Allan J Lichtman
Biographic Data
| ID | 1104424 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Allan J Lichtman |
| GIVEN NAMES | Allan J |
| FAMILY NAME | Lichtman |
| SIGNATURE | LICHTMAN A J |
| AFFILIATIONS | American University |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 28 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 21 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 28 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1969 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2021 |
| H-INDEX | 3 |
Thirteen Cracks
For a clear-eyed look at the state of US democracy, read the book by Allan Lichtman that Foreword says "takes a welcome nonpartisan, straightforward approach"America’s founders feared a president like Donald Trump. Through the Constitution and the Bill of Rights, they erected a fortified but constrained government to secure the benchmarks of our democracy and established the guardrails designed to protect it. But Trump pushed almost every one of …
Disenfranchising Democracy
He drew a circle that shut me out ... We drew a circle and took him In!” These lines from Edwin Markham's iconic 1915 poem “Outwitted” capture the central thesis of this insightful book: that competing groups in democracies draw and redraw circles of exclusion and inclusion that define political communities and transform “the social foundations of the state” (p. xi). This process of “people-making” has “the potential of fragmenting any existing u…
The Political Power of Protest
The Keys to the White House, 1996
In this book prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or keys (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections
The Thirteen Keys to the Presidency
Journal Article The Thirteen Keys to the Presidency. By Allan J. Lichtman and Ken DeCell. (Lanham: Madison, 1990. xiv + 449 pp. $24.95.) Get access Joel H. Silbey Joel H. Silbey Cornell University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 78, Issue 1, June 1991, Pages 334–335, https://doi.org/10.2307/2078169 Published: 01 June 1991
The Thirteen Keys to the Presidency
The revolutionary system that reveals how presidential elections really work from the civil war to the 21st century. As controversial as it is compelling this book fundamentally alters our understanding of presidential politics
Continuity and Change in Electoral Politics, 1893-1928
Journal Article Continuity and Change in Electoral Politics, 1893–1928. By Paul Kleppner. (Westport: Greenwood, 1987. xvii + 263 pp. $35.00.) Get access Allan J. Lichtman Allan J. Lichtman American University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 75, Issue 2, September 1988, Pages 642–643, https://doi.org/10.2307/1887951 Published: 01 September 1988
Geography as Destiny
Clio and the Bitch Goddess
Interpreting Elections
Journal Article Interpreting Elections. By Stanley Kelley, Jr. (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1983. xv + 267 pp. Charts, tables, appendixes, notes, and index. Cloth, $27.50; paper, $8.95.) Get access Allan J. Lichtman Allan J. Lichtman American University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 71, Issue 1, June 1984, Pages 102–103, https://doi.org/10.2307/1899837 Publi…
New Political History
In the Spring, 1981, number of Social Science History, William \nG. Shade defended the "ethnocultural" historians' conclusions and \noffered some general methodological advice to political historians. \nExamining his five-part argument point by point, we find his analysis \nof the issues muddled, his "tests" of the robustness of the \nethnoculturalists' results misconceived and inconclusive, and his \nspecific prescriptions for future historians …
New Political History”
William G. Shade’s (1981) “New Political History: Some Statistical Questions Raised” has two sometimes conflicting purposes: first, to remind historians to “think statistically” and to “give more self-conscious attention to the details and logic of research design,” and second, to defend such ethnocultural historians as Ronald P. Formisano and Paul Kleppner against published criticisms. Too often confusing the former with the latter aim, Shade at…
Representative Democracy
extends the methods and interests of the new school of political historians to the shaping of public policy in three late nineteenth-century midwestern state legislatures-Illinois, Iowa, and Wisconsin.Although his principal focus is on legislators rather than voters, Campbell describes a political system which shares many of the characteristics delineated in recent studies of popular voting behavior in the Middle West in the last one-third of the…
Who Voted? The Dynamics of Electoral Turnout, 1870-1980
Journal Article Who Voted? The Dynamics of Electoral Turnout, 1870–1980. By Paul Kleppner. (New York: Praeger, 1982. xiii + 238 pp. Tables, appendix, notes, bibliography, and index. $26.95.) Get access Allan J. Lichtman Allan J. Lichtman American University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 70, Issue 3, December 1983, Pages 644–645, https://doi.org/10.2307/1903502 Publishe…
Political Realignment and 'Ethnocultural' Voting in Late Nineteenth Century America
Modeling the past
The end of realignment theory? Toward a new research program for American political history
Prejudice and the Old Politics
Chapter 1 Prologue: Al Smith versus Herbert Hoover Chapter 2 Introduction: Interpretations and Revisions Chapter 3 Catholics versus Protestants Chapter 4 Wets versus Drys Chapter 5 Immigrants versus Natives Chapter 6 City versus Country Chapter 7 Blacks versus Whites and Men versus Women Chapter 8 Economic Issues Chapter 9 Change and Continuity in Presidential Politics, 1916-1940 Chapter 10 Conclusions Chapter 11 Statistical Discussions Chapter 1…
Kin and Communities
Deja Vu; Or, Back to the Drawing Board with Alfred E. Smith
Prejudice and the Old Politics, The Presidential Election of 1928
Prejudice and the Old Politics
Prejudice and the Old Politics
Journal Article Prejudice and the Old Politics: The Presidential Election of 1928. By Allan J. Lictman. (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1979. xiii + 366 pp. Chart, tables, appendixes, notes, bibliography, and index. $20.00.) Get access Jerome M. Clubb Jerome M. Clubb University of Michigan Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 67, Issue 3, December 1980, Page…
Ecological Inference
Ecological Inference
This paper considers the possible effects of making inferences about individuals from aggregate data. It assumes a knowledge of regression analysis, and explores the utility of techniques designed to make the inferences in causal modelling more reliable, including a comparison between ecological regression models and ecological correlation
Correlation, Regression, and the Ecological Fallacy
Correlation, Regression, and the Ecological Fallacy: A Critique Frequently, historians interested in quantitatively describing the behavior of individuals have access only to information that pertains to groups. An American polititical historian, for example, studying the Presidential election of 1928, may know the voting records of counties and wards, but not of the individuals who comprise these units. He is thus confronted with the task of dis…
Who Voted? The Dynamics of Electoral Turnout, 1870-1980
Journal Article Who Voted? The Dynamics of Electoral Turnout, 1870–1980. By Paul Kleppner. (New York: Praeger, 1982. xiii + 238 pp. Tables, appendix, notes, bibliography, and index. $26.95.) Get access Allan J. Lichtman Allan J. Lichtman American University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 70, Issue 3, December 1983, Pages 644–645, https://doi.org/10.2307/1903502 Publishe…
The end of realignment theory? Toward a new research program for American political history
Political Realignment and 'Ethnocultural' Voting in Late Nineteenth Century America
The Federal Assault Against Voting Discrimination in the Deep South
New Political History
In the Spring, 1981, number of Social Science History, William \nG. Shade defended the "ethnocultural" historians' conclusions and \noffered some general methodological advice to political historians. \nExamining his five-part argument point by point, we find his analysis \nof the issues muddled, his "tests" of the robustness of the \nethnoculturalists' results misconceived and inconclusive, and his \nspecific prescriptions for future historians …
Modeling the past
The Federal Assault Against Voting Discrimination in the Deep South
Correlation, Regression, and the Ecological Fallacy
Correlation, Regression, and the Ecological Fallacy: A Critique Frequently, historians interested in quantitatively describing the behavior of individuals have access only to information that pertains to groups. An American polititical historian, for example, studying the Presidential election of 1928, may know the voting records of counties and wards, but not of the individuals who comprise these units. He is thus confronted with the task of dis…
Ecological Inference
This paper considers the possible effects of making inferences about individuals from aggregate data. It assumes a knowledge of regression analysis, and explores the utility of techniques designed to make the inferences in causal modelling more reliable, including a comparison between ecological regression models and ecological correlation
Ecological Regression versus Homogeneous Units
Ecological Inference
Deja Vu; Or, Back to the Drawing Board with Alfred E. Smith
Prejudice and the Old Politics, The Presidential Election of 1928
Prejudice and the Old Politics
Prejudice and the Old Politics
Journal Article Prejudice and the Old Politics: The Presidential Election of 1928. By Allan J. Lictman. (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1979. xiii + 366 pp. Chart, tables, appendixes, notes, bibliography, and index. $20.00.) Get access Jerome M. Clubb Jerome M. Clubb University of Michigan Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 67, Issue 3, December 1980, Page…
Prejudice and the Old Politics
Chapter 1 Prologue: Al Smith versus Herbert Hoover Chapter 2 Introduction: Interpretations and Revisions Chapter 3 Catholics versus Protestants Chapter 4 Wets versus Drys Chapter 5 Immigrants versus Natives Chapter 6 City versus Country Chapter 7 Blacks versus Whites and Men versus Women Chapter 8 Economic Issues Chapter 9 Change and Continuity in Presidential Politics, 1916-1940 Chapter 10 Conclusions Chapter 11 Statistical Discussions Chapter 1…
Kin and Communities
The end of realignment theory? Toward a new research program for American political history
New Political History
In the Spring, 1981, number of Social Science History, William \nG. Shade defended the "ethnocultural" historians' conclusions and \noffered some general methodological advice to political historians. \nExamining his five-part argument point by point, we find his analysis \nof the issues muddled, his "tests" of the robustness of the \nethnoculturalists' results misconceived and inconclusive, and his \nspecific prescriptions for future historians …
New Political History”
William G. Shade’s (1981) “New Political History: Some Statistical Questions Raised” has two sometimes conflicting purposes: first, to remind historians to “think statistically” and to “give more self-conscious attention to the details and logic of research design,” and second, to defend such ethnocultural historians as Ronald P. Formisano and Paul Kleppner against published criticisms. Too often confusing the former with the latter aim, Shade at…
Representative Democracy
extends the methods and interests of the new school of political historians to the shaping of public policy in three late nineteenth-century midwestern state legislatures-Illinois, Iowa, and Wisconsin.Although his principal focus is on legislators rather than voters, Campbell describes a political system which shares many of the characteristics delineated in recent studies of popular voting behavior in the Middle West in the last one-third of the…
Who Voted? The Dynamics of Electoral Turnout, 1870-1980
Journal Article Who Voted? The Dynamics of Electoral Turnout, 1870–1980. By Paul Kleppner. (New York: Praeger, 1982. xiii + 238 pp. Tables, appendix, notes, bibliography, and index. $26.95.) Get access Allan J. Lichtman Allan J. Lichtman American University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 70, Issue 3, December 1983, Pages 644–645, https://doi.org/10.2307/1903502 Publishe…
Political Realignment and 'Ethnocultural' Voting in Late Nineteenth Century America
Modeling the past
Interpreting Elections
Journal Article Interpreting Elections. By Stanley Kelley, Jr. (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1983. xv + 267 pp. Charts, tables, appendixes, notes, and index. Cloth, $27.50; paper, $8.95.) Get access Allan J. Lichtman Allan J. Lichtman American University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 71, Issue 1, June 1984, Pages 102–103, https://doi.org/10.2307/1899837 Publi…
Geography as Destiny
Clio and the Bitch Goddess
Continuity and Change in Electoral Politics, 1893-1928
Journal Article Continuity and Change in Electoral Politics, 1893–1928. By Paul Kleppner. (Westport: Greenwood, 1987. xvii + 263 pp. $35.00.) Get access Allan J. Lichtman Allan J. Lichtman American University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 75, Issue 2, September 1988, Pages 642–643, https://doi.org/10.2307/1887951 Published: 01 September 1988
The Thirteen Keys to the Presidency
Journal Article The Thirteen Keys to the Presidency. By Allan J. Lichtman and Ken DeCell. (Lanham: Madison, 1990. xiv + 449 pp. $24.95.) Get access Joel H. Silbey Joel H. Silbey Cornell University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 78, Issue 1, June 1991, Pages 334–335, https://doi.org/10.2307/2078169 Published: 01 June 1991
The Thirteen Keys to the Presidency
The revolutionary system that reveals how presidential elections really work from the civil war to the 21st century. As controversial as it is compelling this book fundamentally alters our understanding of presidential politics
The Keys to the White House, 1996
In this book prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or keys (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections
Political science (18 works) · Law (17 works) · Politics (17 works) · American Constitutional Law and Politics (13 works) · Law (13 works) · History (11 works) · Computer Science (10 works) · History (9 works) · Sociology (8 works) · Political economy (6 works)