Aldo Paparo
Biographic Data
| ID | 2255696 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Aldo Paparo |
| GIVEN NAMES | Aldo |
| FAMILY NAME | Paparo |
| SIGNATURE | PAPARO A |
| AFFILIATIONS | Libera Università Internazionale degli Studi Sociali Guido Carli |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-3542-3145 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 20 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 161 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 20 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2012 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 6 |
Second-order elections under strain: The 2024 European Parliament elections in Southern Europe
This Introduction presents the framework and summarises the main empirical results of the special issue about the 2024 European Parliament elections in Southern Europe.It argues that Southern Europe is a crucial setting for assessing whether the European Parliament elections remain secondorder in an era of heightened EU politicisation.Drawing on the six country studies in this special issue -Cyprus, Greece, Italy, Malta, Portugal and Spain -we sh…
Parasites, Colluders, and Adversaries: Explaining Mafia Strategies Toward Public Institutions in Italy
Organized crime groups use coercion, corruption, and collusion with political actors to achieve their aims. Why do organized crime organizations sometimes quietly coexist with local authorities, sometimes collude with them, and at other times threaten or attack them? Once restricted to few areas in advanced democracies, recent literature and media attention have shown how the impact of organized crime on political arenas is spreading across new a…
Parties’ and voters’ dilemmas under Italy’s new mixed electoral system
Process matters: The Variegated Effects of Municipal Amalgamation Features on Voter Turnout Revealed in a 10-Country Comparative Investigation
Most literature finds a detrimental effect of amalgamation on voter turnout in municipal elections. Some other studies reveal instead null or even positive effects. We argue that this inconsistency derives from the fact that previous research has only analysed the amalgamation/turnout relation in single case studies. The contribution of this article is therefore twofold. First, it proposes a unified framework to investigate the amalgamation/turno…
Radical-Right Surge in a Deinstitutionalised Party System: The 2022 Italian General Election
The 2022 Italian general election marked a new step in the unprecedented instability experienced by the Italian party system over the past 15 years. This article presents and discusses the outcome of the election within the deinstitutionalised Italian party system. The most remarkable results were the unprecedented success of the radical-right FDI (Fratelli d’Italia – Brothers of Italy) led by Giorgia Meloni (who would become the first female pri…
National and local effects in the Italian regional elections (2018-2020). Beyond second-order election expectations
This article investigates Italian regional elections held between 2018 and 2020 in order to assess whether, and if so, to what extent, regional elections present nationalized or localized features. We argue that the Italian regional elections do not perfectly reflect the expectations deriving from the Second Order Elections (SOE) theory. However, they are not completely ‘localized’, and they often mirror the national climate, as captured by Reif …
Assessing multi-level congruence in voting in comparative perspective: Introducing the municipal level
This article widens the theoretical debate on congruence in voting by including the municipal level on top of the consolidated national-regional comparisons. The concept of multi-level congruence (MLC) is introduced and an original dataset is computed in order to investigate two distinct territorial-level comparisons in Italy and Spain: the national-municipal and the regional-municipal. By building on several strands of literature, the article te…
Europe matters … upon closer investigation: A novel approach for analysing individual-level determinants of vote choice across first- and second-order elections, applied to 2019 Italy
Are European Parliament (EP) elections still second-order? In this article, we test the classical model at the individual level in contrast to an alternative ‘Europe matters’ model, by investigating the relative importance of domestic vs. European Union (EU)-related issues among voter-level determinants of aggregate second-order effects, that is, individual party change. We do so by relying on an original, CAWI pre-electoral survey featuring a di…
The times they are a-changin: Party campaign strategies in the 2018 Italian election
The 2018 Italian election produced striking results, with both a historic success for the two challenger parties (League and M5S) and massive defeats for the two mainstream parties (PD and FI). This article analyses party campaign strategies and their consistency with the opportunity structures provided by the configuration of Italian public opinion. Relying on issue-yield theory, original survey data were collected for both issue support and pri…
Where You Lead, I Will Follow: Partisan Cueing on High‐Salience Issues in a Turbulent Multiparty System
The ability of parties to not only reflect, but actually shape, citizens' preferences on policy issues has been long debated, as it corresponds to a fundamental prediction of classic party identification theory. While most research draws on data from the United States or studies of low‐salience issues, we exploit the unique opportunity presented by the 2013 Italian election, with the four major parties of a clear multiparty setting holding distin…
Are we losing touch?’ Mainstream parties' failure to represent their voters on immigration and its electoral consequences
In many advanced democracies, mainstream political parties have been disrupted either by the rise of new (populist) parties or by hostile takeovers. In this article we argue that immigration attitudes have had a powerful impact on the strategic environment of political parties and leaders. We show, based on evidence from a comparative study conducted by YouGov in spring of 2015, that immigration attitudes had, by that time, driven a wedge between…
PTV gap: A new measure of party identification yielding monotonic partisan attitudes and supporting comparative analysis
Le elezioni comunali del 2019
Review of Italian elections, municipal elections of 2019
Populist Success in a Hung Parliament: The 2018 General Election in Italy
The 2018 Italian general elections were a crucial test to assess the resilience of mainstream parties vis-à-vis the challenge provided by populist forces and the stabilisation of the tripolar party system emerged in 2013. The article analyses the outcome of the election, whose most remarkable result was the unprecedented success of two populist parties, the M5S and the Lega, by focusing on key aspects such as the new electoral system, the coaliti…
Elezioni comunali 2018
Review of Italian elections, municipal elections of 2018
PTV gap as a new measure of partisanship: A panel-data, multi-measure validation showing surprising partisanship stability
Comparative studies of partisanship lack a comparable transatlantic measure. In the U.S. the traditional ANES measure is used, while in European multi-party systems a party-closeness measure is mostly used. A recent contribution proposed PTV (propensity-to-vote) gap as a potential solution to this issue, showing that the gap in PTV scores between the best- and the second best-placed party has desirable properties in the American case. In this art…
Elezioni comunali 2017
Review of Italian elections, municipal elections of 2017
Referendum costituzionale 2016
Review of Italian elections, constitutional referendum of 2016
Regionali 2015
Review of elections in Italy, regional elections of 2015
Elettori in movimento nelle comunali 2011 a Milano, Torino e Napoli
In 2011 Italian local elections we observed high electoral mobility: in Milan, for example, the center-left gained his first-time victory in the Berlusconi era, while in Naples there was a significant split voting in the first round and a huge turnaround between the first and the second ballot. A general research question emerged: are the shifts in the results understandable trough a left-right axis (political nature hypothesis of these elections…
Populist Success in a Hung Parliament: The 2018 General Election in Italy
The 2018 Italian general elections were a crucial test to assess the resilience of mainstream parties vis-à-vis the challenge provided by populist forces and the stabilisation of the tripolar party system emerged in 2013. The article analyses the outcome of the election, whose most remarkable result was the unprecedented success of two populist parties, the M5S and the Lega, by focusing on key aspects such as the new electoral system, the coaliti…
Radical-Right Surge in a Deinstitutionalised Party System: The 2022 Italian General Election
The 2022 Italian general election marked a new step in the unprecedented instability experienced by the Italian party system over the past 15 years. This article presents and discusses the outcome of the election within the deinstitutionalised Italian party system. The most remarkable results were the unprecedented success of the radical-right FDI (Fratelli d’Italia – Brothers of Italy) led by Giorgia Meloni (who would become the first female pri…
The times they are a-changin: Party campaign strategies in the 2018 Italian election
The 2018 Italian election produced striking results, with both a historic success for the two challenger parties (League and M5S) and massive defeats for the two mainstream parties (PD and FI). This article analyses party campaign strategies and their consistency with the opportunity structures provided by the configuration of Italian public opinion. Relying on issue-yield theory, original survey data were collected for both issue support and pri…
Where You Lead, I Will Follow: Partisan Cueing on High‐Salience Issues in a Turbulent Multiparty System
The ability of parties to not only reflect, but actually shape, citizens' preferences on policy issues has been long debated, as it corresponds to a fundamental prediction of classic party identification theory. While most research draws on data from the United States or studies of low‐salience issues, we exploit the unique opportunity presented by the 2013 Italian election, with the four major parties of a clear multiparty setting holding distin…
Assessing multi-level congruence in voting in comparative perspective: Introducing the municipal level
This article widens the theoretical debate on congruence in voting by including the municipal level on top of the consolidated national-regional comparisons. The concept of multi-level congruence (MLC) is introduced and an original dataset is computed in order to investigate two distinct territorial-level comparisons in Italy and Spain: the national-municipal and the regional-municipal. By building on several strands of literature, the article te…
PTV gap: A new measure of party identification yielding monotonic partisan attitudes and supporting comparative analysis
Process matters: The Variegated Effects of Municipal Amalgamation Features on Voter Turnout Revealed in a 10-Country Comparative Investigation
Most literature finds a detrimental effect of amalgamation on voter turnout in municipal elections. Some other studies reveal instead null or even positive effects. We argue that this inconsistency derives from the fact that previous research has only analysed the amalgamation/turnout relation in single case studies. The contribution of this article is therefore twofold. First, it proposes a unified framework to investigate the amalgamation/turno…
PTV gap as a new measure of partisanship: A panel-data, multi-measure validation showing surprising partisanship stability
Comparative studies of partisanship lack a comparable transatlantic measure. In the U.S. the traditional ANES measure is used, while in European multi-party systems a party-closeness measure is mostly used. A recent contribution proposed PTV (propensity-to-vote) gap as a potential solution to this issue, showing that the gap in PTV scores between the best- and the second best-placed party has desirable properties in the American case. In this art…
Are we losing touch?’ Mainstream parties' failure to represent their voters on immigration and its electoral consequences
In many advanced democracies, mainstream political parties have been disrupted either by the rise of new (populist) parties or by hostile takeovers. In this article we argue that immigration attitudes have had a powerful impact on the strategic environment of political parties and leaders. We show, based on evidence from a comparative study conducted by YouGov in spring of 2015, that immigration attitudes had, by that time, driven a wedge between…
Parties’ and voters’ dilemmas under Italy’s new mixed electoral system
Elettori in movimento nelle comunali 2011 a Milano, Torino e Napoli
In 2011 Italian local elections we observed high electoral mobility: in Milan, for example, the center-left gained his first-time victory in the Berlusconi era, while in Naples there was a significant split voting in the first round and a huge turnaround between the first and the second ballot. A general research question emerged: are the shifts in the results understandable trough a left-right axis (political nature hypothesis of these elections…
Elettori in movimento nelle comunali 2011 a Milano, Torino e Napoli
In 2011 Italian local elections we observed high electoral mobility: in Milan, for example, the center-left gained his first-time victory in the Berlusconi era, while in Naples there was a significant split voting in the first round and a huge turnaround between the first and the second ballot. A general research question emerged: are the shifts in the results understandable trough a left-right axis (political nature hypothesis of these elections…
Regionali 2015
Review of elections in Italy, regional elections of 2015
Referendum costituzionale 2016
Review of Italian elections, constitutional referendum of 2016
PTV gap as a new measure of partisanship: A panel-data, multi-measure validation showing surprising partisanship stability
Comparative studies of partisanship lack a comparable transatlantic measure. In the U.S. the traditional ANES measure is used, while in European multi-party systems a party-closeness measure is mostly used. A recent contribution proposed PTV (propensity-to-vote) gap as a potential solution to this issue, showing that the gap in PTV scores between the best- and the second best-placed party has desirable properties in the American case. In this art…
Elezioni comunali 2017
Review of Italian elections, municipal elections of 2017
Populist Success in a Hung Parliament: The 2018 General Election in Italy
The 2018 Italian general elections were a crucial test to assess the resilience of mainstream parties vis-à-vis the challenge provided by populist forces and the stabilisation of the tripolar party system emerged in 2013. The article analyses the outcome of the election, whose most remarkable result was the unprecedented success of two populist parties, the M5S and the Lega, by focusing on key aspects such as the new electoral system, the coaliti…
Elezioni comunali 2018
Review of Italian elections, municipal elections of 2018
Le elezioni comunali del 2019
Review of Italian elections, municipal elections of 2019
Europe matters … upon closer investigation: A novel approach for analysing individual-level determinants of vote choice across first- and second-order elections, applied to 2019 Italy
Are European Parliament (EP) elections still second-order? In this article, we test the classical model at the individual level in contrast to an alternative ‘Europe matters’ model, by investigating the relative importance of domestic vs. European Union (EU)-related issues among voter-level determinants of aggregate second-order effects, that is, individual party change. We do so by relying on an original, CAWI pre-electoral survey featuring a di…
The times they are a-changin: Party campaign strategies in the 2018 Italian election
The 2018 Italian election produced striking results, with both a historic success for the two challenger parties (League and M5S) and massive defeats for the two mainstream parties (PD and FI). This article analyses party campaign strategies and their consistency with the opportunity structures provided by the configuration of Italian public opinion. Relying on issue-yield theory, original survey data were collected for both issue support and pri…
Where You Lead, I Will Follow: Partisan Cueing on High‐Salience Issues in a Turbulent Multiparty System
The ability of parties to not only reflect, but actually shape, citizens' preferences on policy issues has been long debated, as it corresponds to a fundamental prediction of classic party identification theory. While most research draws on data from the United States or studies of low‐salience issues, we exploit the unique opportunity presented by the 2013 Italian election, with the four major parties of a clear multiparty setting holding distin…
Are we losing touch?’ Mainstream parties' failure to represent their voters on immigration and its electoral consequences
In many advanced democracies, mainstream political parties have been disrupted either by the rise of new (populist) parties or by hostile takeovers. In this article we argue that immigration attitudes have had a powerful impact on the strategic environment of political parties and leaders. We show, based on evidence from a comparative study conducted by YouGov in spring of 2015, that immigration attitudes had, by that time, driven a wedge between…
PTV gap: A new measure of party identification yielding monotonic partisan attitudes and supporting comparative analysis
National and local effects in the Italian regional elections (2018-2020). Beyond second-order election expectations
This article investigates Italian regional elections held between 2018 and 2020 in order to assess whether, and if so, to what extent, regional elections present nationalized or localized features. We argue that the Italian regional elections do not perfectly reflect the expectations deriving from the Second Order Elections (SOE) theory. However, they are not completely ‘localized’, and they often mirror the national climate, as captured by Reif …
Assessing multi-level congruence in voting in comparative perspective: Introducing the municipal level
This article widens the theoretical debate on congruence in voting by including the municipal level on top of the consolidated national-regional comparisons. The concept of multi-level congruence (MLC) is introduced and an original dataset is computed in order to investigate two distinct territorial-level comparisons in Italy and Spain: the national-municipal and the regional-municipal. By building on several strands of literature, the article te…
Radical-Right Surge in a Deinstitutionalised Party System: The 2022 Italian General Election
The 2022 Italian general election marked a new step in the unprecedented instability experienced by the Italian party system over the past 15 years. This article presents and discusses the outcome of the election within the deinstitutionalised Italian party system. The most remarkable results were the unprecedented success of the radical-right FDI (Fratelli d’Italia – Brothers of Italy) led by Giorgia Meloni (who would become the first female pri…
Process matters: The Variegated Effects of Municipal Amalgamation Features on Voter Turnout Revealed in a 10-Country Comparative Investigation
Most literature finds a detrimental effect of amalgamation on voter turnout in municipal elections. Some other studies reveal instead null or even positive effects. We argue that this inconsistency derives from the fact that previous research has only analysed the amalgamation/turnout relation in single case studies. The contribution of this article is therefore twofold. First, it proposes a unified framework to investigate the amalgamation/turno…
Parasites, Colluders, and Adversaries: Explaining Mafia Strategies Toward Public Institutions in Italy
Organized crime groups use coercion, corruption, and collusion with political actors to achieve their aims. Why do organized crime organizations sometimes quietly coexist with local authorities, sometimes collude with them, and at other times threaten or attack them? Once restricted to few areas in advanced democracies, recent literature and media attention have shown how the impact of organized crime on political arenas is spreading across new a…
Parties’ and voters’ dilemmas under Italy’s new mixed electoral system
Second-order elections under strain: The 2024 European Parliament elections in Southern Europe
This Introduction presents the framework and summarises the main empirical results of the special issue about the 2024 European Parliament elections in Southern Europe.It argues that Southern Europe is a crucial setting for assessing whether the European Parliament elections remain secondorder in an era of heightened EU politicisation.Drawing on the six country studies in this special issue -Cyprus, Greece, Italy, Malta, Portugal and Spain -we sh…
Political science (17 works) · Law (13 works) · Politics (13 works) · Law (11 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (10 works) · Populism, Right-Wing Movements (10 works) · Economics (9 works) · Political economy (9 works) · Sociology (6 works) · Voting (6 works)