Nathan Keyfitz
Biographic Data
| ID | 127526 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Nathan Keyfitz |
| GIVEN NAMES | Nathan |
| FAMILY NAME | Keyfitz |
| SIGNATURE | KEYFITZ N |
| AFFILIATIONS | Harvard University Press |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 196 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 355 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 196 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1944 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2019 |
| H-INDEX | 9 |
La machine et le chômage: Le Progrès Technique Et l'Emploi
Lotka, Alfred James (1880–1949)
Applied Mathematical Demography (Statistics for Biology and Health)
The third edition of this classic text maintains its focus on applications of demographic models, while extending its scope to matrix models for stage-classified populations. The authors first introduce the life table to describe age-specific mortality, and then use it to develop theory for stable populations and the rate of population increase. This theory is then revisited in the context of matrix models, for stage-classified as well as age-cla…
L'exode rural dans la province de Québec,1951-1961
Dans la province de Québec, comme ailleurs, un mouvement de population de la campagne vers les villes se manifeste depuis longtemps. Pendant la période 1956-61, pour laquelle nous obtenons actuellement les renseignements du recensement de 1961, il y a eu une accélération marquée des tendances antérieures en ce sens. Nous essaierons de tirer des diverses données statistiques des indications sur l'ampleur du mouvement et sur ses causes
The Time Bind: When Work Becomes Home and Home Becomes Work
The case for census tradition
Keeping Together in Time: Dance and Drill in Human History
The Stork and the Plow: The Equity Answer to the Human Dilemma
In this provocative book, the authors look at the interaction between population and food supply and offer a powerful and radical strategy for balancing human numbers with nutritional needs. Their proposals include improving the status of women, reducing racism and religious prejudice, reforming the agricultural system, and shrinking the growing gap between rich and poor. This ambitious, enlightened handbook is a cornucopia of strategies and idea…
Population Growth, Development and the Environment
When Population Studies was founded in 1946 a main preoccupation of demographers and of the public was the prospective decline of the British population, and the falling off of its quality because on the average a poor family had more children than a better-off one. Over the course of the 50 years interests have shifted to the aging of populations as births decline and mortality improves; immigration, immigrants being welcomed for the decades aft…
Inter-disciplinary contradictions and the influence of science on policy
What Happened in Cairo? A View from the Internet
An estimated 20000 government delegates UN representatives nongovernment organizations and media representatives participated in the 1994 UN Population Conference held in Cairo. Most UN conferences are carefully prearranged in a series of preparatory meetings with the actual conferences simply being ceremonious occasions during which political leaders can read prepared scripts and sign a consensus document. The Cairo conference however was differ…
Écrire la démographie mathématique: Un nouveau manuel de R. Pressat
Keyfitz Nathan. Écrire la démographie mathématique : un nouveau manuel de R. Pressat. In: Population, 50e année, n°6, 1995. Cinquante années de Population pp. 1685-1692
Demographic Discord. Why Biologists and Economists Disagree about Population Policy
Le remplacement des générations dans une période de transition
Au moment où l'on aborde la troisième transition économique, celle de la mondialisation des marchés grâce à l'ordinateur, on peut s'interroger sur les dysfonctionnements, les adaptations ou les transformations que cette « révolution» ne manquera d'engendrer, comme les deux précédentes, pour les générations futures. C'est à cet exercice que se livre ici Nathan Keyfitz, en examinant les forces économiques, et notamment la formation et l'emploi, qui…
Starting Points: Meeting the Needs of Our Youngest Children
The population explosion
Population and sustainable development: Distinguishing fact and preference concerning the future human population and environment
Thirty Years of Demography and Demography
This article was written at the behest of editors on the 30th anniversary of the publication. An overview is provided of how the field of demography has changed within graduate study within the membership of the Population Association of America and within the literature published by Demography. Publication began as an annual volume and expanded to a quarterly one. Several issues are fundamental yet controversial; for example the issue of the pur…
Marianne et les Lapins: L'Obsession Demographique
Living Within Limits: Ecology, Economics, and Population Taboos
This book tackles the problem of overpopulation with an honesty and fearlessness that is unrivalled. Hardin suggests radical approaches to overpopulation and considers the consequences. This book is an intellectual feast that will enrage, disturb, and challenge the reader at every page
Seven ways of causing the less developed countries' population problem to disappear—in theory
Le premier monde et le Tiers-Monde
Keyfitz Nathan. Le premier monde et le Tiers-Monde. In: Population, 47e année, n°6, 1992. Hommage à Alfred Sauvy. pp. 1513-1531
Consumerism and the new poor
Europe's Jewish problem
World Population Growth and Aging: Demographic Trends in the Late Twentieth Century
What difference would it make if cancer were eradicated? An examination of the taeuber paradox
The immediate effect of discovering a way to cure cancer would be a reduction in the number of deaths in the United States by the number of people now dying from that cause. Within a short time, however, deaths from other causes would increase, and the net long-term effect would be relatively small. A parameter is derived that measures how much the expectation of life is increased by a marginal reduction in any cause of death. That parameter is a…
On the momentum of population growth
If age-specific birth rates drop immediately to the level of bare replacement the ultimate stationary number of a population will be given by (9): multiplied by the present number, where b is the birth rate, r the rate of increase, the expectation of life, and R0 the Net Reproduction Rate, all before the drop in fertility, and μ the mean age of childbearing afterwards. This expression is derived in the first place for females on the stable assump…
The Limits of Population Forecasting
The user of forecasts needs to know how far published estimates of future population can be relied on. The most compact way of describing accuracy is by showing the average error of past forecasts. From over a thousand comparisons of forecast with realization--nationalregional and global and covering the past 30 years--the conclusion emerges that the odds are two to one that a forecast rate of increase [plus or minus] 0.4 percentage points will s…
Applied Mathematical Demography
Thirty Years of Demography and Demography
This article was written at the behest of editors on the 30th anniversary of the publication. An overview is provided of how the field of demography has changed within graduate study within the membership of the Population Association of America and within the literature published by Demography. Publication began as an annual volume and expanded to a quarterly one. Several issues are fundamental yet controversial; for example the issue of the pur…
Population and Society
Social Changes in Jogjakarta
Tradition, Values, and Socio-Economic Development
Economic Change in Rural India. Land Tenure and Reform in Uttar Pradesh, 1800-1955
Can Knowledge Improve Forecasts
Major theoretical advances in understanding the operating forces of society have not led to corresponding improvement in techniques of forecasting. Ranging across the major socioeconomic theories bearing on demographic trends - from demographic transition theory to human capital theory - this paper asks whether there are scientific results neglected by forecasters that would help population forecasting and, if not, what it is in the nature of sch…
Putting Trained Labour Power to Work: The Dilemma of Education and Employment
The employment problem of the LDCs arises from their age distribution, and especially the age distribution of their educated manpower. The supply of college graduates tends to increase faster than industry's demand for them. On one calculation for Indonesia, college graduates increase annually by 0.64 per thousand labour force in 1980, while demand goes up by 0.40 per thousand labour force. That means that 0.24 (per 1,OOO 1980 labour force) of co…
The Family That Does Not Reproduce Itself
Nathan Keyfitz, The Family That Does Not Reproduce Itself, Population and Development Review, Vol. 12, Supplement: Below-Replacement Fertility in Industrial Societies: Causes, Consequences, Policies (1986), pp. 139-154
The demographics of unfunded pensions
Development and the Elimination of Poverty
How Do We Know the Facts of Demography
Demographers know that a population that is increasing slowly has a higher proportion of old people than one that is increasing rapidly; and that differences in birth rates have a larger influence on the age distribution than do differences in death rates. They also often claim that a poor country whose population is growing rapidly will increase its income per head faster if it lowers its birth rate than if it maintains a high birth rate. How do…
Individual mobility in a stationary population
An increasing population facilitates individual mobility. One of the consequences of moving towards the inevitable stationary population is that mobility will become more difficult
Models
Three Worlds of Development. The Theory and Practice of International Stratification
The Latin-American Mind
Population Growth, Development and the Environment
When Population Studies was founded in 1946 a main preoccupation of demographers and of the public was the prospective decline of the British population, and the falling off of its quality because on the average a poor family had more children than a better-off one. Over the course of the 50 years interests have shifted to the aging of populations as births decline and mortality improves; immigration, immigrants being welcomed for the decades aft…
Mortality in a heterogeneous population
No one is interested in lowering the death rate, except insofar as this implies an extension of life. In a homogeneous population, but not otherwise, a given percentage increase in the expectation of life is equal to the percentage reduction in death rate. If we compare two populations, one with death rate μ and the other with death rate μ(1+ δ), then the expectation of life of the second is greater by nearly—δ/μ, where δ is small and negative. B…
How birth control affects births
The present paper is preliminary and is circulated to elicit comments" For more about the East-West Center, see http://www.eastwestcenter.org
Migration as a means of population control
The more crowded West Indian islands lose citizens each year through emigration, and they are small enough for an appreciable relief of population pressure to be thereby afforded. Each year some of the inhabitants of Java move to Sumatra and elsewhere under official sponsorship, part of the rationale for the policy being the relief of population pressure; a recent definitive study covers the movement in detail
Age distribution and the stable equivalent
Some populations, like that of the United States in the 1950’s, have a smaller proportion of women of reproductive age than they would ultimately attain with continuance of their age-specific birth and deaths rates, a continuance which produces the condition known in demography as stability. Others, like that of the United States in the 1930’s, have relatively more women of reproductive age than they would ultimately attain with stability. A way …
Indonesian Economics. The Concept of Dualism in Theory and Policy
Vital Statistics Rates in the United States, 1900-1940. Forrest E. Linder , Robert D. Grove
Population Problems. Warren S. Thompson
Population Problems: A Cultural Interpretation. Paul H. Landis
Ethnic Groups and Their Behavior
Traité de démographie.Adolphe Landry , Henri Bunle , Pierre Depoid , Michel Huber , Alfred Sauvy
Experimental Designs in Sociological Research. F. Stuart Chapin
A Morbidity Survey of the Population
A Morbidity Survey of the Population Nathan Keyfitz CopyRight*Excerpts from remarks presented at a Joint Session of the Biometrics Section of the American Statistical Association, Biometrics Society, and the Statistics Section of the American Public Health Association at the Seventy-sixth Annual Meeting in Boston, Mass., November 10, 1948. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.39.6.745 Published Online: August 29, 2011
Theory of Experimental Inference. C. West Churchman
The Canadian sample for labour force and other population data
An area sample is now being taken quarterly in Canada for labour force and a wide variety of other population data. Since reliable lists of households cannot be obtained without substantial expense the amount of field work is reduced to a minimum by the use of maps which may be thought of as an implicit listing. Random selection with known probabilities is applied in several stages, the overall result being a 1 % sample of the population. The sur…
The Pre-Election Polls of 1948: Report to the Committee on Analysis of Pre-Election Polls and Forecasts. Frederick Mosteller , Herbert Hyman , Philip J. McCarthy , Eli S. Marks , David B. Truman Surve…
The growth of Canadian population
An attempt is made to construct the essential record of 99 years of population growth in Canada in terms of numbers of immigrants, emigrants, births and deaths. Data of varying accuracy have had to be amalgamated by the use of assumptions of various degrees of plausibility. Efforts previously made along this line cover a part of the period only. The aim here is a sufficiently exhaustive description of method to permit results to be reproduced and…
Experimental Design in Psychological Research. Allen L. Edwards
Some Theory of Sampling.William Edwards Deming
Numerical Sex Disproportion. Joseph H. Greenberg
Differential fertility in Ontario. An application of factorial design to a demographic problem
This paper describes the use of a probability sample to survey differential fertility. 475 women were randomly selected from the 1941 Census of Canada to provide tests of the existence of five differentials: income, present age, age by marriage, schooling and distance from a city. The sample was limited to one province and to two contrasting values of each of the five differentials under study. Significant differences are found for the effective …
Mathematical Biology of Social Behavior.Nicolas Rashevsky
The Population of India and Pakistan.Kingsley Davis
A Factorial Arrangement of Comparisons of Family Size
Census enumeration data were used to answer for French farm families of the Province of Quebec the question: Are farm families smaller near cities than far from cities, other things being equal? The sample of 1,056 families was arranged in a 2 factorial design which not only controlled 15 extraneous variables (income, education, etc.) but incidentally measured the effect of 5 of these on family size. A significant effect of distance from cities w…
Economic Opinion and Policy in Ceylon . Henry M. Oliver, Jr
Population Problems and Modern Science Modern Science and the Human Fertility Problem . Richard L. Meier
Population and Progress in the Far East . Warren S. Thompson
Western Perspectives and Asian Problems
This paper documents, from contemporary Asia, the fact that people of different backgrounds have different perspectives on the same problems. Background must include, for this purpose, some components of individual experience, but is most precisely related to the group from which the person draws his definitions and learns how to interpret what happens to him. I shall try to describe briefly how the issues of: 1) Asian history and western technic…
Finance and Politics in Indonesia: Review Article
The Diplomacy of Economic Development
Tradition, Values, and Socio-Economic Development
Sociology (120 works) · Political science (82 works) · Demography (74 works) · Population (63 works) · Economics (61 works) · Geography (54 works) · Computer Science (51 works) · Download (35 works) · World Wide Web (32 works) · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management (31 works)