Tom Kompas
Biographic Data
| ID | 1540645 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Tom Kompas |
| GIVEN NAMES | Tom |
| FAMILY NAME | Kompas |
| SIGNATURE | KOMPAS T |
| AFFILIATIONS | Australian National University |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-0665-0966 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 24 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 51 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 24 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2010 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 4 |
Interdisciplinary challenges for wildfire futures
Normative learning generates behaviour change
Drowning is a risk governance issue of global significance. The majority of coastal drownings occur at unpatrolled beaches. Interventions designed to influence public behaviours are measured in terms of ‘awareness raised’ and ‘intentions to act’ rather than actual ‘behaviours adopted’. As a result, up-scaling impacts defaults to the dubious assumption that the communication of information can raise societal-scale awareness that will result in soc…
Catch-rate triggers as a fisheries management tool for short lived species
Fisheries based on short lived species are notoriously difficult to manage using traditional effort or catch quota controls. Such fisheries are often characterised by high fecundity, requiring only a small spawning stock to potentially produce a large biomass the following year. This stock, or at least its availability, is driven by unpredictable environmental conditions to a large extent, with the available biomass depleted over the fishing seas…
Rethinking responses to the world’s water crises
Effects of Closures and Openings on Public Health in the Time of Covid-19
Many countries mandated social distancing measures during the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020 to 2022 that variously included opening hours restrictions on hospitality and retail, economy-wide closures, and additional international border controls. We analyzed whether more restrictive (hereafter, closures) or less restrictive (hereafter, openings) social distancing measures changed the short-term trends in the number of COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations…
Optimal post-border surveillance against invasive pests to protect a valuable nature reserve and island asset
Harmful and often catastrophic damages from the introduction of non-indigenous species (NIS) are widely acknowledged. While preventing the introduction of NIS through border and pre-border measures has been the first line of defence, post-border surveillance has recently attracted considerable attention as it increases the likelihood that small invasive populations will be found and eradicated quickly before they become widespread. We develop a n…
What vaccination rate(s) minimize total societal costs after ’opening up’ to Covid-19? Age-structured Sirm results for the Delta variant in Australia (New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia)
Using three age-structured, stochastic SIRM models, calibrated to Australian data post July 2021 with community transmission of the Delta variant, we projected possible public health outcomes (daily cases, hospitalisations, ICU beds, ventilators and fatalities) and economy costs for three states: New South Wales (NSW), Victoria (VIC) and Western Australia (WA). NSW and VIC have had on-going community transmission from July 2021 and were in ‘lockd…
Integrated perspective on translating biophysical to economic impacts of climate change
Pluralistic discounting recognizing different capital contributions
Economic efficiency versus social equity
Realizing resilience for decision-making
Language, Mixed Communes, and Infrastructure
A practical optimal surveillance policy for invasive weeds
Application of portfolio theory to asset-based biosecurity decision analysis
Coping with Nasty Surprises
B ayesian methods are particularly useful to informing decisions when information is sparse and ambiguous, but decisions involving risks must still be made in a timely manner. Given the utility of these approaches to public policy, this article considers the case for refreshing the general practice of risk management in governance by using a simplified B ayesian approach based on using raw data expressed as ‘natural frequencies’. This simplified …
Managing Risk and Increasing the Robustness of Invasive Species Eradication Programs
Invasive species eradication programs can fail by applying management strategies that are not robust to potentially large but non‐quantified risks. A more robust strategy can succeed over a larger range of possible values for non‐quantified risk. This form of robustness analysis is often not undertaken in eradication program evaluations. The main non‐quantified risk initially facing A ustralia's fire ant eradication program was that the invasion …
Optimal water tariffs and supply augmentation for cost-of-service regulated water utilities
Three Pillars of Fisheries Policy
The causes of overfishing are reviewed along with deficiencies in top‐down input‐regulated fisheries management. An alternative is the three pillars of fisheries policy intended to ensure sustainable, economically viable fisheries and marine ecosystems. The first pillar are incentives that promote a long‐term interest in both fisheries and marine ecosystems; the second are targets that account for the bioeconomics of fisheries; and the third, ada…
Targets and Fisheries Management in the A sia and P acific Region
Marine fisheries in the A sia and the P acific region play an important role in global, regional and national economies. Many of the fisheries in the region are over‐exploited, both biologically and economically. We focus on the use of appropriate fishery targets, and the importance of tying those targets to management objectives to overcome the usual and unwanted negative externalities that occur in ocean fisheries, the ones that result in subst…
Aid and the Control of Tuberculosis in P apua N ew G uinea
A ustralia supports the control of tuberculosis in P apua N ew G uinea for reasons of aid effectiveness and a desire to decrease the chance of importing tuberculosis to A ustralia. This paper analyses the case for this support using both cost‐utility and cost‐benefit analysis. W e reach three conclusions. First, A ustralia directly benefits from its investment in controlling tuberculosis in P apua N ew G uinea, with a cost of $ US 13 million (in …
Fevd
Fixed effects vector decomposition (FEVD) is simply an instrumental variables (IV) estimator with a particular choice of instruments and a special case of the well-known Hausman-Taylor IV procedure. Plümper and Troeger (PT) now acknowledge this point and disown the three-stage procedure that previously defined FEVD. Their old recipe for SEs, which has regrettably been used in dozens of published research papers, produces dramatic overconfidence i…
On the Fixed-Effects Vector Decomposition
This paper analyzes the properties of the fixed-effects vector decomposition estimator, an emerging and popular technique for estimating time-invariant variables in panel data models with group effects. This estimator was initially motivated on heuristic grounds, and advocated on the strength of favorable Monte Carlo results, but with no formal analysis. We show that the three-stage procedure of this decomposition is equivalent to a standard inst…
Non-consumptive values and optimal marine reserve switching
Shifting from Green Revolution to environmentally sound policies
This study analyses technological change in Indonesian rice agriculture. An analysis of data compiled by the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics shows that rice agriculture has undergone technological progress with non-neutral technological change that has been capital and labour saving and chemical intensive. Recent agricultural policy reforms, which include the dissemination and implementation of environmentally friendly technology, however…
On the Fixed-Effects Vector Decomposition
This paper analyzes the properties of the fixed-effects vector decomposition estimator, an emerging and popular technique for estimating time-invariant variables in panel data models with group effects. This estimator was initially motivated on heuristic grounds, and advocated on the strength of favorable Monte Carlo results, but with no formal analysis. We show that the three-stage procedure of this decomposition is equivalent to a standard inst…
Fevd
Fixed effects vector decomposition (FEVD) is simply an instrumental variables (IV) estimator with a particular choice of instruments and a special case of the well-known Hausman-Taylor IV procedure. Plümper and Troeger (PT) now acknowledge this point and disown the three-stage procedure that previously defined FEVD. Their old recipe for SEs, which has regrettably been used in dozens of published research papers, produces dramatic overconfidence i…
Realizing resilience for decision-making
Language, Mixed Communes, and Infrastructure
Shifting from Green Revolution to environmentally sound policies
This study analyses technological change in Indonesian rice agriculture. An analysis of data compiled by the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics shows that rice agriculture has undergone technological progress with non-neutral technological change that has been capital and labour saving and chemical intensive. Recent agricultural policy reforms, which include the dissemination and implementation of environmentally friendly technology, however…
Optimal water tariffs and supply augmentation for cost-of-service regulated water utilities
Rethinking responses to the world’s water crises
Non-consumptive values and optimal marine reserve switching
Shifting from Green Revolution to environmentally sound policies
This study analyses technological change in Indonesian rice agriculture. An analysis of data compiled by the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics shows that rice agriculture has undergone technological progress with non-neutral technological change that has been capital and labour saving and chemical intensive. Recent agricultural policy reforms, which include the dissemination and implementation of environmentally friendly technology, however…
Fevd
Fixed effects vector decomposition (FEVD) is simply an instrumental variables (IV) estimator with a particular choice of instruments and a special case of the well-known Hausman-Taylor IV procedure. Plümper and Troeger (PT) now acknowledge this point and disown the three-stage procedure that previously defined FEVD. Their old recipe for SEs, which has regrettably been used in dozens of published research papers, produces dramatic overconfidence i…
On the Fixed-Effects Vector Decomposition
This paper analyzes the properties of the fixed-effects vector decomposition estimator, an emerging and popular technique for estimating time-invariant variables in panel data models with group effects. This estimator was initially motivated on heuristic grounds, and advocated on the strength of favorable Monte Carlo results, but with no formal analysis. We show that the three-stage procedure of this decomposition is equivalent to a standard inst…
Three Pillars of Fisheries Policy
The causes of overfishing are reviewed along with deficiencies in top‐down input‐regulated fisheries management. An alternative is the three pillars of fisheries policy intended to ensure sustainable, economically viable fisheries and marine ecosystems. The first pillar are incentives that promote a long‐term interest in both fisheries and marine ecosystems; the second are targets that account for the bioeconomics of fisheries; and the third, ada…
Targets and Fisheries Management in the A sia and P acific Region
Marine fisheries in the A sia and the P acific region play an important role in global, regional and national economies. Many of the fisheries in the region are over‐exploited, both biologically and economically. We focus on the use of appropriate fishery targets, and the importance of tying those targets to management objectives to overcome the usual and unwanted negative externalities that occur in ocean fisheries, the ones that result in subst…
Aid and the Control of Tuberculosis in P apua N ew G uinea
A ustralia supports the control of tuberculosis in P apua N ew G uinea for reasons of aid effectiveness and a desire to decrease the chance of importing tuberculosis to A ustralia. This paper analyses the case for this support using both cost‐utility and cost‐benefit analysis. W e reach three conclusions. First, A ustralia directly benefits from its investment in controlling tuberculosis in P apua N ew G uinea, with a cost of $ US 13 million (in …
Application of portfolio theory to asset-based biosecurity decision analysis
Coping with Nasty Surprises
B ayesian methods are particularly useful to informing decisions when information is sparse and ambiguous, but decisions involving risks must still be made in a timely manner. Given the utility of these approaches to public policy, this article considers the case for refreshing the general practice of risk management in governance by using a simplified B ayesian approach based on using raw data expressed as ‘natural frequencies’. This simplified …
Managing Risk and Increasing the Robustness of Invasive Species Eradication Programs
Invasive species eradication programs can fail by applying management strategies that are not robust to potentially large but non‐quantified risks. A more robust strategy can succeed over a larger range of possible values for non‐quantified risk. This form of robustness analysis is often not undertaken in eradication program evaluations. The main non‐quantified risk initially facing A ustralia's fire ant eradication program was that the invasion …
Optimal water tariffs and supply augmentation for cost-of-service regulated water utilities
A practical optimal surveillance policy for invasive weeds
Language, Mixed Communes, and Infrastructure
Realizing resilience for decision-making
Integrated perspective on translating biophysical to economic impacts of climate change
Pluralistic discounting recognizing different capital contributions
Economic efficiency versus social equity
What vaccination rate(s) minimize total societal costs after ’opening up’ to Covid-19? Age-structured Sirm results for the Delta variant in Australia (New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia)
Using three age-structured, stochastic SIRM models, calibrated to Australian data post July 2021 with community transmission of the Delta variant, we projected possible public health outcomes (daily cases, hospitalisations, ICU beds, ventilators and fatalities) and economy costs for three states: New South Wales (NSW), Victoria (VIC) and Western Australia (WA). NSW and VIC have had on-going community transmission from July 2021 and were in ‘lockd…
Effects of Closures and Openings on Public Health in the Time of Covid-19
Many countries mandated social distancing measures during the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020 to 2022 that variously included opening hours restrictions on hospitality and retail, economy-wide closures, and additional international border controls. We analyzed whether more restrictive (hereafter, closures) or less restrictive (hereafter, openings) social distancing measures changed the short-term trends in the number of COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations…
Optimal post-border surveillance against invasive pests to protect a valuable nature reserve and island asset
Harmful and often catastrophic damages from the introduction of non-indigenous species (NIS) are widely acknowledged. While preventing the introduction of NIS through border and pre-border measures has been the first line of defence, post-border surveillance has recently attracted considerable attention as it increases the likelihood that small invasive populations will be found and eradicated quickly before they become widespread. We develop a n…
Normative learning generates behaviour change
Drowning is a risk governance issue of global significance. The majority of coastal drownings occur at unpatrolled beaches. Interventions designed to influence public behaviours are measured in terms of ‘awareness raised’ and ‘intentions to act’ rather than actual ‘behaviours adopted’. As a result, up-scaling impacts defaults to the dubious assumption that the communication of information can raise societal-scale awareness that will result in soc…
Catch-rate triggers as a fisheries management tool for short lived species
Fisheries based on short lived species are notoriously difficult to manage using traditional effort or catch quota controls. Such fisheries are often characterised by high fecundity, requiring only a small spawning stock to potentially produce a large biomass the following year. This stock, or at least its availability, is driven by unpredictable environmental conditions to a large extent, with the available biomass depleted over the fishing seas…
Rethinking responses to the world’s water crises
Interdisciplinary challenges for wildfire futures
Economics (19 works) · Business (14 works) · Ecology (9 works) · Biology (8 works) · Computer Science (7 works) · Geography (7 works) · Natural resource economics (7 works) · Environmental resource management (6 works) · Political science (6 works) · Statistics (5 works)