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Andrew Zhdanov

Biographic Data

ID194047
NAMEAndrew Zhdanov
GIVEN NAMESAndrew
FAMILY NAMEZhdanov
SIGNATUREZHDANOV A
AFFILIATIONSNational Research University Higher School of Economics
ORCID0000-0002-4492-7903
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS11
TOTAL CITATIONS5
AUTHOR COUNT11
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2022
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2025
H-INDEX1
  • Revolution and Democracy in the Twenty-First Century

    Open Access•Andrey Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov et al.•ARTICLE•Cross-Cultural Research•2025•Cited by: 1•References: 94

    In this article, we analyze an inverted U-shaped relationship between the type of regime (on the autocracy-democracy scale) and the risks of revolutionary destabilization. Anocracies tend to be more vulnerable to revolutionary destabilization than full autocracies or full (consolidated) democracies. We also point to a strong positive association between the weakening of autocracies and the risks of revolutionary destabilization that exist among f…

  • Inflationary Pressure and Revolutionary Destabilization: Impact Assessment and Comparative Analysis

    Open Access•Andrew Zhdanov, Andrey Korotayev•ARTICLE•Sociology of power•2024

    There are some theoretical grounds to expect that general inflation can have an ambiguous effect on the likelihood of the outbreak of revolutionary actions: while high inflation has a positive effect on revolutionary activity, moderate inflation reduces the likelihood of revolution, whereas negative inflation values again increase revolutionary activity. At the same time, many researchers suggest to treat separately food inflation as a significan…

  • Revealing the Preference Falsification in Russia: Assessing the Robustness of the Results of Sociological Surveys

    Andrew Zhdanov, Boris Tseitlin•ARTICLE•Comparative Sociology•2024•References: 15

    In this study, the authors investigate the phenomenon of the influence of preference falsification in sociological surveys on socially controversial topics in the context of illiberal states. Based on the classical theories of individuals hiding their true views under the influence of public discourse and state policy, the authors test the hypothesis that in Russia the phenomenon of preference falsification affects the responses of citizens, forc…

  • Exploring the Polarization of American Elites Based on the Analyses of Candidates’ Statements During the 2020 Presidential Election

    Andrew Zhdanov, Kirill Kosolapov•ARTICLE•Democracy and Security•2024

  • Elections, Type of Regime and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization: A Quantitative Analysis

    Andrey Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Sociology•2024•Cited by: 4•References: 28

    This analysis finds that the impact of elections on risks of armed insurrections is not statistically significant, whereas unarmed uprisings/nonviolent revolutions are more likely to occur in the election year. It is also shown that the influence of elections on unarmed revolutionary destabilization had tended to grow with time. The election year became a significant factor of nonviolent revolutionary destabilization only after the end of the Col…

  • Quantitative Analysis of Political Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization (A Systematic Review)

    Open Access•A V Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Political Theory…•2023

    The article presents a systematic review of the results of testing political factors of revolutionary destabilization in the works that the authors classify as the fifth generation of research on revolutions. The article demonstrates that according to the existing quantitative cross-national studies, the same political factors can have a different effect on the probability of armed uprisings, on the one hand, and unarmed revolutionary actions, on…

  • Elections, Regime Type and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization: Quantitative Experience

    Open Access•Andrew Zhdanov, Andrey Korotayev•ARTICLE•Sociology of power•2023

    This article is devoted to the study of the nature of the influence of elections on the risks of revolutionary destabilization. The authors study different approaches to estimating the probability of revolutionary events in an election year. Different types of revolutionary events are distinguished within the framework of the level of political violence. The primary reasons for the activation of the politically active part of the population, both…

  • A Quantitative Analysis of Economic Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization: Results and Prospects

    Open Access•Andrey Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov•ARTICLE•Sociology of power•2023

    There are certain grounds for asserting that the fifth generation of revolution theories is being formed in the 21st century. The main distinguishing features of the new generation of theories of revolution seem to be the reliance on global databases of revolutionary events, the widespread use of modern methods of quantitative analysis, and the fundamental idea that armed and unarmed revolutionary events are characterized by fundamentally differe…

  • Elections, Regime Type, and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization. A Quantitative Analysis

    Open Access•Andrey В Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov•ARTICLE•Sociology of power•2022

  • Elections, Regime Type, and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization. A Quantitative Analysis

    Open Access•Andrey В Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov•ARTICLE•Sociology of power•2022

  • Factors of Deconsolidation of the Liberal Democracy Regime. The Case of the United States of America

    Open Access•Andrey Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov•ARTICLE•Cliodynamics The Journal of…•2022•References: 17

    This article analyzes the hierarchy of factors in the development of crisis trends in a consolidated democracy using the example of the United States of America. The authors assess the surge of political instability in the United States, which led to the deconsolidation of the liberal democracy regime, through the prism of centrifugal processes within the American elite and the erosion of democratic institutions over the past 30 years. The main p…

  • Elections, Type of Regime and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization: A Quantitative Analysis

    Andrey Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Sociology•2024•Cited by: 4•References: 28

    This analysis finds that the impact of elections on risks of armed insurrections is not statistically significant, whereas unarmed uprisings/nonviolent revolutions are more likely to occur in the election year. It is also shown that the influence of elections on unarmed revolutionary destabilization had tended to grow with time. The election year became a significant factor of nonviolent revolutionary destabilization only after the end of the Col…

  • Revolution and Democracy in the Twenty-First Century

    Open Access•Andrey Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov et al.•ARTICLE•Cross-Cultural Research•2025•Cited by: 1•References: 94

    In this article, we analyze an inverted U-shaped relationship between the type of regime (on the autocracy-democracy scale) and the risks of revolutionary destabilization. Anocracies tend to be more vulnerable to revolutionary destabilization than full autocracies or full (consolidated) democracies. We also point to a strong positive association between the weakening of autocracies and the risks of revolutionary destabilization that exist among f…

  • Elections, Regime Type, and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization. A Quantitative Analysis

    Open Access•Andrey В Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov•ARTICLE•Sociology of power•2022

  • Elections, Regime Type, and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization. A Quantitative Analysis

    Open Access•Andrey В Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov•ARTICLE•Sociology of power•2022

  • Factors of Deconsolidation of the Liberal Democracy Regime. The Case of the United States of America

    Open Access•Andrey Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov•ARTICLE•Cliodynamics The Journal of…•2022•References: 17

    This article analyzes the hierarchy of factors in the development of crisis trends in a consolidated democracy using the example of the United States of America. The authors assess the surge of political instability in the United States, which led to the deconsolidation of the liberal democracy regime, through the prism of centrifugal processes within the American elite and the erosion of democratic institutions over the past 30 years. The main p…

  • Quantitative Analysis of Political Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization (A Systematic Review)

    Open Access•A V Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Political Theory…•2023

    The article presents a systematic review of the results of testing political factors of revolutionary destabilization in the works that the authors classify as the fifth generation of research on revolutions. The article demonstrates that according to the existing quantitative cross-national studies, the same political factors can have a different effect on the probability of armed uprisings, on the one hand, and unarmed revolutionary actions, on…

  • Elections, Regime Type and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization: Quantitative Experience

    Open Access•Andrew Zhdanov, Andrey Korotayev•ARTICLE•Sociology of power•2023

    This article is devoted to the study of the nature of the influence of elections on the risks of revolutionary destabilization. The authors study different approaches to estimating the probability of revolutionary events in an election year. Different types of revolutionary events are distinguished within the framework of the level of political violence. The primary reasons for the activation of the politically active part of the population, both…

  • A Quantitative Analysis of Economic Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization: Results and Prospects

    Open Access•Andrey Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov•ARTICLE•Sociology of power•2023

    There are certain grounds for asserting that the fifth generation of revolution theories is being formed in the 21st century. The main distinguishing features of the new generation of theories of revolution seem to be the reliance on global databases of revolutionary events, the widespread use of modern methods of quantitative analysis, and the fundamental idea that armed and unarmed revolutionary events are characterized by fundamentally differe…

  • Inflationary Pressure and Revolutionary Destabilization: Impact Assessment and Comparative Analysis

    Open Access•Andrew Zhdanov, Andrey Korotayev•ARTICLE•Sociology of power•2024

    There are some theoretical grounds to expect that general inflation can have an ambiguous effect on the likelihood of the outbreak of revolutionary actions: while high inflation has a positive effect on revolutionary activity, moderate inflation reduces the likelihood of revolution, whereas negative inflation values again increase revolutionary activity. At the same time, many researchers suggest to treat separately food inflation as a significan…

  • Revealing the Preference Falsification in Russia: Assessing the Robustness of the Results of Sociological Surveys

    Andrew Zhdanov, Boris Tseitlin•ARTICLE•Comparative Sociology•2024•References: 15

    In this study, the authors investigate the phenomenon of the influence of preference falsification in sociological surveys on socially controversial topics in the context of illiberal states. Based on the classical theories of individuals hiding their true views under the influence of public discourse and state policy, the authors test the hypothesis that in Russia the phenomenon of preference falsification affects the responses of citizens, forc…

  • Exploring the Polarization of American Elites Based on the Analyses of Candidates’ Statements During the 2020 Presidential Election

    Andrew Zhdanov, Kirill Kosolapov•ARTICLE•Democracy and Security•2024

  • Elections, Type of Regime and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization: A Quantitative Analysis

    Andrey Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Sociology•2024•Cited by: 4•References: 28

    This analysis finds that the impact of elections on risks of armed insurrections is not statistically significant, whereas unarmed uprisings/nonviolent revolutions are more likely to occur in the election year. It is also shown that the influence of elections on unarmed revolutionary destabilization had tended to grow with time. The election year became a significant factor of nonviolent revolutionary destabilization only after the end of the Col…

  • Revolution and Democracy in the Twenty-First Century

    Open Access•Andrey Korotayev, Andrew Zhdanov et al.•ARTICLE•Cross-Cultural Research•2025•Cited by: 1•References: 94

    In this article, we analyze an inverted U-shaped relationship between the type of regime (on the autocracy-democracy scale) and the risks of revolutionary destabilization. Anocracies tend to be more vulnerable to revolutionary destabilization than full autocracies or full (consolidated) democracies. We also point to a strong positive association between the weakening of autocracies and the risks of revolutionary destabilization that exist among f…

Political science (9 works) · Economics (7 works) · Political economy (7 works) · Sociology (7 works) · Politics (6 works) · Democracy (5 works) · Law (5 works) · Development economics (4 works) · Economic Development and Digital Transformation (4 works) · Demography (3 works)

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