in health‐behavior equations by estimating a set of exposure, contraceptive‐use, and antenatal‐care equations by full information maximum likelihood (FIML). …
Neighborhood socioeconomic status predictors of physical activity through young to middle adulthood
Longitudinal associations between neighborhood-level street network with walking, bicycling, and jogging
Child-Care Availability and Fertility in Norway
The child-care and fertility hypothesis has been in the literature for a long time and is straightforward: As child care becomes more available, affordable, and acceptable, the antinatalist effects of increased female educational attainment and work opportunities decrease. As an increasing number of countries express concern about low fertility, the child-care and fertility hypothesis takes on increased importance. Yet data and statistical limita…
Child care availability and first-birth timing in Norway
Both sociological and economic theories posit that widely available, high-quality, and affordable child care should have pronatalist effects. Yet to date, the empirical evidence has not consistently supported this hypothesis. We argue that this previous empirical work has been plagued by the inability to control for endogenous placement of day care centers and the possibility that people migrate to take advantage of the availability of child care…
The determinants of fertility in rural Peru
The Impact of Community-Level Variables on Individual-Level Outcomes
The authors study alternative estimators of the impacts of higher level variables in multilevel models. This is important since many of the important variables in social science research are higher level factors having impacts on many lower level outcomes such as school achievement and contraceptive use. While the large sample properties of alternative estimators for these models are well known, there is little evidence about the relative perform…
The Effects of Education and Family Planning Programs on Fertility in Indonesia
Numerous studies indicate that female education is a major determinant of fertility and that the estimated effects are large relative to other variables, including family planning program variables. There are, however, two serious deficiencies in the research relating educational attainment to fertility that could give rise to invalid inferences. First, many public programs, including health and family planning programs, may influence a woman’s d…
Determinants of Contraceptive Method Choice in Rural Tanzania Between 1991 and 1999
Four pooled Demographic and Health Survey data sets are used to examine the determinants of contraceptive method choice in rural Tanzania for the period from 1991 to 1999. The individual data are linked to facility surveys conducted in the same communities so that the impact of Tanzania's family planning program can be examined. The focus of the study is an examination of the effect on method choice of the three major components of Tanzania's fam…
Effect of childbearing on Filipino women's work hours and earnings
Child care availability and first-birth timing in Norway
Both sociological and economic theories posit that widely available, high-quality, and affordable child care should have pronatalist effects. Yet to date, the empirical evidence has not consistently supported this hypothesis. We argue that this previous empirical work has been plagued by the inability to control for endogenous placement of day care centers and the possibility that people migrate to take advantage of the availability of child care…
The Educational Consequences of Teen Childbearing
A huge literature shows that teen mothers face a variety of detriments across the life course, including truncated educational attainment. To what extent is this association causal? The estimated effects of teen motherhood on schooling vary widely, ranging from no discernible difference to 2.6 fewer years among teen mothers. The magnitude of educational consequences is therefore uncertain, despite voluminous policy and prevention efforts that res…
Child-Care Availability and Fertility in Norway
The child-care and fertility hypothesis has been in the literature for a long time and is straightforward: As child care becomes more available, affordable, and acceptable, the antinatalist effects of increased female educational attainment and work opportunities decrease. As an increasing number of countries express concern about low fertility, the child-care and fertility hypothesis takes on increased importance. Yet data and statistical limita…
Community and contraceptive choice in rural Thailand
This paper blends quantitative with qualitative data in an investigation of community and contraceptive choice in Nang Rong, Thailand. Specifically, it develops an explanation of 1) method dominance within villages, coupled with 2) marked differences between villages in the popularity of particular methods. The quantitative analysis demonstrates the importance of village location and placement of family planning services for patterns of contracep…
Binary Outcomes and Endogenous Explanatory Variables
Many demographic studies examine discrete outcomes, and researchers often suspect that some of the explanatory variables may be influenced by the same unobserved factors that determine the discrete outcome under examination. In linear models, the standard solution to this potential endogeneity bias is an estimator such as two-stage least squares. These methods have been extended to models with limited dependent variables, but there is little info…
Accessibility, quality of care and prenatal care use in the Philippines
The Changing Impact of Religion on the Sexual and Contraceptive Behavior of Adolescent Women in the United States
Karin L. Brewster, Elizabeth C. Cooksey, David K. Guilkey, Ronald R. Rindfuss, The Changing Impact of Religion on the Sexual and Contraceptive Behavior of Adolescent Women in the United States, Journal of Marriage and Family, Vol. 60, No. 2 (May, 1998), pp. 493-504
Community-level determinants of contraceptive use in the Philippines
We use household and community data from the Philippines to estimate a multilevel model of contraceptive use. We go beyond previous efforts in this field by developing a structural model that recognizes joint endogeneity and the temporal ordering of variables, by considering a wider range of community influences on fertility behavior, and by employing an econometric procedure allowing for a multilevel error structure. The results suggest that the…
Neighborhood socioeconomic status predictors of physical activity through young to middle adulthood
Quality of services and demand for health care in Nigeria
The Demand for Primary Health Care Services in the Bicol Region of the Philippines
The Initiation of Adolescent Sexual and Contraceptive Behavior During Changing Times
This paper examines changes in the initiation of adolescent sexual and contraceptive behavior in the United States between 1978 and 1988. Since a number of contextual changes occurred during this time period including a focusing of public attention on adolescent pregnancy along with the widespread publicity surrounding AIDS, we expected that the response to these events not only would change over time, but would also vary across social groups. Us…
The Impact of Community-Level Variables on Individual-Level Outcomes
The authors study alternative estimators of the impacts of higher level variables in multilevel models. This is important since many of the important variables in social science research are higher level factors having impacts on many lower level outcomes such as school achievement and contraceptive use. While the large sample properties of alternative estimators for these models are well known, there is little evidence about the relative perform…
Logistic Regression Multivariate Life Tables
The use of logistic regression to estimate a discrete-time hazard model is discussed. The derivation of linkage between the results of the estimation of the logistic regression equations and the summary measures of the life table is presented. We argue that the method is responsive to the needs of a variety of researchers, requires few assumptions, and is straightforward to implement. An example is presented where the determinants of the timing o…
The demand for adult outpatient services in the Bicol region of the Philippines
The Effects of Education and Family Planning Programs on Fertility in Indonesia
Numerous studies indicate that female education is a major determinant of fertility and that the estimated effects are large relative to other variables, including family planning program variables. There are, however, two serious deficiencies in the research relating educational attainment to fertility that could give rise to invalid inferences. First, many public programs, including health and family planning programs, may influence a woman’s d…
Fertility Transition in Zimbabwe
This study estimates the determinants of current contraceptive method choice that account for demand and supply factors in Zimbabwe. Data were obtained from the 1988-89 Zimbabwe Demographic and Health Survey and a World Bank survey of community services available. Analysis is based on a continuous time model of life cycle fertility that was developed by Newman (1988). The empirical model is different from Montgomerys (1988) specifications in that…
Nutrition, lactation, and birth spacing in filipino women
The Cebu Longitudinal Health and Nutrition Survey is used to examine the roles of women’s nutrition and infant feeding in determining time from birth to menses and time from menses to conception. The analysis sample includes 2,648 Filipino women followed for 24 months postpartum. Recently devised statistical estimation techniques to control for unobserved heterogeneity and endogeneity are employed in estimating a two-state hazard model. Low body …
The duration of breast-feeding
Breast-feeding duration has important effects on a wide array of demographic and maternal and infant health outcomes. This study uses a discrete-time logit hazards model to explore the relationship of biological, sociodemographic, health sector, and food industry practices on the duration of full and partial breast-feeding in a sample of more than 2,600 infants from the Cebu Longitudinal Health and Nutrition Survey. Food industry and health secto…
Influences on the Extent of Breast-Feeding
There has been much controversy about the impact of the health sector and the infant food industry on breast-feeding behavior. This study links causal factors to breast-feeding decisions, using a longitudinal survey of more than 3,000 Filipino mother-infant pairs. Most factors decreasing the likelihood that mothers will breast-feed seem to be related to family economics. Delivery in a private hospital, urban residence, high income, absence of spo…
Prenatal care and pregnancy outcome in Cebu, Philippines
The Determinants of Breast-Feeding in Sri Lanka
Breast-feeding is the focus of rapidly growing interest. Research on the determinants of breast-feeding is only beginning. The research in this paper is based on World Fertility Survey data for Sri Lanka. We develop what we believe to be an appropriate probit model and find that there are significant socioeconomic factors that influence breast-feeding, in addition to the demographic factors focused upon in the literature. Moreover, some of them h…
The determinants of fertility in rural Peru
Persistent Advantage or Disadvantage
By utilizing the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS) and a measure of occupational prestige (OCCSCORE) as a labor market outcome, the authors examine variations in the degree of labor market discrimination faced by several ethnic and racial groups in the United States between 1880 and 1990. Results demonstrate that the sharpest decline in labor market discrimination against blacks occurred between 1960 and 1980. For black males the ext…
Explaining Differences in Economic Performance Among Racial and Ethnic Groups in the USA
By utilizing self-reported race and ancestry in the 1980 and 1990 USA censuses and the Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition technique, the extent of wage discrimination experienced by women and by men is examined across 50 ethnic/racial groups. Systematic evidence of negative discrimination is revealed in both census years for Asian, Indian, black (African-American), Vietnamese, Cuban, Mexican, Puerto Rican, and Native American males. To assess the charg…
Some Further Evidence on the Power of the Durbin-Watson and Geary Tests
The Determinants of Breast-Feeding in Sri Lanka
Breast-feeding is the focus of rapidly growing interest. Research on the determinants of breast-feeding is only beginning. The research in this paper is based on World Fertility Survey data for Sri Lanka. We develop what we believe to be an appropriate probit model and find that there are significant socioeconomic factors that influence breast-feeding, in addition to the demographic factors focused upon in the literature. Moreover, some of them h…
Small Sample Properties of Three Tests for Granger-Causal Ordering in a Bivariate Stochastic System
T HE purpose of this paper is to study the small sample performance of tests for causal ordering of time series in the sense of Granger (1969). Versions of three tests are studied: that based directly on Granger's definition of causality and suggested by Sargent (1976); that suggested by Sims (1972); and the modification of Sims suggested by Geweke, Meese, and Dent (1982). Tests for causal orderings of time series have been applied often in recen…
Response to
Commenting on the authors paper Determinants of Breastfeeding in Sri Smith reanalyzed the World Fertility Survey (WFS) data for Sri Lanka using different estimation procedures variables and sample sizes. The results agree with respect to the impacts of parity education and residence on breastfeeding duration. Smith stated that the only variables for which results differed were working away from home contraceptive use and mothers age. He did howev…
Determinants of Infant Feeding
The Demand for Primary Health Services in the Third World
The Demand for Primary Health Services in the Third World
The Demand for Primary Health Care Services in the Bicol Region of the Philippines
Breastfeeding Patterns and Determinants in the Near East
Few detailed studies of the determinants of breastfeeding behaviour have been carried out, especially in the Middle East. We provide a comparative investigation of patterns and determinants of breastfeeding in four Middle East countries (Egypt, Jordan, Tunisia and Yemen) based on WFS data. Differences in factors influencing ever-breastfeeding, continuing breastfeeding from very short to moderate durations, and extending breastfeeding into the sec…
The demand for adult outpatient services in the Bicol region of the Philippines
Logistic Regression Multivariate Life Tables
The use of logistic regression to estimate a discrete-time hazard model is discussed. The derivation of linkage between the results of the estimation of the logistic regression equations and the summary measures of the life table is presented. We argue that the method is responsive to the needs of a variety of researchers, requires few assumptions, and is straightforward to implement. An example is presented where the determinants of the timing o…
Accessibility, quality of care and prenatal care use in the Philippines
Child Spacing in the Philippines
In this study the effects of characteristics current at the beginning of the birth interval on the time elapsing before the next birth are examined. The child-spacing process is viewed as affected by time-varying and fixed characteristics of the community, household, and individual. In the model on which the empirical research is based sociological and economic antecedents are used. The study is based on data from two panels of the Bicol Multipur…
Prenatal care and pregnancy outcome in Cebu, Philippines
Adolescent Contraceptive Method Choices
This article analyzes determinants of contraceptive method choices among adolescent women in the United States. By using data from the 1982 National Survey of Family Growth, we examine factors that differentiate users of various methods early in the sexual careers of teenaged women. We find that patterns of method choice not only vary by race and region within the United States but also change over the teenager’s life course. In addition, among t…
Changes in breast-feeding in the Philippines, 1973-1983
Influences on the Extent of Breast-Feeding
There has been much controversy about the impact of the health sector and the infant food industry on breast-feeding behavior. This study links causal factors to breast-feeding decisions, using a longitudinal survey of more than 3,000 Filipino mother-infant pairs. Most factors decreasing the likelihood that mothers will breast-feed seem to be related to family economics. Delivery in a private hospital, urban residence, high income, absence of spo…
Nutritional impacts associated with changing macronutrient food consumption patterns
Survival in the perinatal period
A prospective study of 3080 Filipino mothers and non-twin births in 33 communities is used to study the determinants of mortality in week 1 postpartum. The results show significant nonlinear birth weight effects and the importance of environmental contamination, particularly for infants born by traditional methods at home, and several other intermediate and underlying determinants of perinatal mortality. The pathways through which important socio…
Nutrition, lactation, and birth spacing in filipino women
The Cebu Longitudinal Health and Nutrition Survey is used to examine the roles of women’s nutrition and infant feeding in determining time from birth to menses and time from menses to conception. The analysis sample includes 2,648 Filipino women followed for 24 months postpartum. Recently devised statistical estimation techniques to control for unobserved heterogeneity and endogeneity are employed in estimating a two-state hazard model. Low body …
The duration of breast-feeding
Breast-feeding duration has important effects on a wide array of demographic and maternal and infant health outcomes. This study uses a discrete-time logit hazards model to explore the relationship of biological, sociodemographic, health sector, and food industry practices on the duration of full and partial breast-feeding in a sample of more than 2,600 infants from the Cebu Longitudinal Health and Nutrition Survey. Food industry and health secto…
The Impact of Population Policies
Lant Pritchett has argued that on the basis of empirical findings variations in fertility desires account for most of the variation in fertility rates across countries and that access to contraception contributes at best a significant but numerically small (2-3%) independent effect. Pritchett concluded that changing fertility desires and increased contraceptive access cause some trivial fertility reductions. Pritchetts empirical analysis is belie…
Binary Outcomes and Endogenous Explanatory Variables
Many demographic studies examine discrete outcomes, and researchers often suspect that some of the explanatory variables may be influenced by the same unobserved factors that determine the discrete outcome under examination. In linear models, the standard solution to this potential endogeneity bias is an estimator such as two-stage least squares. These methods have been extended to models with limited dependent variables, but there is little info…
Infant Feeding Patterns and the Marketing of Infant Foods in the Philippines
The Effects of Fertility Intentions and Access to Services on Contraceptive Use in Tunisia
Medicine (39 works) · Demography (38 works) · Economics (38 works) · Population (38 works) · Sociology (30 works) · Environmental health (27 works) · Demography (23 works) · Economic growth (21 works) · Global Maternal and Child Health (21 works) · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics (20 works)