Julian L Simon
Biographic Data
| ID | 179977 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Julian L Simon |
| GIVEN NAMES | Julian L |
| FAMILY NAME | Simon |
| SIGNATURE | SIMON J L |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 95 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 180 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 94 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 1 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1965 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2018 |
| H-INDEX | 7 |
The Economics of Population
This comprehensive two volume set includes the most important articles and papers on the subject written since World War II. The main emphasis is on the effects of demographic change but the key modern writings on the determinants of population change are also included.
The Art of Empirical Investigation
Julian Simon was known for his methodical, and often controversial, writings challenging conventional beliefs about overpopulation, pollution, disappearing farmland, and the scarcity of energy sources and raw materials. But throughout his works is a common theme: that responsible, unbiased research and examination of the data is indispensable to formulating a well-informed and accurate opinion. The Art of Empirical Investigation teaches student, …
Nature's Services, Human Follies
The Economics of Population
Volume I - Part 1 Empirical work and modern thought on consequences begins. Part 2 Food and land. Part 3 Natural resources. Volume II - Part 1 Other consequences of destiny. Part 2 Modern formal theory. Part 3 The determinants of population growth and destiny
The Ultimate Resource 2
The Economics of Population
On the nature of buffoonery
The State of Humanity
Public Expenditures on Immigrants to the United States, Past and Present
Scarcity or Abundance? A Debate on the Environment
Reply to Comment
Interpersonal Allocation Continuous with Intertemporal Allocation
Gifts and bequests trouble economic theory. A solution is to deal similarly with distributions for consumption among (a) the current person, (b)future self-persons who are legally and physically the same individual who is allocating, and (c) other individuals at present and in the future. Instead of a one-dimensional maximizing entity, or even the two-dimensional individual who allocates intertemporally, this model envisages a three-dimensional s…
Immigration as an Economic Asset
The economic effects of immigration
The basic theory is presented through a parable, showing that immigrants do not lower the incomes of natives, on balance. The main empirical issues are also discussed: contrary to popular belief, immigrants into the U.S. and Canada, and almost surely into Europe as well, pay more in taxes than they receive in welfare transfers, thereby enriching natives. Also, an extensive body of recent research finds that immigration does not increase native un…
The Economic Consequences of Immigration
Species loss revisited
Population growth, farmland, and the long-run standard of living
How to Add Junior Tenure-Track Positions at No Additional Cost to the University
The Economic Consequences of Immigration
Population Matters
Shakespeare, procreation, and progress
The Economics of Immigration
The Theory of Binding Commitments Simplified and Extended, with Generalization to Interpersonal Allocation
Self-control theories of struggle among several coexisting "selves" have recently been offered to explain such behaviors as foregoing anesthesia, quitting smoking, and ordinary saving. Strotz formally modeled such situations without the concept of coexisting selves, however. This article (a) boils down the Strotz formalism to three simple present-value equations, (b) argues that the framework applies to many ordinary commercial transactions rathe…
Great and Almost-Great Magnitudes in Economics
Which ratios and key magnitudes should an educated economist know? An inevitably personal selection is offered below. The list is presented in the form of a quiz to liven up the exercise of pondering them, and therefore a question mark follows each title. 1) The ratio of savings (personal and total) to income? 2) Labor's share of output? 3) The capital-output ratio? 4) Ratio of the value of output of agricultural land to its market price? 5) The …
The Economic Consequences of Immigration
1. Introduction and Summary. 2. Some General Theory of Immigration's Consequences. 3. The Demographic Dimensions of Immigration into the United States. 4. Behavioral Characteristics of Immigrants. 5. Effects of Immigrants upon the Public Coffers. 6. How Much Welfare and Public Services Do Immigrants (and Natives) use? 7. The Effect on Natives' Incomes from Immigrants' Use of Capital Goods. 8. The Effects on Technology, Productivity and Native Hum…
The Economics of Population Growth
Journal Article The Economics of Population Growth Get access The Economics of Population Growth. By Julian L. Simon. (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1977. Pp. xxx + 555. £22.50 hardback, £9.50 paperback.) R. Scott Moreland R. Scott Moreland University of Warwick Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 88, Issue 352, 1 December 1978, Pages 873–874, https://doi.org/10.2307/22320…
Immigrants, Taxes, and Welfare in the United States
This paper investigates the balance of transfer payments between immigrants and natives in the US. Data were drawn from a Bureau of Census survey of 1975 incomes and use of social services by 15000 immigrant families and 11000 native-born families. During the 1st 12 years after entry into the US immigrant families use substantially fewer public services than native families largely due to their negligible use of Social Security; thereafter use is…
Basic Research Methods in Social Science
Money Incentives and Family Size
Journal Article Money Incentives and Family Size: A Hypothetical-Question Study Get access Rita J. Simon, Rita J. Simon Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Julian L. Simon Julian L. Simon Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Public Opinion Quarterly, Volume 38, Issue 4, Winter 1974, Pages 585–595, https://doi.org/10.1086/268185 Published: 01 January 1974
The effect of income on fertility
Cross-sectional data and long-period time series data have generally shown an inverse relationship between income and fertility. But short-period time series data over the business cycle have shown a direct relationship. The first part of this paper resolves this apparent paradox by showing that it arises from a statistical illusion-specification bias due to omitted lagged variables. The second part of the paper then considers the likely uncondit…
Lebensraum
Population growth may progressively reduce one of the motives for making war. Namely, population growth threatens shortages of resources, and especially land. Impending shortages cause a search for ways to mitigate the shortages. The discoveries eventually produce greater availability of resources than if population growth and pressure on resources had never occurred. The argument runs as follows: (1) Rhetoric about resource scarcity induced by p…
Some aspects of the socio-cultural adjustment of recent Soviet immigrants to the United States
The sociocultural adjustment of recent (1972-80) Soviet immigrants was analyzed in a survey of 900 Soviet Jewish families in 14 US cities. In 1980 83% of the men and 75% of the women in the sample were in the labor force full-time with incomes averaging US$14607 adn US$7627 respectively. THe respondents education technical skills and previous experience of living in large urban cities facilitated their entry into skilled positions in the labor fo…
Population size, knowledge stock, and other determinants of agricultural publication and patenting
On Aggregate Empirical Studies Relating Population Variables to Economic Development
Empirical studies of the cross-national relationship between the rates of economic development and population growth may reasonably be interpreted as providing consistently strong evidence of the absence of a negative causal effect of the latter upon the former. The most important positive effects of additional people--improvement of productivity through the contribution of new ideas and the learning-by-doing resulting from increased production v…
The mixed effects of income upon successive births may explain the convergence phenomenon
This paper finds that an increment of income has a more positive (less negative) effect on the probability of a family having another child when it consists of relatively few children than of relatively many children. That is, within a group of people whose income is increased, the increase may be expected to influence the average family with no children or one child to increase family size, and to influence the average family that would otherwis…
The Resourceful Earth
The Economics of Population Growth
The Effect of Foster-Care Payment Levels on the Number of Foster Children Given Homes
One possible way to increase the number of available foster homes is to raise the level of payments to foster parents. This article estimates the effect of the payment level on the supply of potential homes. The relationship is estimated on data from the various states. One method is a simple cross-sectional comparison of the states. Another, and more satisfactory, method is an examination of the changes over time in the various states. There is …
The Effect of Population Density on Infrastructure
The Effects of Income on Fertility
Journal Article J. L. Simon. The Effects of Income on Fertility Get access The Effects of Income on Fertility. By J. L. Simon. (Chapel Hill, North Carolina: Carolina Population Centre, 1974. Pp. xxv + 210. $5.00.) Mark Perlman Mark Perlman University of Pittsburgh. Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 84, Issue 336, 1 December 1974, Pages 1053–1055, https://doi.org/10.2307/2230616 P…
Interpersonal Allocation Continuous with Intertemporal Allocation
Gifts and bequests trouble economic theory. A solution is to deal similarly with distributions for consumption among (a) the current person, (b)future self-persons who are legally and physically the same individual who is allocating, and (c) other individuals at present and in the future. Instead of a one-dimensional maximizing entity, or even the two-dimensional individual who allocates intertemporally, this model envisages a three-dimensional s…
The economic effects of immigration
The basic theory is presented through a parable, showing that immigrants do not lower the incomes of natives, on balance. The main empirical issues are also discussed: contrary to popular belief, immigrants into the U.S. and Canada, and almost surely into Europe as well, pay more in taxes than they receive in welfare transfers, thereby enriching natives. Also, an extensive body of recent research finds that immigration does not increase native un…
Basic Data Concerning Immigration into the United States
This article provides a wide range of data measuring the volume of international migration into and out of the United States and describing the immigrants' demographic and labor market characteristics. Data from Canada, Australia, Great Britain, and Israel show a pattern consistent with that of the United States. The volume of immigration, both relative to population size and in absolute numbers, is lower than it was at the turn of this century. …
The value of avoided births to underdeveloped countries
An estimate of the value to a developing economy of preventing an additional birth is a useful yardstick for decisions about bonuses, information-and-dispensation campaigns, and propaganda campaigns. Enke's method of estimation incorrectly reckons private costs as public costs and attributes all the avoided consumption of the prevented child to the social account, whereas most of it would be otherwise consumed by the child's family. And at the di…
The Effect of Income on the Suicide Rate
Public Expenditures on Immigrants to the United States, Past and Present
The Theory of Binding Commitments Simplified and Extended, with Generalization to Interpersonal Allocation
Self-control theories of struggle among several coexisting "selves" have recently been offered to explain such behaviors as foregoing anesthesia, quitting smoking, and ordinary saving. Strotz formally modeled such situations without the concept of coexisting selves, however. This article (a) boils down the Strotz formalism to three simple present-value equations, (b) argues that the framework applies to many ordinary commercial transactions rathe…
Scarcity or Abundance? A Debate on the Environment
Population pressure’ on the land
The present value of population growth in the western world
In conventional steady-state growth theory with technical progress exogenous, faster population growth causes lower consumption. This conclusion has influenced national policies. With technical progress endogenous, however, higher population growth causes higher consumption. Steady-state equilibrium analysis is not appropriate for policy decisions, though. Rather, appropriate analysis compares two or more growth rates beginning from equal initial…
The Cause of the Newspaper Rate Differential
Doctors, Smoking, and Reference Groups
The Effect of Fixed-Wage Rises on Discriminated-Against Minorities
Discusses the effect of a rise in a wage rate within a given industry upon varios segments of the labor market. Example of an ill-intentioned wage increase; Case of janitors at the University of Illinois at the Chicago campus. (Abstract copyright EBSCO.)
Some “Marketing correct” recommendations for family planning campaigns
This paper takes issue with some recommendations that have been made for communication and motivation in family planning programs and suggests some ways in which family planning marketing may be improved. The author agrees that family planning programs should initially emphasize information, facts, and logistics, and that the subsequent campaign should aim at the best prospects, emphasize self-interest, belay the audience's distrust of the commun…
Some "Marketing Correct" Recommendations for Family Planning Campaigns
Investment Opportunities in Economics-1967
Journal Article Investment Opportunities in Economics-1967 Get access Julian L. Simon Julian L. Simon University of Illinois. Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 78, Issue 310, 1 June 1968, Pages 476–479, https://doi.org/10.2307/2229511 Published: 01 June 1968
The Role of Bonuses and Persuasive Propaganda in the Reduction of Birth Rates
The Effect of Income on the Suicide Rate
The value of avoided births to underdeveloped countries
An estimate of the value to a developing economy of preventing an additional birth is a useful yardstick for decisions about bonuses, information-and-dispensation campaigns, and propaganda campaigns. Enke's method of estimation incorrectly reckons private costs as public costs and attributes all the avoided consumption of the prevented child to the social account, whereas most of it would be otherwise consumed by the child's family. And at the di…
The effect of income on fertility
Cross-sectional data and long-period time series data have generally shown an inverse relationship between income and fertility. But short-period time series data over the business cycle have shown a direct relationship. The first part of this paper resolves this apparent paradox by showing that it arises from a statistical illusion-specification bias due to omitted lagged variables. The second part of the paper then considers the likely uncondit…
"World Food Needs and "New Proteins
The per-capita-income criterion and natality policies in poor Countries
Discussions of birth rates in less developed countries (LDC’s) are almost always couched in terms of income per-capita or per-consumer-equivalent. A decrease in population growth rate is said to lead to a higher per-capita income (PCI) than would occur with a higher birth rate, and therefore a lower birth rate is advocated. This runs the danger of choosing a course of action that people really do not want. A static analysis of a PCI criterion lea…
Family Planning Prospects in Less-Developed Countries, and a Cost-Benefit Analysis of Various Alternatives
Journal Article Family Planning Prospects in Less-Developed Countries, and a Cost-Benefit Analysis of Various Alternatives Get access Julian L. Simon Julian L. Simon The Hebrew University and University of Illinois. Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 80, Issue 317, 1 March 1970, Pages 58–71, https://doi.org/10.2307/2230438 Published: 01 March 1970
Basic Research Methods in Social Science
A policy to promote the world's economic development with migration
"World Food Needs and "New Proteins
Toward formal valuation of scientific research projects
Market Segmentation in Promoting Contraception
An operative scheme of the contraceptive market illustrates the various segments of the population in reference to their use or nonuse of contraception. 1 segment consists of those who now regulate fertility either through the use of modern methods or folk methods. The other segment consists of those who do not currently regulate their fertility and is divided among those who want to those who do not want to but are suited for and those who are n…
A Calculation of the Black Reparations Bill
The Effects of Income on Fertility
Journal Article J. L. Simon. The Effects of Income on Fertility Get access The Effects of Income on Fertility. By J. L. Simon. (Chapel Hill, North Carolina: Carolina Population Centre, 1974. Pp. xxv + 210. $5.00.) Mark Perlman Mark Perlman University of Pittsburgh. Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 84, Issue 336, 1 December 1974, Pages 1053–1055, https://doi.org/10.2307/2230616 P…
Money Incentives and Family Size
Journal Article Money Incentives and Family Size: A Hypothetical-Question Study Get access Rita J. Simon, Rita J. Simon Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Julian L. Simon Julian L. Simon Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Public Opinion Quarterly, Volume 38, Issue 4, Winter 1974, Pages 585–595, https://doi.org/10.1086/268185 Published: 01 January 1974
The Positive Effect of Population Growth on Agricultural Saving in Irrigation Systems
Data from a pooled sample of 48 less developed countries on the relationship between population density/acre cultivated land and the proportion of cultivated land that has been irrigated were analyzed to determine the effect of population growth on irrigation investment. The data indicate that population density has a positive effect on the building of irrigation systems. This relationship was somewhat strengthened by the addition of variables su…
The Welfare Effect of an Additional Child Cannot be Stated Simply and Unequivocally
There is no single calculable welfare effect of an additional person. Rather, there are many different judgments, which may be negative or positive. The welfare effect depends upon the particular economic situation the child will be born into, which point in his life-cycle one refers to, whether he is expected to have a positive effect upon his particular sort of economy and society during and after his lifetime, and most of all, on the kind of w…
Puzzles and further explorations in the interrelationships of successive births with husband’s income, spouses’ education and race
When fertility is examined in the detail of individual parity progressions and birth-order transitions, important interactions between the effects of income and education are seen. Among the findings are: the negative effect of education on fertility is stronger at all parities for less educated compared to more highly educated women. Additional income has a more positive effect for more highly educated than for less educated women. For women wit…
The Effect of Foster-Care Payment Levels on the Number of Foster Children Given Homes
One possible way to increase the number of available foster homes is to raise the level of payments to foster parents. This article estimates the effect of the payment level on the supply of potential homes. The relationship is estimated on data from the various states. One method is a simple cross-sectional comparison of the states. Another, and more satisfactory, method is an examination of the changes over time in the various states. There is …
Economics (61 works) · Sociology (53 works) · Political science (44 works) · Demography (39 works) · Population (39 works) · Demographic economics (22 works) · Computer Science (21 works) · Economic Growth and Productivity (21 works) · Demography (18 works) · Business (16 works)