William R Kelly
Biographic Data
| ID | 3632837 |
|---|---|
| NAME | William R Kelly |
| GIVEN NAMES | William R |
| FAMILY NAME | Kelly |
| SIGNATURE | KELLY W R |
| AFFILIATIONS | The University of Texas at Austin |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-8249-4419 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 21 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 288 |
| WORKS AS AUTHOR | 21 |
| WORKS AS EDITOR | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1976 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2019 |
| H-INDEX | 6 |
The Future of Crime and Punishment
Recidivism Among Paroled Property Offenders Released During a Period of Prison Reform
Data from four successive yearly cohorts and one special early release cohort of parolees are used to explore the question of whether rapid statewide changes in the administration of criminal justice affected the patterns of recidivism among persons on parole for property offenses. Given the earlier broadly constructed research reported by Ekland–Olson et al. (1993), and their conclusion that variation in shifting policies would have different ef…
Justice Under Pressure
Justice Under Pressure analyzes the effects of prison crowding on the justice system. The authors focus on dramatic changes in the administration of criminal justice in Texas during the 1980s and the influence of those changes on the three-year rates among parolees released between 1984 and 1987. Setting out to identify differences in recidivism and the crime rate as a result of the changes instituted in Texas, the authors report the findings of …
Justice Under Pressure
The Response of the Criminal Justice System to Prison Overcrowding
Over the past decade crowded prison conditions became the subject for lawsuits across the country, resulting in restrictions on the “capacity” of prison systems in a number of states. These restrictions produced pressures throughout the criminal justice system, from arrest to release on parole. The question addressed in this research is whether these restrictions and pressures affected the probability and pattern of return to prison among parolee…
Inside the Robot Kingdom
Racial Occupational Inequality, 1940-1980
We replicate previous research investigating changes in racial occupational inequality disaggregated by age and level of educational attainment (Hare, 1965; Siegel, 1965; Johnson and Sell, 1976) and then extend this research in four ways. First, wre update previous analyses by examining change in inequality between 1970 and 1980. Second, wre perform separate analyses by region as tell as analyses for the nation as a whole. Third, we investigate r…
Economic and other determinants of annual change in U.S. fertility
Reply to Sloan
Sloan (1984) argues that annual changes in marital fertility of Swedish wives aged 35-39 between 1911 and 1974 is not a result of annual changes in the use of birth control, but is due to changes in health conditions that increase or decrease marital fertility. As evidence of the lack of effect of contraceptive practice on fertility Sloan cites a study published in 1916 whose author concluded that contraceptive use or nonuse had no effect on fami…
Determinants of national family planning effort
A Time Series Analysis of Swedish Illegitimacy Rates, 1911–1974
Using a sociodemographic model of the determinants of illegitimacy rates, a multivariate regression analysis of annual change in age-specific Swedish illegitimacy rates is applied to the 1911-74 period. The proxy measure of change in sexual activity was significant for all age groups. Legitimation rates for out-of-wedlock conceived births were significant for all ages except teenagers, and the final predictor, women's status, was significant for …
Determinants of fertility levels and change among developed countries
Period effects on race- and parity-specific birth probabilities of American women, 1917-1976
Racial Insurgency, the State, and Welfare Expansion
This paper addresses systematically the possible nexus between insurgent political action and the state apparatus, concentrating specifically on the relationship between urban riots and welfare or reliefgiving activity in the postwar United States. The theoretical warrant for the analysis has its genesis in Piven and Cloward's influential thesis relating insurgency and relief giving in capitalist society. This perspective is juxtaposed with the o…
The General Linear Model
Modernization and the Demographic Transition
We specify a revised model of the demographic transition which accounts for national fertility levels and changes over the past two decades. The model includes cultural, geographic, demographic and family planning program variables, in addition to a measure of national socio-economic modernization. Using crude birth rates for 117 countries, we operationalize and then apply the revised model to 1974 rates, and then test a longitudinal model of 195…
Racial Violence and Socioeconomic Changes among Blacks in the United States
Journal Article Racial Violence and Socioeconomic Changes Among Blacks in the United States Get access William R. Kelly, William R. Kelly University of Texas at Austin Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar David Snyder David Snyder Indiana University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Social Forces, Volume 58, Issue 3, March 1980, Pages 739–760, https://doi.org/10.1093/sf/58…
Societal Reaction to Deviants
Recent reformulations of the societal reaction theory argue that the thesis is a perspective rather than a theory, and that the perspective is meant to provide a set of sensitizing concepts to those researching deviance.This research examines the degree of congruence between hypotheses deduced from those assertions and a set of real world occurrences.Data for a sample of male defendants charged with felony offenses are examined to estimate the ef…
Conflict Intensity, Media Sensitivity and the Validity of Newspaper Data
Comment on charles F. Hohm’s “social security and fertility
Theoretical and empirical efforts to identify social and economic conditions that discourage high rates now include policy-relevant variables-programs that can be introduced by a government to reduce (Burch, 1975). Recent empirical work by Hohm (1975) suggests that government-administered old age social security programs will reduce fertility. The hypothesis that such programs lower is based on an assumption that parents regulate on the basis of …
Industrial Violence in Italy, 1878-1903
We use a unique source of data on each of over 6,000 strikes (many of them violent) occurring in Italy from 1878 to 1903 to address two major issues in the study of collective violence: the determinants of violence (the conditions under which conflicts become violent) and its consequences (whether violence promotes successful collective action). We also suggest strategic advantages of individual event data over the aggregate analyses which domina…
Conflict Intensity, Media Sensitivity and the Validity of Newspaper Data
Societal Reaction to Deviants
Recent reformulations of the societal reaction theory argue that the thesis is a perspective rather than a theory, and that the perspective is meant to provide a set of sensitizing concepts to those researching deviance.This research examines the degree of congruence between hypotheses deduced from those assertions and a set of real world occurrences.Data for a sample of male defendants charged with felony offenses are examined to estimate the ef…
Racial Insurgency, the State, and Welfare Expansion
This paper addresses systematically the possible nexus between insurgent political action and the state apparatus, concentrating specifically on the relationship between urban riots and welfare or reliefgiving activity in the postwar United States. The theoretical warrant for the analysis has its genesis in Piven and Cloward's influential thesis relating insurgency and relief giving in capitalist society. This perspective is juxtaposed with the o…
Racial Occupational Inequality, 1940-1980
We replicate previous research investigating changes in racial occupational inequality disaggregated by age and level of educational attainment (Hare, 1965; Siegel, 1965; Johnson and Sell, 1976) and then extend this research in four ways. First, wre update previous analyses by examining change in inequality between 1970 and 1980. Second, wre perform separate analyses by region as tell as analyses for the nation as a whole. Third, we investigate r…
Industrial Violence in Italy, 1878-1903
We use a unique source of data on each of over 6,000 strikes (many of them violent) occurring in Italy from 1878 to 1903 to address two major issues in the study of collective violence: the determinants of violence (the conditions under which conflicts become violent) and its consequences (whether violence promotes successful collective action). We also suggest strategic advantages of individual event data over the aggregate analyses which domina…
Modernization and the Demographic Transition
We specify a revised model of the demographic transition which accounts for national fertility levels and changes over the past two decades. The model includes cultural, geographic, demographic and family planning program variables, in addition to a measure of national socio-economic modernization. Using crude birth rates for 117 countries, we operationalize and then apply the revised model to 1974 rates, and then test a longitudinal model of 195…
Recidivism Among Paroled Property Offenders Released During a Period of Prison Reform
Data from four successive yearly cohorts and one special early release cohort of parolees are used to explore the question of whether rapid statewide changes in the administration of criminal justice affected the patterns of recidivism among persons on parole for property offenses. Given the earlier broadly constructed research reported by Ekland–Olson et al. (1993), and their conclusion that variation in shifting policies would have different ef…
The Response of the Criminal Justice System to Prison Overcrowding
Over the past decade crowded prison conditions became the subject for lawsuits across the country, resulting in restrictions on the “capacity” of prison systems in a number of states. These restrictions produced pressures throughout the criminal justice system, from arrest to release on parole. The question addressed in this research is whether these restrictions and pressures affected the probability and pattern of return to prison among parolee…
Determinants of national family planning effort
Determinants of fertility levels and change among developed countries
Period effects on race- and parity-specific birth probabilities of American women, 1917-1976
Racial Violence and Socioeconomic Changes among Blacks in the United States
Journal Article Racial Violence and Socioeconomic Changes Among Blacks in the United States Get access William R. Kelly, William R. Kelly University of Texas at Austin Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar David Snyder David Snyder Indiana University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Social Forces, Volume 58, Issue 3, March 1980, Pages 739–760, https://doi.org/10.1093/sf/58…
A Time Series Analysis of Swedish Illegitimacy Rates, 1911–1974
Using a sociodemographic model of the determinants of illegitimacy rates, a multivariate regression analysis of annual change in age-specific Swedish illegitimacy rates is applied to the 1911-74 period. The proxy measure of change in sexual activity was significant for all age groups. Legitimation rates for out-of-wedlock conceived births were significant for all ages except teenagers, and the final predictor, women's status, was significant for …
Inside the Robot Kingdom
Economic and other determinants of annual change in U.S. fertility
Comment on charles F. Hohm’s “social security and fertility
Theoretical and empirical efforts to identify social and economic conditions that discourage high rates now include policy-relevant variables-programs that can be introduced by a government to reduce (Burch, 1975). Recent empirical work by Hohm (1975) suggests that government-administered old age social security programs will reduce fertility. The hypothesis that such programs lower is based on an assumption that parents regulate on the basis of …
Industrial Violence in Italy, 1878-1903
We use a unique source of data on each of over 6,000 strikes (many of them violent) occurring in Italy from 1878 to 1903 to address two major issues in the study of collective violence: the determinants of violence (the conditions under which conflicts become violent) and its consequences (whether violence promotes successful collective action). We also suggest strategic advantages of individual event data over the aggregate analyses which domina…
Societal Reaction to Deviants
Recent reformulations of the societal reaction theory argue that the thesis is a perspective rather than a theory, and that the perspective is meant to provide a set of sensitizing concepts to those researching deviance.This research examines the degree of congruence between hypotheses deduced from those assertions and a set of real world occurrences.Data for a sample of male defendants charged with felony offenses are examined to estimate the ef…
Conflict Intensity, Media Sensitivity and the Validity of Newspaper Data
The General Linear Model
Modernization and the Demographic Transition
We specify a revised model of the demographic transition which accounts for national fertility levels and changes over the past two decades. The model includes cultural, geographic, demographic and family planning program variables, in addition to a measure of national socio-economic modernization. Using crude birth rates for 117 countries, we operationalize and then apply the revised model to 1974 rates, and then test a longitudinal model of 195…
Racial Violence and Socioeconomic Changes among Blacks in the United States
Journal Article Racial Violence and Socioeconomic Changes Among Blacks in the United States Get access William R. Kelly, William R. Kelly University of Texas at Austin Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar David Snyder David Snyder Indiana University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Social Forces, Volume 58, Issue 3, March 1980, Pages 739–760, https://doi.org/10.1093/sf/58…
Racial Insurgency, the State, and Welfare Expansion
This paper addresses systematically the possible nexus between insurgent political action and the state apparatus, concentrating specifically on the relationship between urban riots and welfare or reliefgiving activity in the postwar United States. The theoretical warrant for the analysis has its genesis in Piven and Cloward's influential thesis relating insurgency and relief giving in capitalist society. This perspective is juxtaposed with the o…
Period effects on race- and parity-specific birth probabilities of American women, 1917-1976
Determinants of national family planning effort
A Time Series Analysis of Swedish Illegitimacy Rates, 1911–1974
Using a sociodemographic model of the determinants of illegitimacy rates, a multivariate regression analysis of annual change in age-specific Swedish illegitimacy rates is applied to the 1911-74 period. The proxy measure of change in sexual activity was significant for all age groups. Legitimation rates for out-of-wedlock conceived births were significant for all ages except teenagers, and the final predictor, women's status, was significant for …
Determinants of fertility levels and change among developed countries
Economic and other determinants of annual change in U.S. fertility
Reply to Sloan
Sloan (1984) argues that annual changes in marital fertility of Swedish wives aged 35-39 between 1911 and 1974 is not a result of annual changes in the use of birth control, but is due to changes in health conditions that increase or decrease marital fertility. As evidence of the lack of effect of contraceptive practice on fertility Sloan cites a study published in 1916 whose author concluded that contraceptive use or nonuse had no effect on fami…
Racial Occupational Inequality, 1940-1980
We replicate previous research investigating changes in racial occupational inequality disaggregated by age and level of educational attainment (Hare, 1965; Siegel, 1965; Johnson and Sell, 1976) and then extend this research in four ways. First, wre update previous analyses by examining change in inequality between 1970 and 1980. Second, wre perform separate analyses by region as tell as analyses for the nation as a whole. Third, we investigate r…
Inside the Robot Kingdom
The Response of the Criminal Justice System to Prison Overcrowding
Over the past decade crowded prison conditions became the subject for lawsuits across the country, resulting in restrictions on the “capacity” of prison systems in a number of states. These restrictions produced pressures throughout the criminal justice system, from arrest to release on parole. The question addressed in this research is whether these restrictions and pressures affected the probability and pattern of return to prison among parolee…
Justice Under Pressure
Justice Under Pressure analyzes the effects of prison crowding on the justice system. The authors focus on dramatic changes in the administration of criminal justice in Texas during the 1980s and the influence of those changes on the three-year rates among parolees released between 1984 and 1987. Setting out to identify differences in recidivism and the crime rate as a result of the changes instituted in Texas, the authors report the findings of …
Justice Under Pressure
Recidivism Among Paroled Property Offenders Released During a Period of Prison Reform
Data from four successive yearly cohorts and one special early release cohort of parolees are used to explore the question of whether rapid statewide changes in the administration of criminal justice affected the patterns of recidivism among persons on parole for property offenses. Given the earlier broadly constructed research reported by Ekland–Olson et al. (1993), and their conclusion that variation in shifting policies would have different ef…
The Future of Crime and Punishment
Sociology (14 works) · Psychology (11 works) · Demography (10 works) · Political science (10 works) · Economics (9 works) · Criminology (8 works) · Population (8 works) · Family planning (7 works) · Fertility (7 works) · Research methodology (7 works)