W Brian Arthur
Biographic Data
| ID | 1076259 |
|---|---|
| NAME | W Brian Arthur |
| GIVEN NAMES | W Brian |
| FAMILY NAME | Arthur |
| SIGNATURE | ARTHUR W B |
| AFFILIATIONS | Food Research Institute, Stanford University, Stanford, California 94305 |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-7429-5954 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 18 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 90 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 18 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1975 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2018 |
| H-INDEX | 5 |
The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II
Introduction W.B. Arthur, S.N., Durlauf, and D. Lane * Asset Pricing Under Endogenous Expectations in an Artificial Stock Market W.B. Arthur, J.H. Holland, B. LeBaron, R. Palmer, and P. Tayler * Natural Rationality V.M. Darley and S.A. Kauffman * Statistical Mechanics Approaches to Socioeconomic Behavior S.N. Durlauf * Is What Is Good for Each Best for All? Learning From Others in the Information Contagion Model D. Lane * Evolution of Trading Str…
Economy As an Evolving Complex System II
The structure of invention
Complexity and the Economy
After two centuries of studying equilibria—static patterns that call for no further behavioral adjustments—economists are beginning to study the general emergence of structures and the unfolding of patterns in the economy. When viewed in out-of-equilibrium formation, economic patterns sometimes simplify into the simple static equilibria of standard economics. More often they are ever changing, showing perpetually novel behavior and emergent pheno…
Increasing Returns and Path Dependence in the Economy
Increasing Returns and Path Dependence in the Economy
Population, Food, and Rural Development
Journal Article Population, Food, and Rural Development. Get access Population, Food, and Rural Development. Edited by LEE (RONALD E.), (W. BRIAN) Arthur, KELLEY (ALLEN C.) et al. (Oxford and New York: Clarendon Press, 1991. Pp. vi + 215. £9.95 paperback. ISBN 0 19 828391 1.) William A. Jackson William A. Jackson University of York Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 104, Issue 427…
Positive Feedbacks in the Economy
Silicon Valley’ locational clusters: When do increasing returns imply monopoly
Economics of Changing Age Distributions in Developed Countries
The demographic situation in the developed countries of the world has changed dramatically over the past century: fertility has declined by two-thirds; life expectancy has more than doubled; the proportion of the population over 65 has doubled or tripled, while the proportion of children has declined drastically. At the same time, birth rates have varied widely, creating dents and bulges in the population age distribution. This rapidly changing d…
Immigration Policy and Immigrants' Ages
IN INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES where fertility is below replacement, immigration can provide a substantial guarantee against the prospect of long-run population loss. In Austria in 1985, for example, net immigration of 7,300 persons was sufficient to offset a slight natural decrease and produce a small gain in total population. Deaths outnumbered births by 1 18,000 in the Federal Republic of Germany in 1985, but the country's 83,000 net immigrants were …
The analysis of linkages in demographic theory
Many seemingly different questions that arise in the analysis of population change can be phrased as the same technical question: How, within a given demographic model, would variable y change if the age- or time-specific function f were to change arbitrarily in shape and intensity? At present demography lacks the machinery to answer this question in analytical and general form. This paper suggests a method based on modern functional calculus for…
Immigration and the Stable Population Model
This paper reports on work aimed at extending stable population theory to include immigration. Its central finding is that, as long as fertility is below replacement, a constant number and age distribution of immigrants (with fixed fertility and mortality schedules) lead to a stationary population. Neither the level of the net reproduction rate nor the size of the annual immigration affects this conclusion; a stationary population eventually emer…
The Ergodic Theorems of Demography: A Simple Proof
Standard proofs of the ergodic theorems of demography rely on theorems borrowed from positive matrix theory, tauberian theory, and the theory of time-inhomogeneous Markov matrices. These proofs are efficient and expedient, but they give little direct insight into the mechanism that causes ergodicity. This paper proposes a simple and unified proof of the two ergodic theorems. It is shown that the birth dynamics can be decomposed into a smoothing p…
A Treatise on the Family
An Analytical Survey of Population and Development in Bangladesh
This paper is titled an Analytical Survey. As a survey it sets out to collect and pull together what is know from the many studies and detailed aspects of population and development in Bangladesh. And as an analysis it sets out to make sense of a complex situation, to pick out the various economic, social, demographic and environmental forces that shape Bangladesh's present predicament and set the bounds for its future possibilities. \n\nTwo part…
Large-Scale Simulation Models in Population and Development: A Reply
Large-Scale Simulation Models in Population and Development: What Use to Planners
Large-scale simulation modeling is a highly visible arrival on the population and development scene-one that commands increasing resources year by year. In 1967 only a few modestsized existed, and only one, the General Electric Company's TEMPO-I, was in wide use. By 1975 at least a dozen large models were in various stages of construction and operation; more were in the planning stage. Each of these models consists of a detailed, recursive comput…
Immigration and the Stable Population Model
This paper reports on work aimed at extending stable population theory to include immigration. Its central finding is that, as long as fertility is below replacement, a constant number and age distribution of immigrants (with fixed fertility and mortality schedules) lead to a stationary population. Neither the level of the net reproduction rate nor the size of the annual immigration affects this conclusion; a stationary population eventually emer…
Silicon Valley’ locational clusters: When do increasing returns imply monopoly
An Analytical Survey of Population and Development in Bangladesh
This paper is titled an Analytical Survey. As a survey it sets out to collect and pull together what is know from the many studies and detailed aspects of population and development in Bangladesh. And as an analysis it sets out to make sense of a complex situation, to pick out the various economic, social, demographic and environmental forces that shape Bangladesh's present predicament and set the bounds for its future possibilities. \n\nTwo part…
The analysis of linkages in demographic theory
Many seemingly different questions that arise in the analysis of population change can be phrased as the same technical question: How, within a given demographic model, would variable y change if the age- or time-specific function f were to change arbitrarily in shape and intensity? At present demography lacks the machinery to answer this question in analytical and general form. This paper suggests a method based on modern functional calculus for…
Immigration Policy and Immigrants' Ages
IN INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES where fertility is below replacement, immigration can provide a substantial guarantee against the prospect of long-run population loss. In Austria in 1985, for example, net immigration of 7,300 persons was sufficient to offset a slight natural decrease and produce a small gain in total population. Deaths outnumbered births by 1 18,000 in the Federal Republic of Germany in 1985, but the country's 83,000 net immigrants were …
The Ergodic Theorems of Demography: A Simple Proof
Standard proofs of the ergodic theorems of demography rely on theorems borrowed from positive matrix theory, tauberian theory, and the theory of time-inhomogeneous Markov matrices. These proofs are efficient and expedient, but they give little direct insight into the mechanism that causes ergodicity. This paper proposes a simple and unified proof of the two ergodic theorems. It is shown that the birth dynamics can be decomposed into a smoothing p…
Large-Scale Simulation Models in Population and Development: What Use to Planners
Large-scale simulation modeling is a highly visible arrival on the population and development scene-one that commands increasing resources year by year. In 1967 only a few modestsized existed, and only one, the General Electric Company's TEMPO-I, was in wide use. By 1975 at least a dozen large models were in various stages of construction and operation; more were in the planning stage. Each of these models consists of a detailed, recursive comput…
Large-Scale Simulation Models in Population and Development: What Use to Planners
Large-scale simulation modeling is a highly visible arrival on the population and development scene-one that commands increasing resources year by year. In 1967 only a few modestsized existed, and only one, the General Electric Company's TEMPO-I, was in wide use. By 1975 at least a dozen large models were in various stages of construction and operation; more were in the planning stage. Each of these models consists of a detailed, recursive comput…
Large-Scale Simulation Models in Population and Development: A Reply
An Analytical Survey of Population and Development in Bangladesh
This paper is titled an Analytical Survey. As a survey it sets out to collect and pull together what is know from the many studies and detailed aspects of population and development in Bangladesh. And as an analysis it sets out to make sense of a complex situation, to pick out the various economic, social, demographic and environmental forces that shape Bangladesh's present predicament and set the bounds for its future possibilities. \n\nTwo part…
Immigration and the Stable Population Model
This paper reports on work aimed at extending stable population theory to include immigration. Its central finding is that, as long as fertility is below replacement, a constant number and age distribution of immigrants (with fixed fertility and mortality schedules) lead to a stationary population. Neither the level of the net reproduction rate nor the size of the annual immigration affects this conclusion; a stationary population eventually emer…
The Ergodic Theorems of Demography: A Simple Proof
Standard proofs of the ergodic theorems of demography rely on theorems borrowed from positive matrix theory, tauberian theory, and the theory of time-inhomogeneous Markov matrices. These proofs are efficient and expedient, but they give little direct insight into the mechanism that causes ergodicity. This paper proposes a simple and unified proof of the two ergodic theorems. It is shown that the birth dynamics can be decomposed into a smoothing p…
A Treatise on the Family
The analysis of linkages in demographic theory
Many seemingly different questions that arise in the analysis of population change can be phrased as the same technical question: How, within a given demographic model, would variable y change if the age- or time-specific function f were to change arbitrarily in shape and intensity? At present demography lacks the machinery to answer this question in analytical and general form. This paper suggests a method based on modern functional calculus for…
Immigration Policy and Immigrants' Ages
IN INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES where fertility is below replacement, immigration can provide a substantial guarantee against the prospect of long-run population loss. In Austria in 1985, for example, net immigration of 7,300 persons was sufficient to offset a slight natural decrease and produce a small gain in total population. Deaths outnumbered births by 1 18,000 in the Federal Republic of Germany in 1985, but the country's 83,000 net immigrants were …
Economics of Changing Age Distributions in Developed Countries
The demographic situation in the developed countries of the world has changed dramatically over the past century: fertility has declined by two-thirds; life expectancy has more than doubled; the proportion of the population over 65 has doubled or tripled, while the proportion of children has declined drastically. At the same time, birth rates have varied widely, creating dents and bulges in the population age distribution. This rapidly changing d…
Positive Feedbacks in the Economy
Silicon Valley’ locational clusters: When do increasing returns imply monopoly
Increasing Returns and Path Dependence in the Economy
Population, Food, and Rural Development
Journal Article Population, Food, and Rural Development. Get access Population, Food, and Rural Development. Edited by LEE (RONALD E.), (W. BRIAN) Arthur, KELLEY (ALLEN C.) et al. (Oxford and New York: Clarendon Press, 1991. Pp. vi + 215. £9.95 paperback. ISBN 0 19 828391 1.) William A. Jackson William A. Jackson University of York Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 104, Issue 427…
Increasing Returns and Path Dependence in the Economy
Complexity and the Economy
After two centuries of studying equilibria—static patterns that call for no further behavioral adjustments—economists are beginning to study the general emergence of structures and the unfolding of patterns in the economy. When viewed in out-of-equilibrium formation, economic patterns sometimes simplify into the simple static equilibria of standard economics. More often they are ever changing, showing perpetually novel behavior and emergent pheno…
The structure of invention
The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II
Introduction W.B. Arthur, S.N., Durlauf, and D. Lane * Asset Pricing Under Endogenous Expectations in an Artificial Stock Market W.B. Arthur, J.H. Holland, B. LeBaron, R. Palmer, and P. Tayler * Natural Rationality V.M. Darley and S.A. Kauffman * Statistical Mechanics Approaches to Socioeconomic Behavior S.N. Durlauf * Is What Is Good for Each Best for All? Learning From Others in the Information Contagion Model D. Lane * Evolution of Trading Str…
Economy As an Evolving Complex System II
Economics (8 works) · Computer Science (7 works) · Demography (7 works) · Population (7 works) · Sociology (7 works) · Economic theories and models (6 works) · Geography (6 works) · Demography (5 works) · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis (4 works) · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management (4 works)