Lois W Sayrs
Biographic Data
| ID | 1089548 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Lois W Sayrs |
| GIVEN NAMES | Lois W |
| FAMILY NAME | Sayrs |
| SIGNATURE | SAYRS L W |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Iowa |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-1633-0576 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 6 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 22 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 6 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1988 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1993 |
| H-INDEX | 2 |
The Long Cycle in International Relations
Despite mounting empirical evidence against cycles, there is still a considerable literature in international relations supporting the claim of a Kondratieff wave in war. But the empirical evidence against cycles, however, rests on tests that are inappropriate for a nonlinear process where the cycle recurs at irregular intervals. So, the claim of a long cycle has yet to be falsified. This paper attempts to make an appropriate empirical test of th…
The effect of provocation on foreign policy response
Does provocation engender a response in like kind? Research suggests that a matched response is common among rivals and is a preferred strategy in situations which resemble prisoner's dilemma. Yet, there is no empirical evidence for matching outside of rivalry or the use of force. This paper examines the hypothesis that nation‐actors respond to provocation in kind by considering the effect of provocation on foreign policy response for a wide rang…
Expected Utility and Peace Science
In this paper, I attempt to tease out the implications of expected utility models on conflict resolution and peace science. I also consider the trade-conflict model of Polachek (1980) and its extensions, as one example of expected utility in international relations. I raise three questions concerning the impact of expected utility: (1) when does trade mitigate conflict? (2) can trade provoke conflict? (3) can trade induce cooperation? From a revi…
Pooled Time Series Analysis
Introduction Theoretical Derivation of the Pooled Time Series Model The Constant Coefficients Model The LSDV Model The Random Coefficient Model The SEQ Model Robust Estimation Summary and Conclusions
Trade and conflict revisited
This paper re‐examines the relationship between trade and conflict. It is argued that the current findings on the trade‐conflict hypothesis omit political effects germane to a fully specified explanation of international conflict. In particular, conflict is greatly influenced by the patterns of exchange which constrain trading activity; the dynamics of the conflict process which may overshadow the peaceful effects from trade; and the sources of r…
Reconsidering Trade and Conflict
Trade and conflict revisited
This paper re‐examines the relationship between trade and conflict. It is argued that the current findings on the trade‐conflict hypothesis omit political effects germane to a fully specified explanation of international conflict. In particular, conflict is greatly influenced by the patterns of exchange which constrain trading activity; the dynamics of the conflict process which may overshadow the peaceful effects from trade; and the sources of r…
Expected Utility and Peace Science
In this paper, I attempt to tease out the implications of expected utility models on conflict resolution and peace science. I also consider the trade-conflict model of Polachek (1980) and its extensions, as one example of expected utility in international relations. I raise three questions concerning the impact of expected utility: (1) when does trade mitigate conflict? (2) can trade provoke conflict? (3) can trade induce cooperation? From a revi…
The Long Cycle in International Relations
Despite mounting empirical evidence against cycles, there is still a considerable literature in international relations supporting the claim of a Kondratieff wave in war. But the empirical evidence against cycles, however, rests on tests that are inappropriate for a nonlinear process where the cycle recurs at irregular intervals. So, the claim of a long cycle has yet to be falsified. This paper attempts to make an appropriate empirical test of th…
The effect of provocation on foreign policy response
Does provocation engender a response in like kind? Research suggests that a matched response is common among rivals and is a preferred strategy in situations which resemble prisoner's dilemma. Yet, there is no empirical evidence for matching outside of rivalry or the use of force. This paper examines the hypothesis that nation‐actors respond to provocation in kind by considering the effect of provocation on foreign policy response for a wide rang…
Reconsidering Trade and Conflict
Reconsidering Trade and Conflict
Pooled Time Series Analysis
Introduction Theoretical Derivation of the Pooled Time Series Model The Constant Coefficients Model The LSDV Model The Random Coefficient Model The SEQ Model Robust Estimation Summary and Conclusions
Trade and conflict revisited
This paper re‐examines the relationship between trade and conflict. It is argued that the current findings on the trade‐conflict hypothesis omit political effects germane to a fully specified explanation of international conflict. In particular, conflict is greatly influenced by the patterns of exchange which constrain trading activity; the dynamics of the conflict process which may overshadow the peaceful effects from trade; and the sources of r…
Expected Utility and Peace Science
In this paper, I attempt to tease out the implications of expected utility models on conflict resolution and peace science. I also consider the trade-conflict model of Polachek (1980) and its extensions, as one example of expected utility in international relations. I raise three questions concerning the impact of expected utility: (1) when does trade mitigate conflict? (2) can trade provoke conflict? (3) can trade induce cooperation? From a revi…
The effect of provocation on foreign policy response
Does provocation engender a response in like kind? Research suggests that a matched response is common among rivals and is a preferred strategy in situations which resemble prisoner's dilemma. Yet, there is no empirical evidence for matching outside of rivalry or the use of force. This paper examines the hypothesis that nation‐actors respond to provocation in kind by considering the effect of provocation on foreign policy response for a wide rang…
The Long Cycle in International Relations
Despite mounting empirical evidence against cycles, there is still a considerable literature in international relations supporting the claim of a Kondratieff wave in war. But the empirical evidence against cycles, however, rests on tests that are inappropriate for a nonlinear process where the cycle recurs at irregular intervals. So, the claim of a long cycle has yet to be falsified. This paper attempts to make an appropriate empirical test of th…
Economics (5 works) · Positive economics (4 works) · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies (3 works) · International Development and Aid (3 works) · Microeconomics (3 works) · Political science (3 works) · Computer Science (2 works) · Conflict resolution (2 works) · Econometrics (2 works) · Global trade and economics (2 works)