Victor Gay
Biographic Data
| ID | 3605698 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Victor Gay |
| GIVEN NAMES | Victor |
| FAMILY NAME | Gay |
| SIGNATURE | GAY V |
| AFFILIATIONS | Toulouse School of Economics |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-9912-3841 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 15 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 77 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 15 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2012 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 4 |
Mapping the Grandes Gabelles in early modern France
The gabelle salt tax system was a cornerstone of the fiscal apparatus of the early modern French state. This article introduces a novel historical geographic information system (GIS) of this institution’s spatial organization as of the seventeenth century, drawing on an original 1665 manuscript map collection: Sanson’s Atlas des gabelles . Beyond presenting the dataset and documenting its construction methodology, we provide a detailed account of…
Revolutionary Transition: Inheritance Change and Fertility Decline
We test Le Play’s (1875) hypothesis that the French Revolution contributed to France’s early fertility decline. In 1793, a series of inheritance reforms abolished local inheritance practices, imposing equal partition of assets among all children. We develop a theoretical framework that predicts a decline in fertility following these reforms because of indivisibility constraints in parents’ assets. We test this hypothesis by combining a newly crea…
State-Building and Rebellion in the Run-Up to the French Revolution
Early modern European powers were beset by episodic unrest as they sought to consolidate their authority and build empires. We examine how growing state communication networks and the penetration of society impacted unrest by combining original and detailed parish-level data from pre-Revolutionary France on the expansion of the horse-post relay network with rebellion in this period. Using a staggered difference-in-differences framework, we find t…
The Mosque Nearby: Visible Minorities and Far-Right Support in France
How is support for right-wing populist parties affected by exposure to Muslim visibility? Using an original database on French mosques, this article analyzes the relationship between the presence of mosques and support for the Front National at the polling station level in the late 2000s. It finds that the propensity to vote for the Front National increases in polling stations up to intermediate distances from mosques and then decreases, suggesti…
The atlas of local jurisdictions of Ancien Régime France
This article describes the construction and content of an atlas of local jurisdictions of Ancien Régime France: bailliages. Bailliages were at the center of the Ancien Régime's jurisdictional apparatus: they administered the ordinary royal justice, delineated the area of influence of heterogeneous customary laws, and served as electoral constituencies for the Estates General of 1614 and 1789. Yet, their territorial extent was relatively unknown t…
The Customary Atlas of Ancien Régime France
Customary law governed most European societies during the Middle Ages and early modern period. To better understand the roots of legal customs and their implications for long-run development, we introduce an atlas of customary regions of Ancien Régime France. We also describe the historical origins of French customs, their role as a source of law, and their legal content. We then offer some insights into the research possibilities opened by this …
The Intergenerational Transmission of World War I on Female Labour
Demographic shocks tied to World War I’s high death toll induced many women to enter the labour force in the immediate post-war period. I document a positive impact of these newly employed women on the labour force participation of subsequent generations of women until today. I also find that the war permanently altered attitudes toward the role of women in the labour force. I decompose this impact into three channels of intergenerational transmi…
Morts Pour la France: A database of French fatalities of the Great War
ObArdi: Un projet interdisciplinaire pour comprendre la construction de l'État moderne (1661-1789)
Introduction ObARDI est un projet interdisciplinaire financé par l’Agence nationale de la recherche pour la période 2021-2025. Il s’inscrit dans l’axe “Révolution numérique : rapports au savoir et à la culture”, axe liant sciences du numérique et SHS, et a pour objet de recherche le développement d’ontologies informatiques pour étudier la construction de l’État moderne dans la France d’Ancien Régime. Les participants sont des chercheurs en économ…
ObArdi: Un projet interdisciplinaire pour comprendre la construction de l'État moderne (1661-1789)
L’objectif de cet article est de considérer la notion de concurrence dans le domaine militaire médiéval. Une double restriction du champ est adoptée : on se concentrera sur un groupe de combattants particulier, la chevalerie, et sur un récit spécifique de la guerre de Cent Ans, celui des Chroniques de Froissart. Les deux pôles de la concurrence se combinent alors : elle est émulation lorsqu’il s’agit d’atteindre un honneur chevaleresque tout pers…
Mapping the Third Republic: A Geographic Information System of France (1870–1940)
This article describes a comprehensive geographic information system of Third Republic France: the TRF-GIS. It provides annual nomenclatures and shapefiles of administrative constituencies of metropolitan France from 1870 to 1940, encompassing general administrative constituencies (départements, arrondissements, cantons) as well as the most significant special administrative constituencies: military, judicial and penitentiary, electoral, academic…
Response to Stephan Haggard and Robert R. Kaufman’s review of Authoritarianism and the Elite Origins of Democracy
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
Unlikely Democrats: Economic Elite Uncertainty under Dictatorship and Support for Democratization
Influential recent scholarship assumes that authoritarian rulers act as perfect agents of economic elites, foreclosing the possibility that economic elites may at times prefer democracy absent a popular threat from below. Motivated by a puzzling set of democratic transitions, we relax this assumption and examine how elite uncertainty about dictatorship—a novel and generalizable causal mechanism impacting democratization—can induce elite support f…
Dealing with Dictators: Negotiated Democratization and the Fate of Outgoing Autocrats
This paper examines how the circumstances of democratic transition affect the consequences of losing office for outgoing dictators. Using data on constitutional origins and democratization from 1875 to 2004, we find that outgoing dictators who are able to impose a holdover constitution during democratization and beyond are less likely to face severe punishment upon relinquishing their rule. These results hold after accounting for alternative expl…
Coercive Capacity and the Prospects for Democratization
How does the strength of a state’s coercive apparatus under autocracy affect the likelihood of democratic transition? While a broad range of literature posits a negative link between repression and democracy, empirical models of the determinants of democratization rarely include measures that capture this relationship. We generate a panel dataset with global scope from 1950-2002 to explicitly empirically assess whether coercive capacity is negati…
Coercive Capacity and the Prospects for Democratization
How does the strength of a state’s coercive apparatus under autocracy affect the likelihood of democratic transition? While a broad range of literature posits a negative link between repression and democracy, empirical models of the determinants of democratization rarely include measures that capture this relationship. We generate a panel dataset with global scope from 1950-2002 to explicitly empirically assess whether coercive capacity is negati…
Dealing with Dictators: Negotiated Democratization and the Fate of Outgoing Autocrats
This paper examines how the circumstances of democratic transition affect the consequences of losing office for outgoing dictators. Using data on constitutional origins and democratization from 1875 to 2004, we find that outgoing dictators who are able to impose a holdover constitution during democratization and beyond are less likely to face severe punishment upon relinquishing their rule. These results hold after accounting for alternative expl…
Unlikely Democrats: Economic Elite Uncertainty under Dictatorship and Support for Democratization
Influential recent scholarship assumes that authoritarian rulers act as perfect agents of economic elites, foreclosing the possibility that economic elites may at times prefer democracy absent a popular threat from below. Motivated by a puzzling set of democratic transitions, we relax this assumption and examine how elite uncertainty about dictatorship—a novel and generalizable causal mechanism impacting democratization—can induce elite support f…
The Intergenerational Transmission of World War I on Female Labour
Demographic shocks tied to World War I’s high death toll induced many women to enter the labour force in the immediate post-war period. I document a positive impact of these newly employed women on the labour force participation of subsequent generations of women until today. I also find that the war permanently altered attitudes toward the role of women in the labour force. I decompose this impact into three channels of intergenerational transmi…
Morts Pour la France: A database of French fatalities of the Great War
State-Building and Rebellion in the Run-Up to the French Revolution
Early modern European powers were beset by episodic unrest as they sought to consolidate their authority and build empires. We examine how growing state communication networks and the penetration of society impacted unrest by combining original and detailed parish-level data from pre-Revolutionary France on the expansion of the horse-post relay network with rebellion in this period. Using a staggered difference-in-differences framework, we find t…
The Mosque Nearby: Visible Minorities and Far-Right Support in France
How is support for right-wing populist parties affected by exposure to Muslim visibility? Using an original database on French mosques, this article analyzes the relationship between the presence of mosques and support for the Front National at the polling station level in the late 2000s. It finds that the propensity to vote for the Front National increases in polling stations up to intermediate distances from mosques and then decreases, suggesti…
The atlas of local jurisdictions of Ancien Régime France
This article describes the construction and content of an atlas of local jurisdictions of Ancien Régime France: bailliages. Bailliages were at the center of the Ancien Régime's jurisdictional apparatus: they administered the ordinary royal justice, delineated the area of influence of heterogeneous customary laws, and served as electoral constituencies for the Estates General of 1614 and 1789. Yet, their territorial extent was relatively unknown t…
The Customary Atlas of Ancien Régime France
Customary law governed most European societies during the Middle Ages and early modern period. To better understand the roots of legal customs and their implications for long-run development, we introduce an atlas of customary regions of Ancien Régime France. We also describe the historical origins of French customs, their role as a source of law, and their legal content. We then offer some insights into the research possibilities opened by this …
Mapping the Third Republic: A Geographic Information System of France (1870–1940)
This article describes a comprehensive geographic information system of Third Republic France: the TRF-GIS. It provides annual nomenclatures and shapefiles of administrative constituencies of metropolitan France from 1870 to 1940, encompassing general administrative constituencies (départements, arrondissements, cantons) as well as the most significant special administrative constituencies: military, judicial and penitentiary, electoral, academic…
Coercive Capacity and the Prospects for Democratization
How does the strength of a state’s coercive apparatus under autocracy affect the likelihood of democratic transition? While a broad range of literature posits a negative link between repression and democracy, empirical models of the determinants of democratization rarely include measures that capture this relationship. We generate a panel dataset with global scope from 1950-2002 to explicitly empirically assess whether coercive capacity is negati…
Dealing with Dictators: Negotiated Democratization and the Fate of Outgoing Autocrats
This paper examines how the circumstances of democratic transition affect the consequences of losing office for outgoing dictators. Using data on constitutional origins and democratization from 1875 to 2004, we find that outgoing dictators who are able to impose a holdover constitution during democratization and beyond are less likely to face severe punishment upon relinquishing their rule. These results hold after accounting for alternative expl…
Unlikely Democrats: Economic Elite Uncertainty under Dictatorship and Support for Democratization
Influential recent scholarship assumes that authoritarian rulers act as perfect agents of economic elites, foreclosing the possibility that economic elites may at times prefer democracy absent a popular threat from below. Motivated by a puzzling set of democratic transitions, we relax this assumption and examine how elite uncertainty about dictatorship—a novel and generalizable causal mechanism impacting democratization—can induce elite support f…
Response to Stephan Haggard and Robert R. Kaufman’s review of Authoritarianism and the Elite Origins of Democracy
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
Mapping the Third Republic: A Geographic Information System of France (1870–1940)
This article describes a comprehensive geographic information system of Third Republic France: the TRF-GIS. It provides annual nomenclatures and shapefiles of administrative constituencies of metropolitan France from 1870 to 1940, encompassing general administrative constituencies (départements, arrondissements, cantons) as well as the most significant special administrative constituencies: military, judicial and penitentiary, electoral, academic…
ObArdi: Un projet interdisciplinaire pour comprendre la construction de l'État moderne (1661-1789)
Introduction ObARDI est un projet interdisciplinaire financé par l’Agence nationale de la recherche pour la période 2021-2025. Il s’inscrit dans l’axe “Révolution numérique : rapports au savoir et à la culture”, axe liant sciences du numérique et SHS, et a pour objet de recherche le développement d’ontologies informatiques pour étudier la construction de l’État moderne dans la France d’Ancien Régime. Les participants sont des chercheurs en économ…
ObArdi: Un projet interdisciplinaire pour comprendre la construction de l'État moderne (1661-1789)
L’objectif de cet article est de considérer la notion de concurrence dans le domaine militaire médiéval. Une double restriction du champ est adoptée : on se concentrera sur un groupe de combattants particulier, la chevalerie, et sur un récit spécifique de la guerre de Cent Ans, celui des Chroniques de Froissart. Les deux pôles de la concurrence se combinent alors : elle est émulation lorsqu’il s’agit d’atteindre un honneur chevaleresque tout pers…
The Intergenerational Transmission of World War I on Female Labour
Demographic shocks tied to World War I’s high death toll induced many women to enter the labour force in the immediate post-war period. I document a positive impact of these newly employed women on the labour force participation of subsequent generations of women until today. I also find that the war permanently altered attitudes toward the role of women in the labour force. I decompose this impact into three channels of intergenerational transmi…
Morts Pour la France: A database of French fatalities of the Great War
The atlas of local jurisdictions of Ancien Régime France
This article describes the construction and content of an atlas of local jurisdictions of Ancien Régime France: bailliages. Bailliages were at the center of the Ancien Régime's jurisdictional apparatus: they administered the ordinary royal justice, delineated the area of influence of heterogeneous customary laws, and served as electoral constituencies for the Estates General of 1614 and 1789. Yet, their territorial extent was relatively unknown t…
The Customary Atlas of Ancien Régime France
Customary law governed most European societies during the Middle Ages and early modern period. To better understand the roots of legal customs and their implications for long-run development, we introduce an atlas of customary regions of Ancien Régime France. We also describe the historical origins of French customs, their role as a source of law, and their legal content. We then offer some insights into the research possibilities opened by this …
Revolutionary Transition: Inheritance Change and Fertility Decline
We test Le Play’s (1875) hypothesis that the French Revolution contributed to France’s early fertility decline. In 1793, a series of inheritance reforms abolished local inheritance practices, imposing equal partition of assets among all children. We develop a theoretical framework that predicts a decline in fertility following these reforms because of indivisibility constraints in parents’ assets. We test this hypothesis by combining a newly crea…
State-Building and Rebellion in the Run-Up to the French Revolution
Early modern European powers were beset by episodic unrest as they sought to consolidate their authority and build empires. We examine how growing state communication networks and the penetration of society impacted unrest by combining original and detailed parish-level data from pre-Revolutionary France on the expansion of the horse-post relay network with rebellion in this period. Using a staggered difference-in-differences framework, we find t…
The Mosque Nearby: Visible Minorities and Far-Right Support in France
How is support for right-wing populist parties affected by exposure to Muslim visibility? Using an original database on French mosques, this article analyzes the relationship between the presence of mosques and support for the Front National at the polling station level in the late 2000s. It finds that the propensity to vote for the Front National increases in polling stations up to intermediate distances from mosques and then decreases, suggesti…
Mapping the Grandes Gabelles in early modern France
The gabelle salt tax system was a cornerstone of the fiscal apparatus of the early modern French state. This article introduces a novel historical geographic information system (GIS) of this institution’s spatial organization as of the seventeenth century, drawing on an original 1665 manuscript map collection: Sanson’s Atlas des gabelles . Beyond presenting the dataset and documenting its construction methodology, we provide a detailed account of…
Political science (11 works) · Economics (8 works) · Law (8 works) · Law (8 works) · Politics (7 works) · Geography (6 works) · Sociology (5 works) · Democracy (4 works) · European Political History Analysis (4 works) · Historical Studies and Socio-cultural Analysis (4 works)