Phillip A Braun
Biographic Data
| ID | 11040126 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Phillip A Braun |
| GIVEN NAMES | Phillip A |
| FAMILY NAME | Braun |
| SIGNATURE | BRAUN P A |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 1 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 2 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 1 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1992 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1992 |
| H-INDEX | 1 |
A case study of expert judgment
In this case study of economists' forecasts concerning economic downturn, we examine key issues concerning the psychology of prediction and the controversy surrounding the value of expertise in forecasting. We examine when experts' knowledge promotes forecast accuracy and whether biases found in psychological studies (including underutilization of relevant base rates and tendencies to extreme prediction) occur in these economic forecasts. Experts…
A case study of expert judgment
In this case study of economists' forecasts concerning economic downturn, we examine key issues concerning the psychology of prediction and the controversy surrounding the value of expertise in forecasting. We examine when experts' knowledge promotes forecast accuracy and whether biases found in psychological studies (including underutilization of relevant base rates and tendencies to extreme prediction) occur in these economic forecasts. Experts…
A case study of expert judgment
In this case study of economists' forecasts concerning economic downturn, we examine key issues concerning the psychology of prediction and the controversy surrounding the value of expertise in forecasting. We examine when experts' knowledge promotes forecast accuracy and whether biases found in psychological studies (including underutilization of relevant base rates and tendencies to extreme prediction) occur in these economic forecasts. Experts…
Actuarial science (1 works) · Base (topology (1 works) · Computer Science (1 works) · Consensus forecast (1 works) · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics (1 works) · Econometrics (1 works) · Economic forecasting (1 works) · Economics (1 works) · Forecasting Techniques and Applications (1 works) · Machine learning (1 works)