Patrick Lucas
Biographic Data
| ID | 104733 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Patrick Lucas |
| GIVEN NAMES | Patrick |
| FAMILY NAME | Lucas |
| SIGNATURE | LUCAS P |
| AFFILIATIONS | Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-0292-7830 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 24 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 218 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 24 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1993 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 7 |
An empirical study of emotions in farmer decision-making using assemblage theory
Pathways to synergize reductive with relational logics in environmental policy
Transformative policies and policy instruments that effectively and equitably address climate change, biodiversity loss and social-ecological inequality are essential. This paper examines how environmental policy can better integrate reductive with relational logics to accommodate diverse worldviews and improve conservation outcomes. We argue that current approaches are largely defined by reductive logics that function to separate, isolate and ob…
Protecting science in multilateral environmental assessments
Policy transfer across governance systems
This paper identifies the impact governance types can have on the transfer of city-scale climate change policy. We develop a new adaptation of the policy transfer heuristic (based on the work of Dolowitz and Marsh 1996) which draws attention to different types of multilevel governance systems (Hooghe et al. 2003). This new adaption, “Policy Transfer Across Governance Systems” (PTAGS) heuristic helps to anticipate challenges and opportunities for …
Promising Practices Observed in High-Throughput Covid-19 Vaccination Sites in the United States, February–May 2021
Objectives. To identify promising practices for implementing COVID-19 vaccination sites. Methods. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) assessed high-throughput COVID-19 vaccination sites across the United States, including Puerto Rico, after COVID-19 vaccinations began. Site assessors conducted site observations and interviews with site staff. Qualitative data were compiled and themat…
From Covid-19 to Green Recovery with natural capital accounting
The COVID-19 pandemic and related social and economic emergencies induced massive public spending and increased global debt. Economic recovery is now an opportunity to rebuild natural capital alongside financial, physical, social and human capital, for long-term societal benefit. Yet, current decision-making is dominated by economic imperatives and information systems that do not consider society’s dependence on natural capital and the ecosystem …
Defining a sustainable development target space for 2030 and 2050
With the establishment of the sustainable development goals (SDGs), countries worldwide agreed to a prosperous, socially inclusive, and environmentally sustainable future for all. This ambition, however, exposes a critical gap in science-based insights, namely on how to achieve the 17 SDGs simultaneously. Quantitative goal-seeking scenario studies could help explore the needed systems' transformations. This requires a clear definition of the "tar…
Advancing a toolkit of diverse futures approaches for global environmental assessments
Global Environmental Assessments (GEAs) are in a unique position to influence environmental decision-making in the context of sustainability challenges. To do this effectively, however, new methods are needed to respond to the needs of decision-makers for a more integrated, contextualized and goal-seeking evaluation of different policies, geared for action from global to local. While scenarios are an important tool for GEAs to link short-term dec…
Effectively empowering
Global environmental assessments are widely considered to play a prominent role in environmental governance. However, they are also criticised for a lack of effectiveness in informing policy and decision-making. In response, GEAs have adopted a number of strategies to bolster their effectiveness, including by orienting themselves towards solutions (solution-orientation), increasing the diversity of included experts (participation), and producing …
Global Environment Outlook – GEO-6
Long-term marginal abatement cost curves of non-CO2 greenhouse gases
Allocating planetary boundaries to large economies
Future impacts of environmental factors on achieving the SDG target on child mortality—A synergistic assessment
From Planetary Boundaries to national fair shares of the global safe operating space — How can the scales be bridged
The planetary boundaries framework proposes quantitative global limits to the anthropogenic perturbation of crucial Earth system processes, and thus marks out a planetary safe operating space for human activities. Yet, decisions regarding resource use and emissions are mostly made at less aggregated scales, by national and sub-national governments, businesses, and other local actors. To operationalize the planetary boundaries concept, the boundar…
Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
This paper describes the possible developments in global energy use and production, land use, emissions and climate changes following the SSP1 storyline, a development consistent with the green growth (or sustainable development) paradigm (a more inclusive development respecting environmental boundaries). The results are based on the implementation using the IMAGE 3.0 integrated assessment model and are compared with a) other IMAGE implementation…
Pathways to achieve a set of ambitious global sustainability objectives by 2050
Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios
Scenarios in Global Environmental Assessments
Local narrative and outsider imagination in a Chinese landscape
In recent years, the culturally distinctive Tunpu, a people group in southwestern China, have been reimagined by outsiders, including media, tourist companies, scholars, and especially Han Chinese from other regions in a search for perceived lost roots of Chineseness. Building upon a Tunpu narrative of migration to the region during the Ming Dynasty (1368-1644) period, these outsiders imagine Tunpu sociocultural alienness to be representative of …
Stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations at low levels
On the basis of the IPCC B2, A1b and B1 baseline scenarios, mitigation scenarios were developed that stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations at 650, 550 and 450 and – subject to specific assumptions – 400 ppm CO2-eq. The analysis takes into account a large number of reduction options, such as reductions of non-CO2 gases, carbon plantations and measures in the energy system. The study shows stabilization as low as 450 ppm CO2-eq. to be technically…
Downscaling drivers of global environmental change
Multi-Stage
Long-term reduction potential of non-CO2 greenhouse gases
Oliver Quick
Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
This paper describes the possible developments in global energy use and production, land use, emissions and climate changes following the SSP1 storyline, a development consistent with the green growth (or sustainable development) paradigm (a more inclusive development respecting environmental boundaries). The results are based on the implementation using the IMAGE 3.0 integrated assessment model and are compared with a) other IMAGE implementation…
From Planetary Boundaries to national fair shares of the global safe operating space — How can the scales be bridged
The planetary boundaries framework proposes quantitative global limits to the anthropogenic perturbation of crucial Earth system processes, and thus marks out a planetary safe operating space for human activities. Yet, decisions regarding resource use and emissions are mostly made at less aggregated scales, by national and sub-national governments, businesses, and other local actors. To operationalize the planetary boundaries concept, the boundar…
Scenarios in Global Environmental Assessments
Downscaling drivers of global environmental change
Long-term reduction potential of non-CO2 greenhouse gases
Allocating planetary boundaries to large economies
Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios
Effectively empowering
Global environmental assessments are widely considered to play a prominent role in environmental governance. However, they are also criticised for a lack of effectiveness in informing policy and decision-making. In response, GEAs have adopted a number of strategies to bolster their effectiveness, including by orienting themselves towards solutions (solution-orientation), increasing the diversity of included experts (participation), and producing …
Future impacts of environmental factors on achieving the SDG target on child mortality—A synergistic assessment
Policy transfer across governance systems
This paper identifies the impact governance types can have on the transfer of city-scale climate change policy. We develop a new adaptation of the policy transfer heuristic (based on the work of Dolowitz and Marsh 1996) which draws attention to different types of multilevel governance systems (Hooghe et al. 2003). This new adaption, “Policy Transfer Across Governance Systems” (PTAGS) heuristic helps to anticipate challenges and opportunities for …
From Covid-19 to Green Recovery with natural capital accounting
The COVID-19 pandemic and related social and economic emergencies induced massive public spending and increased global debt. Economic recovery is now an opportunity to rebuild natural capital alongside financial, physical, social and human capital, for long-term societal benefit. Yet, current decision-making is dominated by economic imperatives and information systems that do not consider society’s dependence on natural capital and the ecosystem …
Long-term marginal abatement cost curves of non-CO2 greenhouse gases
Oliver Quick
Multi-Stage
Long-term reduction potential of non-CO2 greenhouse gases
Stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations at low levels
On the basis of the IPCC B2, A1b and B1 baseline scenarios, mitigation scenarios were developed that stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations at 650, 550 and 450 and – subject to specific assumptions – 400 ppm CO2-eq. The analysis takes into account a large number of reduction options, such as reductions of non-CO2 gases, carbon plantations and measures in the energy system. The study shows stabilization as low as 450 ppm CO2-eq. to be technically…
Downscaling drivers of global environmental change
Scenarios in Global Environmental Assessments
Local narrative and outsider imagination in a Chinese landscape
In recent years, the culturally distinctive Tunpu, a people group in southwestern China, have been reimagined by outsiders, including media, tourist companies, scholars, and especially Han Chinese from other regions in a search for perceived lost roots of Chineseness. Building upon a Tunpu narrative of migration to the region during the Ming Dynasty (1368-1644) period, these outsiders imagine Tunpu sociocultural alienness to be representative of …
Pathways to achieve a set of ambitious global sustainability objectives by 2050
Understanding the contribution of non-carbon dioxide gases in deep mitigation scenarios
From Planetary Boundaries to national fair shares of the global safe operating space — How can the scales be bridged
The planetary boundaries framework proposes quantitative global limits to the anthropogenic perturbation of crucial Earth system processes, and thus marks out a planetary safe operating space for human activities. Yet, decisions regarding resource use and emissions are mostly made at less aggregated scales, by national and sub-national governments, businesses, and other local actors. To operationalize the planetary boundaries concept, the boundar…
Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
This paper describes the possible developments in global energy use and production, land use, emissions and climate changes following the SSP1 storyline, a development consistent with the green growth (or sustainable development) paradigm (a more inclusive development respecting environmental boundaries). The results are based on the implementation using the IMAGE 3.0 integrated assessment model and are compared with a) other IMAGE implementation…
Global Environment Outlook – GEO-6
Long-term marginal abatement cost curves of non-CO2 greenhouse gases
Allocating planetary boundaries to large economies
Future impacts of environmental factors on achieving the SDG target on child mortality—A synergistic assessment
Advancing a toolkit of diverse futures approaches for global environmental assessments
Global Environmental Assessments (GEAs) are in a unique position to influence environmental decision-making in the context of sustainability challenges. To do this effectively, however, new methods are needed to respond to the needs of decision-makers for a more integrated, contextualized and goal-seeking evaluation of different policies, geared for action from global to local. While scenarios are an important tool for GEAs to link short-term dec…
Effectively empowering
Global environmental assessments are widely considered to play a prominent role in environmental governance. However, they are also criticised for a lack of effectiveness in informing policy and decision-making. In response, GEAs have adopted a number of strategies to bolster their effectiveness, including by orienting themselves towards solutions (solution-orientation), increasing the diversity of included experts (participation), and producing …
Defining a sustainable development target space for 2030 and 2050
With the establishment of the sustainable development goals (SDGs), countries worldwide agreed to a prosperous, socially inclusive, and environmentally sustainable future for all. This ambition, however, exposes a critical gap in science-based insights, namely on how to achieve the 17 SDGs simultaneously. Quantitative goal-seeking scenario studies could help explore the needed systems' transformations. This requires a clear definition of the "tar…
Policy transfer across governance systems
This paper identifies the impact governance types can have on the transfer of city-scale climate change policy. We develop a new adaptation of the policy transfer heuristic (based on the work of Dolowitz and Marsh 1996) which draws attention to different types of multilevel governance systems (Hooghe et al. 2003). This new adaption, “Policy Transfer Across Governance Systems” (PTAGS) heuristic helps to anticipate challenges and opportunities for …
Promising Practices Observed in High-Throughput Covid-19 Vaccination Sites in the United States, February–May 2021
Objectives. To identify promising practices for implementing COVID-19 vaccination sites. Methods. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) assessed high-throughput COVID-19 vaccination sites across the United States, including Puerto Rico, after COVID-19 vaccinations began. Site assessors conducted site observations and interviews with site staff. Qualitative data were compiled and themat…
From Covid-19 to Green Recovery with natural capital accounting
The COVID-19 pandemic and related social and economic emergencies induced massive public spending and increased global debt. Economic recovery is now an opportunity to rebuild natural capital alongside financial, physical, social and human capital, for long-term societal benefit. Yet, current decision-making is dominated by economic imperatives and information systems that do not consider society’s dependence on natural capital and the ecosystem …
Pathways to synergize reductive with relational logics in environmental policy
Transformative policies and policy instruments that effectively and equitably address climate change, biodiversity loss and social-ecological inequality are essential. This paper examines how environmental policy can better integrate reductive with relational logics to accommodate diverse worldviews and improve conservation outcomes. We argue that current approaches are largely defined by reductive logics that function to separate, isolate and ob…
Protecting science in multilateral environmental assessments
An empirical study of emotions in farmer decision-making using assemblage theory
Environmental Impact and Sustainability (12 works) · Climate Change Policy and Economics (10 works) · Political science (10 works) · Computer Science (9 works) · Economics (8 works) · Environmental Science (8 works) · Business (7 works) · Environmental resource management (6 works) · Geography (6 works) · Climate change (5 works)