George Wright
Biographic Data
| ID | 3581037 |
|---|---|
| NAME | George Wright |
| GIVEN NAMES | George |
| FAMILY NAME | Wright |
| SIGNATURE | WRIGHT G |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Strathclyde |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-0867-1266 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 36 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 99 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 36 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1963 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2022 |
| H-INDEX | 6 |
The value of mass-produced Covid-19 scenarios: A quality evaluation of development processes and scenario content
Hundreds of scenarios were developed across the world in 2020, aimed at generating forward-looking conversations, better understanding for COVID-19 transmission rates, trialling economic outcomes, and stress-testing existing systems in light of the developing pandemic. In response, Cairns & Wright (2020) questioned the value of these mass-produced scenarios created retroactively to existing crises. We address their concerns by evaluating 213 COVI…
Delphi with feedback of rationales: How large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged
Improving the practical application of the Delphi method in group-based judgment: A six-step prescription for a well-founded and defensible process
Dissertation on Predestination and Grace
The Destruction of a Nation: United States' Policy towards Angola since 1945
Thomas Hobbes et l’Histoire: Système et Récits à l’Âge Classique, written by Nicolas Dubos
Augmenting the intuitive logics scenario planning method for a more comprehensive analysis of causation
This paper shows that, in practice, the standard approach to scenario planning, known as 'intuitive logics', is overly focused on uncovering causes of one type, known as 'efficient cause'. We outline and apply a broader consideration of causes, leading to a more sophisticated analysis of uncertainty. Our focus is on the incorporation of Aristotle's nuanced analysis of causation. We incorporate the features of our augmented scenario development ap…
The critical role of history in scenario thinking: Augmenting causal analysis within the intuitive logics scenario development methodology
Does the intuitive logics method – and its recent enhancements – produce “effective” scenarios?
Scenario Thinking: Practical Approaches to the Future
Presents new methods in scenario thinking, based on a mix of high-level research and top-level consultancy experience. The authors describe the logical bases of a range of scenario methods and provide
The Delphi technique: Past, present, and future prospects — Introduction to the special issue
Non-receptive organizational contexts and scenario planning interventions: A demonstration of inertia in the strategic decision-making of a CEO, despite strong pressure for a change
Problematizing international business futures through a ‘critical scenario method’
Scenario planning interventions in organizations: An analysis of the causes of success and failure
Seeing” for organisational foresight
Enhancing foresight between multiple agencies: Issues in the use of scenario thinking to overcome fragmentation
In Search of the Perfect Comorbidity Measure for Use With Administrative Claims Data: Does It Exist
BACKGROUND: Numerous measures of comorbidity have been developed for health services research with administrative claims. OBJECTIVE: We sought to compare the performance of 4 claims-based comorbidity measures. RESEARCH DESIGN AND SUBJECTS: We undertook a retrospective cohort study of 5777 Medicare beneficiaries ages 66 and older with stage III colon cancer reported to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program between January 1, 1992…
Decision Analysis for Management Judgment
Expert Opinions in Forecasting: The Role of the Delphi Technique
The Clinton administration's policy toward Angola: An assessment
This article assesses President Bill Clinton's foreign policy towards Angola within the context of United States’ post‐World War II foreign policy, Clinton's overall foreign policy, and his approach towards sub‐Saharan Africa. In September, 1992, multi‐party elections based on national reconciliation were held in Angola. After losing those elections to President Jose Eduardo dos Santos and the Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) …
The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: Issues and analysis
The Impact of Globalisation
Delphi: A reevaluation of research and theory
Commentaries on ‘psychological conceptions of randomness’
Randomness and reality
Augmenting the intuitive logics scenario planning method for a more comprehensive analysis of causation
This paper shows that, in practice, the standard approach to scenario planning, known as 'intuitive logics', is overly focused on uncovering causes of one type, known as 'efficient cause'. We outline and apply a broader consideration of causes, leading to a more sophisticated analysis of uncertainty. Our focus is on the incorporation of Aristotle's nuanced analysis of causation. We incorporate the features of our augmented scenario development ap…
Enhancing foresight between multiple agencies: Issues in the use of scenario thinking to overcome fragmentation
Cultural Differences in Probabilistic Thinking
Cultural differences in three aspects of "probabilistic thinking" were studied. The study re-presents part of earlier work in Hong Kong and Britain and combines it with the results from a further study in Indonesia and Malaysia. The largest cultural difference was found between Asian and British student groups. The British adopted a more finely differentiated view of uncertainty, both verbally and numerically, than the Asians in response to uncer…
Problematizing international business futures through a ‘critical scenario method’
Scenario planning interventions in organizations: An analysis of the causes of success and failure
The critical role of history in scenario thinking: Augmenting causal analysis within the intuitive logics scenario development methodology
Non-receptive organizational contexts and scenario planning interventions: A demonstration of inertia in the strategic decision-making of a CEO, despite strong pressure for a change
The Impact of Globalisation
Psychological conceptions of randomness
This article presents a critique of the concept of randomness as it occurs in the psychological literature. The first section of our article outlines the significance of a concept of randomness to the process of induction; we need to distinguish random and non‐random events in order to perceive lawful regularities and formulate theories concerning events in the world. Next we evaluate the psychological research that has suggested that human conce…
The Political Economy of the Montreal Olympic Games
Seeing” for organisational foresight
Personality and probabilistic thinking: An exploratory study
This study examines relationship between authoritarianism, conservatism, dogmatism, intolerance of ambiguity and probabilistic thinking. By probabilistic thinking we mean tendency to adopt a probabilistic set, discrimination of uncertainty, and ability to express that uncertainty meaningfully either verbally or as a numerical probability. From orthodox conceptualizations of personality/cognitive measures one would anticipate strong relationships …
Cross-Cultural Differences in the Assessment and Communication of Uncertainty
The Destruction of a Nation: United States' Policy towards Angola since 1945
The Clinton administration's policy toward Angola: An assessment
This article assesses President Bill Clinton's foreign policy towards Angola within the context of United States’ post‐World War II foreign policy, Clinton's overall foreign policy, and his approach towards sub‐Saharan Africa. In September, 1992, multi‐party elections based on national reconciliation were held in Angola. After losing those elections to President Jose Eduardo dos Santos and the Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) …
Commentaries on ‘psychological conceptions of randomness’
Comparison of Pulmonary Function and Other Parameters in Two Communities with Widely Different Air Pollution Levels
Comparison of Pulmonary Function and Other Parameters in Two Communities with Widely Different Air Pollution Levels Richard A. Prindle, Deputy ChiefM.D.M.P.H.F.A.P.H.A., Samuel C. Marcus, Assistant Chief (Biometry Section), George W. Wright, HeadM.D., Thomas C. LloydM.D., Roy O. McCaldin, Deputy ChiefPh.D.F.A.P.H.A., and Willis E. Bye CopyRight https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.53.2.200 Published Online: August 29, 2011
An Evaluation Model for Accreditation
The traditional evaluation model used in accrediting professional-education programs is discussed and the field of psychology is used as an example. The evaluation model followed in the recently implemented accreditation mechanism for rehabilitation-counselor education (RCE) programs is also discussed. The evaluation model makes some significant departures from the traditional model. A survey-research approach is used to substitute in part for th…
The Political Economy of the Montreal Olympic Games
Cultural Differences in Probabilistic Thinking
Cultural differences in three aspects of "probabilistic thinking" were studied. The study re-presents part of earlier work in Hong Kong and Britain and combines it with the results from a further study in Indonesia and Malaysia. The largest cultural difference was found between Asian and British student groups. The British adopted a more finely differentiated view of uncertainty, both verbally and numerically, than the Asians in response to uncer…
Personality and probabilistic thinking: An exploratory study
This study examines relationship between authoritarianism, conservatism, dogmatism, intolerance of ambiguity and probabilistic thinking. By probabilistic thinking we mean tendency to adopt a probabilistic set, discrimination of uncertainty, and ability to express that uncertainty meaningfully either verbally or as a numerical probability. From orthodox conceptualizations of personality/cognitive measures one would anticipate strong relationships …
Cross-Cultural Differences in the Assessment and Communication of Uncertainty
Cultural and Task Influences on Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Blues, Ideology, and Afro-American Literature: A Vernacular Theory
The psychology of forecasting
New directions in research on decision making
Psychological conceptions of randomness
This article presents a critique of the concept of randomness as it occurs in the psychological literature. The first section of our article outlines the significance of a concept of randomness to the process of induction; we need to distinguish random and non‐random events in order to perceive lawful regularities and formulate theories concerning events in the world. Next we evaluate the psychological research that has suggested that human conce…
Delphi: A reevaluation of research and theory
Commentaries on ‘psychological conceptions of randomness’
Randomness and reality
The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: Issues and analysis
The Impact of Globalisation
Expert Opinions in Forecasting: The Role of the Delphi Technique
The Clinton administration's policy toward Angola: An assessment
This article assesses President Bill Clinton's foreign policy towards Angola within the context of United States’ post‐World War II foreign policy, Clinton's overall foreign policy, and his approach towards sub‐Saharan Africa. In September, 1992, multi‐party elections based on national reconciliation were held in Angola. After losing those elections to President Jose Eduardo dos Santos and the Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) …
Decision Analysis for Management Judgment
Seeing” for organisational foresight
Enhancing foresight between multiple agencies: Issues in the use of scenario thinking to overcome fragmentation
In Search of the Perfect Comorbidity Measure for Use With Administrative Claims Data: Does It Exist
BACKGROUND: Numerous measures of comorbidity have been developed for health services research with administrative claims. OBJECTIVE: We sought to compare the performance of 4 claims-based comorbidity measures. RESEARCH DESIGN AND SUBJECTS: We undertook a retrospective cohort study of 5777 Medicare beneficiaries ages 66 and older with stage III colon cancer reported to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program between January 1, 1992…
Scenario planning interventions in organizations: An analysis of the causes of success and failure
Non-receptive organizational contexts and scenario planning interventions: A demonstration of inertia in the strategic decision-making of a CEO, despite strong pressure for a change
Problematizing international business futures through a ‘critical scenario method’
Computer Science (18 works) · Political science (14 works) · Psychology (13 works) · Artificial Intelligence (10 works) · Management science (10 works) · Sociology (10 works) · Complex Systems and Decision Making (8 works) · Economics (8 works) · Engineering (7 works) · Law (7 works)