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Laith J Abu‐raddad

Biographic Data

ID3463626
NAMELaith J Abu‐raddad
GIVEN NAMESLaith J
FAMILY NAMEAbu‐raddad
SIGNATURERADDAD L J A
AFFILIATIONSCornell University
ORCID0000-0003-0790-0506
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS40
TOTAL CITATIONS2
AUTHOR COUNT40
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2014
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2026
H-INDEX1
  • Epidemiology of Treponema pallidum , Chlamydia trachomatis , Neisseria gonorrhoeae and Trichomonas vaginalis among forcibly displaced populations

    Open Access•Ghina R Mumtaz, Iman Fakih et al.•ARTICLE•BMJ Global Health•2026

    Background Curable sexually transmitted infections (STIs), including Treponema pallidum (syphilis), Chlamydia trachomatis , Neisseria gonorrhoeae and Trichomonas vaginalis , remain a major global health concern; yet their epidemiology among forcibly displaced populations is poorly understood. Limited access to healthcare, high-risk exposures and structural vulnerabilities may contribute to a heightened burden of STIs in these populations. Methods…

  • Understanding dynamics and overlapping epidemiologies of HIV, HSV-2, chlamydia, gonorrhea, and syphilis in sexual networks of men who have sex with men

    Open Access•Ryosuke Omori, HIAM CHEMAITELLY et al.•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Public Health•2024

    Introduction: We aimed to investigate the overlapping epidemiologies of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2), chlamydia, gonorrhea, and syphilis in sexual networks of men who have sex with men (MSM), and to explore to what extent the epidemiology of one sexually transmitted infection (STI) relates to or differs from that of another STI. Methods: An individual-based Monte Carlo simulation model was employed to si…

  • Comparative analysis and evolution of civilian versus combatant mortality ratios in Israel-Gaza conflicts, 2008–2023

    Open Access•Houssein H Ayoub, HIAM CHEMAITELLY et al.•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Public Health•2024

    Background: There is a need for statistical methodologies that scrutinize civilian casualties in conflicts, evaluating the degree to which the conduct of war affects civilians and breaches the laws of war. Employing an epidemiological method, this study introduced, developed, and applied a novel approach for investigating mortality of civilians versus combatants in conflicts. Methods: A deterministic mathematical model, structured by age and sex,…

  • Epidemiology of herpes simplex virus type 1 in Canada

    Open Access•Sawsan AlMukdad, Manale Harfouche et al.•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Public Health•2023

  • Epidemiological impact of public health interventions against diabetes in Qatar

    Open Access•Asalah Alareeki, Susanne F Awad et al.•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Public Health•2023

    Aims: To predict the epidemiological impact of specific, and primarily structural public health interventions that address lifestyle, dietary, and commuting behaviors of Qataris as well as subsidies and legislation to reduce type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) burden among Qataris. Methods: A deterministic population-based mathematical model was used to investigate the impact of public health interventions on the epidemiology of T2DM among Qataris ag…

  • Treatment as prevention for hepatitis C virus in the Middle East and North Africa

    Open Access•Houssein H Ayoub, Sarwat Mahmud et al.•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Public Health•2023

    Background: Direct-acting antivirals opened an opportunity for eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), the region most affected by HCV infection. Impact of HCV treatment as prevention (HCV-TasP) was investigated in 19 MENA countries. Methods: An age-structured mathematical model was used to assess program impact using epidemiologic and programming measures. The model was fitted to a database of sy…

  • Patterns and trends of hepatitis C virus infection in Jordan

    Open Access•Issa Abu-Dayyeh, Issa Abu‐Dayyeh et al.•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Public Health•2023

    Background: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection levels in Jordan remain uncertain. No HCV national population-based survey has ever been conducted in the country. To meet the World Health Organization's target of reducing HCV incidence to ≤5 per 100,000 people per year by 2030, it is essential to determine the infection levels, identify affected individuals and populations, and provide appropriate treatment using direct-acting antivirals to individ…

  • All-cause and Covid-19 mortality in Qatar during the Covid-19 pandemic

    Open Access•Asma A AlNuaimi, Asma Ali Al-Nuaimi et al.•ARTICLE•BMJ Global Health•2023

    OBJECTIVE: To investigate all-cause mortality, COVID-19 mortality and all-cause non-COVID-19 mortality in Qatar during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: A national, retrospective cohort analysis and national, matched, retrospective cohort studies were conducted between 5 February 2020 and 19 September 2022. RESULTS: There were 5025 deaths during a follow-up time of 5 247 220 person-years, of which 675 were COVID-19 related. Incidence rates were 0.9…

  • Covid-19 disease severity in persons infected with the Omicron variant compared with the Delta variant in Qatar

    Open Access•Adeel A Butt, Soha R Dargham et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Global Health•2022

    Background: Understanding the disease severity associated with the Omicron variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus is important in determining appropriate management strategies at the individual and population levels. We determined the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection in persons infected with the Omicron vs the Delta variant. Methods: We identified individuals with SARS-CoV-2 infection with Delta and propensity-score matched controls with Omicron variant…

  • Characterizing the effective reproduction number during the Covid-19 pandemic

    Open Access•Raghid Bsat, HIAM CHEMAITELLY et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Global Health•2022

    BACKGROUND: estimations was conducted to guide the national COVID-19 response in Qatar, from the onset of the pandemic until August 18, 2021. METHODS: estimates were assessed by calculating correlation coefficients, and agreements between these estimates were assessed through Bland-Altman plots. RESULTS: . CONCLUSIONS: estimations in guiding national responses to the COVID-19 pandemic, even in resource-limited settings

  • Mathematical modeling of the Sars-CoV-2 epidemic in Qatar and its impact on the national response to Covid-19

    Open Access•Houssein H Ayoub, HIAM CHEMAITELLY et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Global Health•2021

    BACKGROUND: Mathematical modeling constitutes an important tool for planning robust responses to epidemics. This study was conducted to guide the Qatari national response to the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) epidemic. The study investigated the epidemic's time-course, forecasted health care needs, predicted the impact of social and physical distancing restrictions, and rationalized and justified easing of restrictio…

  • Vulnerability of Syrian refugees in Lebanon to Covid-19

    Open Access•Fouad Mohamed Fouad, Stephen J McCall et al.•ARTICLE•Conflict and Health•2021

    Lebanon, a middle-income country with ongoing political turmoil, unstable economic situation, and a fragmented and under-resourced health system, hosts about one million Syrian refugees since 2011. While the country is currently experiencing substantial COVID-19 epidemic spread, no outbreaks have been reported yet among Syrian refugees. However, testing of this population remains limited and exposure levels are high given dire living conditions a…

  • Global burden of 87 risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019

    Open Access•Christopher J L Murray, Aleksandr Y Aravkin et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2020

    BACKGROUND: Rigorous analysis of levels and trends in exposure to leading risk factors and quantification of their effect on human health are important to identify where public health is making progress and in which cases current efforts are inadequate. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 provides a standardised and comprehensive assessment of the magnitude of risk factor exposure, relative risk, and attribu…

  • Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019

    Open Access•Theo Vos, Stephen S Lim et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2020

    BACKGROUND: In an era of shifting global agendas and expanded emphasis on non-communicable diseases and injuries along with communicable diseases, sound evidence on trends by cause at the national level is essential. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) provides a systematic scientific assessment of published, publicly available, and contributed data on incidence, prevalence, and mortality for a mutually exclusive…

  • Herpes simplex virus type 1 in Europe

    Open Access•Wajiha Yousuf, Hania Ibrahim et al.•ARTICLE•BMJ Global Health•2020

  • Child and adolescent injury burden in the eastern mediterranean region

    Open Access•Samar Al‐hajj, Samar Al-Hajj et al.•ARTICLE•BMC Public Health•2020

    Almost 19% of global child injury related deaths occur in the EMR. Concerted efforts should be integrated to inform policies and adopt injury preventive strategies to reduce injury burden and promote child and adolescent health and well-being in EMR countries

  • Chlamydia, gonorrhoea, trichomoniasis and syphilis

    Open Access•Jane Rowley, Stephen Vander Hoorn et al.•ARTICLE•Bulletin of the World Health…•2019

    OBJECTIVE: To generate estimates of the global prevalence and incidence of urogenital infection with chlamydia, gonorrhoea, trichomoniasis and syphilis in women and men, aged 15-49 years, in 2016. METHODS: For chlamydia, gonorrhoea and trichomoniasis, we systematically searched for studies conducted between 2009 and 2016 reporting prevalence. We also consulted regional experts. To generate estimates, we used Bayesian meta-analysis. For syphilis, …

  • Global, Regional, and National Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years for 29 Cancer Groups, 1990 to 2017

    Open Access•Christina Fitzmaurice, Global Burden of Disease Cancer Collaboration et al.•ARTICLE•JAMA Oncology•2019

    Importance Cancer and other noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) are now widely recognized as a threat to global development. The latest United Nations high-level meeting on NCDs reaffirmed this observation and also highlighted the slow progress in meeting the 2011 Political Declaration on the Prevention and Control of Noncommunicable Diseases and the third Sustainable Development Goal. Lack of situational analyses, priority setting, and budgeting hav…

  • Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–2017, and forecasts to 2030, for 195 countries and territories

    Open Access•Tahvi D Frank, Tahvi Frank et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet HIV•2019

    BACKGROUND: Understanding the patterns of HIV/AIDS epidemics is crucial to tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts in countries. We provide a comprehensive assessment of the levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, mortality, and coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART) for 1980-2017 and forecast these estimates to 2030 for 195 countries and territories. METHODS: We determined a modelling strategy for ea…

  • Forecasting the impact of diabetes mellitus on tuberculosis disease incidence and mortality in India

    Open Access•Susanne F Awad, Peijue Huangfu et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Global Health•2019

    BACKGROUND: In context of the rapidly expanding diabetes mellitus (DM) epidemic in India and slowly declining tuberculosis (TB) incidence, we aimed to estimate the past, current, and future impact of DM on TB epidemiology. METHODS: An age-structured TB-DM dynamical mathematical model was developed and analyzed to assess the DM-on-TB impact. The model was calibrated using a literature review and meta-analyses. The DM-on-TB impact was analyzed usin…

  • Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950–2017

    Open Access•Daniel Dicker, Grant Nguyen et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2018

    BACKGROUND: Assessments of age-specific mortality and life expectancy have been done by the UN Population Division, Department of Economics and Social Affairs (UNPOP), the United States Census Bureau, WHO, and as part of previous iterations of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD). Previous iterations of the GBD used population estimates from UNPOP, which were not derived in a way that was internally consistent wit…

  • Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017

    Open Access•Gregory A Roth, D Abate et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2018

    BACKGROUND: Global development goals increasingly rely on country-specific estimates for benchmarking a nation's progress. To meet this need, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 estimated global, regional, national, and, for selected locations, subnational cause-specific mortality beginning in the year 1980. Here we report an update to that study, making use of newly available data and improved methods. GBD …

  • Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017

    Open Access•Jeffrey D Stanaway, Ashkan Afshin et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2018

    BackgroundThe Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 comparative risk assessment (CRA) is a comprehensive approach to risk factor quantification that offers a useful tool for synthesising evidence on risks and risk–outcome associations. With each annual GBD study, we update the GBD CRA to incorporate improved methods, new risks and risk–outcome pairs, and new data on risk exposure levels and risk–outcome associatio…

  • Measuring performance on the Healthcare Access and Quality Index for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational locations

    Open Access•Nancy Fullman, Jamal A Yearwood et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2018

    BACKGROUND: A key component of achieving universal health coverage is ensuring that all populations have access to quality health care. Examining where gains have occurred or progress has faltered across and within countries is crucial to guiding decisions and strategies for future improvement. We used the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) to assess personal health-care access and quality with the Healthc…

  • Measuring progress from 1990 to 2017 and projecting attainment to 2030 of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals for 195 countries and territories

    Open Access•R Lozano, Nancy Fullman et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2018

    BACKGROUND: Efforts to establish the 2015 baseline and monitor early implementation of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) highlight both great potential for and threats to improving health by 2030. To fully deliver on the SDG aim of "leaving no one behind", it is increasingly important to examine the health-related SDGs beyond national-level estimates. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017 (GBD 2…

Next
  • Spatial variability in HIV prevalence declines in several countries in sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Diego F Cuadros, Laith J Abu‐raddad et al.•ARTICLE•Health & Place•2014•Cited by: 2

    Evidence suggests substantial declines in HIV prevalence in parts of sub-Saharan Africa. However, the observed aggregate declines at the national level may obscure local variations in the temporal dynamics of the infection. Using spatial scan statistics, we identified marked spatial variability in the within-country declines in HIV prevalence in Tanzania, Malawi, Kenya, and Zimbabwe. Our study suggests that the declines in the national HIV preval…

  • Global, regional, and national incidence and mortality for HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria during 1990–2013

    Open Access•Christopher J L Murray, Katrina F Ortblad et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2014

  • Spatial variability in HIV prevalence declines in several countries in sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Diego F Cuadros, Laith J Abu‐raddad et al.•ARTICLE•Health & Place•2014•Cited by: 2

    Evidence suggests substantial declines in HIV prevalence in parts of sub-Saharan Africa. However, the observed aggregate declines at the national level may obscure local variations in the temporal dynamics of the infection. Using spatial scan statistics, we identified marked spatial variability in the within-country declines in HIV prevalence in Tanzania, Malawi, Kenya, and Zimbabwe. Our study suggests that the declines in the national HIV preval…

  • Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (Dalys) for 306 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (Hale) for 188 countries, 1990–2013

    Open Access•Christopher J L Murray, Ryan M Barber et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2015

  • Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 301 acute and chronic diseases and injuries in 188 countries, 1990–2013

    Open Access•Theo Vos, Ryan M Barber et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2015

  • Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries

    Open Access•Stephen S Lim, Kate Allen et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2016

    BACKGROUND: In September, 2015, the UN General Assembly established the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The SDGs specify 17 universal goals, 169 targets, and 230 indicators leading up to 2030. We provide an analysis of 33 health-related SDG indicators based on the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 (GBD 2015). METHODS: We applied statistical methods to systematically compiled data to estimate the performance of…

  • Global, regional, and national life expectancy, all-cause mortality, and cause-specific mortality for 249 causes of death, 1980–2015

    Open Access•Haidong Wang, Mohsen Naghavi et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2016

    BACKGROUND: Improving survival and extending the longevity of life for all populations requires timely, robust evidence on local mortality levels and trends. The Global Burden of Disease 2015 Study (GBD 2015) provides a comprehensive assessment of all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 249 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2015. These results informed an in-depth investigation of observed and expected mortality patterns bas…

  • Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 310 diseases and injuries, 1990–2015

    Open Access•Theo Vos, Christine Allen et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2016

    BACKGROUND: Non-fatal outcomes of disease and injury increasingly detract from the ability of the world's population to live in full health, a trend largely attributable to an epidemiological transition in many countries from causes affecting children, to non-communicable diseases (NCDs) more common in adults. For the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 (GBD 2015), we estimated the incidence, prevalence, and years liv…

  • Geographical Patterns of HIV Sero-Discordancy in High HIV Prevalence Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Diego F Cuadros, Diego Cuadros et al.•ARTICLE•International Journal of…•2016

    There does not appear to be distinct spatial patterns for HIV sero-discordancy that are independent of HIV prevalence patterns. The variation of the sero-discordancy measures with HIV prevalence across clusters and outside clusters demonstrated similar patterns to those observed at the national level. The spatial variable does not appear to be a fundamental nor independent determinant of the observed patterns of sero-discordancy in high HIV preva…

  • HCV prevalence can predict HIV epidemic potential among people who inject drugs

    Open Access•Vajiheh Akbarzadeh, Ghina R Mumtaz et al.•ARTICLE•BMC Public Health•2016

    Our results show that HCV prevalence can be used as a proxy biomarker of HIV epidemic potential among PWID, and that the scale and evolution of HIV epidemic expansion can be predicted with sufficient precision to inform HIV policy, programming, and resource allocation

  • Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries

    Open Access•Nancy Fullman, Ryan M Barber et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2017

    BACKGROUND: The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of "leaving no one behind". Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990-2016 for 188…

  • Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 328 diseases and injuries for 195 countries, 1990–2016

    Open Access•Theo Vos, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2017

    BACKGROUND: As mortality rates decline, life expectancy increases, and populations age, non-fatal outcomes of diseases and injuries are becoming a larger component of the global burden of disease. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of prevalence, incidence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for 328 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2016. METHO…

  • Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990–2016

    Open Access•Emmanuela Gakidou, Ashkan Afshin et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2017

    BACKGROUND: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of risk factor exposure and attributable burden of disease. By providing estimates over a long time series, this study can monitor risk exposure trends critical to health surveillance and inform policy debates on the importance of addressing risks in context. METHODS: We used the comparative risk assessment framework dev…

  • Global, regional, and national under-5 mortality, adult mortality, age-specific mortality, and life expectancy, 1970–2016

    Open Access•Haidong Wang, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2017

    BACKGROUND: Detailed assessments of mortality patterns, particularly age-specific mortality, represent a crucial input that enables health systems to target interventions to specific populations. Understanding how all-cause mortality has changed with respect to development status can identify exemplars for best practice. To accomplish this, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) estimated age-specific and …

  • Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (Dalys) for 333 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (Hale) for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016

    Open Access•Simon I Hay, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2017

    BACKGROUND: Measurement of changes in health across locations is useful to compare and contrast changing epidemiological patterns against health system performance and identify specific needs for resource allocation in research, policy development, and programme decision making. Using the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016, we drew from two widely used summary measures to monitor such changes in population health: di…

  • Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950–2017

    Open Access•Daniel Dicker, Grant Nguyen et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2018

    BACKGROUND: Assessments of age-specific mortality and life expectancy have been done by the UN Population Division, Department of Economics and Social Affairs (UNPOP), the United States Census Bureau, WHO, and as part of previous iterations of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD). Previous iterations of the GBD used population estimates from UNPOP, which were not derived in a way that was internally consistent wit…

  • Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017

    Open Access•Gregory A Roth, D Abate et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2018

    BACKGROUND: Global development goals increasingly rely on country-specific estimates for benchmarking a nation's progress. To meet this need, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 estimated global, regional, national, and, for selected locations, subnational cause-specific mortality beginning in the year 1980. Here we report an update to that study, making use of newly available data and improved methods. GBD …

  • Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017

    Open Access•Jeffrey D Stanaway, Ashkan Afshin et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2018

    BackgroundThe Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 comparative risk assessment (CRA) is a comprehensive approach to risk factor quantification that offers a useful tool for synthesising evidence on risks and risk–outcome associations. With each annual GBD study, we update the GBD CRA to incorporate improved methods, new risks and risk–outcome pairs, and new data on risk exposure levels and risk–outcome associatio…

  • Measuring performance on the Healthcare Access and Quality Index for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational locations

    Open Access•Nancy Fullman, Jamal A Yearwood et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2018

    BACKGROUND: A key component of achieving universal health coverage is ensuring that all populations have access to quality health care. Examining where gains have occurred or progress has faltered across and within countries is crucial to guiding decisions and strategies for future improvement. We used the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) to assess personal health-care access and quality with the Healthc…

  • Measuring progress from 1990 to 2017 and projecting attainment to 2030 of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals for 195 countries and territories

    Open Access•R Lozano, Nancy Fullman et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2018

    BACKGROUND: Efforts to establish the 2015 baseline and monitor early implementation of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) highlight both great potential for and threats to improving health by 2030. To fully deliver on the SDG aim of "leaving no one behind", it is increasingly important to examine the health-related SDGs beyond national-level estimates. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017 (GBD 2…

  • Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017

    Open Access•L James, Spencer L James et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2018

    BACKGROUND: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017 (GBD 2017) includes a comprehensive assessment of incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for 354 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2017. Previous GBD studies have shown how the decline of mortality rates from 1990 to 2016 has led to an increase in life expectancy, an ageing global population, and an expansion of the non-fatal…

  • Chlamydia, gonorrhoea, trichomoniasis and syphilis

    Open Access•Jane Rowley, Stephen Vander Hoorn et al.•ARTICLE•Bulletin of the World Health…•2019

    OBJECTIVE: To generate estimates of the global prevalence and incidence of urogenital infection with chlamydia, gonorrhoea, trichomoniasis and syphilis in women and men, aged 15-49 years, in 2016. METHODS: For chlamydia, gonorrhoea and trichomoniasis, we systematically searched for studies conducted between 2009 and 2016 reporting prevalence. We also consulted regional experts. To generate estimates, we used Bayesian meta-analysis. For syphilis, …

  • Global, Regional, and National Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years for 29 Cancer Groups, 1990 to 2017

    Open Access•Christina Fitzmaurice, Global Burden of Disease Cancer Collaboration et al.•ARTICLE•JAMA Oncology•2019

    Importance Cancer and other noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) are now widely recognized as a threat to global development. The latest United Nations high-level meeting on NCDs reaffirmed this observation and also highlighted the slow progress in meeting the 2011 Political Declaration on the Prevention and Control of Noncommunicable Diseases and the third Sustainable Development Goal. Lack of situational analyses, priority setting, and budgeting hav…

  • Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–2017, and forecasts to 2030, for 195 countries and territories

    Open Access•Tahvi D Frank, Tahvi Frank et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet HIV•2019

    BACKGROUND: Understanding the patterns of HIV/AIDS epidemics is crucial to tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts in countries. We provide a comprehensive assessment of the levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, mortality, and coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART) for 1980-2017 and forecast these estimates to 2030 for 195 countries and territories. METHODS: We determined a modelling strategy for ea…

  • Forecasting the impact of diabetes mellitus on tuberculosis disease incidence and mortality in India

    Open Access•Susanne F Awad, Peijue Huangfu et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Global Health•2019

    BACKGROUND: In context of the rapidly expanding diabetes mellitus (DM) epidemic in India and slowly declining tuberculosis (TB) incidence, we aimed to estimate the past, current, and future impact of DM on TB epidemiology. METHODS: An age-structured TB-DM dynamical mathematical model was developed and analyzed to assess the DM-on-TB impact. The model was calibrated using a literature review and meta-analyses. The DM-on-TB impact was analyzed usin…

  • Global burden of 87 risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019

    Open Access•Christopher J L Murray, Aleksandr Y Aravkin et al.•ARTICLE•The Lancet•2020

    BACKGROUND: Rigorous analysis of levels and trends in exposure to leading risk factors and quantification of their effect on human health are important to identify where public health is making progress and in which cases current efforts are inadequate. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 provides a standardised and comprehensive assessment of the magnitude of risk factor exposure, relative risk, and attribu…

Medicine (36 works) · Environmental health (31 works) · Demography (23 works) · Population (20 works) · Disease (15 works) · Burden of disease (14 works) · Global Maternal and Child Health (13 works) · Pathology (13 works) · Public health (10 works) · Geography (9 works)

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