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Ayse Kaya

Biographic Data

ID3581375
NAMEAyse Kaya
GIVEN NAMESAyse
FAMILY NAMEKaya
SIGNATUREKAYA A
AFFILIATIONSSwarthmore College
ORCID0000-0003-0460-4859
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS20
TOTAL CITATIONS75
AUTHOR COUNT20
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2011
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2026
H-INDEX5
  • Does a revenue-neutral shift from indirect to direct taxes reduce inequality? Evidence from high-income OECD countries

    Open Access•Hüseyin Şen, Ayse Kaya•ARTICLE•Empirical Economics•2026

  • IMF Conditionality on Corruption: The Politics of Good Governance

    Open Access•Merih Angın, Ayse Kaya et al.•ARTICLE•Regulation & Governance•2026

    We offer a systematic analysis of IMF loan conditionality on corruption and argue that the Fund's pursuit of anti‐corruption measures is tempered by two political costs. First, because corruption is politically sensitive, the IMF risks destabilizing recipient governments and provoking crises. Second, these domestic risks translate into institutional costs: imposing such measures in strategically important countries (e.g., US allies or temporary U…

  • Neurocognitive and neuropsychiatric evaluation of individuals living with HIV compared to HIV uninfected individuals

    Gamze Kaya Özdemir, Bircan Kayaaslan et al.•ARTICLE•AIDS Care•2026

    This study aimed to compare the neurocognitive function and neuropsychiatric symptoms of individuals living with HIV and HIV-negative controls, and to evaluate their associations with clinical markers of disease activity. The study included 111 HIV-positive individuals followed at Ankara City Hospital and 54 HIV-negative controls matched for age, sex, and educational level. All participants were assessed using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (M…

  • Quantifying the effects of ageing on the composition of government spending

    Hüseyin Şen, Ayse Kaya et al.•ARTICLE•Policy Studies•2026

  • Private Participation: How Populists Engage with International Organizations

    Allison Carnegie, Richard Clark et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2024•Cited by: 5•References: 55

    The populist backlash against international organizations (IOs) is well known, but to what extent do populists engage with IOs, and what form does this engagement take? We theoretically draw a distinction between public versus private forms of interactions with IOs. We hypothesize that more concealed types of engagement appeal to populists because they allow populists to use the benefits IOs offer, while avoiding the domestic costs associated wit…

  • Taxation and economic growth: A historical and agnostic review

    Vito Tanzi, Hüseyin Şen et al.•ARTICLE•Acta Oeconomica•2023

    This article provides an agnostic, historical review of taxation and economic growth. It critically evaluates how the relationship between the two has evolved throughout modern history. After an introduction that provides a general overview of the relationship between taxation and growth, the article first discusses the positive role of taxes in promoting economic development in the pre-war and post-war periods of the 1940s. It then critically co…

  • Sovereignty Intrusion: Populism and Attitudes toward the International Monetary Fund

    Open Access•Sam Handlin, Ayse Kaya et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Quarterly•2023•Cited by: 8•References: 62

    The global populist backlash is considered threatening to the multilateral order, but its impact on individual attitudes toward international organizations, like the International Monetary Fund (IMF), is understudied. We bridge insights from research on the IMF and populism to develop a theoretical framework centered on three propositions. We argue that populist individuals should be more prone to blame the IMF for economic problems than non-popu…

  • When Do Established Powers Support Rising Powers’ Multilateral Institutions? The Case of the Asian Development Bank

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, Matthew Salah•ARTICLE•The Chinese Journal of…•2022•References: 6

    What are the institutional features that incentivize established powers to join rising powers’ new institutions? Going beyond alliance versus rivalry, this paper develops a novel theory in answering this question. We argue that the established power must address two primary design issues: 1. how to navigate the control and burden-sharing trade-off and 2. how to limit the potential diffusion of power by rendering the new institution “complementary…

  • Frames that matter: Increasing the willingness to get the Covid-19 vaccines

    Open Access•Sean M Diament, Ayse Kaya et al.•ARTICLE•Social Science & Medicine•2022•Cited by: 6•References: 32

  • The Federal Reserve’s move to an explicit inflation target: Incremental policy shifts in techno-political institutions

    Ayse Kaya•ARTICLE•Review of International Political…•2021•Cited by: 5•References: 19

    This paper analyzes the US Federal Reserve (Fed)’s landmark 2012 decision to adopt an explicit inflation target for the first time in its history. The paper focuses on explaining the dynamics of this policy shift. The relevant literatures authoritatively establish types of incremental change and the transformative nature of this kind of change. Using the case of the Fed’s policy shift, this paper advances a framework for explaining when the likel…

  • Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank as an instrument for Chinese influence? Supplementary versus remedial multilateralism

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, Christopher Kilby et al.•ARTICLE•World Development•2021•Cited by: 10•References: 16

  • Which Countries Send More Delegates to Climate Change Conferences? Analysis of UNFCCC COPs, 1995–2015

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, Lynne Steuerle Schofield•ARTICLE•Foreign Policy Analysis•2020•Cited by: 4•References: 13

    The size of national delegations at the most critical intergovernmental climate change conferences—the annual gatherings of the Conference of the Parties (COPs) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change—vary greatly. The literature has emphasized the importance of national delegation size (NDS) for states’ formal and informal participation in climate change negotiations. To our knowledge, however, this is the first paper to com…

  • How large are fiscal multipliers in Turkey

    Open Access•Hüseyin Şen, Ayse Kaya•ARTICLE•Turkish Studies•2019•Cited by: 1•References: 3

    Using the augmented version of the Blanchard-Perotti’s SVAR model, this article seeks to estimate the size of fiscal multipliers in Turkey for the period 2002:q3–2016:q2. Unlike many previous papers that use aggregate data in estimating the size of the fiscal multiplier, we use disaggregated data on taxes and government spending for the same purposes. Our empirical findings indicate that the size of the short-run fiscal multipliers for taxes much…

  • How did the Washington consensus move within the IMF? Fragmented change from the 1980s to the aftermath of the 2008 crisis

    Ayse Kaya, Mike Reay•ARTICLE•Review of International Political…•2019•Cited by: 13•References: 24

    While the Washington Consensus is one of the most (in)famous economic policy paradigms of recent times, the literature on it still lacks a detailed, diachronic analysis of how it evolved within one of its most important disseminators, the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Such an analysis is important not just for gaining a better empirical sense of the Consensus, but also for illuminating a key question of interest in the study of international…

  • Taxes and private consumption expenditures: A component-based analysis for Turkey

    Open Access•Hüseyin Şen, Ayse Kaya et al.•ARTICLE•Turkish Studies•2016

    This paper empirically analyzes the effects of tax shocks on private consumption expenditures in Turkey. For this purpose, private consumption expenditures are firstly decomposed into four major categories and then to which structural VAR (SVAR) model is employed using a data set for the period 2003:Q1–2013:Q3. The empirical findings of the paper show that both in the short and long run, private consumption expenditures are affected by value-adde…

  • Why the 2008 crisis was a bad crisis for new ideas

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, Geoffrey L Herrera et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of International…•2014•Cited by: 1•References: 25

  • The EU’s China problem: A battle over norms

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya•ARTICLE•International Politics•2014•Cited by: 2•References: 19

  • What were they thinking? The Federal Reserve in the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis

    Stephen S Golub, Stephen Golub et al.•ARTICLE•Review of International Political…•2014•Cited by: 16•References: 10

    The Federal Reserve (the Fed) is responsible for monitoring, analyzing and ultimately stabilizing US financial markets. It also has unrivalled access to economic data, high-level connections to financial institutions, and a large staff of professionally trained economists. Why then was it apparently unconcerned by the financial developments that are now widely recognized to have caused the 2008 financial crisis? Using a wide range of Fed document…

  • How do Multilateral Institutions Influence Individual Perceptions of International Affairs? Evidence from Europe and Asia

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, James T Walker•ARTICLE•European Journal of Development…•2014•Cited by: 4•References: 24

  • Why Global Inequality Matters: Derivative Global Egalitarianism

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, Andrej Keba•ARTICLE•Journal of International…•2011•References: 22

    This article integrates empirical and normative discussions about why global economic inequalities matter in critically examining an approach known as derivative global egalitarianism (DGE). DGE is a burgeoning perspective that opposes excessive global economic inequality not based on the intrinsic value of equality but inequality's negative repercussions on other values. The article aims to advance the research agenda by identifying and critical…

  • What were they thinking? The Federal Reserve in the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis

    Stephen S Golub, Stephen Golub et al.•ARTICLE•Review of International Political…•2014•Cited by: 16•References: 10

    The Federal Reserve (the Fed) is responsible for monitoring, analyzing and ultimately stabilizing US financial markets. It also has unrivalled access to economic data, high-level connections to financial institutions, and a large staff of professionally trained economists. Why then was it apparently unconcerned by the financial developments that are now widely recognized to have caused the 2008 financial crisis? Using a wide range of Fed document…

  • How did the Washington consensus move within the IMF? Fragmented change from the 1980s to the aftermath of the 2008 crisis

    Ayse Kaya, Mike Reay•ARTICLE•Review of International Political…•2019•Cited by: 13•References: 24

    While the Washington Consensus is one of the most (in)famous economic policy paradigms of recent times, the literature on it still lacks a detailed, diachronic analysis of how it evolved within one of its most important disseminators, the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Such an analysis is important not just for gaining a better empirical sense of the Consensus, but also for illuminating a key question of interest in the study of international…

  • Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank as an instrument for Chinese influence? Supplementary versus remedial multilateralism

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, Christopher Kilby et al.•ARTICLE•World Development•2021•Cited by: 10•References: 16

  • Sovereignty Intrusion: Populism and Attitudes toward the International Monetary Fund

    Open Access•Sam Handlin, Ayse Kaya et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Quarterly•2023•Cited by: 8•References: 62

    The global populist backlash is considered threatening to the multilateral order, but its impact on individual attitudes toward international organizations, like the International Monetary Fund (IMF), is understudied. We bridge insights from research on the IMF and populism to develop a theoretical framework centered on three propositions. We argue that populist individuals should be more prone to blame the IMF for economic problems than non-popu…

  • Frames that matter: Increasing the willingness to get the Covid-19 vaccines

    Open Access•Sean M Diament, Ayse Kaya et al.•ARTICLE•Social Science & Medicine•2022•Cited by: 6•References: 32

  • Private Participation: How Populists Engage with International Organizations

    Allison Carnegie, Richard Clark et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2024•Cited by: 5•References: 55

    The populist backlash against international organizations (IOs) is well known, but to what extent do populists engage with IOs, and what form does this engagement take? We theoretically draw a distinction between public versus private forms of interactions with IOs. We hypothesize that more concealed types of engagement appeal to populists because they allow populists to use the benefits IOs offer, while avoiding the domestic costs associated wit…

  • The Federal Reserve’s move to an explicit inflation target: Incremental policy shifts in techno-political institutions

    Ayse Kaya•ARTICLE•Review of International Political…•2021•Cited by: 5•References: 19

    This paper analyzes the US Federal Reserve (Fed)’s landmark 2012 decision to adopt an explicit inflation target for the first time in its history. The paper focuses on explaining the dynamics of this policy shift. The relevant literatures authoritatively establish types of incremental change and the transformative nature of this kind of change. Using the case of the Fed’s policy shift, this paper advances a framework for explaining when the likel…

  • Which Countries Send More Delegates to Climate Change Conferences? Analysis of UNFCCC COPs, 1995–2015

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, Lynne Steuerle Schofield•ARTICLE•Foreign Policy Analysis•2020•Cited by: 4•References: 13

    The size of national delegations at the most critical intergovernmental climate change conferences—the annual gatherings of the Conference of the Parties (COPs) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change—vary greatly. The literature has emphasized the importance of national delegation size (NDS) for states’ formal and informal participation in climate change negotiations. To our knowledge, however, this is the first paper to com…

  • How do Multilateral Institutions Influence Individual Perceptions of International Affairs? Evidence from Europe and Asia

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, James T Walker•ARTICLE•European Journal of Development…•2014•Cited by: 4•References: 24

  • The EU’s China problem: A battle over norms

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya•ARTICLE•International Politics•2014•Cited by: 2•References: 19

  • How large are fiscal multipliers in Turkey

    Open Access•Hüseyin Şen, Ayse Kaya•ARTICLE•Turkish Studies•2019•Cited by: 1•References: 3

    Using the augmented version of the Blanchard-Perotti’s SVAR model, this article seeks to estimate the size of fiscal multipliers in Turkey for the period 2002:q3–2016:q2. Unlike many previous papers that use aggregate data in estimating the size of the fiscal multiplier, we use disaggregated data on taxes and government spending for the same purposes. Our empirical findings indicate that the size of the short-run fiscal multipliers for taxes much…

  • Why the 2008 crisis was a bad crisis for new ideas

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, Geoffrey L Herrera et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of International…•2014•Cited by: 1•References: 25

  • Why Global Inequality Matters: Derivative Global Egalitarianism

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, Andrej Keba•ARTICLE•Journal of International…•2011•References: 22

    This article integrates empirical and normative discussions about why global economic inequalities matter in critically examining an approach known as derivative global egalitarianism (DGE). DGE is a burgeoning perspective that opposes excessive global economic inequality not based on the intrinsic value of equality but inequality's negative repercussions on other values. The article aims to advance the research agenda by identifying and critical…

  • Why the 2008 crisis was a bad crisis for new ideas

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, Geoffrey L Herrera et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of International…•2014•Cited by: 1•References: 25

  • The EU’s China problem: A battle over norms

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya•ARTICLE•International Politics•2014•Cited by: 2•References: 19

  • What were they thinking? The Federal Reserve in the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis

    Stephen S Golub, Stephen Golub et al.•ARTICLE•Review of International Political…•2014•Cited by: 16•References: 10

    The Federal Reserve (the Fed) is responsible for monitoring, analyzing and ultimately stabilizing US financial markets. It also has unrivalled access to economic data, high-level connections to financial institutions, and a large staff of professionally trained economists. Why then was it apparently unconcerned by the financial developments that are now widely recognized to have caused the 2008 financial crisis? Using a wide range of Fed document…

  • How do Multilateral Institutions Influence Individual Perceptions of International Affairs? Evidence from Europe and Asia

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, James T Walker•ARTICLE•European Journal of Development…•2014•Cited by: 4•References: 24

  • Taxes and private consumption expenditures: A component-based analysis for Turkey

    Open Access•Hüseyin Şen, Ayse Kaya et al.•ARTICLE•Turkish Studies•2016

    This paper empirically analyzes the effects of tax shocks on private consumption expenditures in Turkey. For this purpose, private consumption expenditures are firstly decomposed into four major categories and then to which structural VAR (SVAR) model is employed using a data set for the period 2003:Q1–2013:Q3. The empirical findings of the paper show that both in the short and long run, private consumption expenditures are affected by value-adde…

  • How large are fiscal multipliers in Turkey

    Open Access•Hüseyin Şen, Ayse Kaya•ARTICLE•Turkish Studies•2019•Cited by: 1•References: 3

    Using the augmented version of the Blanchard-Perotti’s SVAR model, this article seeks to estimate the size of fiscal multipliers in Turkey for the period 2002:q3–2016:q2. Unlike many previous papers that use aggregate data in estimating the size of the fiscal multiplier, we use disaggregated data on taxes and government spending for the same purposes. Our empirical findings indicate that the size of the short-run fiscal multipliers for taxes much…

  • How did the Washington consensus move within the IMF? Fragmented change from the 1980s to the aftermath of the 2008 crisis

    Ayse Kaya, Mike Reay•ARTICLE•Review of International Political…•2019•Cited by: 13•References: 24

    While the Washington Consensus is one of the most (in)famous economic policy paradigms of recent times, the literature on it still lacks a detailed, diachronic analysis of how it evolved within one of its most important disseminators, the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Such an analysis is important not just for gaining a better empirical sense of the Consensus, but also for illuminating a key question of interest in the study of international…

  • Which Countries Send More Delegates to Climate Change Conferences? Analysis of UNFCCC COPs, 1995–2015

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, Lynne Steuerle Schofield•ARTICLE•Foreign Policy Analysis•2020•Cited by: 4•References: 13

    The size of national delegations at the most critical intergovernmental climate change conferences—the annual gatherings of the Conference of the Parties (COPs) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change—vary greatly. The literature has emphasized the importance of national delegation size (NDS) for states’ formal and informal participation in climate change negotiations. To our knowledge, however, this is the first paper to com…

  • The Federal Reserve’s move to an explicit inflation target: Incremental policy shifts in techno-political institutions

    Ayse Kaya•ARTICLE•Review of International Political…•2021•Cited by: 5•References: 19

    This paper analyzes the US Federal Reserve (Fed)’s landmark 2012 decision to adopt an explicit inflation target for the first time in its history. The paper focuses on explaining the dynamics of this policy shift. The relevant literatures authoritatively establish types of incremental change and the transformative nature of this kind of change. Using the case of the Fed’s policy shift, this paper advances a framework for explaining when the likel…

  • Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank as an instrument for Chinese influence? Supplementary versus remedial multilateralism

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, Christopher Kilby et al.•ARTICLE•World Development•2021•Cited by: 10•References: 16

  • When Do Established Powers Support Rising Powers’ Multilateral Institutions? The Case of the Asian Development Bank

    Open Access•Ayse Kaya, Matthew Salah•ARTICLE•The Chinese Journal of…•2022•References: 6

    What are the institutional features that incentivize established powers to join rising powers’ new institutions? Going beyond alliance versus rivalry, this paper develops a novel theory in answering this question. We argue that the established power must address two primary design issues: 1. how to navigate the control and burden-sharing trade-off and 2. how to limit the potential diffusion of power by rendering the new institution “complementary…

  • Frames that matter: Increasing the willingness to get the Covid-19 vaccines

    Open Access•Sean M Diament, Ayse Kaya et al.•ARTICLE•Social Science & Medicine•2022•Cited by: 6•References: 32

  • Taxation and economic growth: A historical and agnostic review

    Vito Tanzi, Hüseyin Şen et al.•ARTICLE•Acta Oeconomica•2023

    This article provides an agnostic, historical review of taxation and economic growth. It critically evaluates how the relationship between the two has evolved throughout modern history. After an introduction that provides a general overview of the relationship between taxation and growth, the article first discusses the positive role of taxes in promoting economic development in the pre-war and post-war periods of the 1940s. It then critically co…

  • Sovereignty Intrusion: Populism and Attitudes toward the International Monetary Fund

    Open Access•Sam Handlin, Ayse Kaya et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Quarterly•2023•Cited by: 8•References: 62

    The global populist backlash is considered threatening to the multilateral order, but its impact on individual attitudes toward international organizations, like the International Monetary Fund (IMF), is understudied. We bridge insights from research on the IMF and populism to develop a theoretical framework centered on three propositions. We argue that populist individuals should be more prone to blame the IMF for economic problems than non-popu…

  • Private Participation: How Populists Engage with International Organizations

    Allison Carnegie, Richard Clark et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2024•Cited by: 5•References: 55

    The populist backlash against international organizations (IOs) is well known, but to what extent do populists engage with IOs, and what form does this engagement take? We theoretically draw a distinction between public versus private forms of interactions with IOs. We hypothesize that more concealed types of engagement appeal to populists because they allow populists to use the benefits IOs offer, while avoiding the domestic costs associated wit…

  • Does a revenue-neutral shift from indirect to direct taxes reduce inequality? Evidence from high-income OECD countries

    Open Access•Hüseyin Şen, Ayse Kaya•ARTICLE•Empirical Economics•2026

  • IMF Conditionality on Corruption: The Politics of Good Governance

    Open Access•Merih Angın, Ayse Kaya et al.•ARTICLE•Regulation & Governance•2026

    We offer a systematic analysis of IMF loan conditionality on corruption and argue that the Fund's pursuit of anti‐corruption measures is tempered by two political costs. First, because corruption is politically sensitive, the IMF risks destabilizing recipient governments and provoking crises. Second, these domestic risks translate into institutional costs: imposing such measures in strategically important countries (e.g., US allies or temporary U…

  • Neurocognitive and neuropsychiatric evaluation of individuals living with HIV compared to HIV uninfected individuals

    Gamze Kaya Özdemir, Bircan Kayaaslan et al.•ARTICLE•AIDS Care•2026

    This study aimed to compare the neurocognitive function and neuropsychiatric symptoms of individuals living with HIV and HIV-negative controls, and to evaluate their associations with clinical markers of disease activity. The study included 111 HIV-positive individuals followed at Ankara City Hospital and 54 HIV-negative controls matched for age, sex, and educational level. All participants were assessed using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (M…

  • Quantifying the effects of ageing on the composition of government spending

    Hüseyin Şen, Ayse Kaya et al.•ARTICLE•Policy Studies•2026

Economics (14 works) · Political science (12 works) · Law (11 works) · Politics (11 works) · Law (9 works) · International Development and Aid (7 works) · Political economy (6 works) · Sociology (6 works) · Macroeconomics (5 works) · Positive economics (4 works)

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