Nick Dorward
Biographic Data
| ID | 3081676 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Nick Dorward |
| GIVEN NAMES | Nick |
| FAMILY NAME | Dorward |
| SIGNATURE | DORWARD N |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Southampton |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-0247-2995 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 8 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 17 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 8 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2022 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 3 |
Mapping the long-term trajectories of political violence in Africa
Urbanisation and the political demography of African cities
Political demographers link large (urban) youth cohorts to individual political behaviour. • We argue that the local demographic context of a city shapes the probability of voting and protest mobilisation of for the individuals within it. • We find that high city youth shares are not associated with individual voting behaviour. • However, we find that individuals living in cities with high youth shares are less likely to protest. • While this hol…
Urbanisation, democracy, and political regime transformations
Cities, and the process of urbanisation more broadly, have long been associated with political change – and democratisation in particular. However, there is little cross-country empirical research on the relationship between urbanisation and political change, and a tendency to conflate urbanisation with industrialisation and economic development. This gap is significant for two reasons. First, many of the hypothesised mechanisms linking urbanisat…
The urbanization of conflict? Patterns of armed conflict and protest in Africa
Is the geography of armed conflict in Africa becoming more urban? To answer this question, I link georeferenced data on the timing and location of armed conflict and protest events to continent-wide geospatial data on human settlement patterns. Comparing rates of conflict and contention in rural versus urban areas over time, I argue that, contrary to conventional wisdom, claims surrounding the ‘urbanization of conflict’ in Africa are premature. I…
Urban-Rural Geographies of Political Violence in North and West Africa
This paper assesses the relationship between population density and political violence within North and West Africa. We find that while most violence currently occurs in rural areas, it also exhibits a classic distance-decay effect, commonly occurring near urbanized places. Regional differences are evident as Jihadist-led violence is increasingly rural in West Africa while urban violence was more common in North Africa. Important difference in st…
A spatial-demographic analysis of Africa’s emerging urban geography
We examine Africa’s emerging urban geography from a demographic perspective and discuss implications for development policy. We adopt an approach that defines urbanisation purely in spatial-demographic terms in recognition of the decoupling of urbanization (as a spatial-demographic process) from economic development in Africa. Our analysis uses the most up-to-date gridded population data (WorldPop) to analyse diverse patterns of “urban” settlemen…
Urbanization and political change in Africa
Urbanization is transforming the human and political geography of Africa. While a growing body of research explores the urban dimensions of clientelism, contentious action, and social mobilization, there has been less attention given to the ways in which this demographic megatrend is influencing political change more broadly. We argue that the political implications of African urbanization are contingent on local conditions and experiences; there…
Population pressure, political institutions, and protests: A multilevel analysis of protest events in African cities
Why do some of Africa's urban areas experience higher rates of protest incidence than others? Numerous authors have highlighted the role of urbanisation and democratisation in determining cross-national variation in the rates of urban protest. Yet understanding has been hindered by failures to measure mechanisms at the appropriate spatial scale, analyse a sufficiently representative sample of urban centres, de-confound local and country-level fac…
Population pressure, political institutions, and protests: A multilevel analysis of protest events in African cities
Why do some of Africa's urban areas experience higher rates of protest incidence than others? Numerous authors have highlighted the role of urbanisation and democratisation in determining cross-national variation in the rates of urban protest. Yet understanding has been hindered by failures to measure mechanisms at the appropriate spatial scale, analyse a sufficiently representative sample of urban centres, de-confound local and country-level fac…
Urbanization and political change in Africa
Urbanization is transforming the human and political geography of Africa. While a growing body of research explores the urban dimensions of clientelism, contentious action, and social mobilization, there has been less attention given to the ways in which this demographic megatrend is influencing political change more broadly. We argue that the political implications of African urbanization are contingent on local conditions and experiences; there…
Urban-Rural Geographies of Political Violence in North and West Africa
This paper assesses the relationship between population density and political violence within North and West Africa. We find that while most violence currently occurs in rural areas, it also exhibits a classic distance-decay effect, commonly occurring near urbanized places. Regional differences are evident as Jihadist-led violence is increasingly rural in West Africa while urban violence was more common in North Africa. Important difference in st…
Urbanisation and the political demography of African cities
Political demographers link large (urban) youth cohorts to individual political behaviour. • We argue that the local demographic context of a city shapes the probability of voting and protest mobilisation of for the individuals within it. • We find that high city youth shares are not associated with individual voting behaviour. • However, we find that individuals living in cities with high youth shares are less likely to protest. • While this hol…
The urbanization of conflict? Patterns of armed conflict and protest in Africa
Is the geography of armed conflict in Africa becoming more urban? To answer this question, I link georeferenced data on the timing and location of armed conflict and protest events to continent-wide geospatial data on human settlement patterns. Comparing rates of conflict and contention in rural versus urban areas over time, I argue that, contrary to conventional wisdom, claims surrounding the ‘urbanization of conflict’ in Africa are premature. I…
A spatial-demographic analysis of Africa’s emerging urban geography
We examine Africa’s emerging urban geography from a demographic perspective and discuss implications for development policy. We adopt an approach that defines urbanisation purely in spatial-demographic terms in recognition of the decoupling of urbanization (as a spatial-demographic process) from economic development in Africa. Our analysis uses the most up-to-date gridded population data (WorldPop) to analyse diverse patterns of “urban” settlemen…
Population pressure, political institutions, and protests: A multilevel analysis of protest events in African cities
Why do some of Africa's urban areas experience higher rates of protest incidence than others? Numerous authors have highlighted the role of urbanisation and democratisation in determining cross-national variation in the rates of urban protest. Yet understanding has been hindered by failures to measure mechanisms at the appropriate spatial scale, analyse a sufficiently representative sample of urban centres, de-confound local and country-level fac…
Urban-Rural Geographies of Political Violence in North and West Africa
This paper assesses the relationship between population density and political violence within North and West Africa. We find that while most violence currently occurs in rural areas, it also exhibits a classic distance-decay effect, commonly occurring near urbanized places. Regional differences are evident as Jihadist-led violence is increasingly rural in West Africa while urban violence was more common in North Africa. Important difference in st…
A spatial-demographic analysis of Africa’s emerging urban geography
We examine Africa’s emerging urban geography from a demographic perspective and discuss implications for development policy. We adopt an approach that defines urbanisation purely in spatial-demographic terms in recognition of the decoupling of urbanization (as a spatial-demographic process) from economic development in Africa. Our analysis uses the most up-to-date gridded population data (WorldPop) to analyse diverse patterns of “urban” settlemen…
Urbanization and political change in Africa
Urbanization is transforming the human and political geography of Africa. While a growing body of research explores the urban dimensions of clientelism, contentious action, and social mobilization, there has been less attention given to the ways in which this demographic megatrend is influencing political change more broadly. We argue that the political implications of African urbanization are contingent on local conditions and experiences; there…
The urbanization of conflict? Patterns of armed conflict and protest in Africa
Is the geography of armed conflict in Africa becoming more urban? To answer this question, I link georeferenced data on the timing and location of armed conflict and protest events to continent-wide geospatial data on human settlement patterns. Comparing rates of conflict and contention in rural versus urban areas over time, I argue that, contrary to conventional wisdom, claims surrounding the ‘urbanization of conflict’ in Africa are premature. I…
Urbanisation, democracy, and political regime transformations
Cities, and the process of urbanisation more broadly, have long been associated with political change – and democratisation in particular. However, there is little cross-country empirical research on the relationship between urbanisation and political change, and a tendency to conflate urbanisation with industrialisation and economic development. This gap is significant for two reasons. First, many of the hypothesised mechanisms linking urbanisat…
Mapping the long-term trajectories of political violence in Africa
Urbanisation and the political demography of African cities
Political demographers link large (urban) youth cohorts to individual political behaviour. • We argue that the local demographic context of a city shapes the probability of voting and protest mobilisation of for the individuals within it. • We find that high city youth shares are not associated with individual voting behaviour. • However, we find that individuals living in cities with high youth shares are less likely to protest. • While this hol…
Urbanization (7 works) · Economic growth (6 works) · Politics (6 works) · Sociology (6 works) · Economics (5 works) · Political science (5 works) · Development economics (4 works) · Geography (4 works) · Law (4 works) · Political Conflict and Governance (4 works)