Mohammad Jalal Abbasi‐shavazi
Biographic Data
| ID | 206599 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Mohammad Jalal Abbasi‐shavazi |
| GIVEN NAMES | Mohammad Jalal |
| FAMILY NAME | Abbasi‐shavazi |
| SIGNATURE | SHAVAZI M J A |
| AFFILIATIONS | Australian National University |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-8647-376X |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 32 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 187 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 32 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2000 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 8 |
Understanding Dynamic Drivers of Fertility
Explaining recent fertility trends in Iran
In Iran, childbearing is confined to marriage with a unique pattern of long interbirth intervals. This paper explores the influence of marriage on fertility trends within the context of the recent pronatalist policy introduced by the government to promote marriage and childbearing. We determine that Iran’s pronatalist policy has overlooked the implications of recent fertility trends and the imbalance in the marriage market which led to a marriage…
Forecasting number of births and sex ratio at birth in Iran using deep neural network and Arima
Health Transitions and the Rise of Modern Contraceptive Prevalence
Improvements in health and mortality, known as the health transition, played important roles in the rise of modern contraceptive prevalence across countries. We describe key mechanisms and selected research evidence that show how health transitions helped shape contraceptive transitions around the world. Mechanisms include how decreases in child mortality rates affect the motivation to use contraception and how the organization and expansion of h…
Impact of family policies and economic situation on low fertility in Tehran, Iran
This paper investigates and predicts the impact of family policies and the economic situation on women's reproductive behavior in Tehran Province, Iran. METHODSThe low fertility behavior of women in terms of simultaneous interaction among such agents as household, women, and government is modeled using a multi-agent-based modeling.The probability, heterogeneity, uncertainty, and interactions of agents are the top features of the model.The model i…
Covid‐19, economic recession, and the Refugee situation
The future of labour migration and the situation of labour migrants have received considerable attention under the pandemic (Abella, 2020; Papademetriou & Hooper, 2020). However, less discussion has been made on how the pandemic-induced economic recession impacts refugee populations, especially in developing countries. The number of forcibly displaced persons in the world surpassed 80 million in mid-2020. This majority were internally displaced p…
Asia’s under-researched forced and refugee migration
Women’s education, time use and marriage in Iran
In many parts of the world, higher education has increased female chances of paid work and reduced the economic benefits of marriage. In Iran, however, female labour force participation has remained in low rates despite considerable improvements in female education. In the absence of direct economic benefits of education for women, this paper uses data from the 2009 Time Use Survey, representing urban areas of Iran, to explore another pathway of …
Trends in and patterns of solo living in Iran
Immigrant–native fertility differentials
International migration is increasingly important in shaping national population dynamics, both directly through adding or subtracting people, and indirectly, through the fertility of immigrants. International migrants rarely share the fertility characteristics of either origin or destination populations. However, the relationship between migration and fertility is little understood, especially that relating to refugee populations. This study exa…
An assessment of recent Iranian fertility trends using parity progression ratios
In 2013 a draft population bill was introduced in the Iranian Parliament. Based on the presumption that fertility in Iran had fallen to a very low level, the bill proposed a wide range of pronatalist policies with the aim of increasing fertility to 2.5 bir
Socio‐cultural Adaptation of Second‐generation Afghans in Iran
The long‐term settlement of Afghan immigrants in Iran, along with their high fertility, has produced an important shift in the composition of their population with the emergence of a “second generation”. This article aims to examine how second‐generation Afghans have adapted to the host society and to what extent their adaptation patterns have correlated with demographic and contextual factors. The data is drawn from the 2010 Afghans Adaptation S…
Influences on the knowledge and beliefs of ordinary people about developmental hierarchies
This article is motivated by the idea that development and developmental hierarchies have been constructed and embraced for centuries by scholars and policy makers and have been disseminated among ordinary people. Recent research shows that most people have constructions of development hierarchies that are similar across countries. In this article, we extend this research by examining how basic social factors influence ordinary people’s beliefs a…
Women’s Education and Fertility in Islamic Countries
Marriage Postponement in Iran
The mean age at marriage of Iranian women increased by three years between the mid‐1980s and 2000 during a period of great socio‐economic change, particularly affecting the 1971–1975 and 1976–1980 birth cohorts. This paper analyses the marriage timing and life course experience of these cohorts of women and highlights the contribution that ethnicity and changes in the socio‐economic context made to the sharp marriage delay experienced by the 1976…
Marriage and Family Formation of the Second-Generation Afghans in Iran
In 2006, around 1.2 million documented Afghans remained in Iran, of whom half were second generation. This paper is based on the results of a qualitative study conducted in three settings: Tehran, Mashhad and Isfahan, and draws on data collected via 80 in-depth interviews and six focus group discussions with second generation Afghans in Iran. The aim of the paper is to explore the adaptation of second-generation Afghans in Iran, particularly in r…
International Fertility Change
Many scholars have offered structural and ideational explanations for the fertility changes occurring around the world. This paper focuses on the influence of developmental idealism—a schema or set of beliefs endorsing development, fertility change, and causal connections between development and fertility. Developmental idealism is argued to be an important force affecting both population policy and the fertility behavior of ordinary people. We p…
Family life and developmental idealism in Yazd, Iran
BACKGROUND: This paper is motivated by the theory that developmental idealism has been disseminated globally and has become an international force for family and demographic change. Developmental idealism is a set of cultural beliefs and values about development and how development relates to family and demographic behavior. It holds that modern societies are causal forces producing modern families, that modern families help to produce modern soc…
Knowledge and beliefs about national development and developmental hierarchies
The Health of Older Women After High Parity in Taft, Iran
High parity has been hypothesised to lead to a shorter and less healthy life. Using the 2007 Taft Ageing Health and Fertility Survey consisting of 696 women aged 50-79, this paper examines the extent to which women's health in middle and older ages is affected by their childbearing histories. The results show that high parity (> 8) is associated with a reduction of GP-rated health by 0.094 points on a scale from 1 to 10. These health reductions a…
Demography, Education, and Democracy
Reconstructions and projections of populations by age, sex, and educational attainment for 120 countries since 1970 are used to assess the global relationship between improvements in human capital and democracy. Democracy is measured by the Freedom House indicator of political rights. Similar to an earlier study on the effects of improving educational attainment on economic growth, the greater age detail of this new dataset resolves earlier ambig…
The Fertility Transition in Iran
The Asian Population Association
With almost four billion people, Asia is home to more than 60 per cent of the world's current population, and encompasses great diversity in terms of the size of its nations, its religions, languag
Family Change and Continuity in Iran
Using data from the 2002 Iran Fertility Transition Survey, we examined birth control use between marriage and first pregnancy. We focused on the post-1990 increase in birth control use and develop two explanations. The first posits that birth control use reflects a new marriage form, the conjugal marriage, which places a heightened value on the spousal relationship while deemphasizing the centrality of parenthood. A second explanation stresses th…
Modernization or Cultural Maintenance
Consanguineous marriage has been the culturally preferred form of marriage in Iran. This paper examines the extent to which education, urbanization and changes in modes of economic production have affected the incidence of consanguineous marriage and attitudes towards consanguineous marriages. The 2002 Iran Fertility Transition Survey conducted in the four provinces of Gilan, Sistan and Baluchistan, Yazd and West Azarbaijan provides information o…
International Fertility Change
Many scholars have offered structural and ideational explanations for the fertility changes occurring around the world. This paper focuses on the influence of developmental idealism—a schema or set of beliefs endorsing development, fertility change, and causal connections between development and fertility. Developmental idealism is argued to be an important force affecting both population policy and the fertility behavior of ordinary people. We p…
Socio‐cultural Adaptation of Second‐generation Afghans in Iran
The long‐term settlement of Afghan immigrants in Iran, along with their high fertility, has produced an important shift in the composition of their population with the emergence of a “second generation”. This article aims to examine how second‐generation Afghans have adapted to the host society and to what extent their adaptation patterns have correlated with demographic and contextual factors. The data is drawn from the 2010 Afghans Adaptation S…
The Iranian Fertility Decline, 1981-1999
Iran has experienced one of the most rapid falls in fertility ever recorded. The observed pattern is one in which fertility has fallen simultaneously in all age groups, in all geographic settings and in all social groups, hence accounting for the rapidity of the decline at the national level. Available single calendar year time trends in the age-based total fertility rate and in age specific fertility rates elicit an interpretation of the fertili…
Knowledge and beliefs about national development and developmental hierarchies
Fertility and Multiculturalism
Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, Peter McDonald, Fertility and Multiculturalism: Immigrant Fertility in Australia, 1977-1991, The International Migration Review, Vol. 34, No. 1 (Spring, 2000), pp. 215-242
Demography, Education, and Democracy
Reconstructions and projections of populations by age, sex, and educational attainment for 120 countries since 1970 are used to assess the global relationship between improvements in human capital and democracy. Democracy is measured by the Freedom House indicator of political rights. Similar to an earlier study on the effects of improving educational attainment on economic growth, the greater age detail of this new dataset resolves earlier ambig…
Family life and developmental idealism in Yazd, Iran
BACKGROUND: This paper is motivated by the theory that developmental idealism has been disseminated globally and has become an international force for family and demographic change. Developmental idealism is a set of cultural beliefs and values about development and how development relates to family and demographic behavior. It holds that modern societies are causal forces producing modern families, that modern families help to produce modern soc…
An assessment of recent Iranian fertility trends using parity progression ratios
In 2013 a draft population bill was introduced in the Iranian Parliament. Based on the presumption that fertility in Iran had fallen to a very low level, the bill proposed a wide range of pronatalist policies with the aim of increasing fertility to 2.5 bir
Marriage and Family Formation of the Second-Generation Afghans in Iran
In 2006, around 1.2 million documented Afghans remained in Iran, of whom half were second generation. This paper is based on the results of a qualitative study conducted in three settings: Tehran, Mashhad and Isfahan, and draws on data collected via 80 in-depth interviews and six focus group discussions with second generation Afghans in Iran. The aim of the paper is to explore the adaptation of second-generation Afghans in Iran, particularly in r…
Fertility Decline in the Islamic Republic of Iran
Confounding all conventional wisdom, the fertility rate in the Islamic Republic of Iran fell from around 7.0 births per woman in the early 1980s to 2.1 births per woman in 2000. That this, the largest and fastest fall in fertility ever recorded, should have occurred in one of the world's few Islamic Republics demands explanation. The paper addresses this issue in three parts. The second part is its core: a description of fertility levels, trends …
The “Iranian ART Revolution”
Infertility is a social onus for women in Iran, who are expected to produce children early within marriage. With its estimated 1.5 million infertile couples, Iran is the only Muslim country in which assisted reproductive technologies (ARTs) using donor gametes and embryos have been legitimized by religious authorities and passed into law. This has placed Iran, a Shia-dominant country, in a unique position vis-à-vis the Sunni Islamic world, where …
Immigrant–native fertility differentials
International migration is increasingly important in shaping national population dynamics, both directly through adding or subtracting people, and indirectly, through the fertility of immigrants. International migrants rarely share the fertility characteristics of either origin or destination populations. However, the relationship between migration and fertility is little understood, especially that relating to refugee populations. This study exa…
Influences on the knowledge and beliefs of ordinary people about developmental hierarchies
This article is motivated by the idea that development and developmental hierarchies have been constructed and embraced for centuries by scholars and policy makers and have been disseminated among ordinary people. Recent research shows that most people have constructions of development hierarchies that are similar across countries. In this article, we extend this research by examining how basic social factors influence ordinary people’s beliefs a…
Fertility and Multiculturalism
This article examines the fertility patterns of immigrant groups in Australia during the period, 1977–1991. In this period, the previous policies of assimilation or integration of immigrants into mainstream culture were set aside in favor of a policy of multiculturalism, one of the dimensions of which was support for maintenance of culture. The general finding of research relating to the period prior to multiculturalism was that immigrants adapte…
Being Neighbors to Imam Reza
Many Shi'a Afghan refugees and migrants—most of whom are Hazara—have intentionally settled in Mashhad, Iran, the home of the Shrine of Imam Reza. Hazara also make pilgrimage to the Shrine of Imam Hossein located in Kerbala, Iraq. Hazara comprise nearly half of all documented Afghans in Iran, yet until mid-2005, their returns comprised only one quarter of the total UNHCR-assisted return figures to Afghanistan. Drawing on literature from anthropolo…
Covid‐19, economic recession, and the Refugee situation
The future of labour migration and the situation of labour migrants have received considerable attention under the pandemic (Abella, 2020; Papademetriou & Hooper, 2020). However, less discussion has been made on how the pandemic-induced economic recession impacts refugee populations, especially in developing countries. The number of forcibly displaced persons in the world surpassed 80 million in mid-2020. This majority were internally displaced p…
Women’s education, time use and marriage in Iran
In many parts of the world, higher education has increased female chances of paid work and reduced the economic benefits of marriage. In Iran, however, female labour force participation has remained in low rates despite considerable improvements in female education. In the absence of direct economic benefits of education for women, this paper uses data from the 2009 Time Use Survey, representing urban areas of Iran, to explore another pathway of …
Marriage Postponement in Iran
The mean age at marriage of Iranian women increased by three years between the mid‐1980s and 2000 during a period of great socio‐economic change, particularly affecting the 1971–1975 and 1976–1980 birth cohorts. This paper analyses the marriage timing and life course experience of these cohorts of women and highlights the contribution that ethnicity and changes in the socio‐economic context made to the sharp marriage delay experienced by the 1976…
Family Change and Continuity in Iran
Using data from the 2002 Iran Fertility Transition Survey, we examined birth control use between marriage and first pregnancy. We focused on the post-1990 increase in birth control use and develop two explanations. The first posits that birth control use reflects a new marriage form, the conjugal marriage, which places a heightened value on the spousal relationship while deemphasizing the centrality of parenthood. A second explanation stresses th…
La baisse de la fécondité en Iran, 1981-1999
L’Iran a connu l’une des baisses de fécondité les plus rapides jamais observées. La fécondité a diminué simultanément dans tous les groupes d’âges, dans toutes les zones géographiques et dans toutes les catégories sociales, ce qui explique la vitesse du phénomène au niveau national. Les données annuelles disponibles sur les tendances de l’indice synthétique de fécondité et des taux de fécondité par âge incitent à penser que la chute de la fécondi…
Health Transitions and the Rise of Modern Contraceptive Prevalence
Improvements in health and mortality, known as the health transition, played important roles in the rise of modern contraceptive prevalence across countries. We describe key mechanisms and selected research evidence that show how health transitions helped shape contraceptive transitions around the world. Mechanisms include how decreases in child mortality rates affect the motivation to use contraception and how the organization and expansion of h…
Asia’s under-researched forced and refugee migration
Trends in and patterns of solo living in Iran
Fertility and Multiculturalism
This article examines the fertility patterns of immigrant groups in Australia during the period, 1977–1991. In this period, the previous policies of assimilation or integration of immigrants into mainstream culture were set aside in favor of a policy of multiculturalism, one of the dimensions of which was support for maintenance of culture. The general finding of research relating to the period prior to multiculturalism was that immigrants adapte…
Fertility and Multiculturalism
Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, Peter McDonald, Fertility and Multiculturalism: Immigrant Fertility in Australia, 1977-1991, The International Migration Review, Vol. 34, No. 1 (Spring, 2000), pp. 215-242
Fertility Decline in the Islamic Republic of Iran
Confounding all conventional wisdom, the fertility rate in the Islamic Republic of Iran fell from around 7.0 births per woman in the early 1980s to 2.1 births per woman in 2000. That this, the largest and fastest fall in fertility ever recorded, should have occurred in one of the world's few Islamic Republics demands explanation. The paper addresses this issue in three parts. The second part is its core: a description of fertility levels, trends …
The Iranian Fertility Decline, 1981-1999
Iran has experienced one of the most rapid falls in fertility ever recorded. The observed pattern is one in which fertility has fallen simultaneously in all age groups, in all geographic settings and in all social groups, hence accounting for the rapidity of the decline at the national level. Available single calendar year time trends in the age-based total fertility rate and in age specific fertility rates elicit an interpretation of the fertili…
La baisse de la fécondité en Iran, 1981-1999
L’Iran a connu l’une des baisses de fécondité les plus rapides jamais observées. La fécondité a diminué simultanément dans tous les groupes d’âges, dans toutes les zones géographiques et dans toutes les catégories sociales, ce qui explique la vitesse du phénomène au niveau national. Les données annuelles disponibles sur les tendances de l’indice synthétique de fécondité et des taux de fécondité par âge incitent à penser que la chute de la fécondi…
Being Neighbors to Imam Reza
Many Shi'a Afghan refugees and migrants—most of whom are Hazara—have intentionally settled in Mashhad, Iran, the home of the Shrine of Imam Reza. Hazara also make pilgrimage to the Shrine of Imam Hossein located in Kerbala, Iraq. Hazara comprise nearly half of all documented Afghans in Iran, yet until mid-2005, their returns comprised only one quarter of the total UNHCR-assisted return figures to Afghanistan. Drawing on literature from anthropolo…
Modernization or Cultural Maintenance
Consanguineous marriage has been the culturally preferred form of marriage in Iran. This paper examines the extent to which education, urbanization and changes in modes of economic production have affected the incidence of consanguineous marriage and attitudes towards consanguineous marriages. The 2002 Iran Fertility Transition Survey conducted in the four provinces of Gilan, Sistan and Baluchistan, Yazd and West Azarbaijan provides information o…
The “Iranian ART Revolution”
Infertility is a social onus for women in Iran, who are expected to produce children early within marriage. With its estimated 1.5 million infertile couples, Iran is the only Muslim country in which assisted reproductive technologies (ARTs) using donor gametes and embryos have been legitimized by religious authorities and passed into law. This has placed Iran, a Shia-dominant country, in a unique position vis-à-vis the Sunni Islamic world, where …
The Fertility Transition in Iran
The Asian Population Association
With almost four billion people, Asia is home to more than 60 per cent of the world's current population, and encompasses great diversity in terms of the size of its nations, its religions, languag
Family Change and Continuity in Iran
Using data from the 2002 Iran Fertility Transition Survey, we examined birth control use between marriage and first pregnancy. We focused on the post-1990 increase in birth control use and develop two explanations. The first posits that birth control use reflects a new marriage form, the conjugal marriage, which places a heightened value on the spousal relationship while deemphasizing the centrality of parenthood. A second explanation stresses th…
Demography, Education, and Democracy
Reconstructions and projections of populations by age, sex, and educational attainment for 120 countries since 1970 are used to assess the global relationship between improvements in human capital and democracy. Democracy is measured by the Freedom House indicator of political rights. Similar to an earlier study on the effects of improving educational attainment on economic growth, the greater age detail of this new dataset resolves earlier ambig…
The Health of Older Women After High Parity in Taft, Iran
High parity has been hypothesised to lead to a shorter and less healthy life. Using the 2007 Taft Ageing Health and Fertility Survey consisting of 696 women aged 50-79, this paper examines the extent to which women's health in middle and older ages is affected by their childbearing histories. The results show that high parity (> 8) is associated with a reduction of GP-rated health by 0.094 points on a scale from 1 to 10. These health reductions a…
Women’s Education and Fertility in Islamic Countries
Marriage Postponement in Iran
The mean age at marriage of Iranian women increased by three years between the mid‐1980s and 2000 during a period of great socio‐economic change, particularly affecting the 1971–1975 and 1976–1980 birth cohorts. This paper analyses the marriage timing and life course experience of these cohorts of women and highlights the contribution that ethnicity and changes in the socio‐economic context made to the sharp marriage delay experienced by the 1976…
Marriage and Family Formation of the Second-Generation Afghans in Iran
In 2006, around 1.2 million documented Afghans remained in Iran, of whom half were second generation. This paper is based on the results of a qualitative study conducted in three settings: Tehran, Mashhad and Isfahan, and draws on data collected via 80 in-depth interviews and six focus group discussions with second generation Afghans in Iran. The aim of the paper is to explore the adaptation of second-generation Afghans in Iran, particularly in r…
International Fertility Change
Many scholars have offered structural and ideational explanations for the fertility changes occurring around the world. This paper focuses on the influence of developmental idealism—a schema or set of beliefs endorsing development, fertility change, and causal connections between development and fertility. Developmental idealism is argued to be an important force affecting both population policy and the fertility behavior of ordinary people. We p…
Family life and developmental idealism in Yazd, Iran
BACKGROUND: This paper is motivated by the theory that developmental idealism has been disseminated globally and has become an international force for family and demographic change. Developmental idealism is a set of cultural beliefs and values about development and how development relates to family and demographic behavior. It holds that modern societies are causal forces producing modern families, that modern families help to produce modern soc…
Knowledge and beliefs about national development and developmental hierarchies
Influences on the knowledge and beliefs of ordinary people about developmental hierarchies
This article is motivated by the idea that development and developmental hierarchies have been constructed and embraced for centuries by scholars and policy makers and have been disseminated among ordinary people. Recent research shows that most people have constructions of development hierarchies that are similar across countries. In this article, we extend this research by examining how basic social factors influence ordinary people’s beliefs a…
Socio‐cultural Adaptation of Second‐generation Afghans in Iran
The long‐term settlement of Afghan immigrants in Iran, along with their high fertility, has produced an important shift in the composition of their population with the emergence of a “second generation”. This article aims to examine how second‐generation Afghans have adapted to the host society and to what extent their adaptation patterns have correlated with demographic and contextual factors. The data is drawn from the 2010 Afghans Adaptation S…
Trends in and patterns of solo living in Iran
Immigrant–native fertility differentials
International migration is increasingly important in shaping national population dynamics, both directly through adding or subtracting people, and indirectly, through the fertility of immigrants. International migrants rarely share the fertility characteristics of either origin or destination populations. However, the relationship between migration and fertility is little understood, especially that relating to refugee populations. This study exa…
An assessment of recent Iranian fertility trends using parity progression ratios
In 2013 a draft population bill was introduced in the Iranian Parliament. Based on the presumption that fertility in Iran had fallen to a very low level, the bill proposed a wide range of pronatalist policies with the aim of increasing fertility to 2.5 bir
Women’s education, time use and marriage in Iran
In many parts of the world, higher education has increased female chances of paid work and reduced the economic benefits of marriage. In Iran, however, female labour force participation has remained in low rates despite considerable improvements in female education. In the absence of direct economic benefits of education for women, this paper uses data from the 2009 Time Use Survey, representing urban areas of Iran, to explore another pathway of …
Sociology (26 works) · Demography (24 works) · Population (22 works) · Economics (19 works) · Fertility (18 works) · Demography (17 works) · Geography (17 works) · Political science (17 works) · Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences (15 works) · Law (12 works)