E Spencer Wellhofer
Biographic Data
| ID | 1087378 |
|---|---|
| NAME | E Spencer Wellhofer |
| GIVEN NAMES | E Spencer |
| FAMILY NAME | Wellhofer |
| SIGNATURE | WELLHOFER E S |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Denver |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 28 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 111 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 28 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1972 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2013 |
| H-INDEX | 7 |
Religion, Rurality and Voting: Secularisation, Landownership and Italian Electoral Behaviour, 1953–2008
This paper analyses the impact of socioeconomic and religious factors in explaining the long-run electoral decay of the dominant party in Italy’s so-called “First Republic” (the Catholic Dc), and the emergence of the regional autonomous Lega Nord-Northern League on the Dc’s debris. On the basis of a unique data set collected by the authors this paper examines: a) the effects of modernization and secularization of the Dc electoral dénouement with …
Votes and Votive Candles: Modernization, Secularization, Vatican II, and the Decline of Religious Voting in Italy: 1953–1992
The authors examine the effects of modernization and secularization on the vote for the religious party in the Italian First Republic (1948–1992). In addition to modernization and secularization, they also introduce two new factors to the analysis: the importance of institutionalized Church and effects of the Church’s Vatican II reforms. Italy is of particular relevance because of the centrality of the Catholic religion in the Italian society and…
Democracy and Fascism: Class, Civil Society, and Rational Choice in Italy
The origins of fascism remain a major concern to social scientists. Because fascism emerged in societies seeking transitions to democracy, a better understanding of these failed attempts at democratic transitions improves our understanding of both democracy's possibilities and the strengths and weakness of democratic theory. Indeed, theoretical arguments employed to explain fascism have their analogues in theories of democracy. Three arguments ha…
Party Realignment and Voter Transition in Italy, 1987-1996
Between 1987 and 1996, the Italian party system experienced a major realignment. The political alternatives that dominated the postwar period dissolved, and new party and voter alignments emerged. This analysis employs a recently compiled data archive and a new ecological inference technique to examine voter transitions during the period. The disintegration of the ruling party coalition and the appearance of new party alternatives from the center…
Democracy, Capitalism and Empire in Late Victorian Britain, 1885–1910
Things fall apart; the center cannot hold: Cores, peripheries and peripheral nationalism at the core and periphery of the world economy
Grounding Political Development. Stephen Chilton
Confounding sources of variance in the macro‐analysis of electoral data
Four sources of variance are examined in the construction of ecological models of electoral behaviour: aggregation bias, contextual effects, temporal and spatial diffusion. The proper specification of both micro‐ and macro‐models of political behaviour requires these four sources of variance to be taken into account. Ecological analysis may make valid inferences to individual behaviour once the models are properly specified. Electoral data for Br…
Contradictions in market models of politics: The Case of Party Strategies and Voter Linkages
Market models of politics are derived from economic theory where they were advanced in an age of political corruption to achieve four objectives: discipline, universality, liberty and unity in society; only later were such models imported into political discourse. The most pure form of the market model of politics is found in the vote maximization model; yet as a model for political parties and elections, the realism of its assumptions often is h…
Agrarian Capitalism, Property Rights, and Rural Class Behavior
The research examines the relationship between class behavior and agrarian capitalism. Agrarian capitalism is a mode of production in which the forms of production vary according to the internal distribution of property rights and market involvement. Property rights are defined as appropriated advantages to dispose of valued goods for gain: land, labor, capital goods, the technology of husbandry and the enterprise produce. Bundles of these rights…
Core and Periphery: Territorial Dimensions in Politics
The essay reviews developments of the Core-Periphery paradigm. Two variants of the paradigm are isolated. Both variants define core-periphery relations by three features: characteristics distinguishing core from periphery, the goods exchanged, and the nature of the exchange and the pattern of core-periphery relations. These features form the explanatory variables in the examination of three central problems in social science: the rise of the stat…
The Comparative Method and the Study of Development, Diffusion, and Social Change
The research investigates substantive and methodological concerns in comparative research, particularly the confounding influences of within-system developmental or causal dynamics, across-time or within-system diffusion, and across-system or spatial diffusion. The article argues that extra-system influences represent a special case of the unmeasured relevant variable problem resulting in model specification error and that proper model specificat…
Models of Core and Periphery Dynamics
The essay reviews developments of the Core-Periphery paradigm. Two variants of the paradigm are isolated: the neoclassical model and neo-Marxian model. Both variants define core-periphery relations by three features: characteristics distinguishing core from periphery, the goods exchanged, and the pattern of core-periphery relations. The models differ in their analyses and assumptions derived from neoclassical and neo-Marxian economic theories. An…
Class, territory and party: Political change in Britain, 1945–1974
Two theoretical traditions in the study of European voter alignments emphasize alternatively class and territorial structuring of mass politics. Until the 1970′s the developmental paradigm resting on the class‐based, stable polity model of the 1945–1970 period ruled the research agenda. The weakening of party alignments in the 1970′s and the introduction of the competing territorial paradigm challenged the dominant model. This research tests both…
Looking Backward: Stability and Volatility in the British Electorate: 1945-1974
NE PROBLEM more than any other has dominated the study of electoral behavior in postwar Britain: the stability and social base of party voting, and more recently, the decay of these relationships. The former was most pronounced until the 1970s during which time Pulzer's oft-quoted dictum (1967: 98) seemed to rule the research agenda and scholars confirmed the solid class base of British parties (Blondel 1967; Alford 1963; Butler and Stokes 1969: …
The Electoral Effectiveness of Party Organization: Norway, 1945–1977
Latent Variable Partial Least Squares analysis has been used to model the impact of political party organization on stable and changing patterns of party vote in Norway from 1945 to 1977. For the Norwegian Labor Party, the elaboration of a strategy of organizational encapsulation is at least as important as the economic base for maintaining the stability of the party's electoral support; it also depresses support for the opposition parties. Short…
Two Nations: Class and Periphery in Late Victorian Britain, 1885-1910
Structural equation modeling techniques test a series of hypotheses on the mobilization of class voting in late Victorian Britain. The enfranchisement of the working class triggers an organizational proliferation as parties seek to mobilize the new citizenry as well as a countermobilization of religious and territorial cleavages which divide the working-class vote along pre-industrial cleavage lines. Class voting appeared as early as the 1895 ele…
To “Educate their Volition to Dance in their Chains: Enfranchisement and Realignment in Britain, 1885-1950 Part I: The Decay of the Old Order, 1885-1910
The second half of the nineteenth and the first half of the twentieth centuries in Western Europe mark a period of suffrage expansion, the development of mass party organization, and effective incorporation of the newly enfranchised citizenry into political life. The resulting realignments of the interwar period form a backdrop against which the current discussion of realignment takes place; yet this very discussion begs the question of stability…
To “Educate their Volition to Dance in their Chains: Enfranchisement and Realignment in Britain, 1885-1950 Part II: The Triumph of the New Order, 1918-1950
Part I of this research examined the transformation of British politics in the 1885-1910 period: the expansion of suffrage in 1885, the incorporation of the newly enfranchised into political life, and the resulting changes in party alignments. Latent variable partial least-squares (LVPLS) algorithms generated dynamic across-time models of political change. These models were then tested with maximum likelihood (ML) methods. The research concluded …
The Political Incorporation of the Newly Enfranchised Voter: Organizational Encapsulation and Socialist Labor Party Development
O NN E OF THE most problems in the evolution of liberal democracies is their transformation from limited franchise regimes to mass suffrage polities. The dynamics of the problem and its consequences can be summarized as follows: Suffrage expansion and political mobilization coincided with social mobilization resulting from urbanization and industrialization. As social and economic grievances became political, pressures for suffrage expansion incr…
The Effectiveness of Party Organization: A Cross‐national, Time Series Analysis
The effectiveness of party organization is modeled by a modified Cobb‐Douglas production function where inputs are characteristics of party organization and output is the popular vote of the party. Next, an index of organizational learning is introduced to compete with the input factors; organizational learning accounts for some increased output, particularly in the early periods of party development. The model is tested with time‐series data for…
Strategies For Party Organization and Voter Mobilization: Britain, Norway, and Argentina
Violence and Repression in Latin America: A Quantitative and Historical Analysis. Ernest Duff , John McCamant
Political Party Development in Argentina: The Emergence of Socialist Party Parliamentarianism
Many authors (for example, Ostrogorski, 1964; Michels, 1962: 175 ff.; Weber, 1946: 101 ff.; Duverger, 1967: 182-197; Schlesinger, 1965: 766-767, 1967: 268; Seligman, 1967: 315; Stinchombe, 1965: 153; McKenzie, 1963: 581-591; Epstein, 1967: 167-233, 289-314) have noted that contemporary political parties are predominantly electoral organizations engaged in public office-seeking and dominated by elected officials. While American parties have always…
The Mobilization of the Periphery: Peron's 1946 Triumph
Strategies For Party Organization and Voter Mobilization: Britain, Norway, and Argentina
Votes and Votive Candles: Modernization, Secularization, Vatican II, and the Decline of Religious Voting in Italy: 1953–1992
The authors examine the effects of modernization and secularization on the vote for the religious party in the Italian First Republic (1948–1992). In addition to modernization and secularization, they also introduce two new factors to the analysis: the importance of institutionalized Church and effects of the Church’s Vatican II reforms. Italy is of particular relevance because of the centrality of the Catholic religion in the Italian society and…
Party Realignment and Voter Transition in Italy, 1987-1996
Between 1987 and 1996, the Italian party system experienced a major realignment. The political alternatives that dominated the postwar period dissolved, and new party and voter alignments emerged. This analysis employs a recently compiled data archive and a new ecological inference technique to examine voter transitions during the period. The disintegration of the ruling party coalition and the appearance of new party alternatives from the center…
Core and Periphery: Territorial Dimensions in Politics
The essay reviews developments of the Core-Periphery paradigm. Two variants of the paradigm are isolated. Both variants define core-periphery relations by three features: characteristics distinguishing core from periphery, the goods exchanged, and the nature of the exchange and the pattern of core-periphery relations. These features form the explanatory variables in the examination of three central problems in social science: the rise of the stat…
Democracy and Fascism: Class, Civil Society, and Rational Choice in Italy
The origins of fascism remain a major concern to social scientists. Because fascism emerged in societies seeking transitions to democracy, a better understanding of these failed attempts at democratic transitions improves our understanding of both democracy's possibilities and the strengths and weakness of democratic theory. Indeed, theoretical arguments employed to explain fascism have their analogues in theories of democracy. Three arguments ha…
The Comparative Method and the Study of Development, Diffusion, and Social Change
The research investigates substantive and methodological concerns in comparative research, particularly the confounding influences of within-system developmental or causal dynamics, across-time or within-system diffusion, and across-system or spatial diffusion. The article argues that extra-system influences represent a special case of the unmeasured relevant variable problem resulting in model specification error and that proper model specificat…
The Effectiveness of Party Organization: A Cross‐national, Time Series Analysis
The effectiveness of party organization is modeled by a modified Cobb‐Douglas production function where inputs are characteristics of party organization and output is the popular vote of the party. Next, an index of organizational learning is introduced to compete with the input factors; organizational learning accounts for some increased output, particularly in the early periods of party development. The model is tested with time‐series data for…
Dimensions of Party Development: A Study in Organizational Dynamics
Religion, Rurality and Voting: Secularisation, Landownership and Italian Electoral Behaviour, 1953–2008
This paper analyses the impact of socioeconomic and religious factors in explaining the long-run electoral decay of the dominant party in Italy’s so-called “First Republic” (the Catholic Dc), and the emergence of the regional autonomous Lega Nord-Northern League on the Dc’s debris. On the basis of a unique data set collected by the authors this paper examines: a) the effects of modernization and secularization of the Dc electoral dénouement with …
The Mobilization of the Periphery: Peron's 1946 Triumph
Models of Core and Periphery Dynamics
The essay reviews developments of the Core-Periphery paradigm. Two variants of the paradigm are isolated: the neoclassical model and neo-Marxian model. Both variants define core-periphery relations by three features: characteristics distinguishing core from periphery, the goods exchanged, and the pattern of core-periphery relations. The models differ in their analyses and assumptions derived from neoclassical and neo-Marxian economic theories. An…
Political Party Development: Institutionalization, Leadership Recruitment, and Behavior
Confounding sources of variance in the macro‐analysis of electoral data
Four sources of variance are examined in the construction of ecological models of electoral behaviour: aggregation bias, contextual effects, temporal and spatial diffusion. The proper specification of both micro‐ and macro‐models of political behaviour requires these four sources of variance to be taken into account. Ecological analysis may make valid inferences to individual behaviour once the models are properly specified. Electoral data for Br…
Contradictions in market models of politics: The Case of Party Strategies and Voter Linkages
Market models of politics are derived from economic theory where they were advanced in an age of political corruption to achieve four objectives: discipline, universality, liberty and unity in society; only later were such models imported into political discourse. The most pure form of the market model of politics is found in the vote maximization model; yet as a model for political parties and elections, the realism of its assumptions often is h…
The Political Incorporation of the Newly Enfranchised Voter: Organizational Encapsulation and Socialist Labor Party Development
O NN E OF THE most problems in the evolution of liberal democracies is their transformation from limited franchise regimes to mass suffrage polities. The dynamics of the problem and its consequences can be summarized as follows: Suffrage expansion and political mobilization coincided with social mobilization resulting from urbanization and industrialization. As social and economic grievances became political, pressures for suffrage expansion incr…
Things fall apart; the center cannot hold: Cores, peripheries and peripheral nationalism at the core and periphery of the world economy
Agrarian Capitalism, Property Rights, and Rural Class Behavior
The research examines the relationship between class behavior and agrarian capitalism. Agrarian capitalism is a mode of production in which the forms of production vary according to the internal distribution of property rights and market involvement. Property rights are defined as appropriated advantages to dispose of valued goods for gain: land, labor, capital goods, the technology of husbandry and the enterprise produce. Bundles of these rights…
Looking Backward: Stability and Volatility in the British Electorate: 1945-1974
NE PROBLEM more than any other has dominated the study of electoral behavior in postwar Britain: the stability and social base of party voting, and more recently, the decay of these relationships. The former was most pronounced until the 1970s during which time Pulzer's oft-quoted dictum (1967: 98) seemed to rule the research agenda and scholars confirmed the solid class base of British parties (Blondel 1967; Alford 1963; Butler and Stokes 1969: …
Two Nations: Class and Periphery in Late Victorian Britain, 1885-1910
Structural equation modeling techniques test a series of hypotheses on the mobilization of class voting in late Victorian Britain. The enfranchisement of the working class triggers an organizational proliferation as parties seek to mobilize the new citizenry as well as a countermobilization of religious and territorial cleavages which divide the working-class vote along pre-industrial cleavage lines. Class voting appeared as early as the 1895 ele…
"Political Parties as "Communities of Fate: Tests with Argentine Party Elites
To “Educate their Volition to Dance in their Chains: Enfranchisement and Realignment in Britain, 1885-1950 Part I: The Decay of the Old Order, 1885-1910
The second half of the nineteenth and the first half of the twentieth centuries in Western Europe mark a period of suffrage expansion, the development of mass party organization, and effective incorporation of the newly enfranchised citizenry into political life. The resulting realignments of the interwar period form a backdrop against which the current discussion of realignment takes place; yet this very discussion begs the question of stability…
To “Educate their Volition to Dance in their Chains: Enfranchisement and Realignment in Britain, 1885-1950 Part II: The Triumph of the New Order, 1918-1950
Part I of this research examined the transformation of British politics in the 1885-1910 period: the expansion of suffrage in 1885, the incorporation of the newly enfranchised into political life, and the resulting changes in party alignments. Latent variable partial least-squares (LVPLS) algorithms generated dynamic across-time models of political change. These models were then tested with maximum likelihood (ML) methods. The research concluded …
Dimensions of Party Development: A Study in Organizational Dynamics
The Mobilization of the Periphery: Peron's 1946 Triumph
Political Party Development: Institutionalization, Leadership Recruitment, and Behavior
"Political Parties as "Communities of Fate: Tests with Argentine Party Elites
Political Party Development in Argentina: The Emergence of Socialist Party Parliamentarianism
Many authors (for example, Ostrogorski, 1964; Michels, 1962: 175 ff.; Weber, 1946: 101 ff.; Duverger, 1967: 182-197; Schlesinger, 1965: 766-767, 1967: 268; Seligman, 1967: 315; Stinchombe, 1965: 153; McKenzie, 1963: 581-591; Epstein, 1967: 167-233, 289-314) have noted that contemporary political parties are predominantly electoral organizations engaged in public office-seeking and dominated by elected officials. While American parties have always…
Violence and Repression in Latin America: A Quantitative and Historical Analysis. Ernest Duff , John McCamant
The Effectiveness of Party Organization: A Cross‐national, Time Series Analysis
The effectiveness of party organization is modeled by a modified Cobb‐Douglas production function where inputs are characteristics of party organization and output is the popular vote of the party. Next, an index of organizational learning is introduced to compete with the input factors; organizational learning accounts for some increased output, particularly in the early periods of party development. The model is tested with time‐series data for…
Strategies For Party Organization and Voter Mobilization: Britain, Norway, and Argentina
The Political Incorporation of the Newly Enfranchised Voter: Organizational Encapsulation and Socialist Labor Party Development
O NN E OF THE most problems in the evolution of liberal democracies is their transformation from limited franchise regimes to mass suffrage polities. The dynamics of the problem and its consequences can be summarized as follows: Suffrage expansion and political mobilization coincided with social mobilization resulting from urbanization and industrialization. As social and economic grievances became political, pressures for suffrage expansion incr…
To “Educate their Volition to Dance in their Chains: Enfranchisement and Realignment in Britain, 1885-1950 Part I: The Decay of the Old Order, 1885-1910
The second half of the nineteenth and the first half of the twentieth centuries in Western Europe mark a period of suffrage expansion, the development of mass party organization, and effective incorporation of the newly enfranchised citizenry into political life. The resulting realignments of the interwar period form a backdrop against which the current discussion of realignment takes place; yet this very discussion begs the question of stability…
To “Educate their Volition to Dance in their Chains: Enfranchisement and Realignment in Britain, 1885-1950 Part II: The Triumph of the New Order, 1918-1950
Part I of this research examined the transformation of British politics in the 1885-1910 period: the expansion of suffrage in 1885, the incorporation of the newly enfranchised into political life, and the resulting changes in party alignments. Latent variable partial least-squares (LVPLS) algorithms generated dynamic across-time models of political change. These models were then tested with maximum likelihood (ML) methods. The research concluded …
The Electoral Effectiveness of Party Organization: Norway, 1945–1977
Latent Variable Partial Least Squares analysis has been used to model the impact of political party organization on stable and changing patterns of party vote in Norway from 1945 to 1977. For the Norwegian Labor Party, the elaboration of a strategy of organizational encapsulation is at least as important as the economic base for maintaining the stability of the party's electoral support; it also depresses support for the opposition parties. Short…
Two Nations: Class and Periphery in Late Victorian Britain, 1885-1910
Structural equation modeling techniques test a series of hypotheses on the mobilization of class voting in late Victorian Britain. The enfranchisement of the working class triggers an organizational proliferation as parties seek to mobilize the new citizenry as well as a countermobilization of religious and territorial cleavages which divide the working-class vote along pre-industrial cleavage lines. Class voting appeared as early as the 1895 ele…
Class, territory and party: Political change in Britain, 1945–1974
Two theoretical traditions in the study of European voter alignments emphasize alternatively class and territorial structuring of mass politics. Until the 1970′s the developmental paradigm resting on the class‐based, stable polity model of the 1945–1970 period ruled the research agenda. The weakening of party alignments in the 1970′s and the introduction of the competing territorial paradigm challenged the dominant model. This research tests both…
Looking Backward: Stability and Volatility in the British Electorate: 1945-1974
NE PROBLEM more than any other has dominated the study of electoral behavior in postwar Britain: the stability and social base of party voting, and more recently, the decay of these relationships. The former was most pronounced until the 1970s during which time Pulzer's oft-quoted dictum (1967: 98) seemed to rule the research agenda and scholars confirmed the solid class base of British parties (Blondel 1967; Alford 1963; Butler and Stokes 1969: …
Models of Core and Periphery Dynamics
The essay reviews developments of the Core-Periphery paradigm. Two variants of the paradigm are isolated: the neoclassical model and neo-Marxian model. Both variants define core-periphery relations by three features: characteristics distinguishing core from periphery, the goods exchanged, and the pattern of core-periphery relations. The models differ in their analyses and assumptions derived from neoclassical and neo-Marxian economic theories. An…
Core and Periphery: Territorial Dimensions in Politics
The essay reviews developments of the Core-Periphery paradigm. Two variants of the paradigm are isolated. Both variants define core-periphery relations by three features: characteristics distinguishing core from periphery, the goods exchanged, and the nature of the exchange and the pattern of core-periphery relations. These features form the explanatory variables in the examination of three central problems in social science: the rise of the stat…
The Comparative Method and the Study of Development, Diffusion, and Social Change
The research investigates substantive and methodological concerns in comparative research, particularly the confounding influences of within-system developmental or causal dynamics, across-time or within-system diffusion, and across-system or spatial diffusion. The article argues that extra-system influences represent a special case of the unmeasured relevant variable problem resulting in model specification error and that proper model specificat…
Contradictions in market models of politics: The Case of Party Strategies and Voter Linkages
Market models of politics are derived from economic theory where they were advanced in an age of political corruption to achieve four objectives: discipline, universality, liberty and unity in society; only later were such models imported into political discourse. The most pure form of the market model of politics is found in the vote maximization model; yet as a model for political parties and elections, the realism of its assumptions often is h…
Agrarian Capitalism, Property Rights, and Rural Class Behavior
The research examines the relationship between class behavior and agrarian capitalism. Agrarian capitalism is a mode of production in which the forms of production vary according to the internal distribution of property rights and market involvement. Property rights are defined as appropriated advantages to dispose of valued goods for gain: land, labor, capital goods, the technology of husbandry and the enterprise produce. Bundles of these rights…
Confounding sources of variance in the macro‐analysis of electoral data
Four sources of variance are examined in the construction of ecological models of electoral behaviour: aggregation bias, contextual effects, temporal and spatial diffusion. The proper specification of both micro‐ and macro‐models of political behaviour requires these four sources of variance to be taken into account. Ecological analysis may make valid inferences to individual behaviour once the models are properly specified. Electoral data for Br…
Grounding Political Development. Stephen Chilton
Things fall apart; the center cannot hold: Cores, peripheries and peripheral nationalism at the core and periphery of the world economy
Democracy, Capitalism and Empire in Late Victorian Britain, 1885–1910
Party Realignment and Voter Transition in Italy, 1987-1996
Between 1987 and 1996, the Italian party system experienced a major realignment. The political alternatives that dominated the postwar period dissolved, and new party and voter alignments emerged. This analysis employs a recently compiled data archive and a new ecological inference technique to examine voter transitions during the period. The disintegration of the ruling party coalition and the appearance of new party alternatives from the center…
Law (25 works) · Political science (25 works) · Politics (24 works) · Law (20 works) · Political economy (17 works) · Sociology (14 works) · Economics (13 works) · Computer Science (8 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (8 works) · Voting (8 works)