Andrei Rogers
Biographic Data
| ID | 3594681 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Andrei Rogers |
| GIVEN NAMES | Andrei |
| FAMILY NAME | Rogers |
| SIGNATURE | ROGERS A |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Colorado Boulder |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 49 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 208 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 49 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1966 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2018 |
| H-INDEX | 8 |
Spatial demography
With increases in the availability of geo‐referenced data, there has been a push for developing better methods to study demographic processes across space. This paper reviews the recent developments in “spatial demography” and argues that an important aspect has been neglected, namely, the focus on the dynamics and interactions of population change across space, which is an area that should be central to the field. Frameworks for analysing spatia…
Applied Multiregional Demography
Does Specification Matter? Experiments with Simple Multiregional Probabilistic Population Projections
Population projection models that introduce uncertainty are a growing subset of projection models in general. In this paper we focus on the importance of decisions made with regard to the model specifications adopted. We compare the forecasts and prediction intervals associated with four simple regional population projection models: an overall growth rate model, a component model with net migration, a component model with in-migration and out-mig…
The Indirect Estimation of Migration
Using age and spatial flow structures in the indirect estimation of migration streams
This article outlines a formal model-based approach for inferring interregional age-specific migration streams in settings where such data are incomplete, inadequate, or unavailable. The estimation approach relies heavily on log-linear models, using them to impose some of the regularities exhibited by past age and spatial structures or to combine and borrow information drawn from other sources. The approach is illustrated using data from the 1990…
What can the age composition of a population tell us about the age composition of its out‐migrants
Preliminary findings show that the age structure of a population can provide valuable information about the age composition of its out‐migrants, and that this relationship can become a key ingredient in the proposed new method for estimating the age profile of out‐migrants when accurate data are not available. The method relies on the Rogers‐Castro model schedule to consistently and accurately represent age profiles of out‐migration, and the resu…
Origin dependence, secondary migration, and the indirect estimation of migration flows from population stocks
Describing migration spatial structure
Describing migration spatial structure
Capturing the Age and Spatial Structures of Migration
In this paper we model the structures found in the level (generation) and allocation (distribution) components of age-specific and origin - destination-specific migration flows. For the examples, we examine the regional migration patterns in the USA for four periods: 1955 - 60, 1965 - 70, 1975 - 80, and 1985 - 90. The age and migration structures are identified over time by using the logit model for categorical data. Just as model schedules can b…
Disaggregating the historical demographic sources of regional foreign-born and native-born population growth in the United States
In this paper we offer a general method for analysing the demographic processes that contribute to population growth and redistribution in a multiregional system. The method incorporates a historical perspective that can be used to trace dynamic population processes as they evolve over time. It uses an open multiregional projection model framework for identifying the contributions to regional growth made by each of the principal demographic compo…
The Internal Migration Patterns of the Foreign-Born and Native-Born Populations in the United States
The focus of this article is on an examination of the influence of birthplace on the internal migration and spatial redistribution patterns of the foreign-born and native-born populations in the United States during the 1975–80 and 1985–90 periods. The analyses presented here consider the following principal questions: 1) What are the internal migration patterns of the foreign-born population in the United States, and how do they differ from thos…
The Internal Migration Patterns of the Foreign-Born and Native-Born Populations in the United States
The spatial focus of US interstate migration flows
Despite the widespread interest in the changing geographies of national migration regimes, it is somewhat remarkable that no widely accepted measure of the spatial concentration or focus exhibited by such geographies has emerged. We examine four of the most popular indices of inequality in this paper and contrast their performance as measures of spatial focus. Adopting the coefficient of variation as our preferred alternative, we go on to examine…
The spatial focus of US interstate migration flows
Despite the widespread interest in the changing geographies of national migration regimes, it is somewhat remarkable that no widely accepted measure of the spatial concentration or focus exhibited by such geographies has emerged. We examine four of the most popular indices of inequality in this paper and contrast their performance as measures of spatial focus. Adopting the coefficient of variation as our preferred alternative, we go on to examine…
Period and cohort age patterns of US migration, 1948–1993
Social and Demographic Accounting
This book provides an account of developments and applications of social accounts. It concentrates particularly on the methods of social accounting that Richard Stone, Nobel Laureate in Economics, developed and applied during his long and distinguished career. The contributors to the volume examine applications of social accounts in economics and demography, addressing issues of new formulations and specifications at the national and regional lev…
Changing patterns of interregional migration and population redistribution in the United States
Évolution des migrations interrégionales et de la redistribution de la population aux États-Unis : une approche longitudinale. Au cours des dernières décennies, les démographes se sont intéressés à l'effet de la taille relative des générations sur la fécondité. Cet article examine l'effet de la taille relative des générations sur le niveau, la structure spatiale et la composition par âge des migrations interrégionales des jeunes adultes aux États…
Elderly Migration and Population Redistribution
Disability-Free Life among the Elderly in the United States
This article examines the sociodemographic factors associated not only with the length but also the quality of life. Although much research has examined dependency or the reliance on other individuals or institutions, this analysis instead focuses on difficulty in performing activities of daily living. The authors employ logit analysis and the Longitudinal Study of Aging data set to examine the sociodemographic factors-age, sex, race, education, …
The Internal Migration and Spatial Redistribution of the Foreign-Born Population in the United States
Alain Belanger, Andrei Rogers, The Internal Migration and Spatial Redistribution of the Foreign-Born Population in the United States: 1965-70 and 1975-80, The International Migration Review, Vol. 26, No. 4 (Winter, 1992), pp. 1342-1369
The Internal Migration and Spatial Redistribution of the Foreign-Born Population in the United States
This article examines the importance of place of birth on the internal migration and spatial redistribution patterns of the foreign-born population in the United States during the 1965–70 and the 1975–80 periods, relying principally on the Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) files for our input data. The diverse nationalities are aggregated into eight different regions of origin: Mexico, Puerto Rico, Rest of South and Central America, Europe, Asia…
Heterogeneity and selection in multistate population analysis
If one subgroup of individuals in a population has a higher death rate than the others, then over time the surviving population will include a larger share of those with the lower death rate, As a result, the aggregate average death rate for this increasingly more robust population will decline. This conclusion, however, can be drawn only for nonrecurrent events experienced by populations that do not exchange members with one another—that is, for…
Assessing state population projections with transparent multiregional demographic models
Requiem for the Net Migrant
Despite recent research that has demonstrated the clear superiority of a multiregional perspective in measuring and projecting the dynamics of internal migration flows, many scholars continue to adopt the uniregional perspective that is forced to focus on net migrants, a nonexistent category of individuals. Net migration models are misspecified because the rates that they use confound changing migration propensities with changing population stock…
Disability-Free Life among the Elderly in the United States
This article examines the sociodemographic factors associated not only with the length but also the quality of life. Although much research has examined dependency or the reliance on other individuals or institutions, this analysis instead focuses on difficulty in performing activities of daily living. The authors employ logit analysis and the Longitudinal Study of Aging data set to examine the sociodemographic factors-age, sex, race, education, …
Age patterns of elderly migration
Age-specific rates of migration exhibit remarkably persistent regularities in age profile. These regularities seem to hold all over the world and across time. This article identifies some of the principal antecedents of such regularities, focusing especially on the age patterns of migration exhibited by the elderly. It examines the differentials introduced by gender, distance, and marital status
Describing migration spatial structure
The multtregional life table
Mathematical demography traditionally has been concerned with the dynamics of the growth and structure of a population that is undisturbed by migration. Recently, however, increasing attention has been directed at the relationships between interregional migration flows and the growth and structure of multiregional population systems that are open to internal migration. This paper con‐tributes to that emerging body of knowledge by generalizing the…
Forecasting Mortality
This article links parameterized model mortality schedules with time series methods to develop forecasts of U.S. mortality to the year 2000. The use of model mortality schedules permits a relatively concise representation of the history of mortality by age and sex from 1900 to 1985, and the use of modern time series methods to extend this history forward to the end of this century allows for a flexible modeling of trend and the accommodation of c…
The multiregional matrix growth operator and the stable interregional age structure
Current population-forecasting efforts generally adopt minor variants of the cohort-survival projection method. This technique focuses on a population disaggregated into cohorts, a group of people having one or more common characteristics at a point in time and, by subjecting each cohort to class-specific rates of fertility, mortality, and net migration, generates a distribution of survivors and descendants of the original population, at successi…
Heterogeneity and selection in multistate population analysis
If one subgroup of individuals in a population has a higher death rate than the others, then over time the surviving population will include a larger share of those with the lower death rate, As a result, the aggregate average death rate for this increasingly more robust population will decline. This conclusion, however, can be drawn only for nonrecurrent events experienced by populations that do not exchange members with one another—that is, for…
Period and cohort age patterns of US migration, 1948–1993
Migration, Urbanization, and Third World Development
Matrix analysis of interregional population growth and distribution
Spatial demography
With increases in the availability of geo‐referenced data, there has been a push for developing better methods to study demographic processes across space. This paper reviews the recent developments in “spatial demography” and argues that an important aspect has been neglected, namely, the focus on the dynamics and interactions of population change across space, which is an area that should be central to the field. Frameworks for analysing spatia…
Using age and spatial flow structures in the indirect estimation of migration streams
This article outlines a formal model-based approach for inferring interregional age-specific migration streams in settings where such data are incomplete, inadequate, or unavailable. The estimation approach relies heavily on log-linear models, using them to impose some of the regularities exhibited by past age and spatial structures or to combine and borrow information drawn from other sources. The approach is illustrated using data from the 1990…
The Internal Migration and Spatial Redistribution of the Foreign-Born Population in the United States
Alain Belanger, Andrei Rogers, The Internal Migration and Spatial Redistribution of the Foreign-Born Population in the United States: 1965-70 and 1975-80, The International Migration Review, Vol. 26, No. 4 (Winter, 1992), pp. 1342-1369
The Internal Migration and Spatial Redistribution of the Foreign-Born Population in the United States
This article examines the importance of place of birth on the internal migration and spatial redistribution patterns of the foreign-born population in the United States during the 1965–70 and the 1975–80 periods, relying principally on the Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) files for our input data. The diverse nationalities are aggregated into eight different regions of origin: Mexico, Puerto Rico, Rest of South and Central America, Europe, Asia…
Capturing the Age and Spatial Structures of Migration
In this paper we model the structures found in the level (generation) and allocation (distribution) components of age-specific and origin - destination-specific migration flows. For the examples, we examine the regional migration patterns in the USA for four periods: 1955 - 60, 1965 - 70, 1975 - 80, and 1985 - 90. The age and migration structures are identified over time by using the logit model for categorical data. Just as model schedules can b…
Migration and Settlement
Spatial Population Dynamics
Does Specification Matter? Experiments with Simple Multiregional Probabilistic Population Projections
Population projection models that introduce uncertainty are a growing subset of projection models in general. In this paper we focus on the importance of decisions made with regard to the model specifications adopted. We compare the forecasts and prediction intervals associated with four simple regional population projection models: an overall growth rate model, a component model with net migration, a component model with in-migration and out-mig…
Origin dependence, secondary migration, and the indirect estimation of migration flows from population stocks
The Internal Migration Patterns of the Foreign-Born and Native-Born Populations in the United States
The focus of this article is on an examination of the influence of birthplace on the internal migration and spatial redistribution patterns of the foreign-born and native-born populations in the United States during the 1975–80 and 1985–90 periods. The analyses presented here consider the following principal questions: 1) What are the internal migration patterns of the foreign-born population in the United States, and how do they differ from thos…
The Internal Migration Patterns of the Foreign-Born and Native-Born Populations in the United States
Sources of Urban Population Growth and Urbanization, 1950-2000
Estimating Interregional Population And Migration Operators From Interregional Population Distributions
Una limitación común en el análisis de los sistemas interregionales de población, es la ausencia de datos confiables quedescriban el comportamiento de los componenies fundamentales de los cambios de población. Como resultado, frecuentemente, los demógrafos tienen que recurrir a medidas imperfectamente construídas del incremento natural y de la migración neta. Recientes intentosde expresar el crecimiento de la población interregional en forma de u…
What can the age composition of a population tell us about the age composition of its out‐migrants
Preliminary findings show that the age structure of a population can provide valuable information about the age composition of its out‐migrants, and that this relationship can become a key ingredient in the proposed new method for estimating the age profile of out‐migrants when accurate data are not available. The method relies on the Rogers‐Castro model schedule to consistently and accurately represent age profiles of out‐migration, and the resu…
Assessing state population projections with transparent multiregional demographic models
The multiregional matrix growth operator and the stable interregional age structure
Current population-forecasting efforts generally adopt minor variants of the cohort-survival projection method. This technique focuses on a population disaggregated into cohorts, a group of people having one or more common characteristics at a point in time and, by subjecting each cohort to class-specific rates of fertility, mortality, and net migration, generates a distribution of survivors and descendants of the original population, at successi…
A Regression Analysis of Interregional Migration in California
Matrix analysis of interregional population growth and distribution
Matrix Analysis of Interregional Population Growth and Distribution
Estimating Interregional Population And Migration Operators From Interregional Population Distributions
Una limitación común en el análisis de los sistemas interregionales de población, es la ausencia de datos confiables quedescriban el comportamiento de los componenies fundamentales de los cambios de población. Como resultado, frecuentemente, los demógrafos tienen que recurrir a medidas imperfectamente construídas del incremento natural y de la migración neta. Recientes intentosde expresar el crecimiento de la población interregional en forma de u…
Estimating a Matrix Population Growth Operator From Distributional Time Series
Most efforts to analyze and forecast interregional population growth and distribution are hampered by the general paucity of reliable data on interregional migration. This has led demographers to rely on crudely constructed measures of net migration. Recent efforts to express the population growth process in matrix form, however, suggest a means whereby the schedule of growth that operates in an interregional system may be estimated solely on the…
Matrix Analysis of Interregional Population Growth and Distribution
Estimating internal migration from incomplete data using model multiregional life tables
A principal feature of current methods of estimating demographic measures from incomplete data is the use of model life tables that approximate the mortality of a region for which reliable mortality data are unavailable. Observed decennial rates of survivorship may be used to identify out of a set of such model life tables one that best matches the observed data. This paper introduces the concept of a modelmultiregional life table and outlines a …
The multtregional life table
Mathematical demography traditionally has been concerned with the dynamics of the growth and structure of a population that is undisturbed by migration. Recently, however, increasing attention has been directed at the relationships between interregional migration flows and the growth and structure of multiregional population systems that are open to internal migration. This paper con‐tributes to that emerging body of knowledge by generalizing the…
Spatial Population Dynamics
Spatial population dynamics
Introduction of Multiregional Mathematical Demography
Introduction of Multiregional Mathematical Demography
Normative Modeling in Demo-Economics
Migración, urbanización y desarrollo
La creciente interdependencia económica global, el aumento de la competencia por reducir las reservas de los recursos y las disparidades, cada vez más grandes en el bienestar material, han ocasionado que el futuro crecimiento de la población sea un tema obligado a tratar en los asuntos internacionales. El crecimiento acelerado de la población conlleva consecuencias muy importantes en lo social, económico y político. Afecta los niveles de salud pú…
Patrones modelo de migración
Desde el inicio de las actividades del Instituto Internacional para el Análisis de Sistemas Aplicados (IIASA), el interés por los sistemas y políticas sobre asentamientos humanos ha constituido un punto central en el trabajo relacionado con el urbanismo. De 1975 a 1978, este interés se manifestó en el trabajo Migration and Settlement Task, que se concluyó de manera formal en 1978. Desde entonces, la atención se ha dirigido hacia la diseminación d…
Migration, Urbanization, and Third World Development
Sources of Urban Population Growth and Urbanization, 1950-2000
Migration and Settlement
Age patterns of elderly migration
Age-specific rates of migration exhibit remarkably persistent regularities in age profile. These regularities seem to hold all over the world and across time. This article identifies some of the principal antecedents of such regularities, focusing especially on the age patterns of migration exhibited by the elderly. It examines the differentials introduced by gender, distance, and marital status
Migration and Settlement
organized teams of researchers in all of the countries in which IIASA had National Member Organizations, East and West, who left a permanent imprint in the form of methods now incorporated in routine national calculations.Since most of what was accomplished in the course of the Migration and Settlement Study was methodological and descriptive in character, it was natural that future IIASA work in this general area would more intimately involve su…
Interstate Mortality Differentials in the United States
La mortalité différentielle aux États-Unis : une description paramétrée. L'article traite de la mortalité différentielle entre états américains de 1979 à 1981. Il s'ouvre sur un rapide panorama sur les données, qui révèle des contrastes étonnamment larges d'espérance de vie entre états. Les auteurs ont construit un modèle de mortalité d'Heligman-Pollard à partir des paramètres de valeurs similaires qui met en évidence l'existence de plusieurs fam…
Migration and Settlement
organized teams of researchers in all of the countries in which IIASA had National Member Organizations, East and West, who left a permanent imprint in the form of methods now incorporated in routine national calculations.Since most of what was accomplished in the course of the Migration and Settlement Study was methodological and descriptive in character, it was natural that future IIASA work in this general area would more intimately involve su…
Forecasting Mortality
This article links parameterized model mortality schedules with time series methods to develop forecasts of U.S. mortality to the year 2000. The use of model mortality schedules permits a relatively concise representation of the history of mortality by age and sex from 1900 to 1985, and the use of modern time series methods to extend this history forward to the end of this century allows for a flexible modeling of trend and the accommodation of c…
Requiem for the Net Migrant
Despite recent research that has demonstrated the clear superiority of a multiregional perspective in measuring and projecting the dynamics of internal migration flows, many scholars continue to adopt the uniregional perspective that is forced to focus on net migrants, a nonexistent category of individuals. Net migration models are misspecified because the rates that they use confound changing migration propensities with changing population stock…
Geography (34 works) · Population (31 works) · Demography (30 works) · Sociology (30 works) · Demography (24 works) · Economics (20 works) · Migration and Labor Dynamics (19 works) · Mathematics (18 works) · Computer Science (17 works) · Econometrics (15 works)