Cameron Bowie

Dados Biográficos

ID3696921
NOMECameron Bowie
PRENOMESCameron
SOBRENOMEBowie
ASSINATURABOWIE C
AFILIAÇÕESAxminster Hospital
ORCID0000-0002-6956-3691
VERIFICADOSim
TOTAL DE OBRAS10
TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES14
TOTAL COMO AUTOR10
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO1989
ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO2025
ÍNDICE H2

  • Dynamic causal models in infectious disease epidemiology—an assessment of their predictive validity based on the Covid-19 epidemic in the UK 2020 to 2024

    Open AccessCameron Bowie, Cam Bowie et al.ARTICLEFrontiers in Public Health2025

    This technical report addresses the predictive validity of long-term epidemiological forecasting based upon dynamic causal modeling. It uses complementary prospective and retrospective analyses. The prospective analysis completes a series of (annual) reports comparing predictions with subsequent outcomes (i.e., cases, deaths, hospital admissions and Long COVID) reported a year later. Predictive validity is then addressed retrospectively by examin…

  • A follow up report validating long term predictions of the Covid-19 epidemic in the UK using a dynamic causal model

    Open AccessCameron Bowie, Cam Bowie et al.ARTICLEFrontiers in Public Health2024

    Background: This paper asks whether Dynamic Causal modelling (DCM) can predict the long-term clinical impact of the COVID-19 epidemic. DCMs are designed to continually assimilate data and modify model parameters, such as transmissibility of the virus, changes in social distancing and vaccine coverage-to accommodate changes in population dynamics and virus behavior. But as a novel way to model epidemics do they produce valid predictions? We presen…

  • Using a Dynamic Causal Model to validate previous predictions and offer a 12-month forecast of the long-term effects of the Covid-19 epidemic in the UK

    Open AccessCameron Bowie, Cam Bowie et al.ARTICLEFrontiers in Public Health2023

    Background: Predicting the future UK COVID-19 epidemic provides a baseline of a vaccine-only mitigation policy from which to judge the effects of additional public health interventions. A previous 12-month prediction of the size of the epidemic to October 2022 underestimated its sequelae by a fifth. This analysis seeks to explain the reasons for the underestimation before offering new long-term predictions. Methods: A Dynamic Causal Model was use…

  • A 12-month projection to September 2022 of the Covid-19 epidemic in the UK using a dynamic causal model

    Open AccessCameron Bowie, Cam Bowie et al.ARTICLEFrontiers in Public Health2022

    Objectives: Predicting the future UK COVID-19 epidemic allows other countries to compare their epidemic with one unfolding without public health measures except a vaccine program. Methods: A Dynamic Causal Model was used to estimate key model parameters of the UK epidemic, such as vaccine effectiveness and increased transmissibility of Alpha and Delta variants, the effectiveness of the vaccine program roll-out and changes in contact rates. The mo…

  • Changing clinical needs of people living with Aids and receiving home based care in Malawi - the Bangwe Home Based Care Project 2003-2008 - a descriptive study

    Open AccessCameron Bowie, Norton Gondwe et al.ARTICLEBMC Public Health2010

    Since the availability of ART in the local health facilities and despite strenuous efforts to persuade people to seek HIV testing and ART, in practice barriers existed and half the eligible HBC patients did not have access to ART. This is one reason why the clinical need for HBC services had not changed much. In terms of quantity of care the number of new patients seeking HBC reduced by 8% a year. In terms of content of care, while there had been…

  • Understanding job satisfaction amongst mid-level cadres in Malawi

    Eilish Mcauliffe, Ogenna Manafa et al.ARTICLEReproductive Health Matters2009Citada por: 2Referências: 21

    The migration of doctors and nurses from low- to high-income countries has left many countries relying on mid-level cadres as the mainstay of their health delivery system, Malawi being an example. Although an extremely important resource, little attention has been paid to the management and further development of these cadres. In this paper we use the concept of organisational justice – fairness of treatment, procedures and communication on the p…

  • How international NGOs could do less harm and more good

    Martin Barber, Cameron BowieARTICLEDevelopment in Practice2008Citada por: 6Referências: 1

    The behaviour of international NGOs (INGOs) continues to impede aid effectiveness. The reasons for this are identified. Six prescriptions are offered which, if adopted by INGOs, would reduce the harm that they cause

  • Malaria control in Malawi

    Open AccessDon P Mathanga, Cameron BowieARTICLEInternational Journal for Equity…2007

    The present distribution strategies for ITNs are not addressing the needs of the vulnerable groups, especially the poor. Increasing access to ITNs by the poor will require innovative distribution models which deliberately target the poorest of the poor

  • Product definition for healthcare contracting

    Cameron Bowie, C GamlinARTICLEJournal of Epidemiology and…1994

  • Sexual behaviour of young people and the risk of HIV infection

    Cameron Bowie, Nick FordARTICLEJournal of Epidemiology and…1989Citada por: 6Referências: 4

    A survey of 16-21 year old people in Somerset was undertaken to find out about their sexual behaviour prior to mounting a local education campaign on AIDS. A representative sample of 400 people, using quota sampling in 40 randomly selected electoral wards, completed a schedule structured part self administered questionnaire. Of these, 371 (92%) considered themselves heterosexual. Nearly half (47%) of the 16 year olds had engaged in sexual interco…