Nigel Harvey
Datos Biográficos
| ID | 3658595 |
|---|---|
| NOMBRE | Nigel Harvey |
| NOMBRES | Nigel |
| APELLIDO | Harvey |
| FIRMA | HARVEY N |
| AFILIACIONES | University College London |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-9246-1992 |
| VERIFICADO | Sí |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 21 |
| TOTAL DE CITAS | 22 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 21 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 0 |
| PRIMER AÑO DE PUBLICACIÓN | 1943 |
| AÑO MÁS RECIENTE DE PUBLICACIÓN | 2023 |
| ÍNDICE H | 3 |
Are lay expectations of inflation based on recall of specific prices? If so, how and under what conditions
In 2019 when inflation was low and stable, we compared people’s direct estimates of inflation with indirect estimates obtained by averaging their estimates of price changes in all 12 product categories on which the consumer price index is based. Indirect estimates were much higher than direct ones and the two types of estimate were uncorrelated. This is consistent with a price-free model in which direct estimates are not based on recall of prices…
Timing of descriptions shapes experience‐based risky choice
Risky decisions based on the combination of different sources of information (e.g., decisions from description‐plus‐experience) have mostly been ignored, as research has focused on examining each source separately. Across three experiments, we explore the intricate relationship between experience and description by manipulating when descriptive information about risky options is made available during an experience‐based task. The results show tha…
Compulsive Buying
Predicting preferences
In recent years, shared decision‐making between patients and doctors regarding choice of treatment has become an issue of priority. Although patients’ preferences lie at the core of the literature on shared decision‐making, there has not been any attempt so far to link the concept of shared decision‐making with the extensive behavioural literature on people's self‐predictions of their future preferences. The aim of the present review is to provid…
Determinants of willingness to pay in separate and joint evaluations of options
Combining advice
We present two studies that evaluate how people combine advice and how they respond to outlying opinions. In a preliminary study, we found that individuals use discounting strategies when they encounter an extreme opinion in a small sample of opinions taken only once (a one‐shot advice‐taking situation). The main study examines the influence of outlying opinions (which may or may not be accurate) within a learning paradigm with feedback. This stu…
Are absolute frequencies, relative frequencies, or both effective in reducing cognitive biases
Biases in probabilistic reasoning are affected by alterations in the presentation of judgment tasks. In our experiments, students made likelihood judgments that an event was produced by various causes. These judgments were made in terms of probability, relative frequency or absolute frequency on a full or a pruned list of causes. When they had little personal experience of the event (causes of death), the pruning bias was smaller with relative fr…
Taking Advice
Confidence Judgments by Actors and Observers
We report three experiments comparing confidence judgments made by actors and by observers. In Experiment 1, actors generated qualitative answers (countries of the world) in a country-identification task; in Experiment 2, actors generated quantitative answers (years) in a historical event-dating task. Both actors and observers indicated their confidence in the actors' answers. Actors were significantly less confident in their answers than were ob…
On the nature of expectations
We review economic and psychological models of expectation formation. According to the rational model, expectations are optimal; according to the adaptive model, they minimize previous error; according to the extrapolative model, they continue a trend. In an experiment, we asked subjects to make forecasts from previous data in the same series or from previous data in a different but related series. We also asked them to estimate the probability t…
Starting where the client is some first steps towards making health care more accessible to ethnic minority users
This article details a multi-disciplinary attempt to provide health care in an appropriate setting to those members of the Bengali population of Tower Hamlets experiencing the effects of eczema, particularly families with children under ten years of age. The need for all health care workers to acknowledge cultural differences in understanding and experience of illness and to respond appropriately is highlighted
Judgmental forecasting of univariate time series
To forecast numbers appearing in sequence, do people just take some sort of average of past items or do they use temporal pattern information that they have extracted from the sequence? In an experiment, subjects forecast successive numbers generated by a first‐order auto regressive algorithm. Afterwards, they were asked to generate their own series of numbers to simulate the sequence they had been forecasting. It was found that (1) generation pe…
Sentential synonymity judgment
The Industrial Archaeology of Farming in England and Wales
Studies of Field Systems in the British Isles
Preface 1. Introduction: Materials and methods 2. Field systems north west England 3. Field systems of Northumberland and Durham 4. Field systems of Yorkshire 5. Field systems of the West Midlands 6. Field systems of the East Midlands 7. Field systems of East Anglia 8. Field systems of the Chiltern Hills 9. Field systems of Southeast England 10. Field systems of North Wales 11. Field systems of South Wales 12. Field systems of Scotland 13. Field …
The Semantics of High-low Continua
Subjects matched the location of a pure tone above or below a narrow band of noise with the word above or the word below presented visually on an oscilloscope screen. The position of the tone in relation to the noise was matched faster with the word above than with the word below. It is not at all obvious how this asymmetry can be explained in terms of the semantic marking analysis recently proposed by Chase & Clark to account for similar results…
A History of Farm Buildings in England and Wales
The Farming Kingdom
Journal Article The Farming Kingdom Get access The Farming Kingdom. By N. Harvey. (London: Turnstile Press, 1955. Pp. xi+178. l5s.) Austin Robinson Austin Robinson Sidney Sussex College, Cambridge Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 65, Issue 258, 1 June 1955, Pages 340–341, https://doi.org/10.2307/2227919 Published: 01 June 1955
Some Further Notes on Suffolk Folklore
Some Cases of Longevity and the Preservation of Tradition
Some Suffolk Superstitions
Studies of Field Systems in the British Isles
Preface 1. Introduction: Materials and methods 2. Field systems north west England 3. Field systems of Northumberland and Durham 4. Field systems of Yorkshire 5. Field systems of the West Midlands 6. Field systems of the East Midlands 7. Field systems of East Anglia 8. Field systems of the Chiltern Hills 9. Field systems of Southeast England 10. Field systems of North Wales 11. Field systems of South Wales 12. Field systems of Scotland 13. Field …
Combining advice
We present two studies that evaluate how people combine advice and how they respond to outlying opinions. In a preliminary study, we found that individuals use discounting strategies when they encounter an extreme opinion in a small sample of opinions taken only once (a one‐shot advice‐taking situation). The main study examines the influence of outlying opinions (which may or may not be accurate) within a learning paradigm with feedback. This stu…
The Industrial Archaeology of Farming in England and Wales
Determinants of willingness to pay in separate and joint evaluations of options
The Semantics of High-low Continua
Subjects matched the location of a pure tone above or below a narrow band of noise with the word above or the word below presented visually on an oscilloscope screen. The position of the tone in relation to the noise was matched faster with the word above than with the word below. It is not at all obvious how this asymmetry can be explained in terms of the semantic marking analysis recently proposed by Chase & Clark to account for similar results…
Some Further Notes on Suffolk Folklore
Sentential synonymity judgment
Some Suffolk Superstitions
Some Further Notes on Suffolk Folklore
Some Cases of Longevity and the Preservation of Tradition
The Farming Kingdom
Journal Article The Farming Kingdom Get access The Farming Kingdom. By N. Harvey. (London: Turnstile Press, 1955. Pp. xi+178. l5s.) Austin Robinson Austin Robinson Sidney Sussex College, Cambridge Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 65, Issue 258, 1 June 1955, Pages 340–341, https://doi.org/10.2307/2227919 Published: 01 June 1955
A History of Farm Buildings in England and Wales
The Semantics of High-low Continua
Subjects matched the location of a pure tone above or below a narrow band of noise with the word above or the word below presented visually on an oscilloscope screen. The position of the tone in relation to the noise was matched faster with the word above than with the word below. It is not at all obvious how this asymmetry can be explained in terms of the semantic marking analysis recently proposed by Chase & Clark to account for similar results…
Studies of Field Systems in the British Isles
Preface 1. Introduction: Materials and methods 2. Field systems north west England 3. Field systems of Northumberland and Durham 4. Field systems of Yorkshire 5. Field systems of the West Midlands 6. Field systems of the East Midlands 7. Field systems of East Anglia 8. Field systems of the Chiltern Hills 9. Field systems of Southeast England 10. Field systems of North Wales 11. Field systems of South Wales 12. Field systems of Scotland 13. Field …
The Industrial Archaeology of Farming in England and Wales
Sentential synonymity judgment
Starting where the client is some first steps towards making health care more accessible to ethnic minority users
This article details a multi-disciplinary attempt to provide health care in an appropriate setting to those members of the Bengali population of Tower Hamlets experiencing the effects of eczema, particularly families with children under ten years of age. The need for all health care workers to acknowledge cultural differences in understanding and experience of illness and to respond appropriately is highlighted
Judgmental forecasting of univariate time series
To forecast numbers appearing in sequence, do people just take some sort of average of past items or do they use temporal pattern information that they have extracted from the sequence? In an experiment, subjects forecast successive numbers generated by a first‐order auto regressive algorithm. Afterwards, they were asked to generate their own series of numbers to simulate the sequence they had been forecasting. It was found that (1) generation pe…
On the nature of expectations
We review economic and psychological models of expectation formation. According to the rational model, expectations are optimal; according to the adaptive model, they minimize previous error; according to the extrapolative model, they continue a trend. In an experiment, we asked subjects to make forecasts from previous data in the same series or from previous data in a different but related series. We also asked them to estimate the probability t…
Taking Advice
Confidence Judgments by Actors and Observers
We report three experiments comparing confidence judgments made by actors and by observers. In Experiment 1, actors generated qualitative answers (countries of the world) in a country-identification task; in Experiment 2, actors generated quantitative answers (years) in a historical event-dating task. Both actors and observers indicated their confidence in the actors' answers. Actors were significantly less confident in their answers than were ob…
Are absolute frequencies, relative frequencies, or both effective in reducing cognitive biases
Biases in probabilistic reasoning are affected by alterations in the presentation of judgment tasks. In our experiments, students made likelihood judgments that an event was produced by various causes. These judgments were made in terms of probability, relative frequency or absolute frequency on a full or a pruned list of causes. When they had little personal experience of the event (causes of death), the pruning bias was smaller with relative fr…
Combining advice
We present two studies that evaluate how people combine advice and how they respond to outlying opinions. In a preliminary study, we found that individuals use discounting strategies when they encounter an extreme opinion in a small sample of opinions taken only once (a one‐shot advice‐taking situation). The main study examines the influence of outlying opinions (which may or may not be accurate) within a learning paradigm with feedback. This stu…
Predicting preferences
In recent years, shared decision‐making between patients and doctors regarding choice of treatment has become an issue of priority. Although patients’ preferences lie at the core of the literature on shared decision‐making, there has not been any attempt so far to link the concept of shared decision‐making with the extensive behavioural literature on people's self‐predictions of their future preferences. The aim of the present review is to provid…
Determinants of willingness to pay in separate and joint evaluations of options
Compulsive Buying
Timing of descriptions shapes experience‐based risky choice
Risky decisions based on the combination of different sources of information (e.g., decisions from description‐plus‐experience) have mostly been ignored, as research has focused on examining each source separately. Across three experiments, we explore the intricate relationship between experience and description by manipulating when descriptive information about risky options is made available during an experience‐based task. The results show tha…
Are lay expectations of inflation based on recall of specific prices? If so, how and under what conditions
In 2019 when inflation was low and stable, we compared people’s direct estimates of inflation with indirect estimates obtained by averaging their estimates of price changes in all 12 product categories on which the consumer price index is based. Indirect estimates were much higher than direct ones and the two types of estimate were uncorrelated. This is consistent with a price-free model in which direct estimates are not based on recall of prices…
Psychology (13 obras) · Computer Science (11 obras) · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics (8 obras) · Social Psychology (7 obras) · Economics (6 obras) · History (6 obras) · Mathematics (6 obras) · Archaeology (5 obras) · Artificial Intelligence (5 obras) · History (5 obras)