Theo Vos

Datos Biográficos

ID1741544
NOMBRETheo Vos
NOMBRESTheo
APELLIDOVos
FIRMAVOS T
AFILIACIONESUniversity of Washington
ORCID0000-0002-5690-5365
VERIFICADOSí
TOTAL DE OBRAS122
TOTAL DE CITAS17
TOTAL COMO AUTOR122
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMER AÑO DE PUBLICACIÓN1994
AÑO MÁS RECIENTE DE PUBLICACIÓN2024
ÍNDICE H2

  • Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050

    Open AccessStein Emil Vollset, Hazim S Ababneh et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Future trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and prioritisation. We have expanded and improved upon previous forecasts produced as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) and provide a reference forecast (the most likely future), and alternativ…

  • Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021

    Open AccessMohsen Naghavi, Stein Emil Vollset et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) poses an important global health challenge in the 21st century. A previous study has quantified the global and regional burden of AMR for 2019, followed with additional publications that provided more detailed estimates for several WHO regions by country. To date, there have been no studies that produce comprehensive estimates of AMR burden across locations that encompass historical trends and future for…

  • Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021

    Open AccessMichael Brauer, Gregory A Roth et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Understanding the health consequences associated with exposure to risk factors is necessary to inform public health policy and practice. To systematically quantify the contributions of risk factor exposures to specific health outcomes, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 aims to provide comprehensive estimates of exposure levels, relative health risks, and attributable burden of disease for 88 ri…

  • Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100

    Open AccessNatalia V Bhattacharjee, Austin E Schumacher et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Accurate assessments of current and future fertility-including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions-are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, environmental, and geopolitical challenges that these changes will bring. Estimates and projections of fertility are necessary to inform policies involving resource and health-care needs, labour supply, education, gender equality,…

  • Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021

    Open AccessMohsen Naghavi, Kanyin Liane Ong et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Regular, detailed reporting on population health by underlying cause of death is fundamental for public health decision making. Cause-specific estimates of mortality and the subsequent effects on life expectancy worldwide are valuable metrics to gauge progress in reducing mortality rates. These estimates are particularly important following large-scale mortality spikes, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. When systematically analysed, mort…

  • Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic

    Open AccessAustin E Schumacher, Hmwe Hmwe Kyu et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides new demographic estimates for 204 cou…

  • Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (Dalys), and healthy life expectancy (Hale) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territor…

    Open AccessAlize J Ferrari, Damian Francesco Santomauro et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Detailed, comprehensive, and timely reporting on population health by underlying causes of disability and premature death is crucial to understanding and responding to complex patterns of disease and injury burden over time and across age groups, sexes, and locations. The availability of disease burden estimates can promote evidence-based interventions that enable public health researchers, policy makers, and other professionals to im…

  • Global, regional, and national burden of disorders affecting the nervous system, 1990–2021

    Open AccessJaimie D Steinmetz, Katrin Seeher et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet Neurology2024

    BACKGROUND: Disorders affecting the nervous system are diverse and include neurodevelopmental disorders, late-life neurodegeneration, and newly emergent conditions, such as cognitive impairment following COVID-19. Previous publications from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factor Study estimated the burden of 15 neurological conditions in 2015 and 2016, but these analyses did not include neurodevelopmental disorders, as defined by…

  • Global, regional, and national burden of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, with projections of prevalence to 2050

    Open AccessKanyin Liane Ong, Lauryn K Stafford et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2023

    BACKGROUND: Diabetes is one of the leading causes of death and disability worldwide, and affects people regardless of country, age group, or sex. Using the most recent evidentiary and analytical framework from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD), we produced location-specific, age-specific, and sex-specific estimates of diabetes prevalence and burden from 1990 to 2021, the proportion of type 1 and type 2 diabetes…

  • Disease Burden Attributed to Drug use in the Nordic Countries

    Open AccessGBD Nordic Drug Use Collaborators, Emilie Agardh et al.ARTICLEInternational Journal of Mental…2023

    The Nordic countries share similarities in many social and welfare domains, but drug policies have varied over time and between countries. We wanted to compare differences in mortality and disease burden attributed to drug use over time. Using results from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, we extracted age-standardized estimates of deaths, DALYs, YLLs and YLDs per 100 000 population for Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden during…

  • Estimation of the global prevalence of dementia in 2019 and forecasted prevalence in 2050

    Open AccessEmma Nichols, Jaimie D Steinmetz et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet Public Health2022

    BACKGROUND: Given the projected trends in population ageing and population growth, the number of people with dementia is expected to increase. In addition, strong evidence has emerged supporting the importance of potentially modifiable risk factors for dementia. Characterising the distribution and magnitude of anticipated growth is crucial for public health planning and resource prioritisation. This study aimed to improve on previous forecasts of…

  • Pandemic preparedness and Covid-19

    Open AccessThomas J Bollyky, Erin N Hulland et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2022

    BACKGROUND: National rates of COVID-19 infection and fatality have varied dramatically since the onset of the pandemic. Understanding the conditions associated with this cross-country variation is essential to guiding investment in more effective preparedness and response for future pandemics. METHODS: Daily SARS-CoV-2 infections and COVID-19 deaths for 177 countries and territories and 181 subnational locations were extracted from the Institute …

  • Population-level risks of alcohol consumption by amount, geography, age, sex, and year

    Open AccessDana Bryazka, Marissa B Reitsma et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2022

    BACKGROUND: The health risks associated with moderate alcohol consumption continue to be debated. Small amounts of alcohol might lower the risk of some health outcomes but increase the risk of others, suggesting that the overall risk depends, in part, on background disease rates, which vary by region, age, sex, and year. METHODS: For this analysis, we constructed burden-weighted dose-response relative risk curves across 22 health outcomes to esti…

  • Causes of blindness and vision impairment in 2020 and trends over 30 years, and prevalence of avoidable blindness in relation to Vision 2020

    Open AccessJaimie D Steinmetz, Rupert R A Bourne et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet Global Health2021

    BACKGROUND: Many causes of vision impairment can be prevented or treated. With an ageing global population, the demands for eye health services are increasing. We estimated the prevalence and relative contribution of avoidable causes of blindness and vision impairment globally from 1990 to 2020. We aimed to compare the results with the World Health Assembly Global Action Plan (WHA GAP) target of a 25% global reduction from 2010 to 2019 in avoidab…

  • Trends in prevalence of blindness and distance and near vision impairment over 30 years

    Open AccessRupert Bourne, Jaimie D Steinmetz et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet Global Health2021

    BACKGROUND: To contribute to the WHO initiative, VISION 2020: The Right to Sight, an assessment of global vision impairment in 2020 and temporal change is needed. We aimed to extensively update estimates of global vision loss burden, presenting estimates for 2020, temporal change over three decades between 1990-2020, and forecasts for 2050. METHODS: We did a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based surveys of eye disease from Janua…

  • Health and economic impact of air pollution in the states of India

    Open AccessAnamika Pandey, Michael Brauer et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet Planetary Health2021

    BACKGROUND: The association of air pollution with multiple adverse health outcomes is becoming well established, but its negative economic impact is less well appreciated. It is important to elucidate this impact for the states of India. METHODS: We estimated exposure to ambient particulate matter pollution, household air pollution, and ambient ozone pollution, and their attributable deaths and disability-adjusted life-years in every state of Ind…

  • Hearing loss prevalence and years lived with disability, 1990–2019

    Open AccessLydia M Haile, Kaloyan Kamenov et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2021

    BACKGROUND: Hearing loss affects access to spoken language, which can affect cognition and development, and can negatively affect social wellbeing. We present updated estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study on the prevalence of hearing loss in 2019, as well as the condition's associated disability. METHODS: We did systematic reviews of population-representative surveys on hearing loss prevalence from 1990 to 2019. We fitted nested…

  • Global prevalence and burden of depressive and anxiety disorders in 204 countries and territories in 2020 due to the Covid-19 pandemic

    Open AccessDamian F Santomauro, Damian Santomauro et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2021

    BACKGROUND: Before 2020, mental disorders were leading causes of the global health-related burden, with depressive and anxiety disorders being leading contributors to this burden. The emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic has created an environment where many determinants of poor mental health are exacerbated. The need for up-to-date information on the mental health impacts of COVID-19 in a way that informs health system responses is imperative. In …

  • Availability of population-level data sources for tracking the incidence of deaths and injuries from road traffic crashes in low-income and middle-income countries

    Open AccessSudeshna Mitra, Kazuyuki Neki et al.ARTICLEBMJ Global Health2021

    INTRODUCTION: Tracking progress towards Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 3·6 of reducing traffic deaths and serious injuries poses a measurement challenge in most low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) due to large discrepancies between reported official statistics and estimates from global health measurement studies. We assess the extent to which national population censuses and health surveys can fill the information gaps. METHODS: We…

  • Global estimates of the need for rehabilitation based on the Global Burden of Disease study 2019

    Open AccessAlarcos Cieza, Kate Causey et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2020

    BACKGROUND: Rehabilitation has often been seen as a disability-specific service needed by only few of the population. Despite its individual and societal benefits, rehabilitation has not been prioritised in countries and is under-resourced. We present global, regional, and country data for the number of people who would benefit from rehabilitation at least once during the course of their disabling illness or injury. METHODS: To estimate the need …

  • Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (Hale), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2019

    Open AccessHaidong Wang, Kaja Abbas et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2020

    BACKGROUND: Accurate and up-to-date assessment of demographic metrics is crucial for understanding a wide range of social, economic, and public health issues that affect populations worldwide. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 produced updated and comprehensive demographic assessments of the key indicators of fertility, mortality, migration, and population for 204 countries and territories and selected sub…

  • Prevalence and attributable health burden of chronic respiratory diseases, 1990–2017

    Open AccessJoan B Soriano, Parkes J Kendrick et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet Respiratory Medicine2020

    BACKGROUND: Previous attempts to characterise the burden of chronic respiratory diseases have focused only on specific disease conditions, such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or asthma. In this study, we aimed to characterise the burden of chronic respiratory diseases globally, providing a comprehensive and up-to-date analysis on geographical and time trends from 1990 to 2017. METHODS: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease…

  • The burden of mental disorders across the states of India

    Open AccessRajesh Sagar, Rakhi Dandona et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet Psychiatry2020

    BACKGROUND: Mental disorders are among the leading causes of non-fatal disease burden in India, but a systematic understanding of their prevalence, disease burden, and risk factors is not readily available for each state of India. In this report, we describe the prevalence and disease burden of each mental disorder for the states of India, from 1990 to 2017. METHODS: We used all accessible data from multiple sources to estimate the prevalence of …

  • Five insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

    Open AccessChristopher J L Murray, Cristiana Abbafati et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2020

  • Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risk Factors, 1990–2019

    Open AccessGregory A Roth, George A Mensah et al.ARTICLEJournal of the American College…2020

    Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), principally ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke, are the leading cause of global mortality and a major contributor to disability. This paper reviews the magnitude of total CVD burden, including 13 underlying causes of cardiovascular death and 9 related risk factors, using estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. GBD, an ongoing multinational collaboration to provide comparable and consisten…