Marco Ajelli
Biographic Data
| ID | 1756849 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Marco Ajelli |
| GIVEN NAMES | Marco |
| FAMILY NAME | Ajelli |
| SIGNATURE | AJELLI M |
| AFFILIATIONS | Indiana University Bloomington |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-1753-4749 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 8 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 17 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 8 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2020 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2024 |
| H-INDEX | 2 |
Increasing situational awareness through nowcasting of the reproduction number
Background: The time-varying reproduction number R is a critical variable for situational awareness during infectious disease outbreaks; however, delays between infection and reporting of cases hinder its accurate estimation in real-time. A number of nowcasting methods, leveraging available information on data consolidation delays, have been proposed to mitigate this problem. Methods: In this work, we retrospectively validate the use of a nowcast…
The unequal effects of the health-economy trade-off during the Covid-19 pandemic
Despite the global impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, the question of whether mandated interventions have similar economic and public health effects as spontaneous behavioural change remains unresolved. Addressing this question, and understanding differential effects across socioeconomic groups, requires building quantitative and fine-grained mechanistic models. Here we introduce a data-driven, granular, agent-based model that simul…
The New Quadrivalent Adjuvanted Influenza Vaccine for the Italian Elderly
The results of this project provide decision-makers with important evidence on the aQIV and support with scientific evidence on the appropriate use of vaccines in the elderly
Characterizing the transmission patterns of seasonal influenza in Italy
The results presented in this study provide insights on type/subtype-specific transmission patterns of seasonal influenza that could be instrumental to fine-tune immunization strategies and non-pharmaceutical interventions aimed at limiting seasonal influenza spread and burden
Despite vaccination, China needs non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent widespread outbreaks of Covid-19 in 2021
COVID-19 vaccination is being conducted in over 200 countries and regions to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission and return to a pre-pandemic lifestyle. However, understanding when non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) can be lifted as immunity builds up remains a key question for policy makers. To address this, we built a data-driven model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission for China. We estimated that, to prevent the escalation of local outbreaks to wide…
Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the Covid-19 outbreak in China
Who and what next? The coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has brought tighter restrictions on the daily lives of millions of people, but we do not yet understand what measures are the most effective. Zhang et al. modeled virus transmission in Wuhan, China, in February 2020, investigating the effects of interventions ranging from patient management to social isolation. Age-mixing patterns were estimated by contact surveys conducted in Wuhan and …
The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak
Outbreak to pandemic In response to global dispersion of severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), quarantine measures have been implemented around the world. To understand how travel and quarantine influence the dynamics of the spread of this novel human virus, Chinazzi et al. applied a global metapopulation disease transmission model to epidemiological data from China. They concluded that the travel quarantine introduced in …
Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of Covid-19
Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of Covid-19
The unequal effects of the health-economy trade-off during the Covid-19 pandemic
Despite the global impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, the question of whether mandated interventions have similar economic and public health effects as spontaneous behavioural change remains unresolved. Addressing this question, and understanding differential effects across socioeconomic groups, requires building quantitative and fine-grained mechanistic models. Here we introduce a data-driven, granular, agent-based model that simul…
Despite vaccination, China needs non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent widespread outbreaks of Covid-19 in 2021
COVID-19 vaccination is being conducted in over 200 countries and regions to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission and return to a pre-pandemic lifestyle. However, understanding when non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) can be lifted as immunity builds up remains a key question for policy makers. To address this, we built a data-driven model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission for China. We estimated that, to prevent the escalation of local outbreaks to wide…
Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the Covid-19 outbreak in China
Who and what next? The coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has brought tighter restrictions on the daily lives of millions of people, but we do not yet understand what measures are the most effective. Zhang et al. modeled virus transmission in Wuhan, China, in February 2020, investigating the effects of interventions ranging from patient management to social isolation. Age-mixing patterns were estimated by contact surveys conducted in Wuhan and …
The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak
Outbreak to pandemic In response to global dispersion of severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), quarantine measures have been implemented around the world. To understand how travel and quarantine influence the dynamics of the spread of this novel human virus, Chinazzi et al. applied a global metapopulation disease transmission model to epidemiological data from China. They concluded that the travel quarantine introduced in …
Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of Covid-19
Despite vaccination, China needs non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent widespread outbreaks of Covid-19 in 2021
COVID-19 vaccination is being conducted in over 200 countries and regions to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission and return to a pre-pandemic lifestyle. However, understanding when non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) can be lifted as immunity builds up remains a key question for policy makers. To address this, we built a data-driven model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission for China. We estimated that, to prevent the escalation of local outbreaks to wide…
The New Quadrivalent Adjuvanted Influenza Vaccine for the Italian Elderly
The results of this project provide decision-makers with important evidence on the aQIV and support with scientific evidence on the appropriate use of vaccines in the elderly
Characterizing the transmission patterns of seasonal influenza in Italy
The results presented in this study provide insights on type/subtype-specific transmission patterns of seasonal influenza that could be instrumental to fine-tune immunization strategies and non-pharmaceutical interventions aimed at limiting seasonal influenza spread and burden
The unequal effects of the health-economy trade-off during the Covid-19 pandemic
Despite the global impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, the question of whether mandated interventions have similar economic and public health effects as spontaneous behavioural change remains unresolved. Addressing this question, and understanding differential effects across socioeconomic groups, requires building quantitative and fine-grained mechanistic models. Here we introduce a data-driven, granular, agent-based model that simul…
Increasing situational awareness through nowcasting of the reproduction number
Background: The time-varying reproduction number R is a critical variable for situational awareness during infectious disease outbreaks; however, delays between infection and reporting of cases hinder its accurate estimation in real-time. A number of nowcasting methods, leveraging available information on data consolidation delays, have been proposed to mitigate this problem. Methods: In this work, we retrospectively validate the use of a nowcast…
Medicine (8 works) · COVID-19 epidemiological studies (7 works) · Disease (7 works) · Environmental health (6 works) · Outbreak (5 works) · Pandemic (5 works) · Computer Science (4 works) · Geography (4 works) · Population (4 works) · Virology (4 works)