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J Dennison

Biographic Data

ID17605
NAMEJ Dennison
GIVEN NAMESJ
FAMILY NAMEDennison
SIGNATUREDENNISON J
AFFILIATIONSEuropean University Institute
ORCID0000-0003-3090-7124
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS40
TOTAL CITATIONS615
AUTHOR COUNT40
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2008
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2026
H-INDEX11
  • Towards a European demos? On the growth of European identity and attachment

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Contemporary Social Science•2026

    Shared identity and attachment are widely considered important societal foundations of a political demos, legitimising and facilitating collective action. Yet scholars have long argued that Europe lacks such affective foundations. This article reassesses that claim using Eurobarometer and European Social Survey data from 1992 to 2024. European identity developed unevenly during the 1990s and 2000s, but attachment to Europe has subsequently increa…

  • Are the Major “Western” Findings on Attitudes to Immigration Supported by Global Evidence? Mostly Yes, Actually

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Public Opinion Quarterly•2026

    The causes of variation in attitudes to immigration have been the subject of extensive scholarship in recent decades, with some factors being repeatedly evidenced. However, these findings are overwhelmingly based on studies from a small selection of “Western” countries. This article makes use of recent World Values Survey data across 66 countries globally to test how generalizable such findings on the determinants of attitudes to immigration are …

  • Immigration threat perceptions: Experimental evidence of causes and consequences

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Migration Studies•2026•References: 22

    Immigration policy preferences and subsequent political behaviour are regularly theorized as deriving from perceptions of threat. This article makes several contributions to our understanding of these relationships, using original British experimental survey data. First, levels of perceived threat of immigration on economic, cultural, and humanitarian concerns are determined (1) strongly by one’s general threat sensitivity; (2) in some cases by m…

  • Why People Migrate: Testing Socio-Psychological Explanations of Migration Aspirations, Plans, Preparations, and Irregularity

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•International Migration Review•2026•References: 50

    Why do some people want to migrate while others do not, and why are only some willing to do so irregularly? Existing explanations emphasise socio-demographic characteristics, political and economic contexts, and access to migrant networks. This article tests socio-psychological factors as predictors of variation in migration aspirations, plans, preparations, and irregularity willingness. Using original, nationally representative survey data from …

  • Public Belief in the “Great Replacement Theory”

    Open Access•J Dennison, Alexander Kustov•ARTICLE•International Migration Review•2025•Cited by: 1•References: 30

    The “Great Replacement Theory” (GRT) is an extremist narrative that has gained increased prominence within anti-immigration and conspiratorial discourses in Western societies, yet remains understudied. We first conceptualize the GRT as a narrative that typically claims that white majorities are being deliberately replaced by non-white immigrants in a secretive attempt by malevolent elites to undermine Western nations. Second, we devise measures o…

  • The psychology of political attitudinal volatility

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Political Psychology•2025•Cited by: 1•References: 67

    The assumption that political beliefs are formed by early‐life socialization and psychological predispositions, leading to stability in adulthood, increasingly acts as a theoretical cornerstone in the literature. However, politics is replete with examples of attitudinal change; this article proposes that certain stable psychological predispositions are likely to foster volatility in attitudes and general cognition. Using British electoral panel d…

  • Migration communication campaigns: Towards a Research Agenda and Open Database

    Open Access•J Dennison, Lorenzo Piccoli et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of European Public Policy•2025•Cited by: 3•References: 60

    Published online: 11 November 2024

  • Europhoria! Explaining Britain’s Pro-European Moment, 1988–1992

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Political Studies•2024•References: 20

    British attitudes to ‘Europe’ have been long characterised as ‘reluctant’. This article uses a range of qualitative and quantitative sources to describe and explain an anomalous period in which Britons were highly ‘enthusiastic Europeans’. This ‘Europhoria’ is interpreted using an expanded ‘calculation, cues, and community’ theoretical framework, including: (1) calculations driven mainly by anticipation of the ‘1992’ single market launch and ‘soc…

  • European attitudes to refugees after the Russian invasion of Ukraine

    Open Access•Alexandru Moise, J Dennison et al.•ARTICLE•West European Politics•2024•Cited by: 21•References: 38

    Why do attitudes to refugees vary? An original panel is used in five EU states – France, Germany, Hungary, Italy and Poland – to explain European attitudes towards three groups of refugees following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. It is shown that European attitudes to Ukrainian refugees are determined by predispositions to immigration and perceptions of the war and actors involved, with European identity and contact with refugees being relatively …

  • Basic Human Values and Preferences for an EU‐Wide Social Benefit Scheme

    Open Access•Ann-Kathrin Reinl, Daniel Seddig et al.•ARTICLE•JCMS Journal of Common Market…•2024•Cited by: 8•References: 45

    Previous explanations regarding transnational solidarity in the European Union (EU) have mainly focussed on factors including left–right self‐placement, support for European integration and European identity. We expand this model by considering deeper psychological determinants of transnational solidarity: values, operationalised as Schwartz's basic human values of universalism and security. We expect them to exert (1) direct effects on transnati…

  • Emotions: Functions and significance for attitudes, behaviour, and communication

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Migration Studies•2023•Cited by: 4•References: 28

    Emotions are regularly cited as vital components of effective strategic communication. However, there is relatively little guidance about how emotions should be used. Eliciting emotions is key to persuasion because attitudes have a cognitive and emotive component, with predictable physiological outcomes that make messages more resonant and impactful on behaviour, supporting policy objectives. This article shows that communicators—in the field of …

  • Public Attitudes to Immigration in the Aftermath of Covid-19: Little Change in Policy Preferences, Big Drops in Issue Salience

    Open Access•J Dennison, Alexander Kustov et al.•ARTICLE•International Migration Review•2023•Cited by: 6•References: 24

    How has the COVID-19 pandemic affected public attitudes toward immigration? Long-term evidence in Europe and the United States suggests attitudes to immigration are relatively stable and, in some cases, becoming more favorable with high volatility instead of the perceived importance of the issue. However, theoretically a global pandemic could exacerbate people's fears of outsiders or that migration may contribute to the disease. By contrast, atti…

  • The reliability of recall measurement in assessing migrant reintegration: Evidence from Ethiopia, Somalia, and Sudan

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•International Migration•2023•Cited by: 1•References: 6

    This article asks whether and under what conditions the use of retrospective or “recall” measurement is reliable. Migration researchers are often forced to retrospectively measure baselines when evaluating the impact of interventions due to the transitory nature of migration, developing country contexts, and hastily assembled policy programmes, a situation exacerbated by Covid‐19. This article first theoretically considers the extent to which thi…

  • Explaining Europe’s transformed electoral landscape: Structure, Salience, and Agendas

    Open Access•J Dennison, Hanspeter Kriesi•ARTICLE•European Political Science Review•2023•Cited by: 25•References: 78

    What has caused the marked, cross-national, and unprecedented trends in European electoral results in the 21st century? Scholarly explanations include social structure and challenger party entrepreneurship. We argue that these electoral changes more proximally result from public issue salience, which results from societal trends and mainly affects rather than is caused by party agenda setting. We use aggregate-level panel data across 28 European …

  • The Reverse Backlash: How the Success of Populist Radical Right Parties Relates to More Positive Immigration Attitudes

    Open Access•J Dennison, Alexander Kustov•ARTICLE•Public Opinion Quarterly•2023•Cited by: 6•References: 36

    What is the relationship between the electoral success of populist radical right parties (PRRPs) and public attitudes toward immigration? Previous research suggests that PRRP success can lead to more negative attitudes due to the breaking down of antiprejudice norms and more prominent anti-immigration party cues. However, we argue that greater PRRP success could have a positive relationship with immigration attitudes, reflecting negative partisan…

  • A review of experimental evidence of how communication affects attitudes to immigration

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Comparative Migration Studies•2022

    The need for strategic communication in migration policymaking is increasingly widely recognised. Whereas until recently there was relatively little academic evidence of what forms of immigration communication are effective, the past few years have seen a large amount of new experimental evidence. This article overviews 68 experimental studies, as well as other relevant studies, categorising their findings into nine common communication strategie…

  • Re-thinking the drivers of regular and irregular migration: Evidence from the Mena region

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Comparative Migration Studies•2022•Cited by: 7•References: 9

    Why do individuals vary in their desire to emigrate? Why are some willing to emigrate irregularly? This article tests four theoretical approaches—socio-demographics; economic and political context; access to migrant networks; and psychological factors—across the Middle East and North Africa region. Data from the Arab Barometer is used to show that the most prevalent factors are youth, university education, being male, and stress levels as well as…

  • How Migrant Resource Centres affect migration decisions: Quasi‐experimental evidence from Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Iraq and Pakistan

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•International Migration•2022•Cited by: 4•References: 6

    Several Migrant Resource Centres (MRCs) have been set up in South Asia jointly by national governments of origin and destination countries. Their objectives include encouragement of potential migrants to seek regular rather than irregular routes and to ensure the safety of those migrating, regardless of status. Of theoretical note, their activities utilise innovative, highly personalised counselling. This article provides quasi‐experimental evide…

  • Populist Attitudes and Threat Perceptions of Global Transformations and Governance: Experimental Evidence from India and the United Kingdom

    Open Access•J Dennison, Stuart J Turnbull-Dugarte•ARTICLE•Political Psychology•2022•Cited by: 9•References: 47

    Contemporary global crises and transformations—including climate change, migration, digitalization, pandemics, financial and economic integration, and terrorism—increasingly determine democratic politics and policymaking. We examine how populist attitudes are associated with perceptions of the threats posed by these six global crises and transformations. Using original survey data in India and the United Kingdom alongside secondary data in the Un…

  • The centre no longer holds: The Lega, Matteo Salvini and the remaking of Italian immigration politics

    Open Access•J Dennison, Andrew Geddes•ARTICLE•New Community•2022•Cited by: 28•References: 46

    Published online: 09 February 2022

  • Narratives: A review of concepts, determinants, effects, and uses in migration research

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Comparative Migration Studies•2021

    Narratives are increasingly cited by scholars, international organisations, NGOs, and governments as one of the most powerful factors in migration politics and policymaking today. However, narratives are typically conceptually underspecified, with relatively little known about why some narratives become publicly popular or the nature of their effects. This article reviews recent scholarly advances to specify what narratives are and to offer a nov…

  • Thinking Globally about Attitudes to Immigration: Concerns about Social Conflict, Economic Competition and Cultural Threat

    Open Access•J Dennison, Andrew Geddes•ARTICLE•The Political Quarterly•2021•Cited by: 12

    This article looks globally at the motivations behind attitudes to immigration. Such motivations have been typically conceptualised by academics either in terms of the ‘economic competition’ or ‘cultural threat’ that immigrants are perceived to pose to the individual or their ‘in‐group’. We propose and test a third possibility: that support for or opposition to immigration is determined by one's perceptions of immigration's effects on social conf…

  • The Role of Human Values in Explaining Support for European Union Membership

    Open Access•J Dennison, Daniel Seddig et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Cross-Cultural…•2021•Cited by: 6•References: 54

    In recent years, there has been greater scholarly enquiry into explaining variation in support for European Union membership. We theorise that one cause of such variation is likely to be non-political psychological predispositions, such as one’s personal values. We test this proposition by applying Schwartz’s theory of basic human values to predict voting intentions in hypothetical referendums on EU membership. We theorise that these values deter…

  • Explaining the emergence of the radical right in Spain and Portugal: Salience, Stigma and Supply

    Mariana S Mendes, J Dennison•ARTICLE•West European Politics•2021•Cited by: 81•References: 29

    First published online: 19 June 2020

  • The dynamics of electoral politics after the Arab Spring: Evidence from Tunisia

    J Dennison, Jonas Draege et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of North African…•2021•Cited by: 5•References: 19

    First published online: 26 February 2020

Next
  • A Rising Tide? The Salience of Immigration and the Rise of Anti‐Immigration Political Parties in Western Europe

    Open Access•J Dennison, Andrew Geddes•ARTICLE•The Political Quarterly•2018•Cited by: 169

    In this article, we consider the causes of the increase in voting for anti‐immigration parties in western Europe in the past decade. We first note that one of the most commonly assumed reasons for this increase is an associated increase in anti‐immigration sentiment, which we show is likely to be false. We also outline the major theoretical explanations, which we argue are likely to be incomplete. We then introduce our proposed explanation: these…

  • Explaining the emergence of the radical right in Spain and Portugal: Salience, Stigma and Supply

    Mariana S Mendes, J Dennison•ARTICLE•West European Politics•2021•Cited by: 81•References: 29

    First published online: 19 June 2020

  • Brexit and the perils of ‘Europeanised’ migration

    J Dennison, Andrew Geddes•ARTICLE•Journal of European Public Policy•2018•Cited by: 52•References: 13

    Published online: 02 May 2018

  • How Issue Salience Explains the Rise of the Populist Right in Western Europe

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•International Journal of Public…•2019•Cited by: 51•References: 32

    This article tests whether variation in issue salience can explain the rise of the populist right in Western Europe. By taking a novel cross-country and cross-time approach at both the aggregate- and individual levels using panel data, I robustly demonstrate that the salience of immigration positively affects electoral support for the populist right. I also find, using a structural equation modeling approach, that the salience of immigration, in …

  • European but not European enough: An explanation for Brexit

    Open Access•Noah Carl, J Dennison et al.•ARTICLE•European Union Politics•2019•Cited by: 41•References: 26

    To date, most accounts of the UK’s vote to leave the EU have focussed on explaining variation across individuals and constituencies within the UK. In this article, we attempt to answer a different question, namely ‘Why was it the UK that voted to leave, rather than any other member state?’. We show that the UK has long been one of the most Eurosceptic countries in the EU, which we argue can be partly explained by Britons’ comparatively weak sense…

  • Immigration, Issue Ownership and the Rise of Ukip

    J Dennison, Matthew Goodwin•ARTICLE•Parliamentary Affairs•2015•Cited by: 35

    Journal Article Immigration, Issue Ownership and the Rise of UKIP Get access James Dennison, James Dennison Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Matthew Goodwin Matthew Goodwin * *James Dennison, European University Institute, [email protected]; Matthew Goodwin, University of Kent, [email protected] Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Parliamentary Affairs, Volume 6…

  • The centre no longer holds: The Lega, Matteo Salvini and the remaking of Italian immigration politics

    Open Access•J Dennison, Andrew Geddes•ARTICLE•New Community•2022•Cited by: 28•References: 46

    Published online: 09 February 2022

  • Explaining Europe’s transformed electoral landscape: Structure, Salience, and Agendas

    Open Access•J Dennison, Hanspeter Kriesi•ARTICLE•European Political Science Review•2023•Cited by: 25•References: 78

    What has caused the marked, cross-national, and unprecedented trends in European electoral results in the 21st century? Scholarly explanations include social structure and challenger party entrepreneurship. We argue that these electoral changes more proximally result from public issue salience, which results from societal trends and mainly affects rather than is caused by party agenda setting. We use aggregate-level panel data across 28 European …

  • European attitudes to refugees after the Russian invasion of Ukraine

    Open Access•Alexandru Moise, J Dennison et al.•ARTICLE•West European Politics•2024•Cited by: 21•References: 38

    Why do attitudes to refugees vary? An original panel is used in five EU states – France, Germany, Hungary, Italy and Poland – to explain European attitudes towards three groups of refugees following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. It is shown that European attitudes to Ukrainian refugees are determined by predispositions to immigration and perceptions of the war and actors involved, with European identity and contact with refugees being relatively …

  • How protest voters choose

    Open Access•Sarah Birch, J Dennison•ARTICLE•Party Politics•2019•Cited by: 15•References: 51

    Political scientists have identified protest voting – voting for an anti-establishment party as a protest against mainstream politics – as a consequence of dissatisfaction with traditional political options. Yet we know little about what motivates people to cast a protest vote or why voters select one such protest option over another. Taking as its empirical referent the 2015 General Election in Great Britain, this article assesses the ‘protest c…

  • Thinking Globally about Attitudes to Immigration: Concerns about Social Conflict, Economic Competition and Cultural Threat

    Open Access•J Dennison, Andrew Geddes•ARTICLE•The Political Quarterly•2021•Cited by: 12

    This article looks globally at the motivations behind attitudes to immigration. Such motivations have been typically conceptualised by academics either in terms of the ‘economic competition’ or ‘cultural threat’ that immigrants are perceived to pose to the individual or their ‘in‐group’. We propose and test a third possibility: that support for or opposition to immigration is determined by one's perceptions of immigration's effects on social conf…

  • Populist Attitudes and Threat Perceptions of Global Transformations and Governance: Experimental Evidence from India and the United Kingdom

    Open Access•J Dennison, Stuart J Turnbull-Dugarte•ARTICLE•Political Psychology•2022•Cited by: 9•References: 47

    Contemporary global crises and transformations—including climate change, migration, digitalization, pandemics, financial and economic integration, and terrorism—increasingly determine democratic politics and policymaking. We examine how populist attitudes are associated with perceptions of the threats posed by these six global crises and transformations. Using original survey data in India and the United Kingdom alongside secondary data in the Un…

  • Explaining voting in the UK's 2016 EU referendum: Values, attitudes to immigration, European identity and political trust

    Open Access•J Dennison, Eldad Davidov et al.•ARTICLE•Social Science Research•2020•Cited by: 9•References: 32

    We consider the role of values as determinants of voting in the UK's 2016 EU referendum. First, we consider and clarify 'values' conceptually, before proceeding to utilise Schwartz's basic human values as the most appropriate. Second, we theorise how these basic human values determine both voting in the referendum as well as three of the most consistently demonstrated determinants of voting in that referendum: attitudes to immigration, identifyin…

  • Basic Human Values and Preferences for an EU‐Wide Social Benefit Scheme

    Open Access•Ann-Kathrin Reinl, Daniel Seddig et al.•ARTICLE•JCMS Journal of Common Market…•2024•Cited by: 8•References: 45

    Previous explanations regarding transnational solidarity in the European Union (EU) have mainly focussed on factors including left–right self‐placement, support for European integration and European identity. We expand this model by considering deeper psychological determinants of transnational solidarity: values, operationalised as Schwartz's basic human values of universalism and security. We expect them to exert (1) direct effects on transnati…

  • Re-thinking the drivers of regular and irregular migration: Evidence from the Mena region

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Comparative Migration Studies•2022•Cited by: 7•References: 9

    Why do individuals vary in their desire to emigrate? Why are some willing to emigrate irregularly? This article tests four theoretical approaches—socio-demographics; economic and political context; access to migrant networks; and psychological factors—across the Middle East and North Africa region. Data from the Arab Barometer is used to show that the most prevalent factors are youth, university education, being male, and stress levels as well as…

  • Public Attitudes to Immigration in the Aftermath of Covid-19: Little Change in Policy Preferences, Big Drops in Issue Salience

    Open Access•J Dennison, Alexander Kustov et al.•ARTICLE•International Migration Review•2023•Cited by: 6•References: 24

    How has the COVID-19 pandemic affected public attitudes toward immigration? Long-term evidence in Europe and the United States suggests attitudes to immigration are relatively stable and, in some cases, becoming more favorable with high volatility instead of the perceived importance of the issue. However, theoretically a global pandemic could exacerbate people's fears of outsiders or that migration may contribute to the disease. By contrast, atti…

  • The Reverse Backlash: How the Success of Populist Radical Right Parties Relates to More Positive Immigration Attitudes

    Open Access•J Dennison, Alexander Kustov•ARTICLE•Public Opinion Quarterly•2023•Cited by: 6•References: 36

    What is the relationship between the electoral success of populist radical right parties (PRRPs) and public attitudes toward immigration? Previous research suggests that PRRP success can lead to more negative attitudes due to the breaking down of antiprejudice norms and more prominent anti-immigration party cues. However, we argue that greater PRRP success could have a positive relationship with immigration attitudes, reflecting negative partisan…

  • The Role of Human Values in Explaining Support for European Union Membership

    Open Access•J Dennison, Daniel Seddig et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Cross-Cultural…•2021•Cited by: 6•References: 54

    In recent years, there has been greater scholarly enquiry into explaining variation in support for European Union membership. We theorise that one cause of such variation is likely to be non-political psychological predispositions, such as one’s personal values. We test this proposition by applying Schwartz’s theory of basic human values to predict voting intentions in hypothetical referendums on EU membership. We theorise that these values deter…

  • The dynamics of electoral politics after the Arab Spring: Evidence from Tunisia

    J Dennison, Jonas Draege et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of North African…•2021•Cited by: 5•References: 19

    First published online: 26 February 2020

  • How Niche Parties React to Losing Their Niche: The Cases of the Brexit Party, the Green Party and Change UK

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Parliamentary Affairs•2020•Cited by: 5•References: 7

    First published online: 23 September 2020

  • The Other Insurgency? The Greens and the Election

    J Dennison•ARTICLE•Parliamentary Affairs•2015•Cited by: 5

  • Emotions: Functions and significance for attitudes, behaviour, and communication

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Migration Studies•2023•Cited by: 4•References: 28

    Emotions are regularly cited as vital components of effective strategic communication. However, there is relatively little guidance about how emotions should be used. Eliciting emotions is key to persuasion because attitudes have a cognitive and emotive component, with predictable physiological outcomes that make messages more resonant and impactful on behaviour, supporting policy objectives. This article shows that communicators—in the field of …

  • How Migrant Resource Centres affect migration decisions: Quasi‐experimental evidence from Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Iraq and Pakistan

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•International Migration•2022•Cited by: 4•References: 6

    Several Migrant Resource Centres (MRCs) have been set up in South Asia jointly by national governments of origin and destination countries. Their objectives include encouragement of potential migrants to seek regular rather than irregular routes and to ensure the safety of those migrating, regardless of status. Of theoretical note, their activities utilise innovative, highly personalised counselling. This article provides quasi‐experimental evide…

  • Migration communication campaigns: Towards a Research Agenda and Open Database

    Open Access•J Dennison, Lorenzo Piccoli et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of European Public Policy•2025•Cited by: 3•References: 60

    Published online: 11 November 2024

  • Making sense of Italy’s constitutional referendum

    Jonas Bergan Draege, J Dennison•ARTICLE•Mediterranean Politics•2017•Cited by: 3•References: 1

    This article seeks to explain the rejection of the reforms proposed in the 2016 Constitutional Referendum in Italy. We contend that Renzi's promise to resign if he were to lose the referendum did not significantly affect the final result. While highly partisan voting patterns may lead to speculation that this so-called personalization strategy caused the rejection, we argue that voters probably would have followed party cues anyway. Instead, we a…

  • The false and the true bifid condyles

    Open Access•J Dennison, John M Dennison et al.•ARTICLE•HOMO•2008

  • The Other Insurgency? The Greens and the Election

    J Dennison•ARTICLE•Parliamentary Affairs•2015•Cited by: 5

  • Immigration, Issue Ownership and the Rise of Ukip

    J Dennison, Matthew Goodwin•ARTICLE•Parliamentary Affairs•2015•Cited by: 35

    Journal Article Immigration, Issue Ownership and the Rise of UKIP Get access James Dennison, James Dennison Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Matthew Goodwin Matthew Goodwin * *James Dennison, European University Institute, [email protected]; Matthew Goodwin, University of Kent, [email protected] Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Parliamentary Affairs, Volume 6…

  • Making sense of Italy’s constitutional referendum

    Jonas Bergan Draege, J Dennison•ARTICLE•Mediterranean Politics•2017•Cited by: 3•References: 1

    This article seeks to explain the rejection of the reforms proposed in the 2016 Constitutional Referendum in Italy. We contend that Renzi's promise to resign if he were to lose the referendum did not significantly affect the final result. While highly partisan voting patterns may lead to speculation that this so-called personalization strategy caused the rejection, we argue that voters probably would have followed party cues anyway. Instead, we a…

  • A Rising Tide? The Salience of Immigration and the Rise of Anti‐Immigration Political Parties in Western Europe

    Open Access•J Dennison, Andrew Geddes•ARTICLE•The Political Quarterly•2018•Cited by: 169

    In this article, we consider the causes of the increase in voting for anti‐immigration parties in western Europe in the past decade. We first note that one of the most commonly assumed reasons for this increase is an associated increase in anti‐immigration sentiment, which we show is likely to be false. We also outline the major theoretical explanations, which we argue are likely to be incomplete. We then introduce our proposed explanation: these…

  • The Rug Pulled from Under Them: Ukip and the Greens

    J Dennison•ARTICLE•Parliamentary Affairs•2018•Cited by: 2

    First published online: 19 March 2018

  • Brexit and the perils of ‘Europeanised’ migration

    J Dennison, Andrew Geddes•ARTICLE•Journal of European Public Policy•2018•Cited by: 52•References: 13

    Published online: 02 May 2018

  • A Review of Public Issue Salience: Concepts, Determinants and Effects on Voting

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Political Studies Review•2019

    In this article, I offer a review of the uses and findings regarding public issue salience in the political science literature, with a focus on electoral behaviour. I argue that in spite of the increased use of issue salience in recent years, with impressive explanatory results, the concept of issue salience remains underspecified and, at times, contradictory and that its antecedents remain relatively unknown. This is likely to have led to seriou…

  • How Issue Salience Explains the Rise of the Populist Right in Western Europe

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•International Journal of Public…•2019•Cited by: 51•References: 32

    This article tests whether variation in issue salience can explain the rise of the populist right in Western Europe. By taking a novel cross-country and cross-time approach at both the aggregate- and individual levels using panel data, I robustly demonstrate that the salience of immigration positively affects electoral support for the populist right. I also find, using a structural equation modeling approach, that the salience of immigration, in …

  • European but not European enough: An explanation for Brexit

    Open Access•Noah Carl, J Dennison et al.•ARTICLE•European Union Politics•2019•Cited by: 41•References: 26

    To date, most accounts of the UK’s vote to leave the EU have focussed on explaining variation across individuals and constituencies within the UK. In this article, we attempt to answer a different question, namely ‘Why was it the UK that voted to leave, rather than any other member state?’. We show that the UK has long been one of the most Eurosceptic countries in the EU, which we argue can be partly explained by Britons’ comparatively weak sense…

  • How protest voters choose

    Open Access•Sarah Birch, J Dennison•ARTICLE•Party Politics•2019•Cited by: 15•References: 51

    Political scientists have identified protest voting – voting for an anti-establishment party as a protest against mainstream politics – as a consequence of dissatisfaction with traditional political options. Yet we know little about what motivates people to cast a protest vote or why voters select one such protest option over another. Taking as its empirical referent the 2015 General Election in Great Britain, this article assesses the ‘protest c…

  • Explaining voting in the UK's 2016 EU referendum: Values, attitudes to immigration, European identity and political trust

    Open Access•J Dennison, Eldad Davidov et al.•ARTICLE•Social Science Research•2020•Cited by: 9•References: 32

    We consider the role of values as determinants of voting in the UK's 2016 EU referendum. First, we consider and clarify 'values' conceptually, before proceeding to utilise Schwartz's basic human values as the most appropriate. Second, we theorise how these basic human values determine both voting in the referendum as well as three of the most consistently demonstrated determinants of voting in that referendum: attitudes to immigration, identifyin…

  • Europe and the Decline of Social Democracy in Britain: From Attlee to Brexit

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Political Science Quarterly•2020

    First published online: September 2020

  • A Proposal for Simultaneous Reform of the House of Commons and House of Lords

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•The Political Quarterly•2020

    The disproportional electoral system of the House of Commons is increasingly contested, while the undemocratic composition of the House of Lords has been criticised for a century. I first argue that simultaneous reform of both chambers creates the opportunity for far more optimal outcomes than possible under attempts to reform just one chamber. I then argue that bicameralism should continue so that the UK can be represented in two, currently conv…

  • How Niche Parties React to Losing Their Niche: The Cases of the Brexit Party, the Green Party and Change UK

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Parliamentary Affairs•2020•Cited by: 5•References: 7

    First published online: 23 September 2020

  • Narratives: A review of concepts, determinants, effects, and uses in migration research

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Comparative Migration Studies•2021

    Narratives are increasingly cited by scholars, international organisations, NGOs, and governments as one of the most powerful factors in migration politics and policymaking today. However, narratives are typically conceptually underspecified, with relatively little known about why some narratives become publicly popular or the nature of their effects. This article reviews recent scholarly advances to specify what narratives are and to offer a nov…

  • Thinking Globally about Attitudes to Immigration: Concerns about Social Conflict, Economic Competition and Cultural Threat

    Open Access•J Dennison, Andrew Geddes•ARTICLE•The Political Quarterly•2021•Cited by: 12

    This article looks globally at the motivations behind attitudes to immigration. Such motivations have been typically conceptualised by academics either in terms of the ‘economic competition’ or ‘cultural threat’ that immigrants are perceived to pose to the individual or their ‘in‐group’. We propose and test a third possibility: that support for or opposition to immigration is determined by one's perceptions of immigration's effects on social conf…

  • The Role of Human Values in Explaining Support for European Union Membership

    Open Access•J Dennison, Daniel Seddig et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Cross-Cultural…•2021•Cited by: 6•References: 54

    In recent years, there has been greater scholarly enquiry into explaining variation in support for European Union membership. We theorise that one cause of such variation is likely to be non-political psychological predispositions, such as one’s personal values. We test this proposition by applying Schwartz’s theory of basic human values to predict voting intentions in hypothetical referendums on EU membership. We theorise that these values deter…

  • Explaining the emergence of the radical right in Spain and Portugal: Salience, Stigma and Supply

    Mariana S Mendes, J Dennison•ARTICLE•West European Politics•2021•Cited by: 81•References: 29

    First published online: 19 June 2020

  • The dynamics of electoral politics after the Arab Spring: Evidence from Tunisia

    J Dennison, Jonas Draege et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of North African…•2021•Cited by: 5•References: 19

    First published online: 26 February 2020

  • A review of experimental evidence of how communication affects attitudes to immigration

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Comparative Migration Studies•2022

    The need for strategic communication in migration policymaking is increasingly widely recognised. Whereas until recently there was relatively little academic evidence of what forms of immigration communication are effective, the past few years have seen a large amount of new experimental evidence. This article overviews 68 experimental studies, as well as other relevant studies, categorising their findings into nine common communication strategie…

  • Re-thinking the drivers of regular and irregular migration: Evidence from the Mena region

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•Comparative Migration Studies•2022•Cited by: 7•References: 9

    Why do individuals vary in their desire to emigrate? Why are some willing to emigrate irregularly? This article tests four theoretical approaches—socio-demographics; economic and political context; access to migrant networks; and psychological factors—across the Middle East and North Africa region. Data from the Arab Barometer is used to show that the most prevalent factors are youth, university education, being male, and stress levels as well as…

  • How Migrant Resource Centres affect migration decisions: Quasi‐experimental evidence from Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Iraq and Pakistan

    Open Access•J Dennison•ARTICLE•International Migration•2022•Cited by: 4•References: 6

    Several Migrant Resource Centres (MRCs) have been set up in South Asia jointly by national governments of origin and destination countries. Their objectives include encouragement of potential migrants to seek regular rather than irregular routes and to ensure the safety of those migrating, regardless of status. Of theoretical note, their activities utilise innovative, highly personalised counselling. This article provides quasi‐experimental evide…

  • Populist Attitudes and Threat Perceptions of Global Transformations and Governance: Experimental Evidence from India and the United Kingdom

    Open Access•J Dennison, Stuart J Turnbull-Dugarte•ARTICLE•Political Psychology•2022•Cited by: 9•References: 47

    Contemporary global crises and transformations—including climate change, migration, digitalization, pandemics, financial and economic integration, and terrorism—increasingly determine democratic politics and policymaking. We examine how populist attitudes are associated with perceptions of the threats posed by these six global crises and transformations. Using original survey data in India and the United Kingdom alongside secondary data in the Un…

  • The centre no longer holds: The Lega, Matteo Salvini and the remaking of Italian immigration politics

    Open Access•J Dennison, Andrew Geddes•ARTICLE•New Community•2022•Cited by: 28•References: 46

    Published online: 09 February 2022

Political science (34 works) · Politics (28 works) · Economics (27 works) · Sociology (23 works) · Law (22 works) · Law (21 works) · Political economy (19 works) · Psychology (18 works) · Immigration (16 works) · Migration, Refugees, and Integration (14 works)

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