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Andrea Gilli

Biographic Data

ID3467065
NAMEAndrea Gilli
GIVEN NAMESAndrea
FAMILY NAMEGilli
SIGNATUREGILLI A
AFFILIATIONSInternational Security, Harvard University
VERIFIEDNo
TOTAL WORKS11
TOTAL CITATIONS77
AUTHOR COUNT11
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2014
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2025
H-INDEX4
  • Nato, multi-domain operations and the future of the Atlantic Alliance

    Open Access•Andrea Gilli, Mauro Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Strategy•2025•Cited by: 1

    This article discusses the implications of multi-domain operations (MDO) on the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s (NATO) future. By examining both the historical literature and the antecedents of MDO, the authors identify three salient areas to the successful future conduct of MDO. They also raise concerns regarding the potential challenge posed by MDO to individual NATO countries, the alliance system, as well as its broader competitive strate…

  • Weapons of the Weak

    Open Access•Costantino Pischedda, Mauro Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2025•References: 19

    What explains counterinsurgency outcomes? Existing scholarship points to characteristics and strategies of incumbents and insurgents but neglects the role of insurgents’ weapons. Some studies discuss the effects of the firepower of insurgents relative to incumbents. Focusing on relative firepower, however, is problematic given the asymmetric nature of guerrilla warfare, with insurgents eschewing decisive engagements where incumbents would bring t…

  • Short-term readiness, long-term innovation

    Antonio Calcara, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Defence Studies•2023•Cited by: 1•References: 9

    The war in Ukraine, coupled with a more turbulent international system characterized by geopolitical competition between the United States and China, is leading to a simultaneous change in the demand and supply side of the European defence market. On the demand side, European countries are adapting their procurement plans to move from a crisis management phase dominated by asymmetric warfare against small states or non-state actors to an era of s…

  • Drones and Offensive Advantage

    Antonio Calcara, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2023

  • Why Drones Have Not Revolutionized War

    Antonio Calcara, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•International Security•2022•Cited by: 7

    According to the accepted wisdom in security studies, unmanned aerial vehicles, also known as drones, have revolutionizing effects on war and world politics. Drones allegedly tilt the military balance in favor of the offense, reduce existing asymmetries in military power between major and minor actors, and eliminate close combat from modern battlefields. A new theory about the hider-finder competition between air penetration and air defense shows…

  • A mercenary army of the poor? Technological change and the demographic composition of the post-9/11 U.S. military

    Andrea Asoni, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Strategic Studies•2022•Cited by: 1•References: 70

    We test two sets of alternative hypotheses about the demographic composition of the U.S. armed forces. We analyse individual-level data of two national representative samples covering the period 1979–2008. We find that, in contrast to the accepted wisdom, the U.S. military no longer primarily recruits individuals from the most disadvantaged socio-economic backgrounds. Technological, tactical, operational and doctrinal changes have led to a change…

  • Will the Drone Always Get Through? Offensive Myths and Defensive Realities

    Open Access•Antonio Calcara, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2022•Cited by: 2

    Do emerging and disruptive technologies yield an offensive advantage? This is a question of central theoretical and substantive relevance. For the most part, however, the literature on this topic has not investigated empirically whether such technologies make attacking easier than defending, but it has largely assumed that they do. At the same time, work on the offense–defense balance has primarily focused on land conflicts, thus offering little …

  • Technological Change and Grand Strategy

    Sophie‐charlotte Fischer, Sophie-Charlotte Fischer et al.•CHAPTER•Oxford Handbook of Grand Strategy•2021

    What is the relationship between technological change and grand strategy? Can great powers promote technological trends that allow them to pursue specific grand-strategic goals? Or is technological change beyond the reach of great powers, and thus it acts like an independent enabler or an independent constraint? This chapter provides a brief introduction to the interconnection between technological change and grand strategy. First, drawing from o…

  • Why China Has Not Caught Up Yet

    Open Access•Andrea Gilli, Mauro Gilli•ARTICLE•International Security•2019•Cited by: 47•References: 12

    Can countries easily imitate the United States' advanced weapon systems and thus erode its military-technological superiority? Scholarship in international relations theory generally assumes that rising states benefit from the "advantage of backwardness." That is, by free riding on the research and technology of the most advanced countries, less developed states can allegedly close the military-technological gap with their rivals relatively easil…

  • The Diffusion of Drone Warfare? Industrial, Organizational, and Infrastructural Constraints

    Andrea Gilli, Mauro Gilli•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2016•Cited by: 13

    Published online: 25 February 2016

  • The Spread of Military Innovations

    Andrea Gilli, Mauro Gilli•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2014•Cited by: 5

    What explains the adoption of military innovations? In this article, we assess the empirical validity of adoption capacity theory by reconsidering one methodologically important case analyzed by Michael Horowitz: the diffusion of suicide terrorism. We show that, when addressing problems in Horowitz's research design, the case of suicide terrorism fails to support adoption capacity theory. We argue that, in order to account for the diffusion of th…

  • Why China Has Not Caught Up Yet

    Open Access•Andrea Gilli, Mauro Gilli•ARTICLE•International Security•2019•Cited by: 47•References: 12

    Can countries easily imitate the United States' advanced weapon systems and thus erode its military-technological superiority? Scholarship in international relations theory generally assumes that rising states benefit from the "advantage of backwardness." That is, by free riding on the research and technology of the most advanced countries, less developed states can allegedly close the military-technological gap with their rivals relatively easil…

  • The Diffusion of Drone Warfare? Industrial, Organizational, and Infrastructural Constraints

    Andrea Gilli, Mauro Gilli•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2016•Cited by: 13

    Published online: 25 February 2016

  • Why Drones Have Not Revolutionized War

    Antonio Calcara, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•International Security•2022•Cited by: 7

    According to the accepted wisdom in security studies, unmanned aerial vehicles, also known as drones, have revolutionizing effects on war and world politics. Drones allegedly tilt the military balance in favor of the offense, reduce existing asymmetries in military power between major and minor actors, and eliminate close combat from modern battlefields. A new theory about the hider-finder competition between air penetration and air defense shows…

  • The Spread of Military Innovations

    Andrea Gilli, Mauro Gilli•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2014•Cited by: 5

    What explains the adoption of military innovations? In this article, we assess the empirical validity of adoption capacity theory by reconsidering one methodologically important case analyzed by Michael Horowitz: the diffusion of suicide terrorism. We show that, when addressing problems in Horowitz's research design, the case of suicide terrorism fails to support adoption capacity theory. We argue that, in order to account for the diffusion of th…

  • Will the Drone Always Get Through? Offensive Myths and Defensive Realities

    Open Access•Antonio Calcara, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2022•Cited by: 2

    Do emerging and disruptive technologies yield an offensive advantage? This is a question of central theoretical and substantive relevance. For the most part, however, the literature on this topic has not investigated empirically whether such technologies make attacking easier than defending, but it has largely assumed that they do. At the same time, work on the offense–defense balance has primarily focused on land conflicts, thus offering little …

  • Nato, multi-domain operations and the future of the Atlantic Alliance

    Open Access•Andrea Gilli, Mauro Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Strategy•2025•Cited by: 1

    This article discusses the implications of multi-domain operations (MDO) on the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s (NATO) future. By examining both the historical literature and the antecedents of MDO, the authors identify three salient areas to the successful future conduct of MDO. They also raise concerns regarding the potential challenge posed by MDO to individual NATO countries, the alliance system, as well as its broader competitive strate…

  • Short-term readiness, long-term innovation

    Antonio Calcara, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Defence Studies•2023•Cited by: 1•References: 9

    The war in Ukraine, coupled with a more turbulent international system characterized by geopolitical competition between the United States and China, is leading to a simultaneous change in the demand and supply side of the European defence market. On the demand side, European countries are adapting their procurement plans to move from a crisis management phase dominated by asymmetric warfare against small states or non-state actors to an era of s…

  • A mercenary army of the poor? Technological change and the demographic composition of the post-9/11 U.S. military

    Andrea Asoni, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Strategic Studies•2022•Cited by: 1•References: 70

    We test two sets of alternative hypotheses about the demographic composition of the U.S. armed forces. We analyse individual-level data of two national representative samples covering the period 1979–2008. We find that, in contrast to the accepted wisdom, the U.S. military no longer primarily recruits individuals from the most disadvantaged socio-economic backgrounds. Technological, tactical, operational and doctrinal changes have led to a change…

  • The Spread of Military Innovations

    Andrea Gilli, Mauro Gilli•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2014•Cited by: 5

    What explains the adoption of military innovations? In this article, we assess the empirical validity of adoption capacity theory by reconsidering one methodologically important case analyzed by Michael Horowitz: the diffusion of suicide terrorism. We show that, when addressing problems in Horowitz's research design, the case of suicide terrorism fails to support adoption capacity theory. We argue that, in order to account for the diffusion of th…

  • The Diffusion of Drone Warfare? Industrial, Organizational, and Infrastructural Constraints

    Andrea Gilli, Mauro Gilli•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2016•Cited by: 13

    Published online: 25 February 2016

  • Why China Has Not Caught Up Yet

    Open Access•Andrea Gilli, Mauro Gilli•ARTICLE•International Security•2019•Cited by: 47•References: 12

    Can countries easily imitate the United States' advanced weapon systems and thus erode its military-technological superiority? Scholarship in international relations theory generally assumes that rising states benefit from the "advantage of backwardness." That is, by free riding on the research and technology of the most advanced countries, less developed states can allegedly close the military-technological gap with their rivals relatively easil…

  • Technological Change and Grand Strategy

    Sophie‐charlotte Fischer, Sophie-Charlotte Fischer et al.•CHAPTER•Oxford Handbook of Grand Strategy•2021

    What is the relationship between technological change and grand strategy? Can great powers promote technological trends that allow them to pursue specific grand-strategic goals? Or is technological change beyond the reach of great powers, and thus it acts like an independent enabler or an independent constraint? This chapter provides a brief introduction to the interconnection between technological change and grand strategy. First, drawing from o…

  • Why Drones Have Not Revolutionized War

    Antonio Calcara, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•International Security•2022•Cited by: 7

    According to the accepted wisdom in security studies, unmanned aerial vehicles, also known as drones, have revolutionizing effects on war and world politics. Drones allegedly tilt the military balance in favor of the offense, reduce existing asymmetries in military power between major and minor actors, and eliminate close combat from modern battlefields. A new theory about the hider-finder competition between air penetration and air defense shows…

  • A mercenary army of the poor? Technological change and the demographic composition of the post-9/11 U.S. military

    Andrea Asoni, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Strategic Studies•2022•Cited by: 1•References: 70

    We test two sets of alternative hypotheses about the demographic composition of the U.S. armed forces. We analyse individual-level data of two national representative samples covering the period 1979–2008. We find that, in contrast to the accepted wisdom, the U.S. military no longer primarily recruits individuals from the most disadvantaged socio-economic backgrounds. Technological, tactical, operational and doctrinal changes have led to a change…

  • Will the Drone Always Get Through? Offensive Myths and Defensive Realities

    Open Access•Antonio Calcara, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2022•Cited by: 2

    Do emerging and disruptive technologies yield an offensive advantage? This is a question of central theoretical and substantive relevance. For the most part, however, the literature on this topic has not investigated empirically whether such technologies make attacking easier than defending, but it has largely assumed that they do. At the same time, work on the offense–defense balance has primarily focused on land conflicts, thus offering little …

  • Short-term readiness, long-term innovation

    Antonio Calcara, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Defence Studies•2023•Cited by: 1•References: 9

    The war in Ukraine, coupled with a more turbulent international system characterized by geopolitical competition between the United States and China, is leading to a simultaneous change in the demand and supply side of the European defence market. On the demand side, European countries are adapting their procurement plans to move from a crisis management phase dominated by asymmetric warfare against small states or non-state actors to an era of s…

  • Drones and Offensive Advantage

    Antonio Calcara, Andrea Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Security Studies•2023

  • Nato, multi-domain operations and the future of the Atlantic Alliance

    Open Access•Andrea Gilli, Mauro Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Strategy•2025•Cited by: 1

    This article discusses the implications of multi-domain operations (MDO) on the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s (NATO) future. By examining both the historical literature and the antecedents of MDO, the authors identify three salient areas to the successful future conduct of MDO. They also raise concerns regarding the potential challenge posed by MDO to individual NATO countries, the alliance system, as well as its broader competitive strate…

  • Weapons of the Weak

    Open Access•Costantino Pischedda, Mauro Gilli et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2025•References: 19

    What explains counterinsurgency outcomes? Existing scholarship points to characteristics and strategies of incumbents and insurgents but neglects the role of insurgents’ weapons. Some studies discuss the effects of the firepower of insurgents relative to incumbents. Focusing on relative firepower, however, is problematic given the asymmetric nature of guerrilla warfare, with insurgents eschewing decisive engagements where incumbents would bring t…

Political science (9 works) · Law (8 works) · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies (6 works) · Economics (5 works) · Law (5 works) · Political economy (5 works) · Sociology (5 works) · Computer Science (4 works) · Drone (4 works) · Politics (4 works)

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