Tomila V Lankina
Biographic Data
| ID | 1241231 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Tomila V Lankina |
| GIVEN NAMES | Tomila V |
| FAMILY NAME | Lankina |
| SIGNATURE | LANKINA T V |
| AFFILIATIONS | London School of Economics and Political Science |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-8303-1747 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 30 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 472 |
| WORKS AS AUTHOR | 30 |
| WORKS AS EDITOR | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1996 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 14 |
State violence and target group adaptation
How does state-led repression targeting communities influence the social reproduction of victimized groups? Although several excellent studies have explored the sociopolitical consequences of a broad set of conflict-trauma legacies, notably, communal, religious and kinship drivers of responses to state violence, few researchers have explored the mechanisms of social status preservation under violence. The omission of class and social status from …
Response to Comments on Estate Origins of Democracy in Russia
I would like to offer heartfelt thanks to Professors Stephen Hanson, Egor Lazarev, Bryn Rosenfeld, and Gulnaz Sharafutdinova for taking the time to read the book carefully and for offering their thoughtful comments and critique. I am also grateful to the editors of Nationalities Papers for providing a forum for and facilitating the symposium
Branching out or inwards? The logic of fractals in Russian studies
This essay reflects upon the consequences of Russia's war against Ukraine on the sub-field of Russian studies in political science. I argue that the war has exposed some blind spots in our knowledge. Notably, it has left us struggling to understand the historically deprived communities in Russia whose values, sentiments, and vulnerabilities may be indirect buttresses to both support for Putin and the war. I discuss two key issues in the sub-field…
The Estate Origins of Democracy in Russia
A devastating challenge to the idea of communism as a 'great leveller', this extraordinarily original, rigorous, and ambitious book debunks Marxism-inspired accounts of its equalitarian consequences. It is the first study systematically to link the genesis of the 'bourgeoisie-cum-middle class' – Imperial, Soviet, and post-communist – to Tzarist estate institutions which distinguished between nobility, clergy, the urban merchants and meshchane, an…
The Two-Pronged Middle Class
We contribute to research on the democratic role of middle classes. Our paper distinguishes between middle classes emerging autonomously during gradual capitalist development and those fabricated rapidly as part of state-led modernization. To make the case for a conceptual distinction between these groups within one national setting, we employ author-assembled historical district data, survey, and archival materials for pre-Revolutionary Russia a…
Electoral Protests and Political Attitudes under Electoral Authoritarianism
Do opposition protests affect citizens' attitudes in electoral autocracies? While existing research expects that as protests unfold in illiberal regimes support for the protesters will increase, there are only a few empirical tests of this hypothesis. Combining an original author-assembled protest event data set with two nationally representative public opinion surveys that were in the field during the 2011–12 electoral protests in Russia, we exa…
Protest in electoral autocracies
A growing literature explores the causes and consequences of dramatic political protests in autocracies. Yet, we know comparatively little about other forms of protests in these regimes. The Lankina Russian Protest-Event Dataset (LAruPED) facilitates the investigation of protest in Russia, a classic example of an electoral authoritarian regime. The data, which are human-coded, identify, in wave one, protests across Russia from March 2007 until 20…
Soviet Legacies of Economic Development, Oligarchic Rule, and Electoral Quality in Eastern Europe's Partial Democracies
Can economic development retard democracy, defying expectations of classic modernization theorizing? If so, under what conditions? Our article addresses the puzzle of poor democratic performance in highly urbanized and industrialized postcommunist states. We assembled an original dataset with data from Ukraine's local and national elections and constructed district- ( rayon ) and region- ( oblast ) level indices of electoral quality. Regions and …
Russian Spring’ or ‘Spring Betrayal’? The Media as a Mirror of Putin’s Evolving Strategy in Ukraine
We develop a novel Russian-language electronic content analysis dictionary and method to analyse Russian state media’s framing of the Euromaidan protests. We find that around the time of Crimea’s annexation, the Kremlin-controlled media projected media narratives of protests as chaos and disorder along with legalistic jargon about the status of ethnic Russians and federalisation, only to abandon this strategy by the end of April 2014. The shift i…
Fabricating votes for Putin
We extend the “fraud forensics” research to systematically explain precinct-level and regional variations in electoral manipulations in Russia’s March 2012 presidential election. Parametric last-digit frequency tests (a multivariate extension of last-digit tests) are employed to analyze fraud heterogeneity during the vote count stage. We also utilize author-assembled data harvested from the election monitoring non-governmental organization Golos’…
Regional protest and electoral fraud
Does electoral fraud encourage post-electoral protests? To explore the likelihood that citizens would pick up on electoral irregularities perpetrated in their region and engage in post-electoral protest we analyse regional protest event data and voting results for 95,415 precincts in Russia's 2012 presidential elections. We find that regional fraud is associated with post-electoral sub-national protests. Our analysis has important theoretical and…
Appropriation and Subversion
Twenty-five years after the collapse of communism in Europe, few scholars disagree that the past continues to shape the democratic trajectories of postcommunist states. Precommunist education has featured prominently in this literature’s bundle of “good” legacies because it ostensibly helped foster resistance to communism. The authors propose a differentcausal mechanism—appropriation and subversion—that challenges the linearity of the above assum…
Authoritarian and Democratic Diffusion in Post-Communist Regions
There is a rich body of theorizing on the diffusion of democracy across space and time. There is also an emerging scholarship on authoritarian diffusion. The dynamics of the interaction between external democratic and autocratic diffusion processes and their effects on national and sub-national political regime outcomes have received scant attention in the literature. Do democratic diffusion processes help counter external authoritarian influence…
The Dynamics of Regional and National Contentious Politics in Russia
The paper analyzes the regional dimension of Russia’s protests and its links to recent nationwide contentious politics based on an analysis of an author-constructed protest dataset for the period 2007-2012. The data indicate high levels of civic activism and a growing trend of the politicization of the Russian citizenry. Nevertheless, the analysis also points to the spatially and temporally uneven nature of protests. Drawing on scholarship on pol…
New Data on Protest Trends in Russia's Regions
Large-scale social and political protest has characterised political development in a number of post-communist and other transition countries over the last two decades. The colour revolutions in Ky
Competitive Religious Entrepreneurs
This article explores the influence of Protestant missionaries on male–female educational inequalities in colonial India. Causal mechanisms drawn from the sociology and economics of religion highlight the importance of religious competition for the provision of public goods. Competition between religious and secular groups spurred missionaries to play a key role in the development of mass female schooling. A case study of Kerala illustrates this.…
Unbroken Links? From Imperial Human Capital to Post-Communist Modernisation
The article explores imperial human capital affects on current human capital and democracy variations in Russia's regions based on author-constructed datasets with imperial and post-communist statistics. Pre-communist education is a significant predictor of modernisation, which in studies of Russian regions explains a large share of regional democratic variation. Pre-communist education also apparently positively affects post-communist democracy.…
Mission or Empire, Word or Sword? The Human Capital Legacy in Postcolonial Democratic Development
Why are some former colonies more democratic than others? The British Empire has been singled out in the debates on colonialism for its benign influence on democracy. Much of this scholarship has focused on colonialism's institutional legacies; has neglected to distinguish among the actors associated with colonialism; and has been nation‐state focused. Our subnational approach allows us to isolate the democracy effects of key actors operating in …
Religious Influences on Human Capital Variations in Imperial Russia
Historical legacies, particularly imperial tutelage and religion, have featured prominently in recent scholarship on political regime variations in post-communist settings, challenging earlier temporally proximate explanations. The overlap between tutelage, geography, and religion has complicated the uncovering of the spatially uneven effects of the various legacies. The author addresses this challenge by conducting sub-national analysis of relig…
The House of Lords
This article investigates the working of the 1999 Act of Parliament in relation to the electoral process. One of the more controversial measures in the 1999 Act was the preservation of the representation of the hereditary element in the House of Lords. In the 2007‐2008 session of Parliament, Lord Avebury introduced the House of Lords (Amendment) Bill, to repeal this electoral process, and Lord (David) Steel of Aikwood introduced the House of Lord…
Regional Developments in Russia
The article surveys Russia's regional and centre-periphery developments and their wider implications for the country's political, economic, and territorial future. In particular, it discusses President Putin's federalism and local government interventions and takes stock of the outcome of these and other relevant federal initiatives. The paper also discusses the broader implications of authoritarian state-building for the country's social, econom…
Local Governance in Central and Eastern Europe
This book examines local government performance in key areas of social services and economic promotion in eight towns in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia. It dispels the myth that socio
Local governance in Central and Eastern Europe
After decades of central planning, decentralization has been made a centrepiece of political reforms in post-communist states. Despite all the normative hype and rhetoric, we still know very little about the impact of decentralization on local populations. This study, which examines local social services and economic promotion in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, fills this important gap. It shifts the focus of much of the literatur…
The Virtuous Circles of Western Exposure in Russian Regions
Exposure to democratic values has been regarded as a significant factor in the diffusion of democracy, and has also been linked through conditionality to assistance from Western agencies. Diffusion and the targeting of such assistance in a country of the size of Russia is likely to be uneven, however, implying uneven effects, as public authorities, private businesses and the broader citizenry are exposed to varying levels of influence according t…
Authoritarian Versus Democratic Diffusions
Two political scientists address questions posed by the puzzling survival of the institution of elected city mayors in Russia despite the efforts of the national government to abolish it. Based on datasets not only of local government reforms across all the regions but also of the regional component of European Union aid, statistical analysis is used to challenge dominant approaches to democratic institution building and diffusion theories are ap…
Authoritarian and Democratic Diffusion in Post-Communist Regions
There is a rich body of theorizing on the diffusion of democracy across space and time. There is also an emerging scholarship on authoritarian diffusion. The dynamics of the interaction between external democratic and autocratic diffusion processes and their effects on national and sub-national political regime outcomes have received scant attention in the literature. Do democratic diffusion processes help counter external authoritarian influence…
A Geographic Incremental Theory of Democratization
The article examines the impact of geographical proximity to the West and of Western aid on democracy in Russia's regions and advances ageographic incrementalisttheory of democratization. Even when national politicians exhibit authoritarian tendencies, diffusion processes and targeted foreign aid help advance democratization at the subnational level in postcommunist states and other settings. The authors make this case by conducting process-traci…
Mission or Empire, Word or Sword? The Human Capital Legacy in Postcolonial Democratic Development
Why are some former colonies more democratic than others? The British Empire has been singled out in the debates on colonialism for its benign influence on democracy. Much of this scholarship has focused on colonialism's institutional legacies; has neglected to distinguish among the actors associated with colonialism; and has been nation‐state focused. Our subnational approach allows us to isolate the democracy effects of key actors operating in …
Appropriation and Subversion
Twenty-five years after the collapse of communism in Europe, few scholars disagree that the past continues to shape the democratic trajectories of postcommunist states. Precommunist education has featured prominently in this literature’s bundle of “good” legacies because it ostensibly helped foster resistance to communism. The authors propose a differentcausal mechanism—appropriation and subversion—that challenges the linearity of the above assum…
Authoritarian Versus Democratic Diffusions
Two political scientists address questions posed by the puzzling survival of the institution of elected city mayors in Russia despite the efforts of the national government to abolish it. Based on datasets not only of local government reforms across all the regions but also of the regional component of European Union aid, statistical analysis is used to challenge dominant approaches to democratic institution building and diffusion theories are ap…
Electoral Protests and Political Attitudes under Electoral Authoritarianism
Do opposition protests affect citizens' attitudes in electoral autocracies? While existing research expects that as protests unfold in illiberal regimes support for the protesters will increase, there are only a few empirical tests of this hypothesis. Combining an original author-assembled protest event data set with two nationally representative public opinion surveys that were in the field during the 2011–12 electoral protests in Russia, we exa…
Russian Spring’ or ‘Spring Betrayal’? The Media as a Mirror of Putin’s Evolving Strategy in Ukraine
We develop a novel Russian-language electronic content analysis dictionary and method to analyse Russian state media’s framing of the Euromaidan protests. We find that around the time of Crimea’s annexation, the Kremlin-controlled media projected media narratives of protests as chaos and disorder along with legalistic jargon about the status of ethnic Russians and federalisation, only to abandon this strategy by the end of April 2014. The shift i…
The Dynamics of Regional and National Contentious Politics in Russia
The paper analyzes the regional dimension of Russia’s protests and its links to recent nationwide contentious politics based on an analysis of an author-constructed protest dataset for the period 2007-2012. The data indicate high levels of civic activism and a growing trend of the politicization of the Russian citizenry. Nevertheless, the analysis also points to the spatially and temporally uneven nature of protests. Drawing on scholarship on pol…
New Data on Protest Trends in Russia's Regions
Large-scale social and political protest has characterised political development in a number of post-communist and other transition countries over the last two decades. The colour revolutions in Ky
Competitive Religious Entrepreneurs
This article explores the influence of Protestant missionaries on male–female educational inequalities in colonial India. Causal mechanisms drawn from the sociology and economics of religion highlight the importance of religious competition for the provision of public goods. Competition between religious and secular groups spurred missionaries to play a key role in the development of mass female schooling. A case study of Kerala illustrates this.…
Protest in electoral autocracies
A growing literature explores the causes and consequences of dramatic political protests in autocracies. Yet, we know comparatively little about other forms of protests in these regimes. The Lankina Russian Protest-Event Dataset (LAruPED) facilitates the investigation of protest in Russia, a classic example of an electoral authoritarian regime. The data, which are human-coded, identify, in wave one, protests across Russia from March 2007 until 20…
Regional protest and electoral fraud
Does electoral fraud encourage post-electoral protests? To explore the likelihood that citizens would pick up on electoral irregularities perpetrated in their region and engage in post-electoral protest we analyse regional protest event data and voting results for 95,415 precincts in Russia's 2012 presidential elections. We find that regional fraud is associated with post-electoral sub-national protests. Our analysis has important theoretical and…
Fabricating votes for Putin
We extend the “fraud forensics” research to systematically explain precinct-level and regional variations in electoral manipulations in Russia’s March 2012 presidential election. Parametric last-digit frequency tests (a multivariate extension of last-digit tests) are employed to analyze fraud heterogeneity during the vote count stage. We also utilize author-assembled data harvested from the election monitoring non-governmental organization Golos’…
The Two-Pronged Middle Class
We contribute to research on the democratic role of middle classes. Our paper distinguishes between middle classes emerging autonomously during gradual capitalist development and those fabricated rapidly as part of state-led modernization. To make the case for a conceptual distinction between these groups within one national setting, we employ author-assembled historical district data, survey, and archival materials for pre-Revolutionary Russia a…
Branching out or inwards? The logic of fractals in Russian studies
This essay reflects upon the consequences of Russia's war against Ukraine on the sub-field of Russian studies in political science. I argue that the war has exposed some blind spots in our knowledge. Notably, it has left us struggling to understand the historically deprived communities in Russia whose values, sentiments, and vulnerabilities may be indirect buttresses to both support for Putin and the war. I discuss two key issues in the sub-field…
Soviet Legacies of Economic Development, Oligarchic Rule, and Electoral Quality in Eastern Europe's Partial Democracies
Can economic development retard democracy, defying expectations of classic modernization theorizing? If so, under what conditions? Our article addresses the puzzle of poor democratic performance in highly urbanized and industrialized postcommunist states. We assembled an original dataset with data from Ukraine's local and national elections and constructed district- ( rayon ) and region- ( oblast ) level indices of electoral quality. Regions and …
Unbroken Links? From Imperial Human Capital to Post-Communist Modernisation
The article explores imperial human capital affects on current human capital and democracy variations in Russia's regions based on author-constructed datasets with imperial and post-communist statistics. Pre-communist education is a significant predictor of modernisation, which in studies of Russian regions explains a large share of regional democratic variation. Pre-communist education also apparently positively affects post-communist democracy.…
Explaining European Union Aid to Russia
An expert on local government in Russia analyzes patterns of aid allocation that are a key component defining the relationship between the EU and Russia. In an analysis of donor intentions and choices based on a dataset of all EU projects conducted in Russia's regions during 1991–2005, as well as interviews with EU and Russian officials involved in EU-funded projects and key EU policy and strategy papers, the roles that democratic performance and…
The Virtuous Circles of Western Exposure in Russian Regions
Exposure to democratic values has been regarded as a significant factor in the diffusion of democracy, and has also been linked through conditionality to assistance from Western agencies. Diffusion and the targeting of such assistance in a country of the size of Russia is likely to be uneven, however, implying uneven effects, as public authorities, private businesses and the broader citizenry are exposed to varying levels of influence according t…
Regional Developments in Russia
The article surveys Russia's regional and centre-periphery developments and their wider implications for the country's political, economic, and territorial future. In particular, it discusses President Putin's federalism and local government interventions and takes stock of the outcome of these and other relevant federal initiatives. The paper also discusses the broader implications of authoritarian state-building for the country's social, econom…
Local Administration and Ethno-social Consensus in Russia
(2002). Local Administration and Ethno-social Consensus in Russia. Europe-Asia Studies: Vol. 54, No. 7, pp. 1037-1053
The Cossacks
Russia's policy towards the Cossacks may prove detrimental to the development of federalism in Russia. Their rehabilitation is important for the rebirth of Russian culture. Yet, the Cossacks as a social-military institution, may further harm the relations between ethnic Russians and non-Russians in the Caucasus, which may revive the dispute over the preservation of the ethnic principle in Russia's federalism
Religious Influences on Human Capital Variations in Imperial Russia
Historical legacies, particularly imperial tutelage and religion, have featured prominently in recent scholarship on political regime variations in post-communist settings, challenging earlier temporally proximate explanations. The overlap between tutelage, geography, and religion has complicated the uncovering of the spatially uneven effects of the various legacies. The author addresses this challenge by conducting sub-national analysis of relig…
The Cossacks
Russia's policy towards the Cossacks may prove detrimental to the development of federalism in Russia. Their rehabilitation is important for the rebirth of Russian culture. Yet, the Cossacks as a social-military institution, may further harm the relations between ethnic Russians and non-Russians in the Caucasus, which may revive the dispute over the preservation of the ethnic principle in Russia's federalism
Local Administration and Ethno-social Consensus in Russia
(2002). Local Administration and Ethno-social Consensus in Russia. Europe-Asia Studies: Vol. 54, No. 7, pp. 1037-1053
Explaining European Union Aid to Russia
An expert on local government in Russia analyzes patterns of aid allocation that are a key component defining the relationship between the EU and Russia. In an analysis of donor intentions and choices based on a dataset of all EU projects conducted in Russia's regions during 1991–2005, as well as interviews with EU and Russian officials involved in EU-funded projects and key EU policy and strategy papers, the roles that democratic performance and…
A Geographic Incremental Theory of Democratization
The article examines the impact of geographical proximity to the West and of Western aid on democracy in Russia's regions and advances ageographic incrementalisttheory of democratization. Even when national politicians exhibit authoritarian tendencies, diffusion processes and targeted foreign aid help advance democratization at the subnational level in postcommunist states and other settings. The authors make this case by conducting process-traci…
Political Diffusions under the Conditions of a Spatially Mixed Regime
Local Governance in Central and Eastern Europe
This book examines local government performance in key areas of social services and economic promotion in eight towns in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia. It dispels the myth that socio
Local governance in Central and Eastern Europe
After decades of central planning, decentralization has been made a centrepiece of political reforms in post-communist states. Despite all the normative hype and rhetoric, we still know very little about the impact of decentralization on local populations. This study, which examines local social services and economic promotion in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia, fills this important gap. It shifts the focus of much of the literatur…
The Virtuous Circles of Western Exposure in Russian Regions
Exposure to democratic values has been regarded as a significant factor in the diffusion of democracy, and has also been linked through conditionality to assistance from Western agencies. Diffusion and the targeting of such assistance in a country of the size of Russia is likely to be uneven, however, implying uneven effects, as public authorities, private businesses and the broader citizenry are exposed to varying levels of influence according t…
Authoritarian Versus Democratic Diffusions
Two political scientists address questions posed by the puzzling survival of the institution of elected city mayors in Russia despite the efforts of the national government to abolish it. Based on datasets not only of local government reforms across all the regions but also of the regional component of European Union aid, statistical analysis is used to challenge dominant approaches to democratic institution building and diffusion theories are ap…
The House of Lords
This article investigates the working of the 1999 Act of Parliament in relation to the electoral process. One of the more controversial measures in the 1999 Act was the preservation of the representation of the hereditary element in the House of Lords. In the 2007‐2008 session of Parliament, Lord Avebury introduced the House of Lords (Amendment) Bill, to repeal this electoral process, and Lord (David) Steel of Aikwood introduced the House of Lord…
Regional Developments in Russia
The article surveys Russia's regional and centre-periphery developments and their wider implications for the country's political, economic, and territorial future. In particular, it discusses President Putin's federalism and local government interventions and takes stock of the outcome of these and other relevant federal initiatives. The paper also discusses the broader implications of authoritarian state-building for the country's social, econom…
Religious Influences on Human Capital Variations in Imperial Russia
Historical legacies, particularly imperial tutelage and religion, have featured prominently in recent scholarship on political regime variations in post-communist settings, challenging earlier temporally proximate explanations. The overlap between tutelage, geography, and religion has complicated the uncovering of the spatially uneven effects of the various legacies. The author addresses this challenge by conducting sub-national analysis of relig…
Unbroken Links? From Imperial Human Capital to Post-Communist Modernisation
The article explores imperial human capital affects on current human capital and democracy variations in Russia's regions based on author-constructed datasets with imperial and post-communist statistics. Pre-communist education is a significant predictor of modernisation, which in studies of Russian regions explains a large share of regional democratic variation. Pre-communist education also apparently positively affects post-communist democracy.…
Mission or Empire, Word or Sword? The Human Capital Legacy in Postcolonial Democratic Development
Why are some former colonies more democratic than others? The British Empire has been singled out in the debates on colonialism for its benign influence on democracy. Much of this scholarship has focused on colonialism's institutional legacies; has neglected to distinguish among the actors associated with colonialism; and has been nation‐state focused. Our subnational approach allows us to isolate the democracy effects of key actors operating in …
Competitive Religious Entrepreneurs
This article explores the influence of Protestant missionaries on male–female educational inequalities in colonial India. Causal mechanisms drawn from the sociology and economics of religion highlight the importance of religious competition for the provision of public goods. Competition between religious and secular groups spurred missionaries to play a key role in the development of mass female schooling. A case study of Kerala illustrates this.…
The Dynamics of Regional and National Contentious Politics in Russia
The paper analyzes the regional dimension of Russia’s protests and its links to recent nationwide contentious politics based on an analysis of an author-constructed protest dataset for the period 2007-2012. The data indicate high levels of civic activism and a growing trend of the politicization of the Russian citizenry. Nevertheless, the analysis also points to the spatially and temporally uneven nature of protests. Drawing on scholarship on pol…
New Data on Protest Trends in Russia's Regions
Large-scale social and political protest has characterised political development in a number of post-communist and other transition countries over the last two decades. The colour revolutions in Ky
Appropriation and Subversion
Twenty-five years after the collapse of communism in Europe, few scholars disagree that the past continues to shape the democratic trajectories of postcommunist states. Precommunist education has featured prominently in this literature’s bundle of “good” legacies because it ostensibly helped foster resistance to communism. The authors propose a differentcausal mechanism—appropriation and subversion—that challenges the linearity of the above assum…
Authoritarian and Democratic Diffusion in Post-Communist Regions
There is a rich body of theorizing on the diffusion of democracy across space and time. There is also an emerging scholarship on authoritarian diffusion. The dynamics of the interaction between external democratic and autocratic diffusion processes and their effects on national and sub-national political regime outcomes have received scant attention in the literature. Do democratic diffusion processes help counter external authoritarian influence…
Russian Spring’ or ‘Spring Betrayal’? The Media as a Mirror of Putin’s Evolving Strategy in Ukraine
We develop a novel Russian-language electronic content analysis dictionary and method to analyse Russian state media’s framing of the Euromaidan protests. We find that around the time of Crimea’s annexation, the Kremlin-controlled media projected media narratives of protests as chaos and disorder along with legalistic jargon about the status of ethnic Russians and federalisation, only to abandon this strategy by the end of April 2014. The shift i…
Fabricating votes for Putin
We extend the “fraud forensics” research to systematically explain precinct-level and regional variations in electoral manipulations in Russia’s March 2012 presidential election. Parametric last-digit frequency tests (a multivariate extension of last-digit tests) are employed to analyze fraud heterogeneity during the vote count stage. We also utilize author-assembled data harvested from the election monitoring non-governmental organization Golos’…
Regional protest and electoral fraud
Does electoral fraud encourage post-electoral protests? To explore the likelihood that citizens would pick up on electoral irregularities perpetrated in their region and engage in post-electoral protest we analyse regional protest event data and voting results for 95,415 precincts in Russia's 2012 presidential elections. We find that regional fraud is associated with post-electoral sub-national protests. Our analysis has important theoretical and…
Soviet Legacies of Economic Development, Oligarchic Rule, and Electoral Quality in Eastern Europe's Partial Democracies
Can economic development retard democracy, defying expectations of classic modernization theorizing? If so, under what conditions? Our article addresses the puzzle of poor democratic performance in highly urbanized and industrialized postcommunist states. We assembled an original dataset with data from Ukraine's local and national elections and constructed district- ( rayon ) and region- ( oblast ) level indices of electoral quality. Regions and …
Electoral Protests and Political Attitudes under Electoral Authoritarianism
Do opposition protests affect citizens' attitudes in electoral autocracies? While existing research expects that as protests unfold in illiberal regimes support for the protesters will increase, there are only a few empirical tests of this hypothesis. Combining an original author-assembled protest event data set with two nationally representative public opinion surveys that were in the field during the 2011–12 electoral protests in Russia, we exa…
Protest in electoral autocracies
A growing literature explores the causes and consequences of dramatic political protests in autocracies. Yet, we know comparatively little about other forms of protests in these regimes. The Lankina Russian Protest-Event Dataset (LAruPED) facilitates the investigation of protest in Russia, a classic example of an electoral authoritarian regime. The data, which are human-coded, identify, in wave one, protests across Russia from March 2007 until 20…
Political science (30 works) · Law (27 works) · Politics (26 works) · Law (25 works) · Sociology (22 works) · Political economy (21 works) · Political Conflict and Governance (19 works) · Democracy (16 works) · Economics (16 works) · Economic system (12 works)