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Kristin M Bakke

Biographic Data

ID1417531
NAMEKristin M Bakke
GIVEN NAMESKristin M
FAMILY NAMEBakke
SIGNATUREBAKKE K M
AFFILIATIONSUniversity College London
ORCID0000-0002-5115-0151
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS28
TOTAL CITATIONS679
AUTHOR COUNT28
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2005
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2025
H-INDEX12
  • Contentious Rituals and Intergroup Relations: Parading in Northern Ireland

    Open Access•Kit Rickard, Giovanni Hollenweger et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2025•Cited by: 1•References: 74

    In some divided societies, identity-based groups engage in ‘contentious rituals’, such as public parades or commemorative events, to cultivate the group’s collective social memory and build solidarity. We examine whether and how such rituals perpetuate group divisions in post-conflict societies, drawing on evidence from a case study of parading in Northern Ireland. Every year, contentious parades in this post-conflict society have the potential t…

  • Conflict exposure and democratic values: Evidence from wartime Ukraine

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Marianne Dahl et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2025•Cited by: 8•References: 90

    How do experiences of violence in war shape ordinary people's commitment to democratic principles? Wars often lead to a temporary suspension of democratic rights, yet extant research suggests that wartime violence can both strengthen and undermine support for democracy. We argue that these effects vary across different dimensions of democracy. Drawing on public opinion surveys fielded in Ukraine in October 2022 and July 2024, amidst the ongoing w…

  • The challenges of surveying in war zones: Lessons from Ukraine

    Open Access•Kit Rickard, Gerard Toal et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2025•Cited by: 2•References: 18

    Conflict scholars commonly employ public opinion surveys to understand the causes and consequences of violence. However, surveying in wartime presents a distinctive set of challenges. We examine two challenges facing polling in countries at war: under-coverage of national samples and response bias. Although these issues are acknowledged in the literature on surveying methods, they become significantly more pronounced in war zones due to the geogr…

  • Politicizing Memory: Evidence from Ukraine

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Kit Rickard et al.•ARTICLE•Problems of Post-Communism•2024•References: 27

    Research shows that people's perceptions of historical violence shape many present-day outcomes.Yet it is also plausible that people emphasize or downplay certain events of the past based on how these resonate with their beliefs and identities today.With a population of diverse orientations involving Russia and Europe, Ukraine in 2019 was an important case for exploring how people's present geopolitical orientations shaped perceptions of victimiz…

  • A red flag for public goods? The correlates of civil society restrictions

    Open Access•Hannah Smidt, Hannah M Smidt et al.•ARTICLE•Governance•2024•Cited by: 1•References: 25

    Governments increasingly restrict civil society organizations (CSOs). Different theories converge on the expectation that CSOs are important for public goods. A largely unexplored implication is that increased restrictions on CSOs will signal the under‐delivery of public goods. Using data on government‐imposed restrictions on CSOs for a global sample of countries, we test this implication. Controlling for unobserved cross‐country heterogeneity, t…

  • Support for Vladimir Putin in Russia's neighbors: Survey evidence from an endorsement experiment in six post-Soviet countries

    Open Access•John O''Loughlin, John Ο’loughlin et al.•ARTICLE•Political Geography•2024•References: 44

  • Perceptions of the past in the post-Soviet space

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Kit Rickard et al.•ARTICLE•Post-Soviet Affairs•2023•Cited by: 3•References: 67

    Honing in on how citizens in the former Soviet Union find themselves in an information competition over their own past, this paper explores whether and why ordinary people’s perceptions of historical events and figures in their country’s past are in line with a Russian-promoted narrative that highlights World War II – known as the “Great Patriotic War” in Russia and some former Soviet states – as a glorious Soviet victory and Stalin as a great le…

  • Wartime Experiences and Popular Support for Peace Agreements: Comparative Evidence from Three Cases

    Open Access•Karin Dyrstad, Helga Malmin Binningsbø et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2022•Cited by: 6•References: 62

    Peace agreements are negotiated and signed by representatives of the government and the rebels, often after many years of violent conflict, but their ability to transform a war-torn society hinges on the approval of ordinary people. Yet we have little systematic knowledge of what ordinary people think of peace agreements in the long run. This study begins to fill that gap, drawing on a set of comparative public opinion surveys from Guatemala, Nep…

  • Perceptions of Peace Agreements and Political Trust in Post-War Guatemala, Nepal, and Northern Ireland

    Karin Dyrstad, Kristin M Bakke et al.•ARTICLE•International Peacekeeping•2021•Cited by: 12•References: 28

    (Re)gaining citizens’ trust is a challenge for post-war governments. Political trust is crucial for understanding both the risk of civil war in the first place and the state-society relationships that emerge afterwards. Peace agreements are tools to stop the fighting, address war’s injustices, and provide a blueprint for the state’s future – and they do so to varying degrees. Yet we have little systematic knowledge of how people react to such agr…

  • Silencing Their Critics: How Government Restrictions Against Civil Society Affect International ‘Naming and Shaming

    Open Access•Hannah M Smidt, Dominic Perera et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2021•Cited by: 37•References: 46

    International ‘naming and shaming’ campaigns rely on domestic civil society organizations (CSOs) for information on local human rights conditions. To stop this flow of information, some governments restrict CSOs, for example by limiting their access to funding. Do such restrictions reduce international naming and shaming campaigns that rely on information from domestic CSOs? This article argues that on the one hand, restrictions may reduce CSOs’ …

  • Legacies of Wartime Order: Punishment Attacks and Social Control in Northern Ireland

    Open Access•Kit Rickard, Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2021•Cited by: 12

    Many armed groups create informal institutions to maintain social order during conflict. The remnants of these informal institutions form a key challenge for governments in postconflict societies in their attempts to reestablish themselves as credible state authorities. The persistence of paramilitary groups’ informal “justice” systems in the form of so-called punishment attacks in Northern Ireland, more than twenty years on from the Good Friday …

  • When States Crack Down on Human Rights Defenders

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Neil J Mitchell et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Quarterly•2020•Cited by: 37•References: 43

    Research suggests that civil society mobilization together with the ratification of human rights treaties put pressure on governments to improve their human rights practices. An unexplored theoretical implication is that pressure provokes counterpressure. Instead of improving treaty compliance, some governments will have an interest in demobilizing civil society to silence their critics. Yet we do not know how and to what extent this incentive sh…

  • Dynamics of state-building after war: External-internal relations in Eurasian de facto states

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Andrew M Linke et al.•ARTICLE•Political Geography•2018•Cited by: 7•References: 45

    Post-war state-building is fraught with challenges as “war-makers” pivot to become “state-makers.” Citizen assessments of public good provision and physical security provide a measure of how state-building is perceived internally. State-building may also necessitate external dependence (Russia, for example, provides significant financial and military assistance to the post-Soviet de facto states), yet new state authorities want to be seen as more…

  • Response to Luis De la Calle's review of Decentralization and Intrastate Struggles: Chechnya, Punjab, and Québec

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•Perspectives on Politics•2017

    An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content

  • E pluribus unum, ex uno plures: Competition, violence, and fragmentation in ethnopolitical movements

    Open Access•Lee Jm Seymour, Lee J M Seymour et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2016•Cited by: 24•References: 63

    Why are some ethnopolitical movements divided while others are relatively unified? A growing literature examines the consequences of internal divisions in ethnopolitical movements - and shows that it matters for a range of conflict outcomes - yet the mechanisms causing such divisions remain poorly understood. Our argument emphasizes competitive dynamics between states and self-determination movements and between rival factions within these moveme…

  • Help Wanted? The Mixed Record of Foreign Fighters in Domestic Insurgencies

    Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•International Security•2014•Cited by: 30•References: 54

    One of the major policy concerns surrounding violent conflicts in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Mali, Pakistan, Russia's North Caucasus region, Somalia, and Syria has been that these struggles may both attract and breed transnational insurgents, or foreign fighters. Yet despite this growing worry, relatively little is known about the ways in which transnational insurgents influence the domestic struggles they join. Existing scholarship assumes that s…

  • Convincing State-Builders? Disaggregating Internal Legitimacy in Abkhazia

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, John O''Loughlin et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Quarterly•2014•Cited by: 50•References: 39

    De facto states, functional on the ground but unrecognized by most states, have long been black boxes for systematic empirical research. This study investigates de facto states' internal legitimacy—people's confidence in the entity itself, the regime, and institutions. While internal legitimacy is important for any state, it is particularly important for de facto states, whose lack of external legitimacy has made internal legitimacy integral to t…

  • A Plague of Initials: Fragmentation, Cohesion, and Infighting in Civil Wars

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham et al.•ARTICLE•Perspectives on Politics•2012•Cited by: 76•References: 65

    How do we conceptualize the fragmentation of internally divided movements? And how does variation in fragmentation affect the probability and patterns of infighting? The internal politics of non-state groups have received increasing attention, with recent research demonstrating the importance of cohesion and fragmentation for understanding conflict dynamics. Yet there is little consensus on how to conceptualize fragmentation, the concept at the c…

  • Shirts Today, Skins Tomorrow: Dual Contests and the Effects of Fragmentation in Self-Determination Disputes

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Lee J M Seymour et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2012•Cited by: 138•References: 46

    While theoretical models of conflict often treat actors as unitary, most self-determination groups are fragmented into a number of competing internal factions. This article presents a framework for understanding the “dual contests” that self-determination groups engage in—the first with their host state and the second between co-ethnic factions within groups. Using a new data set of the number of factions within a sample of self-determination gro…

  • Book Notes

    Open Access•Max Abrahms, Pavel Baev et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2011

  • State Collapse and Reconstruction in the Periphery: Political Economy, Ethnicity and Development in Yugoslavia, Serbia and Kosovo

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•Nordisk øst-forum/Nordisk østforum•2010

  • The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts

    Open Access•Michael D Ward, Brian D Greenhill et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2010•Cited by: 119•References: 24

    Large-n studies of conflict have produced a large number of statistically significant results but little accurate guidance in terms of anticipating the onset of conflict. The authors argue that too much attention has been paid to finding statistically significant relationships, while too little attention has been paid to finding variables that improve our ability to predict civil wars. The result can be a distorted view of what matters most to th…

  • State, Society and Separatism in Punjab

    Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•Regional & Federal Studies•2009•References: 17

    Why do decentralized states differ in their capacity to preserve peace within their borders? This is the question motivating this study, which maintains that an understanding of decentralization's divergent effect on intrastate conflicts calls for a consideration of how these institutions are embedded in the societies they govern. In particular, this article suggests that the impacts of policy and fiscal decentralization are conditioned by any gi…

  • Reconciliation in Conflict-Affected Societies: Multilevel Modeling of Individual and Contextual Factors in the North Caucasus of Russia

    Kristin M Bakke, John Ο’loughlin et al.•ARTICLE•Annals of the Association of…•2009•Cited by: 35•References: 23

    Over the past two decades, there has been a growing interest in reconciliation in societies emerging from conflict. The North Caucasus region of Russia has experienced multiple and diverse conflicts since the collapse of the Soviet Union, and violence continues, although at a lower level than a decade ago. We examine willingness to forgive members of other ethnic groups for violence that they have perpetuated as an indicator of the potential for …

  • Social distance in Bosnia‐Herzegovina and the North Caucasus region of Russia: Inter and intra‐ethnic attitudes and identities

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Xun Cao et al.•ARTICLE•Nations and Nationalism•2009•Cited by: 22•References: 43

    This article examines attitudinal differences and similarities among ethnic groups in conflict‐affected societies. Conventional wisdom tells us that societies that have experienced violent struggles in which individuals of different ethnic groups have (been) mobilized against each other are likely to become polarized along ethnic lines. Indeed, both policy‐makers and scholars often assume that such divisions are some of the main challenges that m…

Next
  • Shirts Today, Skins Tomorrow: Dual Contests and the Effects of Fragmentation in Self-Determination Disputes

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Lee J M Seymour et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2012•Cited by: 138•References: 46

    While theoretical models of conflict often treat actors as unitary, most self-determination groups are fragmented into a number of competing internal factions. This article presents a framework for understanding the “dual contests” that self-determination groups engage in—the first with their host state and the second between co-ethnic factions within groups. Using a new data set of the number of factions within a sample of self-determination gro…

  • The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts

    Open Access•Michael D Ward, Brian D Greenhill et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2010•Cited by: 119•References: 24

    Large-n studies of conflict have produced a large number of statistically significant results but little accurate guidance in terms of anticipating the onset of conflict. The authors argue that too much attention has been paid to finding statistically significant relationships, while too little attention has been paid to finding variables that improve our ability to predict civil wars. The result can be a distorted view of what matters most to th…

  • A Plague of Initials: Fragmentation, Cohesion, and Infighting in Civil Wars

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham et al.•ARTICLE•Perspectives on Politics•2012•Cited by: 76•References: 65

    How do we conceptualize the fragmentation of internally divided movements? And how does variation in fragmentation affect the probability and patterns of infighting? The internal politics of non-state groups have received increasing attention, with recent research demonstrating the importance of cohesion and fragmentation for understanding conflict dynamics. Yet there is little consensus on how to conceptualize fragmentation, the concept at the c…

  • Diversity, Disparity, and Civil Conflict in Federal States

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Erik Wibbels•ARTICLE•World Politics•2006•Cited by: 59•References: 44

    Policymakers and scholars have turned their attention to federalism as a means for managing conflicts between central governments and subnational interests. But both the theoretical literature and the empirical track record of federations make for opposing conclusions concerning federalism's ability to prevent civil conflict. This article argues that the existing literature falls short on two accounts: first, it lacks a systematic comparison of p…

  • Convincing State-Builders? Disaggregating Internal Legitimacy in Abkhazia

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, John O''Loughlin et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Quarterly•2014•Cited by: 50•References: 39

    De facto states, functional on the ground but unrecognized by most states, have long been black boxes for systematic empirical research. This study investigates de facto states' internal legitimacy—people's confidence in the entity itself, the regime, and institutions. While internal legitimacy is important for any state, it is particularly important for de facto states, whose lack of external legitimacy has made internal legitimacy integral to t…

  • Silencing Their Critics: How Government Restrictions Against Civil Society Affect International ‘Naming and Shaming

    Open Access•Hannah M Smidt, Dominic Perera et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2021•Cited by: 37•References: 46

    International ‘naming and shaming’ campaigns rely on domestic civil society organizations (CSOs) for information on local human rights conditions. To stop this flow of information, some governments restrict CSOs, for example by limiting their access to funding. Do such restrictions reduce international naming and shaming campaigns that rely on information from domestic CSOs? This article argues that on the one hand, restrictions may reduce CSOs’ …

  • When States Crack Down on Human Rights Defenders

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Neil J Mitchell et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Quarterly•2020•Cited by: 37•References: 43

    Research suggests that civil society mobilization together with the ratification of human rights treaties put pressure on governments to improve their human rights practices. An unexplored theoretical implication is that pressure provokes counterpressure. Instead of improving treaty compliance, some governments will have an interest in demobilizing civil society to silence their critics. Yet we do not know how and to what extent this incentive sh…

  • Reconciliation in Conflict-Affected Societies: Multilevel Modeling of Individual and Contextual Factors in the North Caucasus of Russia

    Kristin M Bakke, John Ο’loughlin et al.•ARTICLE•Annals of the Association of…•2009•Cited by: 35•References: 23

    Over the past two decades, there has been a growing interest in reconciliation in societies emerging from conflict. The North Caucasus region of Russia has experienced multiple and diverse conflicts since the collapse of the Soviet Union, and violence continues, although at a lower level than a decade ago. We examine willingness to forgive members of other ethnic groups for violence that they have perpetuated as an indicator of the potential for …

  • Help Wanted? The Mixed Record of Foreign Fighters in Domestic Insurgencies

    Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•International Security•2014•Cited by: 30•References: 54

    One of the major policy concerns surrounding violent conflicts in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Mali, Pakistan, Russia's North Caucasus region, Somalia, and Syria has been that these struggles may both attract and breed transnational insurgents, or foreign fighters. Yet despite this growing worry, relatively little is known about the ways in which transnational insurgents influence the domestic struggles they join. Existing scholarship assumes that s…

  • E pluribus unum, ex uno plures: Competition, violence, and fragmentation in ethnopolitical movements

    Open Access•Lee Jm Seymour, Lee J M Seymour et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2016•Cited by: 24•References: 63

    Why are some ethnopolitical movements divided while others are relatively unified? A growing literature examines the consequences of internal divisions in ethnopolitical movements - and shows that it matters for a range of conflict outcomes - yet the mechanisms causing such divisions remain poorly understood. Our argument emphasizes competitive dynamics between states and self-determination movements and between rival factions within these moveme…

  • Social distance in Bosnia‐Herzegovina and the North Caucasus region of Russia: Inter and intra‐ethnic attitudes and identities

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Xun Cao et al.•ARTICLE•Nations and Nationalism•2009•Cited by: 22•References: 43

    This article examines attitudinal differences and similarities among ethnic groups in conflict‐affected societies. Conventional wisdom tells us that societies that have experienced violent struggles in which individuals of different ethnic groups have (been) mobilized against each other are likely to become polarized along ethnic lines. Indeed, both policy‐makers and scholars often assume that such divisions are some of the main challenges that m…

  • Perceptions of Peace Agreements and Political Trust in Post-War Guatemala, Nepal, and Northern Ireland

    Karin Dyrstad, Kristin M Bakke et al.•ARTICLE•International Peacekeeping•2021•Cited by: 12•References: 28

    (Re)gaining citizens’ trust is a challenge for post-war governments. Political trust is crucial for understanding both the risk of civil war in the first place and the state-society relationships that emerge afterwards. Peace agreements are tools to stop the fighting, address war’s injustices, and provide a blueprint for the state’s future – and they do so to varying degrees. Yet we have little systematic knowledge of how people react to such agr…

  • Legacies of Wartime Order: Punishment Attacks and Social Control in Northern Ireland

    Open Access•Kit Rickard, Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2021•Cited by: 12

    Many armed groups create informal institutions to maintain social order during conflict. The remnants of these informal institutions form a key challenge for governments in postconflict societies in their attempts to reestablish themselves as credible state authorities. The persistence of paramilitary groups’ informal “justice” systems in the form of so-called punishment attacks in Northern Ireland, more than twenty years on from the Good Friday …

  • Conflict exposure and democratic values: Evidence from wartime Ukraine

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Marianne Dahl et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2025•Cited by: 8•References: 90

    How do experiences of violence in war shape ordinary people's commitment to democratic principles? Wars often lead to a temporary suspension of democratic rights, yet extant research suggests that wartime violence can both strengthen and undermine support for democracy. We argue that these effects vary across different dimensions of democracy. Drawing on public opinion surveys fielded in Ukraine in October 2022 and July 2024, amidst the ongoing w…

  • Dynamics of state-building after war: External-internal relations in Eurasian de facto states

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Andrew M Linke et al.•ARTICLE•Political Geography•2018•Cited by: 7•References: 45

    Post-war state-building is fraught with challenges as “war-makers” pivot to become “state-makers.” Citizen assessments of public good provision and physical security provide a measure of how state-building is perceived internally. State-building may also necessitate external dependence (Russia, for example, provides significant financial and military assistance to the post-Soviet de facto states), yet new state authorities want to be seen as more…

  • Wartime Experiences and Popular Support for Peace Agreements: Comparative Evidence from Three Cases

    Open Access•Karin Dyrstad, Helga Malmin Binningsbø et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2022•Cited by: 6•References: 62

    Peace agreements are negotiated and signed by representatives of the government and the rebels, often after many years of violent conflict, but their ability to transform a war-torn society hinges on the approval of ordinary people. Yet we have little systematic knowledge of what ordinary people think of peace agreements in the long run. This study begins to fill that gap, drawing on a set of comparative public opinion surveys from Guatemala, Nep…

  • Perceptions of the past in the post-Soviet space

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Kit Rickard et al.•ARTICLE•Post-Soviet Affairs•2023•Cited by: 3•References: 67

    Honing in on how citizens in the former Soviet Union find themselves in an information competition over their own past, this paper explores whether and why ordinary people’s perceptions of historical events and figures in their country’s past are in line with a Russian-promoted narrative that highlights World War II – known as the “Great Patriotic War” in Russia and some former Soviet states – as a glorious Soviet victory and Stalin as a great le…

  • The challenges of surveying in war zones: Lessons from Ukraine

    Open Access•Kit Rickard, Gerard Toal et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2025•Cited by: 2•References: 18

    Conflict scholars commonly employ public opinion surveys to understand the causes and consequences of violence. However, surveying in wartime presents a distinctive set of challenges. We examine two challenges facing polling in countries at war: under-coverage of national samples and response bias. Although these issues are acknowledged in the literature on surveying methods, they become significantly more pronounced in war zones due to the geogr…

  • Contentious Rituals and Intergroup Relations: Parading in Northern Ireland

    Open Access•Kit Rickard, Giovanni Hollenweger et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2025•Cited by: 1•References: 74

    In some divided societies, identity-based groups engage in ‘contentious rituals’, such as public parades or commemorative events, to cultivate the group’s collective social memory and build solidarity. We examine whether and how such rituals perpetuate group divisions in post-conflict societies, drawing on evidence from a case study of parading in Northern Ireland. Every year, contentious parades in this post-conflict society have the potential t…

  • A red flag for public goods? The correlates of civil society restrictions

    Open Access•Hannah Smidt, Hannah M Smidt et al.•ARTICLE•Governance•2024•Cited by: 1•References: 25

    Governments increasingly restrict civil society organizations (CSOs). Different theories converge on the expectation that CSOs are important for public goods. A largely unexplored implication is that increased restrictions on CSOs will signal the under‐delivery of public goods. Using data on government‐imposed restrictions on CSOs for a global sample of countries, we test this implication. Controlling for unobserved cross‐country heterogeneity, t…

  • Clash of Civilizations or Clash of Religions

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•International Studies Review•2005•References: 2

    The broad question motivating Jonathan Fox's Religion, Civilization, and Civil War: 1945 Through the New Millennium is interesting, both theoretically and empirically: What is the overall influence of religion and civilizational divides on intrastate conflicts? Fox begins by noting that the terror attacks of September 11, 2001, brought renewed attention to the role of religion in conflict and highlighted the inadequacies of our understanding of t…

  • Diversity, Disparity, and Civil Conflict in Federal States

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Erik Wibbels•ARTICLE•World Politics•2006•Cited by: 59•References: 44

    Policymakers and scholars have turned their attention to federalism as a means for managing conflicts between central governments and subnational interests. But both the theoretical literature and the empirical track record of federations make for opposing conclusions concerning federalism's ability to prevent civil conflict. This article argues that the existing literature falls short on two accounts: first, it lacks a systematic comparison of p…

  • State, Society and Separatism in Punjab

    Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•Regional & Federal Studies•2009•References: 17

    Why do decentralized states differ in their capacity to preserve peace within their borders? This is the question motivating this study, which maintains that an understanding of decentralization's divergent effect on intrastate conflicts calls for a consideration of how these institutions are embedded in the societies they govern. In particular, this article suggests that the impacts of policy and fiscal decentralization are conditioned by any gi…

  • Reconciliation in Conflict-Affected Societies: Multilevel Modeling of Individual and Contextual Factors in the North Caucasus of Russia

    Kristin M Bakke, John Ο’loughlin et al.•ARTICLE•Annals of the Association of…•2009•Cited by: 35•References: 23

    Over the past two decades, there has been a growing interest in reconciliation in societies emerging from conflict. The North Caucasus region of Russia has experienced multiple and diverse conflicts since the collapse of the Soviet Union, and violence continues, although at a lower level than a decade ago. We examine willingness to forgive members of other ethnic groups for violence that they have perpetuated as an indicator of the potential for …

  • Social distance in Bosnia‐Herzegovina and the North Caucasus region of Russia: Inter and intra‐ethnic attitudes and identities

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Xun Cao et al.•ARTICLE•Nations and Nationalism•2009•Cited by: 22•References: 43

    This article examines attitudinal differences and similarities among ethnic groups in conflict‐affected societies. Conventional wisdom tells us that societies that have experienced violent struggles in which individuals of different ethnic groups have (been) mobilized against each other are likely to become polarized along ethnic lines. Indeed, both policy‐makers and scholars often assume that such divisions are some of the main challenges that m…

  • Beslan and the study of violence

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•Political Geography•2009•References: 14

  • State Collapse and Reconstruction in the Periphery: Political Economy, Ethnicity and Development in Yugoslavia, Serbia and Kosovo

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•Nordisk øst-forum/Nordisk østforum•2010

  • The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts

    Open Access•Michael D Ward, Brian D Greenhill et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2010•Cited by: 119•References: 24

    Large-n studies of conflict have produced a large number of statistically significant results but little accurate guidance in terms of anticipating the onset of conflict. The authors argue that too much attention has been paid to finding statistically significant relationships, while too little attention has been paid to finding variables that improve our ability to predict civil wars. The result can be a distorted view of what matters most to th…

  • Book Notes

    Open Access•Max Abrahms, Pavel Baev et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2011

  • A Plague of Initials: Fragmentation, Cohesion, and Infighting in Civil Wars

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham et al.•ARTICLE•Perspectives on Politics•2012•Cited by: 76•References: 65

    How do we conceptualize the fragmentation of internally divided movements? And how does variation in fragmentation affect the probability and patterns of infighting? The internal politics of non-state groups have received increasing attention, with recent research demonstrating the importance of cohesion and fragmentation for understanding conflict dynamics. Yet there is little consensus on how to conceptualize fragmentation, the concept at the c…

  • Shirts Today, Skins Tomorrow: Dual Contests and the Effects of Fragmentation in Self-Determination Disputes

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Lee J M Seymour et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2012•Cited by: 138•References: 46

    While theoretical models of conflict often treat actors as unitary, most self-determination groups are fragmented into a number of competing internal factions. This article presents a framework for understanding the “dual contests” that self-determination groups engage in—the first with their host state and the second between co-ethnic factions within groups. Using a new data set of the number of factions within a sample of self-determination gro…

  • Help Wanted? The Mixed Record of Foreign Fighters in Domestic Insurgencies

    Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•International Security•2014•Cited by: 30•References: 54

    One of the major policy concerns surrounding violent conflicts in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Mali, Pakistan, Russia's North Caucasus region, Somalia, and Syria has been that these struggles may both attract and breed transnational insurgents, or foreign fighters. Yet despite this growing worry, relatively little is known about the ways in which transnational insurgents influence the domestic struggles they join. Existing scholarship assumes that s…

  • Convincing State-Builders? Disaggregating Internal Legitimacy in Abkhazia

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, John O''Loughlin et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Quarterly•2014•Cited by: 50•References: 39

    De facto states, functional on the ground but unrecognized by most states, have long been black boxes for systematic empirical research. This study investigates de facto states' internal legitimacy—people's confidence in the entity itself, the regime, and institutions. While internal legitimacy is important for any state, it is particularly important for de facto states, whose lack of external legitimacy has made internal legitimacy integral to t…

  • E pluribus unum, ex uno plures: Competition, violence, and fragmentation in ethnopolitical movements

    Open Access•Lee Jm Seymour, Lee J M Seymour et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Peace Research•2016•Cited by: 24•References: 63

    Why are some ethnopolitical movements divided while others are relatively unified? A growing literature examines the consequences of internal divisions in ethnopolitical movements - and shows that it matters for a range of conflict outcomes - yet the mechanisms causing such divisions remain poorly understood. Our argument emphasizes competitive dynamics between states and self-determination movements and between rival factions within these moveme…

  • Response to Luis De la Calle's review of Decentralization and Intrastate Struggles: Chechnya, Punjab, and Québec

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•Perspectives on Politics•2017

    An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content

  • Dynamics of state-building after war: External-internal relations in Eurasian de facto states

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Andrew M Linke et al.•ARTICLE•Political Geography•2018•Cited by: 7•References: 45

    Post-war state-building is fraught with challenges as “war-makers” pivot to become “state-makers.” Citizen assessments of public good provision and physical security provide a measure of how state-building is perceived internally. State-building may also necessitate external dependence (Russia, for example, provides significant financial and military assistance to the post-Soviet de facto states), yet new state authorities want to be seen as more…

  • When States Crack Down on Human Rights Defenders

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Neil J Mitchell et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Quarterly•2020•Cited by: 37•References: 43

    Research suggests that civil society mobilization together with the ratification of human rights treaties put pressure on governments to improve their human rights practices. An unexplored theoretical implication is that pressure provokes counterpressure. Instead of improving treaty compliance, some governments will have an interest in demobilizing civil society to silence their critics. Yet we do not know how and to what extent this incentive sh…

  • Perceptions of Peace Agreements and Political Trust in Post-War Guatemala, Nepal, and Northern Ireland

    Karin Dyrstad, Kristin M Bakke et al.•ARTICLE•International Peacekeeping•2021•Cited by: 12•References: 28

    (Re)gaining citizens’ trust is a challenge for post-war governments. Political trust is crucial for understanding both the risk of civil war in the first place and the state-society relationships that emerge afterwards. Peace agreements are tools to stop the fighting, address war’s injustices, and provide a blueprint for the state’s future – and they do so to varying degrees. Yet we have little systematic knowledge of how people react to such agr…

  • Silencing Their Critics: How Government Restrictions Against Civil Society Affect International ‘Naming and Shaming

    Open Access•Hannah M Smidt, Dominic Perera et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2021•Cited by: 37•References: 46

    International ‘naming and shaming’ campaigns rely on domestic civil society organizations (CSOs) for information on local human rights conditions. To stop this flow of information, some governments restrict CSOs, for example by limiting their access to funding. Do such restrictions reduce international naming and shaming campaigns that rely on information from domestic CSOs? This article argues that on the one hand, restrictions may reduce CSOs’ …

  • Legacies of Wartime Order: Punishment Attacks and Social Control in Northern Ireland

    Open Access•Kit Rickard, Kristin M Bakke•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2021•Cited by: 12

    Many armed groups create informal institutions to maintain social order during conflict. The remnants of these informal institutions form a key challenge for governments in postconflict societies in their attempts to reestablish themselves as credible state authorities. The persistence of paramilitary groups’ informal “justice” systems in the form of so-called punishment attacks in Northern Ireland, more than twenty years on from the Good Friday …

  • Wartime Experiences and Popular Support for Peace Agreements: Comparative Evidence from Three Cases

    Open Access•Karin Dyrstad, Helga Malmin Binningsbø et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2022•Cited by: 6•References: 62

    Peace agreements are negotiated and signed by representatives of the government and the rebels, often after many years of violent conflict, but their ability to transform a war-torn society hinges on the approval of ordinary people. Yet we have little systematic knowledge of what ordinary people think of peace agreements in the long run. This study begins to fill that gap, drawing on a set of comparative public opinion surveys from Guatemala, Nep…

  • Perceptions of the past in the post-Soviet space

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Kit Rickard et al.•ARTICLE•Post-Soviet Affairs•2023•Cited by: 3•References: 67

    Honing in on how citizens in the former Soviet Union find themselves in an information competition over their own past, this paper explores whether and why ordinary people’s perceptions of historical events and figures in their country’s past are in line with a Russian-promoted narrative that highlights World War II – known as the “Great Patriotic War” in Russia and some former Soviet states – as a glorious Soviet victory and Stalin as a great le…

  • Politicizing Memory: Evidence from Ukraine

    Open Access•Kristin M Bakke, Kit Rickard et al.•ARTICLE•Problems of Post-Communism•2024•References: 27

    Research shows that people's perceptions of historical violence shape many present-day outcomes.Yet it is also plausible that people emphasize or downplay certain events of the past based on how these resonate with their beliefs and identities today.With a population of diverse orientations involving Russia and Europe, Ukraine in 2019 was an important case for exploring how people's present geopolitical orientations shaped perceptions of victimiz…

  • A red flag for public goods? The correlates of civil society restrictions

    Open Access•Hannah Smidt, Hannah M Smidt et al.•ARTICLE•Governance•2024•Cited by: 1•References: 25

    Governments increasingly restrict civil society organizations (CSOs). Different theories converge on the expectation that CSOs are important for public goods. A largely unexplored implication is that increased restrictions on CSOs will signal the under‐delivery of public goods. Using data on government‐imposed restrictions on CSOs for a global sample of countries, we test this implication. Controlling for unobserved cross‐country heterogeneity, t…

  • Support for Vladimir Putin in Russia's neighbors: Survey evidence from an endorsement experiment in six post-Soviet countries

    Open Access•John O''Loughlin, John Ο’loughlin et al.•ARTICLE•Political Geography•2024•References: 44

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Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae