Kristie L Ebi
Dados Biográficos
| ID | 2739420 |
|---|---|
| NOME | Kristie L Ebi |
| PRENOMES | Kristie L |
| SOBRENOME | Ebi |
| ASSINATURA | EBI K L |
| AFILIAÇÕES | University of Washington |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-4746-8236 |
| VERIFICADO | Sim |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 106 |
| TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES | 592 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 104 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 2 |
| PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 2001 |
| ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 2026 |
| ÍNDICE H | 6 |
Ten new insights in climate science 2025
Non-Technical Summary This review highlights 10 recent advances in climate change research with high policy relevance, spanning diverse topics: (1) the global temperature jump of 2023–2024; (2) sea surface warming and marine heatwaves; (3) land carbon sinks; (4) interactions between climate change and biodiversity loss; (5) accelerated groundwater decline; (6) global dengue incidence; (7) income and labour productivity loss; (8) strategic conside…
Seasonal forecasts as public health tools
Food security in a time of climate–food–water–energy convergence
A framework for assessing global health impacts of polar change
Research on the human health risks of climate change is expanding, yet the influence of polar region shifts on these risks remains underexplored. This paper presents a framework to assess global and regional health risks stemming from polar physical changes. The polar regions are experiencing rapid environmental transformations, including melting ice, ocean warming, ocean acidification, permafrost thaw, intensifying wildfires, and alterations to …
Anthropogenic climate change contributed to excess dengue risk related to hydrometeorological conditions in Brazil and China
Living beyond limits
Priority climate and health modelling needs
Climate and health modelling is necessary for improving understanding of the current and future distribution and timing of climate-related health risks. However, underinvestment in this area has limited the understanding required to inform policies that enable multisectoral interventions to safeguard health. We synthesised insights from a survey of 65 global climate and health modelling experts and 36 participants in a hybrid meeting to identify …
Different futures ahead
Maternal and child health climate change adaptation
Driven by the existential threats of climate change to planetary health, the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) established a mandate for National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) to facilitate adaptation planning in low- and middle-income countries. However, the extent to which NAPs consider health risks, particularly those affecting maternal and child health in the adaptation planning process, remains unexplored. Employing th…
The 2023 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change
Safe and just Earth system boundaries
The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably linked 1–3 , yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they are often treated independently 4,5 . Here, we use modelling and literature assessment to quantify safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for climate, the biosphere, water and nutrient cycles, and aerosols at global and subglobal scales. We propose ESBs for maintain…
Health trade-offs in pursuit of livelihood security
As climate change increasingly interacts with socioeconomic development factors to contribute to migration, understanding how climate and migration can coalesce to exacerbate health risks is urgent. Our study examines how migration influences the health of Mekong Delta migrants in Ho Chi Minh City and explores the role of weather and climate variability in the migration experience and health status of migrants before and after migration. Using a …
Living within the safe and just Earth system boundaries for blue water
Safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for surface water and groundwater (blue water) have been defined for sustainable water management in the Anthropocene. Here we assessed whether minimum human needs could be met with surface water from within individual river basins alone and, where this is not possible, quantified how much groundwater would be required. Approximately 2.6 billion people live in river basins where groundwater is needed b…
Quantifying the human cost of global warming
The costs of climate change are often estimated in monetary terms, but this raises ethical issues. Here we express them in terms of numbers of people left outside the ‘human climate niche’—defined as the historically highly conserved distribution of relative human population density with respect to mean annual temperature. We show that climate change has already put ~9% of people (>600 million) outside this niche. By end-of-century (2080–2100), c…
Climate Endgame
Prudent risk management requires consideration of bad-to-worst-case scenarios. Yet, for climate change, such potential futures are poorly understood. Could anthropogenic climate change result in worldwide societal collapse or even eventual human extinction? At present, this is a dangerously underexplored topic. Yet there are ample reasons to suspect that climate change could result in a global catastrophe. Analyzing the mechanisms for these extre…
The 2022 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change
Climate cardiology
Achieving a nature- and people-positive future
Despite decades of increasing investment in conservation, we have not succeeded in ''bending the curve'' of biodiversity decline. Efforts to meet new targets and goals for the next three decades risk repeating this outcome due to three factors: neglect of increasing drivers of decline; unrealistic expectations and time frames of biodiversity recovery; and insufficient attention to justice within and between generations and across countries. Our E…
Climate change, air pollution and human health
This article takes stock of recent literature on health impacts of climate change and air pollution, and the corresponding health benefits of policy action aiming to reduce greenhouse gas and air pollutant emissions. We focus particularly on the publications in the Focus Collection on ‘Climate Change, Air Pollution and Human Health’, which illustrate advances in three key research areas. First, the impacts of global warming and air pollution are …
Seasonal variations in dengue virus transmission suitability in the Americas
Dengue fever (DF) is associated with significant morbidity across the tropics and sub-tropics. Here, we used a temperature-based model of the extrinsic incubation period (EIP) and a temperature and humidity-based model for adult mosquito survival to explore the relationship between seasonal climate variability and DF in Brazil from 2014 to 2019. We found that municipalities with higher mosquito survival probabilities and shorter EIPs were more li…
Past and projected climate change impacts on heat-related child mortality in Africa
Children (<5 years) are highly vulnerable during hot weather due to their reduced ability to thermoregulate. There has been limited quantification of the burden of climate change on health in sub-Saharan Africa, in part due to a lack of evidence on the impacts of weather extremes on mortality and morbidity. Using a linear threshold model of the relationship between daily temperature and child mortality, we estimated the impact of climate change o…
Effects of Climatic Factors on Diarrheal Diseases among Children below 5 Years of Age at National and Subnational Levels in Nepal
Introduction: The incidence of diarrhea, a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in low-income countries such as Nepal, is temperature-sensitive, suggesting it could be associated with climate change. With climate change fueled increases in the mean and variability of temperature and precipitation, the incidence of water and food-borne diseases are increasing, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. This national-level ecological st…
Addressing Capacity Constraints of Rural Local Health Departments to Support Climate Change Adaptation
Looming climate change health impacts among rural communities will require a robust health system response. To reduce health inequities and promote climate justice, rural local health departments (LHDs) must be adequately resourced and supported to engage in climate change mitigation and adaptation policy and program development and implementation. In the United States, small local tax bases, overreliance on revenue from fee-based services, and l…
Identifying a Safe and Just Corridor for People and the Planet
Keeping the Earth system in a stable and resilient state, to safeguard Earth's life support systems while ensuring that Earth's benefits, risks, and related responsibilities are equitably shared, constitutes the grand challenge for human development in the Anthropocene. Here, we describe a framework that the recently formed Earth Commission will use to define and quantify target ranges for a “safe and just corridor” that meets these goals. Althou…
Climate change and child health
Climate change can have detrimental effects on child health and wellbeing. Despite the imperative for a fuller understanding of how climate change affects child health and wellbeing, a systematic approach and focus solely on children (aged <18 years) has been lacking. In this Scoping Review, we did a literature search on the impacts of climate change on child health from January, 2000, to June, 2019. The included studies explicitly linked an alte…
The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications
This paper presents the overview of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their energy, land use, and emissions implications. The SSPs are part of a new scenario framework, established by the climate change research community in order to facilitate the integrated analysis of future climate impacts, vulnerabilities, adaptation, and mitigation. The pathways were developed over the last years as a joint community effort and describe plausible…
The roads ahead
Loss and Damage and limits to adaptation
Recent evidence shows that climate change is leading to irreversible and existential impacts on vulnerable communities and countries across the globe. Among other effects, this has given rise to public debate and engagement around notions of climate crisis and emergency. The Loss and Damage (L&D) policy debate has emphasized these aspects over the last three decades. Yet, despite institutionalization through an article on L&D by the United Nation…
Quantifying the human cost of global warming
The costs of climate change are often estimated in monetary terms, but this raises ethical issues. Here we express them in terms of numbers of people left outside the ‘human climate niche’—defined as the historically highly conserved distribution of relative human population density with respect to mean annual temperature. We show that climate change has already put ~9% of people (>600 million) outside this niche. By end-of-century (2080–2100), c…
Identifying practical adaptation options
Winter mortality in a warming climate
In temperate climates, mortality is higher in the winter than the summer. Most wintertime deaths are attributed to cardiovascular and respiratory disease, with hypothermia from extreme cold accounting for a negligible share of all recorded deaths. International and national assessments of the health risks of climate change often conclude that increased temperatures from climate change will likely reduce winter mortality. This article examines the…
Towards an Early Warning System for Heat Events
Severe and sustained episodes of hot weather during the summer season are associated with marked short‐term increases in morbidity and mortality in the United States and Europe. The death toll in an unprepared region can be substantial, as was evidenced in the 2003 heat event in Western Europe. There is growing interest in developing early warning systems to advise the public when weather conditions pose risks to health. These systems link meteor…
Protecting and promoting population health in the context of climate and other global environmental changes
IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX)
An Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report is a unique collaboration between the scientific community and policymakers. The IPCC was established in 1988 by two United Nations Organisations, the World Meteorological Organisation and the United Nations Environment Programme, and was later endorsed by the United Nations General Assembly through Resolution 43/53.1 IPCC reports are mandated to present policy-relevant, comprehensive, ob…
Association of Normal Weather Periods and El Niño Events With Hospitalization for Viral Pneumonia in Females
Objectives. This study examined associations between weather and hospitalizations of females for viral pneumonia during normal weather periods and El Niño events in the California counties of Sacramento and Yolo, San Francisco and San Mateo, and Los Angeles and Orange. Methods. Associations between weather and hospitalizations (lagged 7 days) for January 1983 through June 1998 were evaluated with Poisson regression models. Generalized estimating …
Governing the health risks of climate change
Living within the safe and just Earth system boundaries for blue water
Safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for surface water and groundwater (blue water) have been defined for sustainable water management in the Anthropocene. Here we assessed whether minimum human needs could be met with surface water from within individual river basins alone and, where this is not possible, quantified how much groundwater would be required. Approximately 2.6 billion people live in river basins where groundwater is needed b…
Managing the changing health risks of climate change
Association of Normal Weather Periods and El Niño Events With Hospitalization for Viral Pneumonia in Females
Objectives. This study examined associations between weather and hospitalizations of females for viral pneumonia during normal weather periods and El Niño events in the California counties of Sacramento and Yolo, San Francisco and San Mateo, and Los Angeles and Orange. Methods. Associations between weather and hospitalizations (lagged 7 days) for January 1983 through June 1998 were evaluated with Poisson regression models. Generalized estimating …
An Approach for Assessing Human Health Vulnerability and Public Health Interventions to Adapt to Climate Change
Assessments of the potential human health impacts of climate change are needed to inform the development of adaptation strategies, policies, and measures to lessen projected adverse impacts. We developed methods for country-level assessments to help policy makers make evidence-based decisions to increase resilience to current and future climates, and to provide information for national communications to the United Nations Framework Convention on …
Climate Change-related Health Impacts in the Hindu Kush–Himalayas
Towards an Early Warning System for Heat Events
Severe and sustained episodes of hot weather during the summer season are associated with marked short‐term increases in morbidity and mortality in the United States and Europe. The death toll in an unprepared region can be substantial, as was evidenced in the 2003 heat event in Western Europe. There is growing interest in developing early warning systems to advise the public when weather conditions pose risks to health. These systems link meteor…
Community-Based Adaptation to the Health Impacts of Climate Change
Adaptation costs for climate change-related cases of diarrhoeal disease, malnutrition, and malaria in 2030
BACKGROUND: Climate change has begun to negatively affect human health, with larger burdens projected in the future as weather patterns continue to change. The climate change-related health consequences of diarrhoeal diseases, malnutrition, and malaria are projected to pose the largest risks to future populations. Limited work has been done to estimate the costs of adapting to these additional health burdens. METHODS: The costs of treating diarrh…
Identifying practical adaptation options
Climate change, tropospheric ozone and particulate matter, and health impacts
We review how climate change could affect future concentrations of tropospheric ozone and particulate matter (PM), and what changing concentrations could mean for population health, as well as studies projecting the impacts of climate change on air quality and the impacts of these changes on morbidity/mortality. Climate change could affect local to regional air quality through changes in chemical reaction rates, boundary layer heights that affect…
Climate Change and Human Health 101
Climate is a primary determinant of whether a particular location has the environmental conditions suitable for the transmission of several vector-borne diseases, including dengue fever, St. Louis encephalitis, and West Nile virus
Facilitating Climate Justice through Community-Based Adaptation in the Health Sector
Climate change presents real risks to human health, with the impacts unevenly distributed because of biogeophysical factors and population vulnerabilities. Although everyone is at some level susceptible to the health consequences of changing weather patterns and alterations in the geographic distribution and incidence of climate-sensitive health outcomes, there are populations and geographic regions that have enhanced vulnerability. Low-income co…
Managing the changing health risks of climate change
Heatwave Early Warning Systems and Adaptation Advice to Reduce Human Health Consequences of Heatwaves
Introduction: With climate change, there has been an increase in the frequency, intensity and duration of heatwave events. In response to the devastating mortality and morbidity of recent heatwave events, many countries have introduced heatwave early warning systems (HEWS). HEWS are designed to reduce the avoidable human health consequences of heatwaves through timely notification of prevention measures to vulnerable populations. Objective: To id…
Resilience to the Health Risks of Extreme Weather Events in a Changing Climate in the United States
Current public health strategies, policies, and measures are being modified to enhance current health protection to climate-sensitive health outcomes. These modifications are critical to decrease vulnerability to climate variability, but do not necessarily increase resilience to future (and different) weather patterns. Communities resilient to the health risks of climate change anticipate risks; reduce vulnerability to those risks; prepare for an…
Governing for a Healthy Population
Enhancing the adaptive capacity of individuals, communities, institutions and nations is pivotal to protecting and improving human health and well-being in the face of systemic social inequity plus dangerous climate change. However, research on the determinants of adaptive capacity in relation to health, particularly concerning the role of governance, is in its infancy. This paper highlights the intersections between global health, climate change…
Determinants of Risk
Many climate change adaptation efforts aim to address the implications of potential changes in the frequency, intensity, and duration of weather and climate events that affect the risk of extreme impacts on human society. That risk is determined not only by the climate and weather events (the hazards) but also by the exposure and vulnerability to these hazards. Therefore, effective adaptation and disaster risk management strategies and practices …
Summary for Policymakers
This Summary for Policymakers presents key findings from the Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX). The SREX approaches the topic by assessing the scientific literature on issues that range from the relationship between climate change and extreme weather and climate events ("climate extremes") to the implications of these events for society and sustainable development. The…
Climate change and natural disasters – integrating science and practice to protect health
BACKGROUND: Hydro-meteorological disasters are the focus of this paper. The authors examine, to which extent climate change increases their frequency and intensity. METHODS: Review of IPCC-projections of climate-change related extreme weather events and related literature on health effects. RESULTS: Projections show that climate change is likely to increase the frequency, intensity, duration, and spatial distribution of a range of extreme weather…
IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX)
An Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report is a unique collaboration between the scientific community and policymakers. The IPCC was established in 1988 by two United Nations Organisations, the World Meteorological Organisation and the United Nations Environment Programme, and was later endorsed by the United Nations General Assembly through Resolution 43/53.1 IPCC reports are mandated to present policy-relevant, comprehensive, ob…
A multi-layered governance framework for incorporating social science insights into adapting to the health impacts of climate change
BACKGROUND: Addressing climate change and its associated effects is a multi-dimensional and ongoing challenge. This includes recognizing that climate change will affect the health and wellbeing of all populations over short and longer terms, albeit in varied ways and intensities. That recognition has drawn attention to the need to take adaptive actions to lessen adverse impacts over the next few decades from unavoidable climate change, particular…
Is climate change affecting human health
First principles suggest that climate change is affecting human health, based on what is understood about the relationships between the mean and variability of temperature, precipitation, and other weather variables and climate-sensitive health outcomes, and the magnitude of climate change that has occurred. However, the complexity of these relationships and the multiple drivers of climate-sensitive health outcomes makes the detection and attribu…
Linking Climate to Incidence of Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (L. major) in Pre-Saharan North Africa
Shifts in surface climate may have changed the dynamic of zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis (ZCL) in the pre-Saharan zones of North Africa. Caused by Leishmania major, this form multiplies in the body of rodents serving as reservoirs of the disease. The parasite is then transmitted to human hosts by the bite of a Phlebotomine sand fly (Diptera: Psychodidae) that was previously fed by biting an infected reservoir. We examine the seasonal and intera…
Health in the New Scenarios for Climate Change Research
The climate change research community is developing a toolkit for creating new scenarios to explore and evaluate the extensive uncertainties associated with future climate change and development pathways. Components of the toolkit include pathways for greenhouse gas emissions over this century and their associated magnitude and pattern of climate change; descriptions of a range of possible socioeconomic development pathways, including qualitative…
Adaptation in first- and second-best worlds
Winter mortality in a warming climate
In temperate climates, mortality is higher in the winter than the summer. Most wintertime deaths are attributed to cardiovascular and respiratory disease, with hypothermia from extreme cold accounting for a negligible share of all recorded deaths. International and national assessments of the health risks of climate change often conclude that increased temperatures from climate change will likely reduce winter mortality. This article examines the…
A new scenario framework for Climate Change Research
This paper describes the scenario matrix architecture that underlies a framework for developing new scenarios for climate change research. The matrix architecture facilitates addressing key questions related to current climate research and policy-making: identifying the effectiveness of different adaptation and mitigation strategies (in terms of their costs, risks and other consequences) and the possible trade-offs and synergies. The two main axe…
Climate change (79 obras) · Climate Change and Health Impacts (71 obras) · Geography (64 obras) · Environmental Science (57 obras) · Medicine (53 obras) · Environmental resource management (51 obras) · Environmental health (42 obras) · Environmental planning (39 obras) · Business (38 obras) · Ecology (37 obras)