Dwayne Woods
Dados Biográficos
| ID | 110263 |
|---|---|
| NOME | Dwayne Woods |
| PRENOMES | Dwayne |
| SOBRENOME | Woods |
| ASSINATURA | WOODS D |
| AFILIAÇÕES | Purdue University West Lafayette |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-7033-794X |
| VERIFICADO | Sim |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 64 |
| TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES | 369 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 64 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 0 |
| PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 1980 |
| ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 2026 |
| ÍNDICE H | 11 |
Stag Hunt in the Digital Wilds
Piercing a Methodological Bubble
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for text classification, survey simulation, and causal analysis in the social sciences. Yet many applications make a category error by treating systems trained to generate plausible language as if they directly measure social reality. This article argues that the problem is conditional rather than categorical. Autoregressive LLM outputs can have a definite relationship to social phenomena only wh…
The “black box” strategy
Rare earth elements (rees) are abundant in the Earth’s crust but difficult to access technologically. This creates a strategic imbalance that China has exploited not just through dominance in production but also by maintaining deliberate opacity. This paper introduces a dynamic signaling model in which nondisclosure of quotas, patents, and regulations serves as a recurring tactic that increases uncertainty, prompts cautious hedging, and results i…
Prompt, negate, repeat
Can artificial intelligence think? Consciousness-centered philosophical frameworks answer no, locating intelligence in subjectivity, embodiment, or phenomenological experience. This paper challenges that consensus by turning to Hegel’s Science of Logic , which reconceives thinking not as a subjective state but as a dialectical movement through which indeterminate concepts become determinate forms. Large language models exemplify this process. The…
Beyond the Veil
Artificial intelligence systems increasingly influence critical societal decisions, from healthcare resource distribution to criminal justice evaluations. While John Rawls’ theory of justice, especially his “veil of ignorance,” has become a prominent framework for promoting algorithmic fairness, this paper reveals a fundamental paradox in its use: unchanging principles of justice, when applied in evolving AI systems, can sustain or worsen existin…
Diamonds aren’t forever
The Devil is in the Geography
Geographic Regression Discontinuity Designs (GRDDs) are used to estimate long-run historical effects, despite well-established results showing that RDD requires a discontinuous assignment rule rather than merely plausibly exogenous spatial variation. This article evaluates Henn et al.’s (Comparative Political Studies. 10.1177/00104140251369335, 2025) study in Comparative Political Studies, which treats Catholic diocesan boundaries as quasi-random…
The Ineffective Power of Assumptions
This paper critiques Kenkel and Ramsay’s (in J Politics. https://doi.org/10.1086/732953 , 2024) “The Effective Power of Military Coalitions,” arguing that the study falls short of structural modeling standards despite its formal presentation. While adopting the aesthetics of game-theoretic analysis, their model simplifies coalitions to groups of independent actors and overlooks the interconnected nature of coalition warfare. This simplification c…
The Price is Not Right
Economists typically model power through prices or outside-option wedges. This paper develops a formal model in which economic power operates instead through control over the feasible set of economic choices. Political scientists have long understood power as control over feasibility—the ability to determine which markets and technologies remain accessible. This paper formalizes power as control over the domain of economic choice. Economic coerci…
The Paradox of High-level Military Dismissals in China
Between 2023 and 2024, China dismissed dozens of senior military officers, including two defense ministers personally appointed by Xi Jinping. These purges occurred not during a political crisis but at the peak of an ambitious modernization campaign. Why? We develop a formal model showing that high-level dismissals are an equilibrium feature of centralized military modernization under imperfect monitoring, not evidence of regime weakness or facti…
Escaping a weaponized network
This paper explores weaponized interdependence and tipping point dynamics. The United States employs export controls to maintain technological leadership and restrict China's access to essential semiconductor technology. Conversely, China intensifies its investment in the semiconductor sector, aiming for technological independence and lessening its dependence on U.S.-controlled technologies. The paper introduces a Stackelberg nested game model to…
From Archives to Artifacts
This paper presents a forensic analysis of a dataset used by Boix to argue that imperial legal emancipation contributed to the spread of Jewish national identity by establishing Zionist and Hebrew institutions. We demonstrate that, although the dataset is extensive, it is logically inconsistent, fragmented over time, and geographically incoherent. Despite claims of establishing cause-and-effect, the data’s structure prevents such conclusions. Usi…
Filling a Void
China's Export Controls on Strategic Materials
Why do states impose export controls that harm their own economies? We reinterpret such measures as costly signals of technological autonomy rather than coercive sanctions. A Bayesian signaling model with dynamic cost structures and bounded monotonicity shows that credible signaling functions only within limited regimes. Once perceived threat crosses a critical threshold, information revelation triggers defensive counter-investment and welfare lo…
Engineering 101
Pricing the Global Club
Conventional international political economy treats U.S. hegemony as a provider of global public goods, with preferential trade and security commitments fostering stability through open access. This view, we argue, violates the definition of a public good and obscures the club-like nature of the American-led order. This paper develops a Schmittian club-goods framework in which tariffs, dues, and exclusion are instruments of sovereign pricing, and…
The Rikerian Arrow at the Heart of Democratic Backsliding
This paper introduces a system-theoretic rethinking of democracy as a bounded, oscillatory system driven by contestation among liberty, equality, and security—normative goods uniquely integrated through Arrow’s impossibility theorem (cycling instability), Riker’s heresthetics (strategic reweighting), and Lyapunov stability theory (bounded dynamics). Unlike institutionalist or regression-based approaches, it formalizes illiberal drift as endogenou…
The Epistemological Role of Fables in Formal Models about Power
Political science prioritizes mechanisms, yet static formal models fail to capture their dynamic evolution. Roger Myerson’s fables address this gap by isolating recursive processes—trust formation, credibility decay, and institutional adaptation—and embedding them in dynamic models. I extend Myerson’s approach by contrasting his recursive logic with static frameworks, such as Milan Svolik’s coup model, and introduce the Napoleon Paradox to show h…
Modeling Trump’s Worldview with Algorithms
This paper presents the Trump Worldview Generative Model (TWGM). This theory-driven computational framework formalizes Donald J. Trump’s ontology of power as a system of three fixed priors: hierarchy, power, and transactionalism. Drawing on thinkers like Schmitt, Weber, Bourdieu, and related traditions, the model shows that Trump’s seemingly unpredictable behavior reflects a coherent, low-entropy worldview where power restores natural order. Usin…
There is No Pearl in this Zionist Oyster
This article exposes the pseudo-scientific foundation of Carles Boix’s recent American Political Science Review (APSR) publication on Zionism and Jewish national identity. He misapplies the regression discontinuity design (RDD) by treating a historically endogenous imperial border as exogenous, overlooking 59% of missing data, omitting necessary diagnostics, and overfitting with 21 covariates. He conflates a local treatment effect with the deep s…
A Stackelberg Model of China’s Rare Earths Strategic Lead
China’s dominant position in the rare earth elements (REE) sector results from a strategic political approach that emphasizes technological control over simple resource scarcity. This paper uses a Stackelberg leadership model to explain how China takes advantage of first-mover benefits in upstream extraction, midstream processing, and downstream standard-setting to create unequal power within the global supply chain. Based on patent data (China h…
AI as a Tool for Surveillance
The Power of Withholding
Why would Beijing abandon three decades of transparent rare earth quota announcements and switch to nondisclosure? This paper argues that withholding information, rather than reducing supply, has become China’s preferred way to manage its dominant role in the rare earth industry. We develop a signaling model in which nondisclosure itself creates coercive leverage: by hiding quotas, Beijing forces foreign governments and companies to view uncertai…
Reflections on racial justice and land reform
Dangerous depths of bifurcation
Varieties of Populism across a Left‐Right Spectrum
This article engages in a comparative analysis of populist parties across the West‐European left‐right spectrum. Conceptualizing populism as a ‘thin ideology’, we argue that populist parties show both similarities and differences, and that these are a product of the interaction of the core features of populism with the ‘thicker’ ideological traditions from which the different parties draw upon. We employ a qualitative method in analyzing the core…
Value Orientations From the World Values Survey
We examine data from the World Values Survey regarding the existence of two consistent orientations in mass values, traditional versus secular/rational and survival versus self-expression. We also evaluate the empirical validity of Welzel’s revised value orientations: secular and emancipative. Over the years, a large body of work has presumed the stability and comparability of these value orientations across time and space. Our findings uncover l…
Civil Society in Europe and Africa
The concept of civil society has gained currency in African studies. It is used in a variety of different ways, but usually refers to the emergence of new patterns of political participation outside of formal state structures and one-party systems (Bratton 1989, 407). In the absence of capable state institutions, the literature on Africa has started to shift attention away from the state and governing elites, and towards social actors who are dev…
Fathers Work for Their Sons
The tragedy of the cocoa pod
Many people have been surprised by the eruption of ethnic conflict and civil war in Ivory Coast. The country had gained a reputation as a relatively stable and economically prosperous agricultural republic in a region known for ethnic conflict, economic decline and civil war. The underlying factors that have led to the ethnic violence, the flight of immigrants from neighbouring countries, and the division of the country into a predominantly Musli…
Globalisation, workers and the northern league
This article seeks to explain why the Northern League's main basis of support now comes primarily from Northern workers and artisans. To explain the nature of the League's support, we hypothesise that a fear of globalisation has led workers in the north to vote for the party that has put the greatest emphasis on the protection of local identities. We analyse survey data to document the affect globalisation has on the voting patterns of Northern w…
Elites, ethnicity, and 'home town' associations in the Côte d'Ivoire
The democratisation process which began in the early 1990s in many sub-Saharan African countries has led to renewed interest in the role of voluntary associations in the shaping of the political and social realms. This article maintains that the most effective way to understand the role of associational politics and developments in Africa is not by postulating what they should do according to Western democratic theory, but through an historical a…
Pockets of resistance to globalization
From its inception, the Lega Nord has been a populist social and political movement obsessed with the Other. In the world-view of the Lega Nord, the Other is anything that threatens the cultural and regional identity of Italians in the northern part of the country, particularly the Northeast. In the early 1990s the Other was constituted by corrupt politicians in Rome, Italian economic monopolies and southern Italians. By the late 1990s the Other …
The Crisis of Center-Periphery Integration in Italy and the Rise of Regional Populism
L'analyse structurelle des mouvements sociaux italiens identifie les facteurs objectifs qui ont produit les conditions de soudain developpement de la Ligue lombarde. La chute du systeme centre-peripherie de l'integration politique et sociale, jusqu'alors fortement utilise par le Parti Democrate Chretien, a cree des opportunites grâce auxquelles une nouvelle force sociale pouvait tenter de constituer un nouveau mouvement politique. De plus les cap…
Riding the Populist Web
This article focuses on three mechanisms to explain the rise of populist movements across Europe. They are politicization of resentment, exploitation of social cleavages, and polarization of resentment and feelings of non-representation. We conceptualize populism as a strategic power game aiming to transform potential majorities into real ones by creating or reframing social cleavages. Our theoretical model is used to explain the rise of the Five…
What About Us? The Anglo-Caribbean Democratic Experience
This article contributes to the sparse literature on democratic regimes in the Caribbean by examining the emergence and persistence of Anglo-Caribbean democracies. British colonialism, not socio-economic modernisation, explains the origins of the democratic institutions of Anglo-Caribbean states. British colonial heritage, however, fails to explain why these democracies have persisted, in contrast to the experience of other former British colonie…
Inductive constructivism and national identities
The literature on nationalism has provided conceptual definitions of national identity that supposedly delineate its underlying empirical manifestations. A binary conceptualization (civic versus ethnic) is widely used by scholars. There are confusion and ambiguity in the definition, however, as well as sense that the prevailing schema does not adequately capture the fluidity and complexity of the phenomenon. We posit that abstract conceptual defi…
Predatory elites, rents and cocoa
This article explores the way in which the cocoa sector shaped the rent-seeking behaviour of ruling elites and rural producers in Ghana and Ivory Coast. Analysis of their rent-seeking behaviour is done in two different contexts. The first context is a boom period in which the exploitation of the rent generated from cocoa production leads elites and rural producers to pursue specific investment and allocation strategies. The other context is the b…
The centre no longer holds
The principal argument in this article is that the recent emergence of regional leagues in Italian politics is epiphenomenal to broader socio‐economic changes which have occurred in the country since the 1960s. The emergence of regional leagues are a reflection of the differentiation of Italian civil society from a centralised political authority ‐ mediated through parties ‐ and the development of regional and local units as centres of economic a…
The Attitudes of the Chinese Middle Class Towards Democracy
Conditional effect of economic development on democracy – the relevance of the state
This article investigates how the economic role of the state shapes the relationship between economic development and democracy. We argue that the state is not passively under the influence of socio-economic development as assumed in extant empirical studies. Through participating in economic production, the state is able to mitigate positive effect of economic development on politics through shaping the strength and preference of both the state …
The politics of organising the countryside
This article first explores the manner in which the colonial and postcolonial state in Côte d'Ivoire has sought to develop and animate rural cooperatives as a means of effecting change in the countryside. It then examines the local realities that the state has encountered in its attempt to organise and control rural cooperatives. In particular, the article shows how ethnicity, age, and contrasting economic interests have undermined state efforts …
Ethno-regional demands, symbolic and redistributive politics
The role of the state in Africa in terms of resource allocation is generally linked to class politics and demands. Policy processes are shaped by powerful class factors, usually urban, which lead to a biased allocation of economic goods. Ethnicity and regional factors are not totally ignored but are often treated as epiphenomenal to the overall dynamics that determine who gets what, when and how. This study adopts a different reasoning. It sugges…
State Action and Class Interests in the Ivory Coast
The economic development and relative political stability of the Ivory Coast over the last three decades has attracted sharply contrasting views. The interpretations range from enthusiastic endorsements of the Ivory Coast as a model for other developing African countries to sharp criticisms of the liberal economic policies which the state has pursued. In the view of the World Bank, the economic accomplishments of the Ivory Coast illustrate how th…
Patrimonialism (neo) and the Kingdom of Swaziland
There is a growing recognition that the concept neopatrimonialism is deeply flawed. An emergent critical literature is highlighting its conceptual expansiveness and drift. Many authors within this literature are calling for the concept to be jettisoned altogether. This article, illustrating its central contentions with a case study of patrimonialism in the Kingdom of Swaziland, joins the chorus of critiques against the concept. Instead of entirel…
AI as a Tool for Surveillance
Modeling Trump’s Worldview with Algorithms
This paper presents the Trump Worldview Generative Model (TWGM). This theory-driven computational framework formalizes Donald J. Trump’s ontology of power as a system of three fixed priors: hierarchy, power, and transactionalism. Drawing on thinkers like Schmitt, Weber, Bourdieu, and related traditions, the model shows that Trump’s seemingly unpredictable behavior reflects a coherent, low-entropy worldview where power restores natural order. Usin…
There is No Pearl in this Zionist Oyster
This article exposes the pseudo-scientific foundation of Carles Boix’s recent American Political Science Review (APSR) publication on Zionism and Jewish national identity. He misapplies the regression discontinuity design (RDD) by treating a historically endogenous imperial border as exogenous, overlooking 59% of missing data, omitting necessary diagnostics, and overfitting with 21 covariates. He conflates a local treatment effect with the deep s…
The Silicon Sword Hanging Over China’s Head
A critical analysis of the Northern League's ideographical profiling
This essay takes an innovative approach in analysing the Northern League's populist ideology. The analytical focus is on the use of posters in its ideological construction of itself and ‘others’. An analysis of the league's posters is significant for three reasons. First, the league's rhetorical construction of the ‘other’ is integral to the development of its own identity. Posters are used to highlight the ‘imagined’ distinct aspects of northern…
Black Politics in the 80s
A conference on “Black Politics in the 80s was held June 11-12 at Antioch College in Yellow Springs, Ohio. Given the fact that American political life is typified by manipulation, administration and collective mass management, the topic could only be approached by focusing particular attention to the changing character of the Black elite: the disintegration of the traditional elite and the rise of a new one out of the civil rights movement. In or…
Fathers Work for Their Sons
State Action and Class Interests in the Ivory Coast
The economic development and relative political stability of the Ivory Coast over the last three decades has attracted sharply contrasting views. The interpretations range from enthusiastic endorsements of the Ivory Coast as a model for other developing African countries to sharp criticisms of the liberal economic policies which the state has pursued. In the view of the World Bank, the economic accomplishments of the Ivory Coast illustrate how th…
Ethno-regional demands, symbolic and redistributive politics
The role of the state in Africa in terms of resource allocation is generally linked to class politics and demands. Policy processes are shaped by powerful class factors, usually urban, which lead to a biased allocation of economic goods. Ethnicity and regional factors are not totally ignored but are often treated as epiphenomenal to the overall dynamics that determine who gets what, when and how. This study adopts a different reasoning. It sugges…
The Crisis of the Italian Party-State and the Rise of the Lombard League
Bossi's Lombard League (the Lombard League is the main component of the Northern League — the others are the Venetian League and the Autonomous Piedmont League) appeared on the political scene in 1985 garnering only 2.5 % of the votes. By 1991, however, the movement had won over 1796 of the votes in regional elections in Lombardy and 25.8 % in Brescia, a traditional stronghold of the Christian Democratic Party. In the April 1992 national election…
Civil Society in Europe and Africa
The concept of civil society has gained currency in African studies. It is used in a variety of different ways, but usually refers to the emergence of new patterns of political participation outside of formal state structures and one-party systems (Bratton 1989, 407). In the absence of capable state institutions, the literature on Africa has started to shift attention away from the state and governing elites, and towards social actors who are dev…
The centre no longer holds
The principal argument in this article is that the recent emergence of regional leagues in Italian politics is epiphenomenal to broader socio‐economic changes which have occurred in the country since the 1960s. The emergence of regional leagues are a reflection of the differentiation of Italian civil society from a centralised political authority ‐ mediated through parties ‐ and the development of regional and local units as centres of economic a…
Les ligues régionales en Italie
Regional leagues in Italy : the emergence of regional representation outside of traditional party politics The recent emergence of regional leagues in Italian politics is a reflection of the rise of populism in several Western European states. The spread of populist politics is linked to the crisis of their party Systems. In Italy, the recent emergence of regional populist leagues is reflective of the differentiation of Italian civil society from…
Elites, ethnicity, and 'home town' associations in the Côte d'Ivoire
The democratisation process which began in the early 1990s in many sub-Saharan African countries has led to renewed interest in the role of voluntary associations in the shaping of the political and social realms. This article maintains that the most effective way to understand the role of associational politics and developments in Africa is not by postulating what they should do according to Western democratic theory, but through an historical a…
Between Liberalism and Fascism
Franklin Hugh Adler, Italian Industrialists from Liberalism to Fascism: The Political Development of the Industrial Bourgeoisie, 1906-1934 (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1995), 458pp
The Crisis of Center-Periphery Integration in Italy and the Rise of Regional Populism
L'analyse structurelle des mouvements sociaux italiens identifie les facteurs objectifs qui ont produit les conditions de soudain developpement de la Ligue lombarde. La chute du systeme centre-peripherie de l'integration politique et sociale, jusqu'alors fortement utilise par le Parti Democrate Chretien, a cree des opportunites grâce auxquelles une nouvelle force sociale pouvait tenter de constituer un nouveau mouvement politique. De plus les cap…
The Politicization of Teachers' Associations in the Cote d'Ivoire
This article explores the role that teachers in the Cote d'Ivoire played in the democratization process in the early 1990s. More specifically, it looks at the socio-economic and ideological factors that placed teachers at the helm of the contestation movements that contributed to the end of nearly three decades of autocratic one-party rule. While this is a case study, its implications are, mutatis muntantis, more general. The principal argument d…
The crisis (collapse) of Italy's public enterprise system
The aim of this article is to analyze the relationship between Italy's mixed property ownership structure and the crisis of state‐owned enterprises. It does this by examining how the principal‐agent relationship was shaped by the Italian party system and its fragmenting effect on other Italian institutions. I argue that Italian political parties shaped the principal‐agent dynamic of state‐owned enterprises in ways that undermined their economic p…
The politics of organising the countryside
This article first explores the manner in which the colonial and postcolonial state in Côte d'Ivoire has sought to develop and animate rural cooperatives as a means of effecting change in the countryside. It then examines the local realities that the state has encountered in its attempt to organise and control rural cooperatives. In particular, the article shows how ethnicity, age, and contrasting economic interests have undermined state efforts …
Globalisation, workers and the northern league
This article seeks to explain why the Northern League's main basis of support now comes primarily from Northern workers and artisans. To explain the nature of the League's support, we hypothesise that a fear of globalisation has led workers in the north to vote for the party that has put the greatest emphasis on the protection of local identities. We analyse survey data to document the affect globalisation has on the voting patterns of Northern w…
African Economies and the Politics of Permanent Crisis, 1979-1999
Bringing Geography Back In
This essay focuses on how we can account for the gap between rich and poor nations. The literature is organized under two subsuming analytical categories: space (geographical environment) and culture. At issue is the primacy of environmental factors versus culture in explaining the development of civilizations and their divergence. If geographical environment is primary, then development is determined by natural endowments and constraints. If cul…
The tragedy of the cocoa pod
Many people have been surprised by the eruption of ethnic conflict and civil war in Ivory Coast. The country had gained a reputation as a relatively stable and economically prosperous agricultural republic in a region known for ethnic conflict, economic decline and civil war. The underlying factors that have led to the ethnic violence, the flight of immigrants from neighbouring countries, and the division of the country into a predominantly Musli…
Predatory elites, rents and cocoa
This article explores the way in which the cocoa sector shaped the rent-seeking behaviour of ruling elites and rural producers in Ghana and Ivory Coast. Analysis of their rent-seeking behaviour is done in two different contexts. The first context is a boom period in which the exploitation of the rent generated from cocoa production leads elites and rural producers to pursue specific investment and allocation strategies. The other context is the b…
Latitude or rectitude
Two different bodies of literature that have sought to understand the ‘deep determinants’ behind the gap between rich and poor nations are examined. One body of literature highlights the significance of geography as a key analytical concept in understanding both the spatial and environmental aspects that effect economic development. The other body of literature underlines the central role of institutions in accounting for the divide between rich …
What About Us? The Anglo-Caribbean Democratic Experience
This article contributes to the sparse literature on democratic regimes in the Caribbean by examining the emergence and persistence of Anglo-Caribbean democracies. British colonialism, not socio-economic modernisation, explains the origins of the democratic institutions of Anglo-Caribbean states. British colonial heritage, however, fails to explain why these democracies have persisted, in contrast to the experience of other former British colonie…
The Exogenous Effect of Geography on Economic Development
Th is article examines the relevance of geography and climate in the economic development and underdevelopment of Sub-Saharan African countries. We conceptualize geography and climate as exogenous factors determining a country’s overall economic welfare. By employing the newly compiled G-econ dataset with a better measurement of geography, we found that, even controlling for institutional and social factors, geography plays a substantial role in …
Pockets of resistance to globalization
From its inception, the Lega Nord has been a populist social and political movement obsessed with the Other. In the world-view of the Lega Nord, the Other is anything that threatens the cultural and regional identity of Italians in the northern part of the country, particularly the Northeast. In the early 1990s the Other was constituted by corrupt politicians in Rome, Italian economic monopolies and southern Italians. By the late 1990s the Other …
The Attitudes of the Chinese Middle Class Towards Democracy
A critical analysis of the Northern League's ideographical profiling
This essay takes an innovative approach in analysing the Northern League's populist ideology. The analytical focus is on the use of posters in its ideological construction of itself and ‘others’. An analysis of the league's posters is significant for three reasons. First, the league's rhetorical construction of the ‘other’ is integral to the development of its own identity. Posters are used to highlight the ‘imagined’ distinct aspects of northern…
Political science (42 obras) · Law (35 obras) · Politics (34 obras) · Law (29 obras) · Economics (27 obras) · Sociology (27 obras) · Political economy (19 obras) · Development economics (11 obras) · Philosophy (11 obras) · Philosophy (11 obras)