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Emilio Zagheni

Biographic Data

ID274137
NAMEEmilio Zagheni
GIVEN NAMESEmilio
FAMILY NAMEZagheni
SIGNATUREZAGHENI E
AFFILIATIONSMax Planck Institute for Demographic Research
ORCID0000-0002-7660-8368
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS45
TOTAL CITATIONS323
AUTHOR COUNT45
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2007
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2026
H-INDEX10
  • Assessing the agreement between microsimulated and register-based kin counts in Sweden

    Open Access•Liliana P Calderón-Bernal, Diego Alburez-Gutierrez et al.•ARTICLE•Population Studies•2026

    Estimating kinship networks is a data-intensive undertaking, usually conducted using empirical sources or demographic models. Although empirical data, such as population registers, provide observed individual-level information, they are limited by availability, truncation, and survivorship bias. Demographic models, including microsimulation, require less detailed data, but they often minimally account for population heterogeneity, family similari…

  • Unmarried and Increasingly Alone: Solitary Leisure Among Unmarried, Solo Dwelling Americans, 1965 to 2018

    Open Access•R Gordon Rinderknecht, Daniela V Negraia et al.•ARTICLE•Social Indicators Research•2026•References: 14

  • Harvesting Effect and Extreme Temperature-Related Mortality in Italy

    Open Access•Vinod Joseph Kannankeril Joseph, Risto Conte Keivabu et al.•ARTICLE•European Journal of Population /…•2026•References: 98

    It is well-established that deaths peak in winter and show throughs in summer. However, it remains unclear how mortality patterns will unfold as the climate warms, bringing fewer cold days and more hot days. One concern is “harvesting,” where a short-term surge in deaths among the most vulnerable people is then followed by a period with fewer deaths than usual because those individuals would have died soon anyway. Under global warming, it is poss…

  • The Limits of Predicting Individual-Level Longevity: Insights From the U.S. Health and Retirement Study

    Open Access•Luca Badolato, Ari Decter-Frain et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2026•References: 78

    Individual-level mortality prediction is a fundamental challenge with implications for life planning, health care, social policies, and public spending. Drawing from the growing body of research on the predictability of life course events, we model and predict individual-level lifespan using 12 statistical and machine learning models and more than 150 predictors derived from the U.S. Health and Retirement Study longitudinal data. Statistical and …

  • The Grass Really is Greener on the Other Side: Immigration and Changes in Expressed Sentiments Online

    Open Access•Jisu Kim, Ingmar Weber et al.•ARTICLE•International Migration Review•2026•References: 45

    Immigration produces diverse outcomes, with some immigrants finding happiness in an improved quality of life, while others face emotional distress from unexpected challenges. Studying these emotional experiences is challenging due to limited longitudinal data. To address this, we curated high-quality data and analyzed Twitter activities of immigrants in the United States to explore how their expressed sentiments evolve post-migration, comparing t…

  • Ad images in social media survey recruitment: What they see is what we get

    Zaza Zindel, Simon Kühne et al.•ARTICLE•International Journal of Social…•2025•References: 7

  • Analysing Biases in Genealogies Using Demographic Microsimulation

    Open Access•Liliana P Calderón-Bernal, Diego Alburez-Gutierrez et al.•ARTICLE•European Journal of Population /…•2025•References: 32

    An incomplete understanding of biases affecting the representativeness of genealogies has hindered their full exploitation. We report on a series of experiments on synthetic populations assessing how structural biases in ascendant genealogies affect the accuracy of demographic estimates. Using the SOCSIM microsimulation programme and Swedish fertility and mortality data (1751–2022), we analyse three biases: lineage survival, limited coverage of c…

  • The Contribution of Educational Expansion to Trends in Life Expectancy and Lifespan Variation in England and Wales, Finland, and Italy (Turin)

    Open Access•Jesús-Daniel Zazueta-Borboa, Ugofilippo Basellini et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2025•References: 88

    Educational expansion has contributed considerably to increasing life expectancy, but its contribution to lifespan variation trends is unclear. We assessed the contributions of educational expansion and mortality changes by educational group to trends in life expectancy (e30) and lifespan variation (e30†) at age 30 in England and Wales, Finland, and Italy (Turin) in 1975–2015. We applied decomposition analysis to education-specific mortality rate…

  • Integrating Traditional and Social Media Data to Predict Bilateral Migrant Stocks in the European Union

    Open Access•Dilek Yildiz, Dilek Yıldız et al.•ARTICLE•International Migration Review•2025•Cited by: 2•References: 43

    Although up-to-date information on the nature and extent of migration within the European Union (EU) is important for policymaking, timely and reliable statistics on the number of EU citizens residing in or moving across other member states are difficult to obtain. In this paper, we develop a statistical model that integrates data on EU migrant stocks using traditional sources such as census, population registers and Labour Force Survey, with nov…

  • Assessing Timely Migration Trends Through Digital Traces: A Case Study of the UK Before Brexit

    Open Access•Francesco Rampazzo, Jakub Bijak et al.•ARTICLE•International Migration Review•2025•Cited by: 4•References: 32

    Digital trace data presents an opportunity for promptly monitoring shifts in migrant populations. This contribution aims to determine whether the number of European migrants in the United Kingdom (UK) declined between March 2019 and March 2020, using weekly estimates derived from the Facebook Advertising Platform. The collected data is disaggregated according to age, level of education, and country of origin. To examine the fluctuation in the num…

  • When do mothers bury a child? Heterogeneity in the maternal age at offspring loss

    Open Access•Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, Ugofilippo Basellini et al.•ARTICLE•Population Studies•2025•Cited by: 1•References: 29

    The experience of losing a child is increasingly uncommon worldwide but is no less devastating for parents who experience it. An overlooked aspect of this phenomenon is its timing: at which age do bereft parents lose a child and how are these ages at loss distributed? We use demographic methods to explore the mean and variability of maternal age at child loss in 18 countries for the 1850-2000 birth cohorts. We find that the distribution of age of…

  • Global Gender Gaps in the International Migration of Professionals on LinkedIn

    Open Access•E Jacobs, Tom Theile et al.•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2025•References: 55

    This paper examines gender differentials in the international migration of professionals, and how this varies by country, industry, age, and years of experience. We leverage data from LinkedIn, the largest professional networking website, to construct Immigrant and Emigrant Gender Gap Indexes (iGGI and eGGI). These indexes measure inflows and potential outflows. The findings indicate that, among LinkedIn users, the global population of immigrant …

  • Racial disparities in deaths related to extreme temperatures in the United States

    Open Access•Risto Conte Keivabu, Ugofilippo Basellini et al.•ARTICLE•One Earth•2024

  • Gender Differences in the Migration Process: A Narrative Literature Review

    Open Access•Athina Anastasiadou, Jisu Kim et al.•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2024•Cited by: 7•References: 11

    Migration scholars agree that migration is a highly gendered process. While the literature on this topic is increasing, the knowledge produced remains fragmentary and has not been synthesized systematically yet. This literature review aims at summarizing the current findings of quantitative migration research comparing migration patterns between genders and highlighting gaps and patterns in the literature over time. Following a reproducible and s…

  • Homecoming After Brexit: Evidence on Academic Migration From Bibliometric Data

    Open Access•Ebru Sanliturk, Samin Aref et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2024•References: 57

    This study assesses the initial effects of the 2016 Brexit referendum on the mobility of academic scholars to and from the United Kingdom (UK). We leverage bibliometric data from millions of Scopus publications to infer changes in the countries of residence of published researchers by the changes in their institutional affiliations over time. We focus on a selected sample of active and internationally mobile researchers whose movements are tracea…

  • Stop, in the Name of Covid! Using Social Media Data to Estimate the Effects of Covid-19-Related Travel Restrictions on Migration

    Open Access•Jordan D Klein, Ingmar Weber et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2024•Cited by: 3•References: 19

    In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the International Organization for Migration has postulated that international migrant stocks fell short of their pre-pandemic projections by nearly 2 million as a result of travel restrictions. However, this decline is not testable with migration data from traditional sources. Key migration stakeholders have called for using data from alternative sources, including social media, to fill these gaps. Building …

  • The Value of Cultural Similarity for Predicting Migration: Evidence from Food and Drink Interests in Digital Trace Data

    Open Access•Camila Camargo Vieira, Sophie Lohmann et al.•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2024•Cited by: 4•References: 62

    One of the strongest empirical regularities in spatial demography is that flows of migrants are positively associated with population stocks at origin and destination and are inversely related to distance. This pattern was formalized into what are known as gravity models of migration. Traditionally, distance is measured geographically, but other measures of distance, such as cultural distance, are also relevant in explaining migration flows. Howe…

  • Modeling the Bias of Digital Data: An Approach to Combining Digital With Official Statistics to Estimate and Predict Migration Trends

    Open Access•Y Hsiao, Lee Fiorio et al.•ARTICLE•Sociological Methods & Research•2024•Cited by: 2•References: 32

    Obtaining reliable and timely estimates of migration flows is critical for advancing the migration theory and guiding policy decisions, but it remains a challenge. Digital data provide granular information on time and space, but do not draw from representative samples of the population, leading to biased estimates. We propose a method for combining digital data and official statistics by using the official statistics to model the spatial and temp…

  • Online social integration of migrants: Evidence from Twitter

    Open Access•Jisu Kim, Soazic Elise Wang Sonne et al.•ARTICLE•Migration Studies•2023•Cited by: 2•References: 7

    As online social activities have become increasingly important for people’s lives, understanding how migrants integrate into online spaces is crucial for providing a more complete picture of integration processes. We curate a high-quality data set to quantify patterns of new online social connections among immigrants in the United States. Specifically, we focus on Twitter and leverage the unique features of these data, in combination with a prope…

  • Computational approaches to migration and integration research: Promises and Challenges

    L G Drouhot, E Deutschmann et al.•ARTICLE•New Community•2023•Cited by: 18•References: 87

    Computational social science provides an innovative set of methodological tools that can help answer questions of substantive interest to migration and integration research. In this introductory article, we first provide a brief history of how computational approaches have already enriched migration and integration research. Second, we identify several key promises of computational migration research (e.g. better access to hard-to-reach populatio…

  • Return migration of German-affiliated researchers: Analyzing departure and return by gender, cohort, and discipline using Scopus bibliometric data 1996–2020

    Open Access•Xinyi Zhao, Samin Aref et al.•ARTICLE•Scientometrics•2022

    The international migration of researchers is an important dimension of scientific mobility, and has been the subject of considerable policy debate. However, tracking the migration life courses of researchers is challenging due to data limitations. In this study, we use Scopus bibliometric data on eight million publications from 1.1 million researchers who have published at least once with an affiliation address from Germany in 1996–2020. We cons…

  • Close Social Networks Among Older Adults: The Online and Offline Perspectives

    Open Access•Sofia Gil‐clavel, Emilio Zagheni et al.•ARTICLE•Population Research and Policy…•2022•References: 46

    Qualitative studies have found that the use of Information and Communication Technologies is related to an enhanced quality of life for older adults, as these technologies might act as a medium to access social capital regardless of geographical distance. In order to quantitatively study the association between older people’s characteristics and the likelihood of having a network of close friends offline and online, we use data from the Survey of…

  • Combining Social Media and Survey Data to Nowcast Migrant Stocks in the United States

    Open Access•M Alexander, Kivan Polimis et al.•ARTICLE•Population Research and Policy…•2022•Cited by: 17•References: 24

    Measuring and forecasting migration patterns has important implications for understanding broader population trends, for designing policy effectively and for allocating resources. However, data on migration and mobility are often lacking, and those that do exist are not available in a timely manner. Social media data offer new opportunities to provide more up-to-date demographic estimates and to complement more traditional data sources. Facebook’…

  • The Impact of Demographic Change on Transfers of Care and Associated Well-being”

    Open Access•Denys Dukhovnov, Joan M Ryan et al.•ARTICLE•Population Research and Policy…•2022•References: 47

    This study aims to evaluate the impact of demographic change on long-term, macro-level childcare and adult care transfers, accounting for the associated well-being effects of informal caregiving. We measure the impact of demographic change on non-monetary care exchanged between different groups by estimating matrices of time transfers by age and sex, and weighting the time flows by self-reported indicators of well-being, for activities related to…

  • Global burden of maternal bereavement: Indicators of the cumulative prevalence of child loss

    Open Access•Emily Smith-Greenaway, Diego Alburez-Gutierrez et al.•ARTICLE•BMJ Global Health•2021

    BACKGROUND: We provide country-level estimates of the cumulative prevalence of mothers bereaved by a child's death in 170 countries and territories. METHODS: We generate indicators of the cumulative prevalence of mothers who have had an infant, under-five-year-old or any-age child ever die by using publicly available survey data in 89 countries and an indirect approach that combines formal kinship models and life-table methods in an additional 81…

Next
  • Promises and Pitfalls of Using Digital Traces for Demographic Research

    Open Access•Nina Cesare, H Lee et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2018•Cited by: 47•References: 12

    The digital traces that we leave online are increasingly fruitful sources of data for social scientists, including those interested in demographic research. The collection and use of digital data also presents numerous statistical, computational, and ethical challenges, motivating the development of new research approaches to address these burgeoning issues. In this article, we argue that researchers with formal training in demography—those who h…

  • Leveraging Facebook's Advertising Platform to Monitor Stocks of Migrants

    Open Access•Emilio Zagheni, Ingmar Weber et al.•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2017•Cited by: 41•References: 17

  • The Impact of Hurricane Maria on Out-migration from Puerto Rico: Evidence from Facebook Data

    Open Access•M Alexander, Kivan Polimis et al.•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2019•Cited by: 28•References: 10

    Please note: The publisher is not responsible for the content or functionality of any supporting information supplied by the authors. Any queries (other than missing content) should be directed to the corresponding author for the article

  • Who Takes Care of Whom in the United States? Time Transfers by Age and Sex

    Open Access•Denys Dukhovnov, Emilio Zagheni•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2015•Cited by: 20•References: 22

    Non-monetary transfers of time represent a largely unknown, yet pivotal component, of the support system in the United States. We map flows of time transfers, by age and sex, related to informal childcare and adult care in the US. We develop methods to estimate intra- and inter-household time transfers using data from the American Time Use Survey (2011-2013). We summarize the results in matrices of time flows by age and sex for the general US pop…

  • Computational approaches to migration and integration research: Promises and Challenges

    L G Drouhot, E Deutschmann et al.•ARTICLE•New Community•2023•Cited by: 18•References: 87

    Computational social science provides an innovative set of methodological tools that can help answer questions of substantive interest to migration and integration research. In this introductory article, we first provide a brief history of how computational approaches have already enriched migration and integration research. Second, we identify several key promises of computational migration research (e.g. better access to hard-to-reach populatio…

  • The "Sandwich Generation" Revisited: Global Demographic Drivers of Care Time Demands

    Open Access•Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, Carl Mason et al.•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2021•Cited by: 18•References: 51

    Generational overlap affects the care time demands on parents and grandparents worldwide. Here, we present the first global estimates of the experience of simultaneously having frail older parents and young children ("sandwichness") or young grandchildren ("grandsandwichness") for the 1970-2040 cohorts, using demographic methods and microsimulations. We find that sandwichness is more prevalent in the Global South-for example, almost twice as prev…

  • A Flexible Bayesian Model for Estimating Subnational Mortality

    Open Access•M Alexander, Emilio Zagheni et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2017•Cited by: 18•References: 19

    Reliable subnational mortality estimates are essential in the study of health inequalities within a country. One of the difficulties in producing such estimates is the presence of small populations among which the stochastic variation in death counts is relatively high, and thus the underlying mortality levels are unclear. We present a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate mortality at the subnational level. The model builds on characteristic a…

  • The Impact of the HIV/Aids Epidemic on Kinship Resources for Orphans in Zimbabwe

    Open Access•Emilio Zagheni•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2011•Cited by: 18•References: 31

    The extended family has been recognized as a major safety net for orphans in sub-Saharan Africa. However, the mortality crisis associated with HIV/AIDS may drastically reduce the availability of relatives and thus undermine traditional forms of mutual support. In this article, the microsimulator SOCSIM is used to estimate and project quantities such as the number of living uncles, aunts, siblings, and grandparents available to orphans. The model …

  • Combining Social Media and Survey Data to Nowcast Migrant Stocks in the United States

    Open Access•M Alexander, Kivan Polimis et al.•ARTICLE•Population Research and Policy…•2022•Cited by: 17•References: 24

    Measuring and forecasting migration patterns has important implications for understanding broader population trends, for designing policy effectively and for allocating resources. However, data on migration and mobility are often lacking, and those that do exist are not available in a timely manner. Social media data offer new opportunities to provide more up-to-date demographic estimates and to complement more traditional data sources. Facebook’…

  • Analyzing the Effect of Time in Migration Measurement Using Georeferenced Digital Trace Data

    Open Access•Lee Fiorio, Emilio Zagheni et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2021•Cited by: 13•References: 30

    Georeferenced digital trace data offer unprecedented flexibility in migration estimation. Because of their high temporal granularity, many migration estimates can be generated from the same data set by changing the definition parameters. Yet despite the growing application of digital trace data to migration research, strategies for taking advantage of their temporal granularity remain largely underdeveloped. In this paper, we provide a general fr…

  • A Framework for Estimating Migrant Stocks Using Digital Traces and Survey Data: An Application in the United Kingdom

    Open Access•Francesco Rampazzo, Jakub Bijak et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2021•Cited by: 10•References: 29

    An accurate estimation of international migration is hampered by a lack of timely and comprehensive data, and by the use of different definitions and measures of migration in different countries. In an effort to address this situation, we complement traditional data sources for the United Kingdom with social media data: our aim is to understand whether information from digital traces can help measure international migration. The Bayesian framewor…

  • A Case for “Reverse One-Child” Policies in Japan and South Korea? Examining the Link Between Education Costs and Lowest-Low Fertility

    Open Access•Poh Lin Tan, S Philip Morgan et al.•ARTICLE•Population Research and Policy…•2016•Cited by: 10•References: 25

  • Women's Experience of Child Death Over the Life Course: A Global Demographic Perspective

    Open Access•Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, Martin Kolk et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2021•Cited by: 8•References: 36

    The death of a child affects the well-being of parents and families worldwide, but little is known about the scale of this phenomenon. Using a novel methodology from formal demography applied to data from the 2019 Revision of the United Nations World Population Prospects, we provide the first global overview of parental bereavement, its magnitude, prevalence, and distribution over age for the 1950–2000 annual birth cohorts of women. We project th…

  • Age matters: Ageing and household energy demand in the United States

    Open Access•Hossein Estiri, Emilio Zagheni•ARTICLE•Energy Research & Social Science•2019•Cited by: 8•References: 2

    Age is an important proxy for many life course trajectories, and has complex and understudied relationships with energy consumption. We evaluated the presence and the shape of an age-energy consumption profile in the U.S. residential sector, using household-level data from four waves of the Residential Energy Consumption Survey (RECS) in 1987, 1990, 2005, and 2009. We constructed pseudo-cohorts from Bayesian generalized linear model estimates to …

  • The Leverage of Demographic Dynamics on Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Does Age Structure Matter

    Open Access•Emilio Zagheni•ARTICLE•Demography•2011•Cited by: 8•References: 32

    This article provides a methodological contribution to the study of the effect of changes in population age structure on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. First, I propose a generalization of the IPAT equation to a multisector economy with an age-structured population and discuss the insights that can be obtained in the context of stable population theory. Second, I suggest a statistical model of household consumption as a function of household siz…

  • Gender Differences in the Migration Process: A Narrative Literature Review

    Open Access•Athina Anastasiadou, Jisu Kim et al.•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2024•Cited by: 7•References: 11

    Migration scholars agree that migration is a highly gendered process. While the literature on this topic is increasing, the knowledge produced remains fragmentary and has not been synthesized systematically yet. This literature review aims at summarizing the current findings of quantitative migration research comparing migration patterns between genders and highlighting gaps and patterns in the literature over time. Following a reproducible and s…

  • The impact of demographic change on intergenerational transfers via bequests

    Open Access•Emilio Zagheni, Brittney Wagner•ARTICLE•Demographic Research•2015•Cited by: 6•References: 7

    Transfers in the form of bequests have important implications for the intergenerational transmission of inequality. Demographic change has relevant consequences for the timing and size of bequests. For example, longer life implies that people receive beque

  • The life cycle dimension of time transfers in Europe

    Open Access•Emilio Zagheni, Marina Zannella•ARTICLE•Demographic Research•2013•Cited by: 5•References: 4

    Reallocation of economic resources between generations and genders has important consequences for economic growth and inequality. Unpaid work is a relevant component of intergenerational transfers, but is invisible to traditional accounts. Time use data ca

  • Assessing Timely Migration Trends Through Digital Traces: A Case Study of the UK Before Brexit

    Open Access•Francesco Rampazzo, Jakub Bijak et al.•ARTICLE•International Migration Review•2025•Cited by: 4•References: 32

    Digital trace data presents an opportunity for promptly monitoring shifts in migrant populations. This contribution aims to determine whether the number of European migrants in the United Kingdom (UK) declined between March 2019 and March 2020, using weekly estimates derived from the Facebook Advertising Platform. The collected data is disaggregated according to age, level of education, and country of origin. To examine the fluctuation in the num…

  • The Value of Cultural Similarity for Predicting Migration: Evidence from Food and Drink Interests in Digital Trace Data

    Open Access•Camila Camargo Vieira, Sophie Lohmann et al.•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2024•Cited by: 4•References: 62

    One of the strongest empirical regularities in spatial demography is that flows of migrants are positively associated with population stocks at origin and destination and are inversely related to distance. This pattern was formalized into what are known as gravity models of migration. Traditionally, distance is measured geographically, but other measures of distance, such as cultural distance, are also relevant in explaining migration flows. Howe…

  • Stop, in the Name of Covid! Using Social Media Data to Estimate the Effects of Covid-19-Related Travel Restrictions on Migration

    Open Access•Jordan D Klein, Ingmar Weber et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2024•Cited by: 3•References: 19

    In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the International Organization for Migration has postulated that international migrant stocks fell short of their pre-pandemic projections by nearly 2 million as a result of travel restrictions. However, this decline is not testable with migration data from traditional sources. Key migration stakeholders have called for using data from alternative sources, including social media, to fill these gaps. Building …

  • Integrating Traditional and Social Media Data to Predict Bilateral Migrant Stocks in the European Union

    Open Access•Dilek Yildiz, Dilek Yıldız et al.•ARTICLE•International Migration Review•2025•Cited by: 2•References: 43

    Although up-to-date information on the nature and extent of migration within the European Union (EU) is important for policymaking, timely and reliable statistics on the number of EU citizens residing in or moving across other member states are difficult to obtain. In this paper, we develop a statistical model that integrates data on EU migrant stocks using traditional sources such as census, population registers and Labour Force Survey, with nov…

  • Modeling the Bias of Digital Data: An Approach to Combining Digital With Official Statistics to Estimate and Predict Migration Trends

    Open Access•Y Hsiao, Lee Fiorio et al.•ARTICLE•Sociological Methods & Research•2024•Cited by: 2•References: 32

    Obtaining reliable and timely estimates of migration flows is critical for advancing the migration theory and guiding policy decisions, but it remains a challenge. Digital data provide granular information on time and space, but do not draw from representative samples of the population, leading to biased estimates. We propose a method for combining digital data and official statistics by using the official statistics to model the spatial and temp…

  • Online social integration of migrants: Evidence from Twitter

    Open Access•Jisu Kim, Soazic Elise Wang Sonne et al.•ARTICLE•Migration Studies•2023•Cited by: 2•References: 7

    As online social activities have become increasingly important for people’s lives, understanding how migrants integrate into online spaces is crucial for providing a more complete picture of integration processes. We curate a high-quality data set to quantify patterns of new online social connections among immigrants in the United States. Specifically, we focus on Twitter and leverage the unique features of these data, in combination with a prope…

  • The East-West Gradient in Spatial Population Development Within Germany: Temporary GDR Legacy Versus Longstanding Spatial Disparities

    Open Access•Sebastian Klüsener, Emilio Zagheni•ARTICLE•Historical Methods A Journal of…•2014•Cited by: 2•References: 17

    Since Germany's unification in 1990, the former communist eastern part has experienced substantial out-migration toward western Germany. This article explores whether this is predominantly a temporary phenomenon related to the post-communist transition crisis, or whether longstanding geographic disparities in economic development also play a role. In particular, we are interested in whether long-term trends are shaped by the fact that parts of we…

  • A cost valuation model based on a stochastic representation of the Ipat equation

    Open Access•Emilio Zagheni, Francesco C Billari•ARTICLE•Population and Environment•2007•Cited by: 2•References: 10

  • The Leverage of Demographic Dynamics on Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Does Age Structure Matter

    Open Access•Emilio Zagheni•ARTICLE•Demography•2011•Cited by: 8•References: 32

    This article provides a methodological contribution to the study of the effect of changes in population age structure on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. First, I propose a generalization of the IPAT equation to a multisector economy with an age-structured population and discuss the insights that can be obtained in the context of stable population theory. Second, I suggest a statistical model of household consumption as a function of household siz…

  • The Impact of the HIV/Aids Epidemic on Kinship Resources for Orphans in Zimbabwe

    Open Access•Emilio Zagheni•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2011•Cited by: 18•References: 31

    The extended family has been recognized as a major safety net for orphans in sub-Saharan Africa. However, the mortality crisis associated with HIV/AIDS may drastically reduce the availability of relatives and thus undermine traditional forms of mutual support. In this article, the microsimulator SOCSIM is used to estimate and project quantities such as the number of living uncles, aunts, siblings, and grandparents available to orphans. The model …

  • The life cycle dimension of time transfers in Europe

    Open Access•Emilio Zagheni, Marina Zannella•ARTICLE•Demographic Research•2013•Cited by: 5•References: 4

    Reallocation of economic resources between generations and genders has important consequences for economic growth and inequality. Unpaid work is a relevant component of intergenerational transfers, but is invisible to traditional accounts. Time use data ca

  • The East-West Gradient in Spatial Population Development Within Germany: Temporary GDR Legacy Versus Longstanding Spatial Disparities

    Open Access•Sebastian Klüsener, Emilio Zagheni•ARTICLE•Historical Methods A Journal of…•2014•Cited by: 2•References: 17

    Since Germany's unification in 1990, the former communist eastern part has experienced substantial out-migration toward western Germany. This article explores whether this is predominantly a temporary phenomenon related to the post-communist transition crisis, or whether longstanding geographic disparities in economic development also play a role. In particular, we are interested in whether long-term trends are shaped by the fact that parts of we…

  • Microsimulation in Demographic Research

    Open Access•Emilio Zagheni•CHAPTER•International Encyclopedia of the…•2015

  • Who Takes Care of Whom in the United States? Time Transfers by Age and Sex

    Open Access•Denys Dukhovnov, Emilio Zagheni•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2015•Cited by: 20•References: 22

    Non-monetary transfers of time represent a largely unknown, yet pivotal component, of the support system in the United States. We map flows of time transfers, by age and sex, related to informal childcare and adult care in the US. We develop methods to estimate intra- and inter-household time transfers using data from the American Time Use Survey (2011-2013). We summarize the results in matrices of time flows by age and sex for the general US pop…

  • The impact of demographic change on intergenerational transfers via bequests

    Open Access•Emilio Zagheni, Brittney Wagner•ARTICLE•Demographic Research•2015•Cited by: 6•References: 7

    Transfers in the form of bequests have important implications for the intergenerational transmission of inequality. Demographic change has relevant consequences for the timing and size of bequests. For example, longer life implies that people receive beque

  • A Case for “Reverse One-Child” Policies in Japan and South Korea? Examining the Link Between Education Costs and Lowest-Low Fertility

    Open Access•Poh Lin Tan, S Philip Morgan et al.•ARTICLE•Population Research and Policy…•2016•Cited by: 10•References: 25

  • A Flexible Bayesian Model for Estimating Subnational Mortality

    Open Access•M Alexander, Emilio Zagheni et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2017•Cited by: 18•References: 19

    Reliable subnational mortality estimates are essential in the study of health inequalities within a country. One of the difficulties in producing such estimates is the presence of small populations among which the stochastic variation in death counts is relatively high, and thus the underlying mortality levels are unclear. We present a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate mortality at the subnational level. The model builds on characteristic a…

  • Leveraging Facebook's Advertising Platform to Monitor Stocks of Migrants

    Open Access•Emilio Zagheni, Ingmar Weber et al.•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2017•Cited by: 41•References: 17

  • Promises and Pitfalls of Using Digital Traces for Demographic Research

    Open Access•Nina Cesare, H Lee et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2018•Cited by: 47•References: 12

    The digital traces that we leave online are increasingly fruitful sources of data for social scientists, including those interested in demographic research. The collection and use of digital data also presents numerous statistical, computational, and ethical challenges, motivating the development of new research approaches to address these burgeoning issues. In this article, we argue that researchers with formal training in demography—those who h…

  • Age matters: Ageing and household energy demand in the United States

    Open Access•Hossein Estiri, Emilio Zagheni•ARTICLE•Energy Research & Social Science•2019•Cited by: 8•References: 2

    Age is an important proxy for many life course trajectories, and has complex and understudied relationships with energy consumption. We evaluated the presence and the shape of an age-energy consumption profile in the U.S. residential sector, using household-level data from four waves of the Residential Energy Consumption Survey (RECS) in 1987, 1990, 2005, and 2009. We constructed pseudo-cohorts from Bayesian generalized linear model estimates to …

  • Bowling Together: Scientific Collaboration Networks of Demographers at European Population Conferences

    Open Access•Guy J Abel, Guy Abel et al.•ARTICLE•European Journal of Population /…•2019•Cited by: 1•References: 28

  • The Impact of Hurricane Maria on Out-migration from Puerto Rico: Evidence from Facebook Data

    Open Access•M Alexander, Kivan Polimis et al.•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2019•Cited by: 28•References: 10

    Please note: The publisher is not responsible for the content or functionality of any supporting information supplied by the authors. Any queries (other than missing content) should be directed to the corresponding author for the article

  • Global burden of maternal bereavement: Indicators of the cumulative prevalence of child loss

    Open Access•Emily Smith-Greenaway, Diego Alburez-Gutierrez et al.•ARTICLE•BMJ Global Health•2021

    BACKGROUND: We provide country-level estimates of the cumulative prevalence of mothers bereaved by a child's death in 170 countries and territories. METHODS: We generate indicators of the cumulative prevalence of mothers who have had an infant, under-five-year-old or any-age child ever die by using publicly available survey data in 89 countries and an indirect approach that combines formal kinship models and life-table methods in an additional 81…

  • Linking excess mortality to mobility data during the first wave of Covid-19 in England and Wales

    Open Access•Ugofilippo Basellini, Diego Alburez-Gutierrez et al.•ARTICLE•SSM - Population Health•2021

    Non-pharmaceutical interventions have been implemented worldwide to curb the spread of COVID-19. However, the effectiveness of such governmental measures in reducing the mortality burden remains a key question of scientific interest and public debate. In this study, we leverage digital mobility data to assess the effects of reduced human mobility on excess mortality, focusing on regional data in England and Wales between February and August 2020.…

  • Analyzing the Effect of Time in Migration Measurement Using Georeferenced Digital Trace Data

    Open Access•Lee Fiorio, Emilio Zagheni et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2021•Cited by: 13•References: 30

    Georeferenced digital trace data offer unprecedented flexibility in migration estimation. Because of their high temporal granularity, many migration estimates can be generated from the same data set by changing the definition parameters. Yet despite the growing application of digital trace data to migration research, strategies for taking advantage of their temporal granularity remain largely underdeveloped. In this paper, we provide a general fr…

  • Women's Experience of Child Death Over the Life Course: A Global Demographic Perspective

    Open Access•Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, Martin Kolk et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2021•Cited by: 8•References: 36

    The death of a child affects the well-being of parents and families worldwide, but little is known about the scale of this phenomenon. Using a novel methodology from formal demography applied to data from the 2019 Revision of the United Nations World Population Prospects, we provide the first global overview of parental bereavement, its magnitude, prevalence, and distribution over age for the 1950–2000 annual birth cohorts of women. We project th…

  • A Framework for Estimating Migrant Stocks Using Digital Traces and Survey Data: An Application in the United Kingdom

    Open Access•Francesco Rampazzo, Jakub Bijak et al.•ARTICLE•Demography•2021•Cited by: 10•References: 29

    An accurate estimation of international migration is hampered by a lack of timely and comprehensive data, and by the use of different definitions and measures of migration in different countries. In an effort to address this situation, we complement traditional data sources for the United Kingdom with social media data: our aim is to understand whether information from digital traces can help measure international migration. The Bayesian framewor…

  • The "Sandwich Generation" Revisited: Global Demographic Drivers of Care Time Demands

    Open Access•Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, Carl Mason et al.•ARTICLE•Population and Development Review•2021•Cited by: 18•References: 51

    Generational overlap affects the care time demands on parents and grandparents worldwide. Here, we present the first global estimates of the experience of simultaneously having frail older parents and young children ("sandwichness") or young grandchildren ("grandsandwichness") for the 1970-2040 cohorts, using demographic methods and microsimulations. We find that sandwichness is more prevalent in the Global South-for example, almost twice as prev…

  • Return migration of German-affiliated researchers: Analyzing departure and return by gender, cohort, and discipline using Scopus bibliometric data 1996–2020

    Open Access•Xinyi Zhao, Samin Aref et al.•ARTICLE•Scientometrics•2022

    The international migration of researchers is an important dimension of scientific mobility, and has been the subject of considerable policy debate. However, tracking the migration life courses of researchers is challenging due to data limitations. In this study, we use Scopus bibliometric data on eight million publications from 1.1 million researchers who have published at least once with an affiliation address from Germany in 1996–2020. We cons…

  • Close Social Networks Among Older Adults: The Online and Offline Perspectives

    Open Access•Sofia Gil‐clavel, Emilio Zagheni et al.•ARTICLE•Population Research and Policy…•2022•References: 46

    Qualitative studies have found that the use of Information and Communication Technologies is related to an enhanced quality of life for older adults, as these technologies might act as a medium to access social capital regardless of geographical distance. In order to quantitatively study the association between older people’s characteristics and the likelihood of having a network of close friends offline and online, we use data from the Survey of…

  • Combining Social Media and Survey Data to Nowcast Migrant Stocks in the United States

    Open Access•M Alexander, Kivan Polimis et al.•ARTICLE•Population Research and Policy…•2022•Cited by: 17•References: 24

    Measuring and forecasting migration patterns has important implications for understanding broader population trends, for designing policy effectively and for allocating resources. However, data on migration and mobility are often lacking, and those that do exist are not available in a timely manner. Social media data offer new opportunities to provide more up-to-date demographic estimates and to complement more traditional data sources. Facebook’…

  • The Impact of Demographic Change on Transfers of Care and Associated Well-being”

    Open Access•Denys Dukhovnov, Joan M Ryan et al.•ARTICLE•Population Research and Policy…•2022•References: 47

    This study aims to evaluate the impact of demographic change on long-term, macro-level childcare and adult care transfers, accounting for the associated well-being effects of informal caregiving. We measure the impact of demographic change on non-monetary care exchanged between different groups by estimating matrices of time transfers by age and sex, and weighting the time flows by self-reported indicators of well-being, for activities related to…

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