Craig Mcintosh
Biographic Data
| ID | 3605053 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Craig Mcintosh |
| GIVEN NAMES | Craig |
| FAMILY NAME | Mcintosh |
| SIGNATURE | MCINTOSH C |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of California San Diego |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-8038-2648 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 24 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 125 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 23 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 1 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2005 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2024 |
| H-INDEX | 7 |
Using Communications Technology to Promote Democratic Participation: Experimental Evidence from South Africa
We present a national-scale effort to use technology to promote political participation in an emerging democracy, South Africa. A multichannel digital platform registering more than 90,000 South African citizens conducted opinion polling, crowdsourced information on electoral activities, and enabled citizen monitoring of polling places during the 2014 general election. Different channels display starkly distinct demographic profiles and patterns …
Asset transfers and anti-poverty programs: Experimental evidence from Tanzania
Economic vulnerability, violence, and sexual risk factors for HIV among female sex workers in Tijuana, Mexico
Using household grants to benchmark the cost effectiveness of a Usaid workforce readiness program
Cost and cost-effectiveness of a real-world HCV treatment program among HIV-infected individuals in Myanmar
INTRODUCTION: Over half of those hepatitis C virus (HCV)/HIV coinfected live in low-income and middle-income countries, and many remain undiagnosed or untreated. In 2016, Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) established a direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment programme for people HCV/HIV coinfected in Myanmar. The purpose of our study was to evaluate the real-world cost and cost-effectiveness of this programme, and potential cost-effectiveness if imp…
Information, Accountability, and Cumulative Learning: Lessons from Metaketa I
Throughout the world, voters lack access to information about politicians, government performance, and public services. Efforts to remedy these informational deficits are numerous. Yet do informational campaigns influence voter behavior and increase democratic accountability? Through the first project of the Metaketa Initiative, sponsored by the Evidence in Governance and Politics (EGAP) research network, this book aims to address this substantiv…
When the money runs out: Do cash transfers have sustained effects on human capital accumulation
Utility, Risk and Demand for Incomplete Insurance: Lab Experiments with Guatemalan Co-Operatives
We play a series of incentivised laboratory games with risk-exposed co-operativised Guatemalan coffee farmers to understand the demand for index-based rainfall insurance. We estimate an explicit utility curve for every player and hence predict expected utility demand under counterfactual scenarios. Using these estimates, we provide a precise money-metric decomposition of the extent to which the low observed demand for index insurance is driven by…
Optimal Design of Experiments in the Presence of Interference
We formalize the optimal design of experiments when there is interference between units, i.e. an individual's outcome depends on the outcomes of others in her group. We focus on randomized saturation designs, two-stage experiments that first randomize treatment saturation of a group, then individual treatment assignment. We map the potential outcomes framework with partial interference to a regression model with clustered errors, calculate standa…
Is the Mediterranean the New Rio Grande? US and EU Immigration Pressures in the Long Run
How will worldwide changes in population affect pressures for international migration in the future? We examine the past three decades, during which population pressures contributed to substantial labor flows from neighboring countries into the United States and Europe, and contrast them with the coming three decades, which will see sharp reductions in labor-supply growth in Latin America but not in Africa or much of the Middle East. Using a grav…
Fair Trade and Free Entry: Can a Disequilibrium Market Serve as a Development Tool
The Fair Trade (FT) coffee initiative attempts to channel charity from consumers to poor producers via increased prices. We show that the rules of the FT system permit this rent to be eliminated due to free entry and costly excess certification of output. Using data from an association of coffee cooperatives in Central America, we verify that expected producer benefits are close to 0 when we take into account the output that is certified but not …
Designing Experiments to Measure Spillover Effects
This paper formalizes the design of \n experiments intended specifically to study spillover \n effects. By first randomizing the intensity of treatment \n within clusters and then randomly assigning individual \n treatment conditional on this cluster-level intensity, a \n novel set of treatment effects can be identified. The paper \n develops a formal framework for consistent estimation of \n these effects, provides explicit expressions for power…
The Ecological Footprint of Poverty Alleviation: Evidence from Mexico's Oportunidades Program
We study the consequences of poverty-alleviation programs for environmental degradation. We exploit the community-level eligibility discontinuity for a conditional cash transfer program in Mexico to identify the impacts of income increases on deforestation and use the program's initial randomized rollout to explore household responses. We find that additional income raises consumption of land-intensive goods and increases deforestation. The obser…
Prompting Microfinance Borrowers to Save: A Field Experiment from Guatemala
Can microfinance borrowers use the discipline of regular loan repayments in order to accumulate savings if prompted to do so? In an experiment, we offered commercial savings products to the microfinance borrowers of Guatemala’s largest public-sector bank. We find that giving these borrowers the opportunity to develop a savings plan and be reminded of saving at the time of loan repayment caused no increase in the opening of savings accounts but le…
Ganging up in the entrepreneurial city: Melbourne, the casino and the Underbelly franchise
Underbelly (2008), Screentime's $10.4 million, thirteen-part dramatization of the so-called ‘Gangland Wars’ from 1995 to 2004, tracing the rise and fall of career criminal Carl Williams, showcases a Melbourne largely unseen on the screen. That so much of Underbelly is shot on location means that its sets are the real spaces and places of Melbourne, overlaid with the scripted drama of what may have occurred there. This provides a new way of mappin…
Birth Rates and Border Crossings: Latin American Migration to the US, Canada, Spain and the UK
Journal Article Birth Rates and Border Crossings: Latin American Migration to the US, Canada, Spain and the UK Get access Gordon H. Hanson, Gordon H. Hanson UCSD and NBER UCSD Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Craig McIntosh Craig McIntosh UCSD and NBER UCSD Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 122, Issue 561, 1 June 2012, Pages 707–726, https:…
Microfinance and Home Improvement: Using Retrospective Panel Data to Measure Program Effects on Fundamental Events
The short‐term impacts of a schooling conditional cash transfer program on the sexual behavior of young women
Recent evidence suggests that conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs for schooling are effective in raising school enrolment and attendance. However, there is also reason to believe that such programs can affect other outcomes, such as the sexual behavior of their young beneficiaries. Zomba Cash Transfer Program is a randomized ongoing CCT intervention targeting young women in Malawi that provides incentives (in the form of school fees and cash…
The Great Mexican Emigration
In this paper, we examine net emigration from Mexico over the period 1960 to 2000. The data are consistent with labor supply shocks having made a substantial contribution to Mexican emigration, accounting for two-fifths of Mexican labor flows to the United States over the last two decades of the twentieth century. Net emigration rates by Mexican state birth year cohort display a strong positive correlation with the initial size of the Mexican coh…
The supply- and demand-side impacts of credit market information
Estimating Treatment Effects from Spatial Policy Experiments: An Application to Ugandan Microfinance
This paper demonstrates a method for estimating treatment effects in spatial tests, utilizing a second control group to measure unexplained spatial phenomena. The technique is implemented on two innovations in Ugandan microfinance, and we measure the ways in which concurrent shocks such as an Ebola outbreak and a contentious presidential election altered outcomes differentially across regions. By correcting for this spatial heterogeneity, we meas…
Credit Information Systems in Less Developed Countries: A Test with Microfinance in Guatemala
Increases in formal sector lending among the poor have created a need for credit information systems that provide potential lenders with borrower information. In this article we present fixed‐effects estimations that attempt to measure the effect of a newly implemented credit information system in Guatemala. Our results indicate that improved screening effects from the system caused the level of portfolio arrears to decline approximately 2 percen…
Competition and microfinance
How Rising Competition among Microfinance Institutions Affects Incumbent Lenders
This article uses data from Uganda's largest incumbent microfinance institution to analyse the impact of entry by competing lenders on client behaviour. We observe that rising competition does not lead to an increase in client dropout rate, but induces a decline in repayment performance and savings deposited with the incumbent, suggesting rising multiple loan-taking by clients. This joint effect on dropout and repayment is consistent with some ne…
Competition and microfinance
When the money runs out: Do cash transfers have sustained effects on human capital accumulation
How Rising Competition among Microfinance Institutions Affects Incumbent Lenders
This article uses data from Uganda's largest incumbent microfinance institution to analyse the impact of entry by competing lenders on client behaviour. We observe that rising competition does not lead to an increase in client dropout rate, but induces a decline in repayment performance and savings deposited with the incumbent, suggesting rising multiple loan-taking by clients. This joint effect on dropout and repayment is consistent with some ne…
Birth Rates and Border Crossings: Latin American Migration to the US, Canada, Spain and the UK
Journal Article Birth Rates and Border Crossings: Latin American Migration to the US, Canada, Spain and the UK Get access Gordon H. Hanson, Gordon H. Hanson UCSD and NBER UCSD Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Craig McIntosh Craig McIntosh UCSD and NBER UCSD Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 122, Issue 561, 1 June 2012, Pages 707–726, https:…
Microfinance and Home Improvement: Using Retrospective Panel Data to Measure Program Effects on Fundamental Events
Is the Mediterranean the New Rio Grande? US and EU Immigration Pressures in the Long Run
How will worldwide changes in population affect pressures for international migration in the future? We examine the past three decades, during which population pressures contributed to substantial labor flows from neighboring countries into the United States and Europe, and contrast them with the coming three decades, which will see sharp reductions in labor-supply growth in Latin America but not in Africa or much of the Middle East. Using a grav…
The supply- and demand-side impacts of credit market information
Using household grants to benchmark the cost effectiveness of a Usaid workforce readiness program
Utility, Risk and Demand for Incomplete Insurance: Lab Experiments with Guatemalan Co-Operatives
We play a series of incentivised laboratory games with risk-exposed co-operativised Guatemalan coffee farmers to understand the demand for index-based rainfall insurance. We estimate an explicit utility curve for every player and hence predict expected utility demand under counterfactual scenarios. Using these estimates, we provide a precise money-metric decomposition of the extent to which the low observed demand for index insurance is driven by…
Prompting Microfinance Borrowers to Save: A Field Experiment from Guatemala
Can microfinance borrowers use the discipline of regular loan repayments in order to accumulate savings if prompted to do so? In an experiment, we offered commercial savings products to the microfinance borrowers of Guatemala’s largest public-sector bank. We find that giving these borrowers the opportunity to develop a savings plan and be reminded of saving at the time of loan repayment caused no increase in the opening of savings accounts but le…
Credit Information Systems in Less Developed Countries: A Test with Microfinance in Guatemala
Increases in formal sector lending among the poor have created a need for credit information systems that provide potential lenders with borrower information. In this article we present fixed‐effects estimations that attempt to measure the effect of a newly implemented credit information system in Guatemala. Our results indicate that improved screening effects from the system caused the level of portfolio arrears to decline approximately 2 percen…
Asset transfers and anti-poverty programs: Experimental evidence from Tanzania
Competition and microfinance
How Rising Competition among Microfinance Institutions Affects Incumbent Lenders
This article uses data from Uganda's largest incumbent microfinance institution to analyse the impact of entry by competing lenders on client behaviour. We observe that rising competition does not lead to an increase in client dropout rate, but induces a decline in repayment performance and savings deposited with the incumbent, suggesting rising multiple loan-taking by clients. This joint effect on dropout and repayment is consistent with some ne…
Credit Information Systems in Less Developed Countries: A Test with Microfinance in Guatemala
Increases in formal sector lending among the poor have created a need for credit information systems that provide potential lenders with borrower information. In this article we present fixed‐effects estimations that attempt to measure the effect of a newly implemented credit information system in Guatemala. Our results indicate that improved screening effects from the system caused the level of portfolio arrears to decline approximately 2 percen…
Estimating Treatment Effects from Spatial Policy Experiments: An Application to Ugandan Microfinance
This paper demonstrates a method for estimating treatment effects in spatial tests, utilizing a second control group to measure unexplained spatial phenomena. The technique is implemented on two innovations in Ugandan microfinance, and we measure the ways in which concurrent shocks such as an Ebola outbreak and a contentious presidential election altered outcomes differentially across regions. By correcting for this spatial heterogeneity, we meas…
The supply- and demand-side impacts of credit market information
The short‐term impacts of a schooling conditional cash transfer program on the sexual behavior of young women
Recent evidence suggests that conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs for schooling are effective in raising school enrolment and attendance. However, there is also reason to believe that such programs can affect other outcomes, such as the sexual behavior of their young beneficiaries. Zomba Cash Transfer Program is a randomized ongoing CCT intervention targeting young women in Malawi that provides incentives (in the form of school fees and cash…
The Great Mexican Emigration
In this paper, we examine net emigration from Mexico over the period 1960 to 2000. The data are consistent with labor supply shocks having made a substantial contribution to Mexican emigration, accounting for two-fifths of Mexican labor flows to the United States over the last two decades of the twentieth century. Net emigration rates by Mexican state birth year cohort display a strong positive correlation with the initial size of the Mexican coh…
Microfinance and Home Improvement: Using Retrospective Panel Data to Measure Program Effects on Fundamental Events
Ganging up in the entrepreneurial city: Melbourne, the casino and the Underbelly franchise
Underbelly (2008), Screentime's $10.4 million, thirteen-part dramatization of the so-called ‘Gangland Wars’ from 1995 to 2004, tracing the rise and fall of career criminal Carl Williams, showcases a Melbourne largely unseen on the screen. That so much of Underbelly is shot on location means that its sets are the real spaces and places of Melbourne, overlaid with the scripted drama of what may have occurred there. This provides a new way of mappin…
Birth Rates and Border Crossings: Latin American Migration to the US, Canada, Spain and the UK
Journal Article Birth Rates and Border Crossings: Latin American Migration to the US, Canada, Spain and the UK Get access Gordon H. Hanson, Gordon H. Hanson UCSD and NBER UCSD Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Craig McIntosh Craig McIntosh UCSD and NBER UCSD Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 122, Issue 561, 1 June 2012, Pages 707–726, https:…
The Ecological Footprint of Poverty Alleviation: Evidence from Mexico's Oportunidades Program
We study the consequences of poverty-alleviation programs for environmental degradation. We exploit the community-level eligibility discontinuity for a conditional cash transfer program in Mexico to identify the impacts of income increases on deforestation and use the program's initial randomized rollout to explore household responses. We find that additional income raises consumption of land-intensive goods and increases deforestation. The obser…
Prompting Microfinance Borrowers to Save: A Field Experiment from Guatemala
Can microfinance borrowers use the discipline of regular loan repayments in order to accumulate savings if prompted to do so? In an experiment, we offered commercial savings products to the microfinance borrowers of Guatemala’s largest public-sector bank. We find that giving these borrowers the opportunity to develop a savings plan and be reminded of saving at the time of loan repayment caused no increase in the opening of savings accounts but le…
Designing Experiments to Measure Spillover Effects
This paper formalizes the design of \n experiments intended specifically to study spillover \n effects. By first randomizing the intensity of treatment \n within clusters and then randomly assigning individual \n treatment conditional on this cluster-level intensity, a \n novel set of treatment effects can be identified. The paper \n develops a formal framework for consistent estimation of \n these effects, provides explicit expressions for power…
Fair Trade and Free Entry: Can a Disequilibrium Market Serve as a Development Tool
The Fair Trade (FT) coffee initiative attempts to channel charity from consumers to poor producers via increased prices. We show that the rules of the FT system permit this rent to be eliminated due to free entry and costly excess certification of output. Using data from an association of coffee cooperatives in Central America, we verify that expected producer benefits are close to 0 when we take into account the output that is certified but not …
Is the Mediterranean the New Rio Grande? US and EU Immigration Pressures in the Long Run
How will worldwide changes in population affect pressures for international migration in the future? We examine the past three decades, during which population pressures contributed to substantial labor flows from neighboring countries into the United States and Europe, and contrast them with the coming three decades, which will see sharp reductions in labor-supply growth in Latin America but not in Africa or much of the Middle East. Using a grav…
Optimal Design of Experiments in the Presence of Interference
We formalize the optimal design of experiments when there is interference between units, i.e. an individual's outcome depends on the outcomes of others in her group. We focus on randomized saturation designs, two-stage experiments that first randomize treatment saturation of a group, then individual treatment assignment. We map the potential outcomes framework with partial interference to a regression model with clustered errors, calculate standa…
Information, Accountability, and Cumulative Learning: Lessons from Metaketa I
Throughout the world, voters lack access to information about politicians, government performance, and public services. Efforts to remedy these informational deficits are numerous. Yet do informational campaigns influence voter behavior and increase democratic accountability? Through the first project of the Metaketa Initiative, sponsored by the Evidence in Governance and Politics (EGAP) research network, this book aims to address this substantiv…
When the money runs out: Do cash transfers have sustained effects on human capital accumulation
Utility, Risk and Demand for Incomplete Insurance: Lab Experiments with Guatemalan Co-Operatives
We play a series of incentivised laboratory games with risk-exposed co-operativised Guatemalan coffee farmers to understand the demand for index-based rainfall insurance. We estimate an explicit utility curve for every player and hence predict expected utility demand under counterfactual scenarios. Using these estimates, we provide a precise money-metric decomposition of the extent to which the low observed demand for index insurance is driven by…
Cost and cost-effectiveness of a real-world HCV treatment program among HIV-infected individuals in Myanmar
INTRODUCTION: Over half of those hepatitis C virus (HCV)/HIV coinfected live in low-income and middle-income countries, and many remain undiagnosed or untreated. In 2016, Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) established a direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment programme for people HCV/HIV coinfected in Myanmar. The purpose of our study was to evaluate the real-world cost and cost-effectiveness of this programme, and potential cost-effectiveness if imp…
Economic vulnerability, violence, and sexual risk factors for HIV among female sex workers in Tijuana, Mexico
Using household grants to benchmark the cost effectiveness of a Usaid workforce readiness program
Asset transfers and anti-poverty programs: Experimental evidence from Tanzania
Using Communications Technology to Promote Democratic Participation: Experimental Evidence from South Africa
We present a national-scale effort to use technology to promote political participation in an emerging democracy, South Africa. A multichannel digital platform registering more than 90,000 South African citizens conducted opinion polling, crowdsourced information on electoral activities, and enabled citizen monitoring of polling places during the 2014 general election. Different channels display starkly distinct demographic profiles and patterns …
Economics (19 works) · Business (12 works) · Economic growth (11 works) · Computer Science (9 works) · Finance (8 works) · Microfinance and Financial Inclusion (8 works) · Poverty, Education, and Child Welfare (8 works) · Microeconomics (7 works) · Microfinance (7 works) · Population (7 works)