Anthony Mughan
Biographic Data
| ID | 148092 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Anthony Mughan |
| GIVEN NAMES | Anthony |
| FAMILY NAME | Mughan |
| SIGNATURE | MUGHAN A |
| AFFILIATIONS | The Ohio State University |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 49 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 730 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 48 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 1 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1975 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2015 |
| H-INDEX | 15 |
Parties, conditionality and leader effects in parliamentary elections
Attention in the study of leader effects in parliamentary elections has shifted from the question of whether party leaders do indeed have an electoral impact to that of the conditions under which their impact is greater or lesser in magnitude. Criticizing existing scholarship in this area for its assumption that the traditional notion of party identification captures the full range of electorally relevant party attachments in democratic electorat…
Introduction to Comparative Politics
This stimulating and accessible introduction to comparative politics offers a fresh perspective on the fundamentals of political science. Its central theme is the enduring political significance of the modern state despite severe challenges to its sovereignty. There are three main sections to the book. The first traces the origins and meaning of the state and proceeds to explore its relationship to the practice of politics. The second examines ho…
Mass Media and Democratic Politics
Charisma, Leader Effects and Support for Right-Wing Populist Parties
One of the ways in which support for right-wing populist parties is held to be distinctive from that for other kinds of political parties is that their leaders are alleged to be ‘charismatic’ figures who play a crucial role in the electoral success their parties have enjoyed. Focusing on three Dutch elections, this article tests the charismatic leadership hypothesis, asking whether leader effects are stronger for populist than for established par…
What's to Fear from Immigrants? Creating an Assimilationist Threat Scale
We argue that cultural threat, stressed in recent studies of anti‐immigrant sentiment, is properly measured in the U.S. case as “assimilationist threat”: a resentful perception that immigrants are failing to adopt the cultural norms and lifestyle of their new homeland. We explore the meaning and form of assimilationist threat in the minds of Americans through an analysis of four focus groups, two in Los Angeles, CA, and two in Columbus, OH. Using…
Anti-Immigrant Sentiment, Policy Preferences and Populist Party Voting in Australia
Immigration has become a highly salient political issue in many of the world's affluent democracies. Yet, the electoral dynamics of anti-immigrant sentiment remain barely understood. We distinguish two dimensions of concern about immigrants: material threat and cultural threat, and hold that the influence of both on the right-wing populist party vote is critically mediated by policy preferences to restrict immigration and to isolate Australia fro…
Forecasting and the outcome of the 2001 British general election
The International Economy and Presidential Approval
Journal Article The International Economy and Presidential Approval Get access BARRY C. BURDEN, BARRY C. BURDEN Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar ANTHONY MUGHAN ANTHONY MUGHAN Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Public Opinion Quarterly, Volume 67, Issue 4, February 2003, Pages 555–578, https://doi.org/10.1086/378963 Published: 01 February 2003
Economic globalization, job insecurity and the populist reaction
Economic Performance, Job Insecurity and Electoral Choice
The existing literature on economic voting concentrates on egocentric and sociotropic evaluations of short-term economic performance. Scant attention is paid to other economic concerns people may have. In a neo-liberal economy characterized by global economic competition and a down-sized labour market, one widely-publicized economic concern – and one whose consequences political scientists have largely ignored – is job insecurity. Data from a sur…
Fundamentals of Institutional Design
There is a powerful sense in which, if you have seen one parliamentary body, you have seen them all. Of course, there are many differences in detail – of constitutional form, organisation, rules, influence, habits, standards of appropriate conduct. Nevertheless, on a wide canvas representative assemblies around the world have much in common. They are collective decision-making bodies that follow long-standing, widely shared practices and procedur…
Democracy and the Media
This book presents a systematic overview and assessment of the impacts of politics on the media, and of the media on politics, in authoritarian, transitional and democratic regimes in Russia, Spain, Hungary, Chile, Italy, Great Britain, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, and the United States. Its analysis of the interactions between macro- and micro-level factors incorporates the disciplinary perspectives of political science, mass communications,…
Media and the Presidentialization of Parliamentary Elections
In theory, parliamentary elections are a contest between political parties whose leaders do not have a separate identity from their party in the public eye. This case study of Britain shows that this
Public Opinion and Hilary Rodham Clinton
Journal Article Public Opinion and Hilary Rodham Clinton Get access BARRY C. BURDEN, BARRY C. BURDEN Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar ANTHONY MUGHAN ANTHONY MUGHAN Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Public Opinion Quarterly, Volume 63, Issue 2, August 2001, Pages 237–250, https://doi.org/10.1086/297713 Published: 01 August 2001
The Coming of Parliamentary Television
Subscribing to a Burkean view of representation, legislators have long tended to resist constant public scrutiny. In recent years, however, they have overcome this reluctance in a large number of countries and voted to allow the televising of their proceedings. But why they did so remains a mystery. Some media theorists argue that television exposure is a ‘great democratizer’. It demystifies public authority figures and obliges them to become mor…
Mapping legislative socialisation
Legislative socialisation has long been an important force for political deradicalisation in capitalist democracies worldwide. It remains barely explored, however, in large part because it is a process very difficult to track by conventional observational or survey methods. We circumvent these problems by taking advantage of an unusually propitious vote on televising the proceedings of the British House of Commons to chart the institutional derad…
Accounting for Change in Free Vote Outcomes in the House of Commons
Parliamentary decision making is a growth area in the study of the British House of Commons. This is a facet of the behaviour of Members of Parliament (MPs) that tended to be ignored as long as the Commons was seen as a legislature that, cravenly subject to party discipline, simply rubber-stamped policy decisions made by the party leadership. By the 1960s, cohesive party voting had reached the point where ‘it was so close to 100 per cent that the…
Television and presidentialism
The argument is commonly made that television has changed the character of parliamentary elections. Its ever more central role in election campaigns outside the United States is held to have "presidentialized" parliamentary elections because it is a medium that projects personalities more effectively than ideas or policies. A comparison of the electoral roles of the Australian prime minister and the U.S. president indicates that both leaders are …
Activities and Appointments
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Midterm Popularity and Governing Party Dissension in the House of Commons, 1959-79
Leadership Effects in Parliamentary Elections in Australia and Britain
Political party leaders are an increasingly influential electoral force in contemporary liberal democracies. We test the hypothesis that their appeal is idiosyncratic, that is, that their electoral effect is a function of the leadership qualities voters perceive individual candidates as possessing. Thus, the less similar their personality profiles, the more the characteristics influencing the vote should differ from one leader to another. A compa…
Comparing Mid-term Popularity Functions
On the By-Election Vote of Governments in Britain
This article investigates the determinants of short-term fluctuations in the vote share won by British governments in parliamentary by-elections. It identifies three explanations-the turnout, referendum, and models-and tests their individual and collective effect in the context of postwar Britain. Two conclusions are reached. First, the results give qualified support to the interpretation that by-elections are referenda on the economic and politi…
Party commitment, vote switching and liberal decline in Australia
Electoral outcomes are determined in part by voters who switch their political allegiance between elections. Though the subject of extensive study in other countries, this floating vote has received comparatively little attention in Australia. This paper uses 1967 and 1979 survey data to analyse vote switching in Australian elections. We argue, firstly, that turnover tables based on recalled voting are, as research in other countries has shown, i…
The ‘hip pocket nerve’ and electoral volatility in Australia and Great Britain
Over the course of the post‐war period, Australian voting behaviour has manifested a marked degree of aggregate stability, whereas British voting patterns have become increasingly volatile. Since class voting has declined at a similar rate in both countries, it cannot explain this divergence. This article suggests that the explanation is to be found in the differential electoral impact of the two countries' macroeconomic performance in this perio…
Leadership Effects in Parliamentary Elections in Australia and Britain
Political party leaders are an increasingly influential electoral force in contemporary liberal democracies. We test the hypothesis that their appeal is idiosyncratic, that is, that their electoral effect is a function of the leadership qualities voters perceive individual candidates as possessing. Thus, the less similar their personality profiles, the more the characteristics influencing the vote should differ from one leader to another. A compa…
Charisma, Leader Effects and Support for Right-Wing Populist Parties
One of the ways in which support for right-wing populist parties is held to be distinctive from that for other kinds of political parties is that their leaders are alleged to be ‘charismatic’ figures who play a crucial role in the electoral success their parties have enjoyed. Focusing on three Dutch elections, this article tests the charismatic leadership hypothesis, asking whether leader effects are stronger for populist than for established par…
Economic globalization, job insecurity and the populist reaction
Anti-Immigrant Sentiment, Policy Preferences and Populist Party Voting in Australia
Immigration has become a highly salient political issue in many of the world's affluent democracies. Yet, the electoral dynamics of anti-immigrant sentiment remain barely understood. We distinguish two dimensions of concern about immigrants: material threat and cultural threat, and hold that the influence of both on the right-wing populist party vote is critically mediated by policy preferences to restrict immigration and to isolate Australia fro…
What's to Fear from Immigrants? Creating an Assimilationist Threat Scale
We argue that cultural threat, stressed in recent studies of anti‐immigrant sentiment, is properly measured in the U.S. case as “assimilationist threat”: a resentful perception that immigrants are failing to adopt the cultural norms and lifestyle of their new homeland. We explore the meaning and form of assimilationist threat in the minds of Americans through an analysis of four focus groups, two in Los Angeles, CA, and two in Columbus, OH. Using…
Economic Performance, Job Insecurity and Electoral Choice
The existing literature on economic voting concentrates on egocentric and sociotropic evaluations of short-term economic performance. Scant attention is paid to other economic concerns people may have. In a neo-liberal economy characterized by global economic competition and a down-sized labour market, one widely-publicized economic concern – and one whose consequences political scientists have largely ignored – is job insecurity. Data from a sur…
The Decline of Class Voting in Britain
Social class has long been recognized as being the preeminent influence upon electoral choice in Britain, but recent studies provide support for the argument that it has become a weakened force. These studies differ only in the interpretation that they place on its decline. Through the simultaneous estimation of the effects on voting choice of class measured by occupation, and other variables, this article shows how one of the recent studies impl…
Fundamentals of Institutional Design
There is a powerful sense in which, if you have seen one parliamentary body, you have seen them all. Of course, there are many differences in detail – of constitutional form, organisation, rules, influence, habits, standards of appropriate conduct. Nevertheless, on a wide canvas representative assemblies around the world have much in common. They are collective decision-making bodies that follow long-standing, widely shared practices and procedur…
Differential turnout and party advantage in British general elections, 1964-83
Parties, conditionality and leader effects in parliamentary elections
Attention in the study of leader effects in parliamentary elections has shifted from the question of whether party leaders do indeed have an electoral impact to that of the conditions under which their impact is greater or lesser in magnitude. Criticizing existing scholarship in this area for its assumption that the traditional notion of party identification captures the full range of electorally relevant party attachments in democratic electorat…
The Used Vote and Electoral Outcomes
In the 1969 Irish general election, the outgoing government party, Fianna Fail, was once again returned with a majority of seats in the Dail Eireann; it had been in power since 1957. All but one of the remaining seats were distributed between Fine Gael and Labour, which fought the election as separate parties. In 1973, Fine Gael and Labour agreed to form a coalition to fight the coming election and won a majority despite the fact that Fianna Fail…
Mapping legislative socialisation
Legislative socialisation has long been an important force for political deradicalisation in capitalist democracies worldwide. It remains barely explored, however, in large part because it is a process very difficult to track by conventional observational or survey methods. We circumvent these problems by taking advantage of an unusually propitious vote on televising the proceedings of the British House of Commons to chart the institutional derad…
Toward A Political Explanation of Government Vote Losses in Midterm By-Elections
By-elections in parliamentary democracies are remarkable for the almost invariable loss of support experienced by governments relative to the preceding general election. There has been, however, surprisingly little research into this phenomenon. Using Britain as a test case, this article goes some way towards filling this gap. It identifies and tests three political explanations of governments' by-election vote losses, which it labels the turnout…
The International Economy and Presidential Approval
Journal Article The International Economy and Presidential Approval Get access BARRY C. BURDEN, BARRY C. BURDEN Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar ANTHONY MUGHAN ANTHONY MUGHAN Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Public Opinion Quarterly, Volume 67, Issue 4, February 2003, Pages 555–578, https://doi.org/10.1086/378963 Published: 01 February 2003
General election forecasting in Britain
Public Opinion and Hilary Rodham Clinton
Journal Article Public Opinion and Hilary Rodham Clinton Get access BARRY C. BURDEN, BARRY C. BURDEN Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar ANTHONY MUGHAN ANTHONY MUGHAN Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Public Opinion Quarterly, Volume 63, Issue 2, August 2001, Pages 237–250, https://doi.org/10.1086/297713 Published: 01 August 2001
On the By-Election Vote of Governments in Britain
This article investigates the determinants of short-term fluctuations in the vote share won by British governments in parliamentary by-elections. It identifies three explanations-the turnout, referendum, and models-and tests their individual and collective effect in the context of postwar Britain. Two conclusions are reached. First, the results give qualified support to the interpretation that by-elections are referenda on the economic and politi…
The ‘hip pocket nerve’ and electoral volatility in Australia and Great Britain
Over the course of the post‐war period, Australian voting behaviour has manifested a marked degree of aggregate stability, whereas British voting patterns have become increasingly volatile. Since class voting has declined at a similar rate in both countries, it cannot explain this divergence. This article suggests that the explanation is to be found in the differential electoral impact of the two countries' macroeconomic performance in this perio…
Representing the Celtic Fringe
This study examines the social and political backgrounds, legislative role perceptions, and parliamentary activities of sixty-nine Scottish and Welsh members of the British House of Commons. Because legislative attitudes and behavior are linked to various structural features of parliament likely to be altered if proposals to devolve substantial powers to elected assemblies in Scotland and Wales are implemented, devolution would effect fundamental…
Accounting for Change in Free Vote Outcomes in the House of Commons
Parliamentary decision making is a growth area in the study of the British House of Commons. This is a facet of the behaviour of Members of Parliament (MPs) that tended to be ignored as long as the Commons was seen as a legislature that, cravenly subject to party discipline, simply rubber-stamped policy decisions made by the party leadership. By the 1960s, cohesive party voting had reached the point where ‘it was so close to 100 per cent that the…
Class, Attitudes, and Electoral Politics in Britain, 1974-1983
There is now general agreement that social class has declined in electoral importance in Britain in recent years. There is disagreement, however, about the role political attitudes have come to play in structuring the vote. This article builds on our previous research on political attitudes and voting in Britain by applying multivariate analysis to survey data collected for the 1983 general election. The analysis uses a sophisticated conceptualiz…
The Cross-National Validity of Party Identification
The question of party identification's cross-national validity revolves around the issue of whether or not it can be meaningfully distinguished from immediate voting preference in European national contexts. Comparing this relationship in the American and British party systems, however, this article demonstrates that the two forms of party support are behaviourally similar not in the case of national contexts, but of parties that are linked to th…
The Decline of Class Revisited
Class has long been the preeminent source of political conflict in industrial society, but its electoral influence has declined in recent years. The sources of the decline are not yet firmly established, and moreover the implications for political parties remain unclear. The decline-of-class hypothesis states that parties on the left will decline as the working class becomes more affluent and adopts middle-class styles of conduct. By contrast, th…
Modernization and Ethnic Conflict in Belgium
In the specific context of Belgium, this article expounds and tests the thesis that regional (ethnically defined) contrasts in time sequence and rate of modernization have given rise to two distinct types of nationalism, one ‘cultural’ and the other ‘economic’, whose different origins and goals are reflected in the nationalist parties' loci of electoral support. The data provide considerable support for this thesis. But they also show the charact…
Attitudes, Issues, and Labour Party Decline in England, 1974-1979
This article critically examines the argument that the Labour party's poor performance in the 1979 general election reflects a long-term decline that is largely the result of its own natural support groups, Labour identifiers and the working class, developing political attitudes that serve increasingly to estrange them from the party's traditional principles. This argument further holds that issues emerged in the 1979 campaign that, deriving from…
The Used Vote and Electoral Outcomes
In the 1969 Irish general election, the outgoing government party, Fianna Fail, was once again returned with a majority of seats in the Dail Eireann; it had been in power since 1957. All but one of the remaining seats were distributed between Fine Gael and Labour, which fought the election as separate parties. In 1973, Fine Gael and Labour agreed to form a coalition to fight the coming election and won a majority despite the fact that Fianna Fail…
Books
The black American experience Jacob Drachler (ed.), Black Homeland, Black Diaspora: Cross‐Currents of the African Relationship (with a prefatory essay by Boniface I. Obichere). National University Publications, Kennikat Press, London 1975. Joel D. Aberbach and Jack L. Walker, Race in the City. Little Brown and Company, Boston 1973. P. Rossi, R. A. Berk and Bettye Eidson, The Roots of Urban Discontent: Public Policy, Municipal Institutions and the…
Modernisation, deprivation and the distribution of power resources
(1977). Modernisation, deprivation and the distribution of power resources: Towards a theory of ethnic conflict. New Community: Vol. 5, No. 4, pp. 360-370
Labour Party Politics and the Working Class
Steven Beackon's ‘Labour Party Politics and the Working Class’ (this Journal, VI (1976), 231–8) highlights a common problem in political science research, an inadequate concern for the validity of measuring instruments.On the basis of six statements, the first three of which are claimed to be of an explicitly class character whilst the other three are not, Beackon classifies Labour party activists into those who perceived the party as a class par…
Representing the Celtic Fringe
This study examines the social and political backgrounds, legislative role perceptions, and parliamentary activities of sixty-nine Scottish and Welsh members of the British House of Commons. Because legislative attitudes and behavior are linked to various structural features of parliament likely to be altered if proposals to devolve substantial powers to elected assemblies in Scotland and Wales are implemented, devolution would effect fundamental…
Electoral Change in Britain
Studies of patterns of voting change during the election campaigns of the 1940s and 1950s generally arrived at two conclusions: (1) the electorate is highly stable in its voting choice so that few votes change over the course of the campaign; and (2) those votes that do change are more or less random in their net impact on the distribution of party support. Butler and Stokes' more recent study of the national campaigns in 1964 and 1966 showed tha…
The Decline of Class Voting in Britain
Social class has long been recognized as being the preeminent influence upon electoral choice in Britain, but recent studies provide support for the argument that it has become a weakened force. These studies differ only in the interpretation that they place on its decline. Through the simultaneous estimation of the effects on voting choice of class measured by occupation, and other variables, this article shows how one of the recent studies impl…
Short reviews
John Higham (ed.): ETHNIC LEADERSHIP IN AMERICA, Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore & London, 1978; 214 pp., n.p. Arend Lijphart, DEMOCRACY IN PLURAL SOCIETIES: A COMPARATIVE PERSPECTIVE. New Haven, Yale University Press, 1977. 248 pp., n.p. Francis Mading Deng, AFRICANS OF TWO WORLDS, THE DINKA IN AFRO‐ARAB SUDAN. New Haven and London, Yale University Press. 244 pp., n.p. Patricia Caplan and Janet M. Bujra (eds), WOMEN UNITED, WOMEN DIVID…
Modernization and Ethnic Conflict in Belgium
In the specific context of Belgium, this article expounds and tests the thesis that regional (ethnically defined) contrasts in time sequence and rate of modernization have given rise to two distinct types of nationalism, one ‘cultural’ and the other ‘economic’, whose different origins and goals are reflected in the nationalist parties' loci of electoral support. The data provide considerable support for this thesis. But they also show the charact…
Party Identification, Voting Preference and Electoral Outcomes in Britain, 1964–74
The sharp drop in the Conservative and Labour parties' combined share of the poll in the two 1974 parliamentary elections is perhaps the most important development in British electoral politics since the rise of the class alignment of partisanship. From an average of 91·8 per cent between 1950 and 1970, the share of the vote won by these two parties dropped sharply to an average of 75·3 per cent in 1974, a figure substantially below their previou…
The Cross-National Validity of Party Identification
The question of party identification's cross-national validity revolves around the issue of whether or not it can be meaningfully distinguished from immediate voting preference in European national contexts. Comparing this relationship in the American and British party systems, however, this article demonstrates that the two forms of party support are behaviourally similar not in the case of national contexts, but of parties that are linked to th…
The mobilization of the ethnic vote
The non‐mobilization of a critique
The Belgian election of 1981
Accommodation or Defusion in the Management of Linguistic Conflict in Belgium
Under the influence of the consociational model, conflict management in deeply divided societies like Belgium is usually viewed in terms of purposive accommodative behaviour on the part of established élites. This paper argues, however, that this perspective in fact misrepresents the nature of élite efforts to manage the linguistic conflict that has dominated Belgian national political life since the mid-1960s. Eschewing accommodation, the leader…
Values, Protest and Minority Nationalism in Wales
Since 1945, industrial societies have experienced rapid socio-economic change. Occupational structures have altered to accommodate the new technological skills demanded by many new industries. These newer, smaller and more flexible industries have, in their turn, fostered unparalleled economic growth. Concomitantly, access to education has risen dramatically for all social groups, while the development of mass communications has enabled large amo…
The fate of the language
Attitudes, Issues, and Labour Party Decline in England, 1974-1979
This article critically examines the argument that the Labour party's poor performance in the 1979 general election reflects a long-term decline that is largely the result of its own natural support groups, Labour identifiers and the working class, developing political attitudes that serve increasingly to estrange them from the party's traditional principles. This argument further holds that issues emerged in the 1979 campaign that, deriving from…
The Decline of Class Revisited
Class has long been the preeminent source of political conflict in industrial society, but its electoral influence has declined in recent years. The sources of the decline are not yet firmly established, and moreover the implications for political parties remain unclear. The decline-of-class hypothesis states that parties on the left will decline as the working class becomes more affluent and adopts middle-class styles of conduct. By contrast, th…
The nuclear weapons issue in the 1983 British general election
In common with many other Western European countries, the issue of nuclear weapons rose to political prominence in Britain in the course of the 1980s. However, whereas the issue was often taken up by newly formed environmentalist parties elsewhere, it differentiated the traditional parties one from the other in Britain. This was made possible by the Labour party's manifesto commitment to unilateral nuclear disarmament. This article details the vi…
Differential turnout and party advantage in British general elections, 1964-83
Toward A Political Explanation of Government Vote Losses in Midterm By-Elections
By-elections in parliamentary democracies are remarkable for the almost invariable loss of support experienced by governments relative to the preceding general election. There has been, however, surprisingly little research into this phenomenon. Using Britain as a test case, this article goes some way towards filling this gap. It identifies and tests three political explanations of governments' by-election vote losses, which it labels the turnout…
Party commitment, vote switching and liberal decline in Australia
Electoral outcomes are determined in part by voters who switch their political allegiance between elections. Though the subject of extensive study in other countries, this floating vote has received comparatively little attention in Australia. This paper uses 1967 and 1979 survey data to analyse vote switching in Australian elections. We argue, firstly, that turnover tables based on recalled voting are, as research in other countries has shown, i…
The ‘hip pocket nerve’ and electoral volatility in Australia and Great Britain
Over the course of the post‐war period, Australian voting behaviour has manifested a marked degree of aggregate stability, whereas British voting patterns have become increasingly volatile. Since class voting has declined at a similar rate in both countries, it cannot explain this divergence. This article suggests that the explanation is to be found in the differential electoral impact of the two countries' macroeconomic performance in this perio…
Class, Attitudes, and Electoral Politics in Britain, 1974-1983
There is now general agreement that social class has declined in electoral importance in Britain in recent years. There is disagreement, however, about the role political attitudes have come to play in structuring the vote. This article builds on our previous research on political attitudes and voting in Britain by applying multivariate analysis to survey data collected for the 1983 general election. The analysis uses a sophisticated conceptualiz…
Political science (48 works) · Law (45 works) · Politics (41 works) · Law (40 works) · Political economy (31 works) · Sociology (31 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (27 works) · Economics (23 works) · Voting (14 works) · General election (13 works)