Shawn P Curley
Biographic Data
| ID | 3459050 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Shawn P Curley |
| GIVEN NAMES | Shawn P |
| FAMILY NAME | Curley |
| SIGNATURE | CURLEY S P |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Minnesota |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-1982-5534 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 5 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 6 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 5 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1986 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1996 |
| H-INDEX | 1 |
Improved Test–retest Reliability Criteria as Applied to Probability Assessments
Test–retest reliability is a common indicator of response consistency. It is argued that using regression coefficients for detecting systematic response error is less appropriate than testing for shifts in the mean (median) and variance. This procedure is exemplified using probability response data. For this data, shifts in centrality were found to be about 2.5 times more likely than shifts in variability. The shifts in centrality did not favor a…
Arguments in the practical reasoning underlying constructed probability responses
Reasoning is an important cognitive activity in probability assessment, and one that has been understudied. This proposition motivates the paper's three general aims. First, based on research in rhetoric, we present a theoretical means of analyzing the arguments constructed during the reasoning that occurs in probability assessment. Second, from verbal protocol data, we establish that subjects constructed arguments in forming beliefs and assessin…
Probability judgment accuracy for general knowledge. Cross‐national differences and assessment methods
In this study we compare the probability judgment accuracy of subjects from the United States and Turkey. Three different response modes were employed — numerical probabilities, pie diagrams, and odds. The questions employed in the study were restricted to two‐alternative, general‐knowledge items. The observed pattern of differences in the components of probability judgment accuracy paralleled those of studies that have compared Western and Asian…
An evaluation of the reliability of probability judgments across response modes and over time
Despite the importance of probability assessment methods in behavioral decision theory and decision analysis, little attention has been directed at evaluating their reliability and validity. In fact, no comprehensive study of reliability has been undertaken. Since reliability is a necessary condition for validity, this oversight is significant. The present study was motivated by that oversight. We investigated the reliability of probability measu…
Psychological sources of ambiguity avoidance
Probability judgment accuracy for general knowledge. Cross‐national differences and assessment methods
In this study we compare the probability judgment accuracy of subjects from the United States and Turkey. Three different response modes were employed — numerical probabilities, pie diagrams, and odds. The questions employed in the study were restricted to two‐alternative, general‐knowledge items. The observed pattern of differences in the components of probability judgment accuracy paralleled those of studies that have compared Western and Asian…
Arguments in the practical reasoning underlying constructed probability responses
Reasoning is an important cognitive activity in probability assessment, and one that has been understudied. This proposition motivates the paper's three general aims. First, based on research in rhetoric, we present a theoretical means of analyzing the arguments constructed during the reasoning that occurs in probability assessment. Second, from verbal protocol data, we establish that subjects constructed arguments in forming beliefs and assessin…
An evaluation of the reliability of probability judgments across response modes and over time
Despite the importance of probability assessment methods in behavioral decision theory and decision analysis, little attention has been directed at evaluating their reliability and validity. In fact, no comprehensive study of reliability has been undertaken. Since reliability is a necessary condition for validity, this oversight is significant. The present study was motivated by that oversight. We investigated the reliability of probability measu…
Psychological sources of ambiguity avoidance
An evaluation of the reliability of probability judgments across response modes and over time
Despite the importance of probability assessment methods in behavioral decision theory and decision analysis, little attention has been directed at evaluating their reliability and validity. In fact, no comprehensive study of reliability has been undertaken. Since reliability is a necessary condition for validity, this oversight is significant. The present study was motivated by that oversight. We investigated the reliability of probability measu…
Arguments in the practical reasoning underlying constructed probability responses
Reasoning is an important cognitive activity in probability assessment, and one that has been understudied. This proposition motivates the paper's three general aims. First, based on research in rhetoric, we present a theoretical means of analyzing the arguments constructed during the reasoning that occurs in probability assessment. Second, from verbal protocol data, we establish that subjects constructed arguments in forming beliefs and assessin…
Probability judgment accuracy for general knowledge. Cross‐national differences and assessment methods
In this study we compare the probability judgment accuracy of subjects from the United States and Turkey. Three different response modes were employed — numerical probabilities, pie diagrams, and odds. The questions employed in the study were restricted to two‐alternative, general‐knowledge items. The observed pattern of differences in the components of probability judgment accuracy paralleled those of studies that have compared Western and Asian…
Improved Test–retest Reliability Criteria as Applied to Probability Assessments
Test–retest reliability is a common indicator of response consistency. It is argued that using regression coefficients for detecting systematic response error is less appropriate than testing for shifts in the mean (median) and variance. This procedure is exemplified using probability response data. For this data, shifts in centrality were found to be about 2.5 times more likely than shifts in variability. The shifts in centrality did not favor a…
Computer Science (4 works) · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics (4 works) · Psychology (4 works) · Artificial Intelligence (3 works) · Econometrics (3 works) · Mathematics (3 works) · Statistics (3 works) · Consistency (knowledge bases (2 works) · Economic and Environmental Valuation (2 works) · Linguistics (2 works)