François Pétry
Dados Biográficos
| ID | 3603217 |
|---|---|
| NOME | François Pétry |
| PRENOMES | François |
| SOBRENOME | Pétry |
| ASSINATURA | PETRY F |
| AFILIAÇÕES | Université Laval |
| VERIFICADO | Não |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 29 |
| TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES | 544 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 27 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 2 |
| PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 1988 |
| ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 2024 |
| ÍNDICE H | 10 |
Citizens’ awareness of electoral campaign pledges
The theory of promissory representation (Mansbridge, 2003) proposes that voters select parties based on the pledges they made during the campaign. The elected parties then fulfill their promises and at the next election, voters reward or sanction the parties based on their pledge-fulfillment record. However, a fundamental assumption of promissory representation remains to be tested. If voters use party pledges to decide which party to vote for, t…
Bilan du gouvernement libéral de Justin Trudeau. 353 promesses et un mandat de changement
Assessing Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Government. 353 promises and a mandate for change
During the 2015 election, the Liberal Party of Justin Trudeau promised to make real change in the lives of all Canadians. It is a good opportunity, on the eve of the next election, to provide a rigorous and impartial assessment of how the Liberal government has delivered on its campaign promises. Under the direction of Lisa Birch and Francois Petry, twenty renowned academics investigate the fate of the 353 liberal campaign promises in fields as v…
Time and the Fulfillment of Election Pledges
In this article, we highlight the importance of accounting for time in the study of pledge fulfillment, effectively adding a significant element to the ongoing academic discussions of the factors that influence the fulfillment of party promises. Unlike previous analyses in which pledge fulfillment is assumed to be a uniform process occurring over time, we analyze party pledge fulfillment using a discrete time approach: doing so highlights yet uno…
Do regional governments fulfill fewer election promises than national governments? The case of Quebec in comparative perspective
This article analyzes for the first time the fulfillment of election pledges at the regional level using data from Quebec. We theorize that pledge fulfillment by regional governments is subject to adverse effects that do not normally operate at the national level. In line with expectations, we find that regional parties in Quebec fulfill smaller percentages of campaign pledges than their federal counterparts. We identify two main causal explanati…
Citizens’ evaluations of campaign pledge fulfillment in Canada
We examine citizens’ evaluations of specific campaign pledge fulfillment using data from the 2015 Canadian Election Study. We find that the accuracy of these evaluations increases in the presence of factors related to citizens’ informed judgments, namely, political knowledge and the relative importance of each pledge. On the other hand, we find that citizens’ evaluations often turn on factors not based on informed judgments but rather on group id…
Electoral Promises and Single Party Governments
The determinants of fulfilling campaign promises in Canada over the period 1994–2015 are analyzed in a comparative perspective. All other factors being equal, we find that promises to reduce government spending are more likely to be fulfilled by the Conservatives than by the Liberals. Majority and re-elected governments facing a budget surplus are more likely to fulfill their election promises than minority and newly elected governments facing a …
The Fulfillment of Parties’ Election Pledges
Why are some parties more likely than others to keep the promises they made during previous election campaigns? This study provides the first large‐scale comparative analysis of pledge fulfillment with common definitions. We study the fulfillment of over 20,000 pledges made in 57 election campaigns in 12 countries, and our findings challenge the common view of parties as promise breakers. Many parties that enter government executives are highly l…
When heuristics go bad
L'analyse automatisée du ton médiatique
Cet article introduit un nouveau dictionnaire permettant l'analyse automatisée du ton des médias francophones, que nous avons appeléLexicoder Sentiment Dictionnaire Français(LSDFr) en référence au lexique anglophone de Young et Soroka (2012),Lexicoder Sentiment Dictionary(LSD) à partir duquel leLSDFra été construit. Une fois construit, nous comparons leLSDFrau seul autre dictionnaire francophone existant de ce genre,Linguistic Inquiry and Word Co…
Follow the Pollsters
We identify frequent inaccuracies in journalistic interpretations of the horse race (“who is ahead?”) and of change over time (“who is gaining?”) in poll reports during the Canadian election of 2008. We test two explanations. The “mistaken mindset” hypothesis holds that journalists exaggerate the horse race because they systematically miscalculate the margin of error. The “follow-the-pollster” hypothesis holds that journalists follow the horse-ra…
Issue-Based Strategies in Election Campaigns
This article contributes to the emerging literature on election campaign strategies by studying the strategy adopted by the Liberal government in the 2000 Canadian federal election. Two questions are addressed: Why did the Liberal government choose in that election to focus its campaign on health care in spite of its poor record with regard to this issue? And, even more surprisingly, how did the Liberals manage to win this election and get a parl…
The Regulation of Poll Reporting in Canada
The Canada Elections Act of 2000 regulates how the media must disclose the technical information regarding election polls. But the media coverage of non-election polls remains self-regulated. We examine how the technical information regarding election and non-election polling is reported in stories published by La Presse, the Globe and Mail, and the Calgary Herald. Our results show that, although media disclosure falls well short of the polling i…
Estimating the Policy Positions of Political Parties From Legislative Election Manifestos 1958–2002
André Gélinas, L’intervention et le retrait de l’État. L’impact sur l’organisation gouvernementale, Sainte-Foy, Les Presses de l’Université Laval, 2002, 427 p
André Gélinas, L’intervention et le retrait de l’État. L’impact sur l’organisation gouvernementale, Sainte-Foy, Les Presses de l’Université Laval, 2002, 427 p.. Un article de la revue Recherches sociographiques (Volume 45, numéro 1, janvier–avril 2004, p. 11-195) diffusée par la plateforme Érudit
Tolerance, protest and democratic transition
Based on survey evidence in 13 post‐communist countries of Central and Eastern Europe, we show that citizens who engage in protest activities are more tolerant than those who do not take part in such activities. We argue that these ‘protesters’ have the potential to play a pivotal role in the democratic consolidation process currently under way in post‐communist countries. Our findings are compatible with earlier results that suggest that the rem…
Public Opinion and Policy Making in Canada 1994–2001
This study examines the consistency between public opinion and public policy during the period 1994–2001 by matching responses to national survey questions on 230 issues with enacted policy proposals on the same issues. Policy outcomes were consistent with majority opinion 49 per cent of the time. This represents a significant drop from 69 per cent during the Mulroney years (1985–1993). Low opinion-policy consistency since 1994 is primarily attri…
Left–right party ideology and government policies
This paper summarizes how the partisan influence literature assesses the relationship between the left–right party composition of government and policy outputs through a meta–analysis of 693 parameter estimates of the party–policy relationship published in 43 empirical studies. Based on a simplified ‘combined tests’ meta–analytic technique, we show that the average correlation between the party composition of government and policy outputs is not …
Measuring Government Growth in the Canadian Provinces
Louis M. Imbeau, , , , Michel Clavet, Measuring Government Growth in the Canadian Provinces: Decomposing Real Growth and Deflator Effects, Canadian Public Policy / Analyse de Politiques, Vol. 27, No. 1 (Mar., 2001), pp. 39-52
Left–right party ideology and government policies
This paper summarizes how the partisan influence literature assesses the relationship between the left–right party composition of government and policy outputs through a meta–analysis of 693 parameter estimates of the party–policy relationship published in 43 empirical studies. Based on a simplified ‘combined tests’ meta–analytic technique, we show that the average correlation between the party composition of government and policy outputs is not …
Comment analyser les données chronologiques pour plan partitionné en sciences sociales
How to Analyze Time-Series Cross-Section Data in the Social Sciences. In this paper we present, step by step, a SAS statistical program for the analysis of Time-Series Cross-Section (TSCS) data which gives robust and unbiased regression estimates. Several statistical packages (SHAZAM. SAS. SPSS) offer procedures for the analysis of TSCS data based entirely, or in part, on a particular application of the Generalized Least Squares (GLS) method deve…
The Opinion-Policy Relationship in Canada
This note examines the consistency between Canadian public opinion and public policy over the period 1968-93 by matching responses to national survey questions on 348 issues with enacted public policy proposals on the same issues. Multivariate tests are used to explore the opinion-policy relationship in regard to the impact of issue salience, the extent of majority opinion, the type of issues (redistributive vs nonredistributive), various policy …
Electoral and Partisan Cycles in the Canadian Provinces
This study tests explanations of the growth of Canadian provincial governments that draw from the political budget cycle approach. The approach assumes that governments jointly respond to electoral and partisan goals. When the next election is not expected soon, the government uses its discretionary power to pursue its ideological target. When the next election is near, politicians in government, fearing electoral defeat, deviate from their norma…
Canadian Political Science Association 1999 Programme Committee/Association canadienne de science politique, Comité du programme 1999
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. As you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button
The Party Agenda Model
Multiple regression analysis is used to test the existence of a link between the programmes of the Progressive Conservative, Liberal and New Democratic parties and subsequent government spending priorities. The analysis shows that the programme of the governing party is a poor predictor of government policies. Instead, public expenditures have been sensitive to changes in the programmes of opposition parties. The analysis also shows that governme…
The Fulfillment of Parties’ Election Pledges
Why are some parties more likely than others to keep the promises they made during previous election campaigns? This study provides the first large‐scale comparative analysis of pledge fulfillment with common definitions. We study the fulfillment of over 20,000 pledges made in 57 election campaigns in 12 countries, and our findings challenge the common view of parties as promise breakers. Many parties that enter government executives are highly l…
Left–right party ideology and government policies
This paper summarizes how the partisan influence literature assesses the relationship between the left–right party composition of government and policy outputs through a meta–analysis of 693 parameter estimates of the party–policy relationship published in 43 empirical studies. Based on a simplified ‘combined tests’ meta–analytic technique, we show that the average correlation between the party composition of government and policy outputs is not …
The Opinion-Policy Relationship in Canada
This note examines the consistency between Canadian public opinion and public policy over the period 1968-93 by matching responses to national survey questions on 348 issues with enacted public policy proposals on the same issues. Multivariate tests are used to explore the opinion-policy relationship in regard to the impact of issue salience, the extent of majority opinion, the type of issues (redistributive vs nonredistributive), various policy …
Tolerance, protest and democratic transition
Based on survey evidence in 13 post‐communist countries of Central and Eastern Europe, we show that citizens who engage in protest activities are more tolerant than those who do not take part in such activities. We argue that these ‘protesters’ have the potential to play a pivotal role in the democratic consolidation process currently under way in post‐communist countries. Our findings are compatible with earlier results that suggest that the rem…
Public Opinion and Policy Making in Canada 1994–2001
This study examines the consistency between public opinion and public policy during the period 1994–2001 by matching responses to national survey questions on 230 issues with enacted policy proposals on the same issues. Policy outcomes were consistent with majority opinion 49 per cent of the time. This represents a significant drop from 69 per cent during the Mulroney years (1985–1993). Low opinion-policy consistency since 1994 is primarily attri…
Time and the Fulfillment of Election Pledges
In this article, we highlight the importance of accounting for time in the study of pledge fulfillment, effectively adding a significant element to the ongoing academic discussions of the factors that influence the fulfillment of party promises. Unlike previous analyses in which pledge fulfillment is assumed to be a uniform process occurring over time, we analyze party pledge fulfillment using a discrete time approach: doing so highlights yet uno…
Issue-Based Strategies in Election Campaigns
This article contributes to the emerging literature on election campaign strategies by studying the strategy adopted by the Liberal government in the 2000 Canadian federal election. Two questions are addressed: Why did the Liberal government choose in that election to focus its campaign on health care in spite of its poor record with regard to this issue? And, even more surprisingly, how did the Liberals manage to win this election and get a parl…
Electoral and Partisan Cycles in the Canadian Provinces
This study tests explanations of the growth of Canadian provincial governments that draw from the political budget cycle approach. The approach assumes that governments jointly respond to electoral and partisan goals. When the next election is not expected soon, the government uses its discretionary power to pursue its ideological target. When the next election is near, politicians in government, fearing electoral defeat, deviate from their norma…
When heuristics go bad
L'analyse automatisée du ton médiatique
Cet article introduit un nouveau dictionnaire permettant l'analyse automatisée du ton des médias francophones, que nous avons appeléLexicoder Sentiment Dictionnaire Français(LSDFr) en référence au lexique anglophone de Young et Soroka (2012),Lexicoder Sentiment Dictionary(LSD) à partir duquel leLSDFra été construit. Une fois construit, nous comparons leLSDFrau seul autre dictionnaire francophone existant de ce genre,Linguistic Inquiry and Word Co…
Citizens’ evaluations of campaign pledge fulfillment in Canada
We examine citizens’ evaluations of specific campaign pledge fulfillment using data from the 2015 Canadian Election Study. We find that the accuracy of these evaluations increases in the presence of factors related to citizens’ informed judgments, namely, political knowledge and the relative importance of each pledge. On the other hand, we find that citizens’ evaluations often turn on factors not based on informed judgments but rather on group id…
Electoral Promises and Single Party Governments
The determinants of fulfilling campaign promises in Canada over the period 1994–2015 are analyzed in a comparative perspective. All other factors being equal, we find that promises to reduce government spending are more likely to be fulfilled by the Conservatives than by the Liberals. Majority and re-elected governments facing a budget surplus are more likely to fulfill their election promises than minority and newly elected governments facing a …
The Party Agenda Model
Multiple regression analysis is used to test the existence of a link between the programmes of the Progressive Conservative, Liberal and New Democratic parties and subsequent government spending priorities. The analysis shows that the programme of the governing party is a poor predictor of government policies. Instead, public expenditures have been sensitive to changes in the programmes of opposition parties. The analysis also shows that governme…
The Policy Impact of Canadian Party Programs
Francois Petry, The Policy Impact of Canadian Party Programs: Public Expenditure Growth and Contagion from the Left, Canadian Public Policy / Analyse de Politiques, Vol. 14, No. 4 (Dec., 1988), pp. 376-389
Follow the Pollsters
We identify frequent inaccuracies in journalistic interpretations of the horse race (“who is ahead?”) and of change over time (“who is gaining?”) in poll reports during the Canadian election of 2008. We test two explanations. The “mistaken mindset” hypothesis holds that journalists exaggerate the horse race because they systematically miscalculate the margin of error. The “follow-the-pollster” hypothesis holds that journalists follow the horse-ra…
Do regional governments fulfill fewer election promises than national governments? The case of Quebec in comparative perspective
This article analyzes for the first time the fulfillment of election pledges at the regional level using data from Quebec. We theorize that pledge fulfillment by regional governments is subject to adverse effects that do not normally operate at the national level. In line with expectations, we find that regional parties in Quebec fulfill smaller percentages of campaign pledges than their federal counterparts. We identify two main causal explanati…
Estimating the Policy Positions of Political Parties From Legislative Election Manifestos 1958–2002
Fragile mandate
Time series regression analysis is used to test the existence of a relationship between public expenditure priorities and changes in party programme emphases in the Fifth Republic. The analysis shows that the sensitivity of public expenditures to changes in party programme content is rarely affected by party control of the executive. Instead public expenditures in several spending areas are positively linked to the programme content of one and th…
Measuring Government Growth in the Canadian Provinces
Louis M. Imbeau, , , , Michel Clavet, Measuring Government Growth in the Canadian Provinces: Decomposing Real Growth and Deflator Effects, Canadian Public Policy / Analyse de Politiques, Vol. 27, No. 1 (Mar., 2001), pp. 39-52
Citizens’ awareness of electoral campaign pledges
The theory of promissory representation (Mansbridge, 2003) proposes that voters select parties based on the pledges they made during the campaign. The elected parties then fulfill their promises and at the next election, voters reward or sanction the parties based on their pledge-fulfillment record. However, a fundamental assumption of promissory representation remains to be tested. If voters use party pledges to decide which party to vote for, t…
The Policy Impact of Canadian Party Programs
Francois Petry, The Policy Impact of Canadian Party Programs: Public Expenditure Growth and Contagion from the Left, Canadian Public Policy / Analyse de Politiques, Vol. 14, No. 4 (Dec., 1988), pp. 376-389
Learning Outcomes of Game-Theoretic Computer Simulation
This article reports an experimental use of Conflict and Cooperation ( C&C) in a large undergraduate class and evaluates the effect of using the program on student learning as compared with the next best conventional teaching method. Keywords: prisoner's dilemma, computer simulation, game theory, collective goods, cooperation
Fragile mandate
Time series regression analysis is used to test the existence of a relationship between public expenditure priorities and changes in party programme emphases in the Fifth Republic. The analysis shows that the sensitivity of public expenditures to changes in party programme content is rarely affected by party control of the executive. Instead public expenditures in several spending areas are positively linked to the programme content of one and th…
Les comportements politiquesNonna Mayer et Pascal Perrineau Coll. «Cursus», série «science politique» Paris
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
The Party Agenda Model
Multiple regression analysis is used to test the existence of a link between the programmes of the Progressive Conservative, Liberal and New Democratic parties and subsequent government spending priorities. The analysis shows that the programme of the governing party is a poor predictor of government policies. Instead, public expenditures have been sensitive to changes in the programmes of opposition parties. The analysis also shows that governme…
Canadian Political Science Association 1999 Programme Committee/Association canadienne de science politique, Comité du programme 1999
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. As you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button
Comment analyser les données chronologiques pour plan partitionné en sciences sociales
How to Analyze Time-Series Cross-Section Data in the Social Sciences. In this paper we present, step by step, a SAS statistical program for the analysis of Time-Series Cross-Section (TSCS) data which gives robust and unbiased regression estimates. Several statistical packages (SHAZAM. SAS. SPSS) offer procedures for the analysis of TSCS data based entirely, or in part, on a particular application of the Generalized Least Squares (GLS) method deve…
The Opinion-Policy Relationship in Canada
This note examines the consistency between Canadian public opinion and public policy over the period 1968-93 by matching responses to national survey questions on 348 issues with enacted public policy proposals on the same issues. Multivariate tests are used to explore the opinion-policy relationship in regard to the impact of issue salience, the extent of majority opinion, the type of issues (redistributive vs nonredistributive), various policy …
Electoral and Partisan Cycles in the Canadian Provinces
This study tests explanations of the growth of Canadian provincial governments that draw from the political budget cycle approach. The approach assumes that governments jointly respond to electoral and partisan goals. When the next election is not expected soon, the government uses its discretionary power to pursue its ideological target. When the next election is near, politicians in government, fearing electoral defeat, deviate from their norma…
Left–right party ideology and government policies
This paper summarizes how the partisan influence literature assesses the relationship between the left–right party composition of government and policy outputs through a meta–analysis of 693 parameter estimates of the party–policy relationship published in 43 empirical studies. Based on a simplified ‘combined tests’ meta–analytic technique, we show that the average correlation between the party composition of government and policy outputs is not …
Measuring Government Growth in the Canadian Provinces
Louis M. Imbeau, , , , Michel Clavet, Measuring Government Growth in the Canadian Provinces: Decomposing Real Growth and Deflator Effects, Canadian Public Policy / Analyse de Politiques, Vol. 27, No. 1 (Mar., 2001), pp. 39-52
Left–right party ideology and government policies
This paper summarizes how the partisan influence literature assesses the relationship between the left–right party composition of government and policy outputs through a meta–analysis of 693 parameter estimates of the party–policy relationship published in 43 empirical studies. Based on a simplified ‘combined tests’ meta–analytic technique, we show that the average correlation between the party composition of government and policy outputs is not …
André Gélinas, L’intervention et le retrait de l’État. L’impact sur l’organisation gouvernementale, Sainte-Foy, Les Presses de l’Université Laval, 2002, 427 p
André Gélinas, L’intervention et le retrait de l’État. L’impact sur l’organisation gouvernementale, Sainte-Foy, Les Presses de l’Université Laval, 2002, 427 p.. Un article de la revue Recherches sociographiques (Volume 45, numéro 1, janvier–avril 2004, p. 11-195) diffusée par la plateforme Érudit
Tolerance, protest and democratic transition
Based on survey evidence in 13 post‐communist countries of Central and Eastern Europe, we show that citizens who engage in protest activities are more tolerant than those who do not take part in such activities. We argue that these ‘protesters’ have the potential to play a pivotal role in the democratic consolidation process currently under way in post‐communist countries. Our findings are compatible with earlier results that suggest that the rem…
Public Opinion and Policy Making in Canada 1994–2001
This study examines the consistency between public opinion and public policy during the period 1994–2001 by matching responses to national survey questions on 230 issues with enacted policy proposals on the same issues. Policy outcomes were consistent with majority opinion 49 per cent of the time. This represents a significant drop from 69 per cent during the Mulroney years (1985–1993). Low opinion-policy consistency since 1994 is primarily attri…
Estimating the Policy Positions of Political Parties From Legislative Election Manifestos 1958–2002
The Regulation of Poll Reporting in Canada
The Canada Elections Act of 2000 regulates how the media must disclose the technical information regarding election polls. But the media coverage of non-election polls remains self-regulated. We examine how the technical information regarding election and non-election polling is reported in stories published by La Presse, the Globe and Mail, and the Calgary Herald. Our results show that, although media disclosure falls well short of the polling i…
Issue-Based Strategies in Election Campaigns
This article contributes to the emerging literature on election campaign strategies by studying the strategy adopted by the Liberal government in the 2000 Canadian federal election. Two questions are addressed: Why did the Liberal government choose in that election to focus its campaign on health care in spite of its poor record with regard to this issue? And, even more surprisingly, how did the Liberals manage to win this election and get a parl…
Follow the Pollsters
We identify frequent inaccuracies in journalistic interpretations of the horse race (“who is ahead?”) and of change over time (“who is gaining?”) in poll reports during the Canadian election of 2008. We test two explanations. The “mistaken mindset” hypothesis holds that journalists exaggerate the horse race because they systematically miscalculate the margin of error. The “follow-the-pollster” hypothesis holds that journalists follow the horse-ra…
L'analyse automatisée du ton médiatique
Cet article introduit un nouveau dictionnaire permettant l'analyse automatisée du ton des médias francophones, que nous avons appeléLexicoder Sentiment Dictionnaire Français(LSDFr) en référence au lexique anglophone de Young et Soroka (2012),Lexicoder Sentiment Dictionary(LSD) à partir duquel leLSDFra été construit. Une fois construit, nous comparons leLSDFrau seul autre dictionnaire francophone existant de ce genre,Linguistic Inquiry and Word Co…
The Fulfillment of Parties’ Election Pledges
Why are some parties more likely than others to keep the promises they made during previous election campaigns? This study provides the first large‐scale comparative analysis of pledge fulfillment with common definitions. We study the fulfillment of over 20,000 pledges made in 57 election campaigns in 12 countries, and our findings challenge the common view of parties as promise breakers. Many parties that enter government executives are highly l…
When heuristics go bad
Do regional governments fulfill fewer election promises than national governments? The case of Quebec in comparative perspective
This article analyzes for the first time the fulfillment of election pledges at the regional level using data from Quebec. We theorize that pledge fulfillment by regional governments is subject to adverse effects that do not normally operate at the national level. In line with expectations, we find that regional parties in Quebec fulfill smaller percentages of campaign pledges than their federal counterparts. We identify two main causal explanati…
Citizens’ evaluations of campaign pledge fulfillment in Canada
We examine citizens’ evaluations of specific campaign pledge fulfillment using data from the 2015 Canadian Election Study. We find that the accuracy of these evaluations increases in the presence of factors related to citizens’ informed judgments, namely, political knowledge and the relative importance of each pledge. On the other hand, we find that citizens’ evaluations often turn on factors not based on informed judgments but rather on group id…
Electoral Promises and Single Party Governments
The determinants of fulfilling campaign promises in Canada over the period 1994–2015 are analyzed in a comparative perspective. All other factors being equal, we find that promises to reduce government spending are more likely to be fulfilled by the Conservatives than by the Liberals. Majority and re-elected governments facing a budget surplus are more likely to fulfill their election promises than minority and newly elected governments facing a …
Political science (26 obras) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (20 obras) · Law (19 obras) · Law (18 obras) · Politics (16 obras) · Economics (13 obras) · Government (linguistics (12 obras) · Public Administration (12 obras) · Public Administration (12 obras) · Computer Science (7 obras)