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Arthur Lauer

Biographic Data

ID3704774
NAMEArthur Lauer
GIVEN NAMESArthur
FAMILY NAMELauer
SIGNATURELAUER A
AFFILIATIONSUniversidad de Valladolid
ORCID0000-0002-9122-8574
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS11
TOTAL CITATIONS4
WORKS AS AUTHOR11
WORKS AS EDITOR0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2024
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2026
H-INDEX1
  • A comparative assessment of the efficacy of rural depopulation policies in Spain

    Luis Llases, Arthur Lauer et al.•ARTICLE•European Planning Studies•2026

    Depopulation in rural areas has become a critical issue in Europe. We examine the efficacy of rural development policies aimed at addressing depopulation, focusing on two case studies in Spain: Cinco Villas and Pirineo Navarro. Although both territories have been affected by depopulation, they exhibit structural differences in their population size, geographical concentration, and age structure, leading to distinct depopulation challenges. To con…

  • Limits to growth revisited

    Open Access•Arthur Lauer, Luis Llases•ARTICLE•Ecological Economics•2026

    We use a system dynamics environment-economy model to explore how multiple limits to growth may affect global economic output and consumption across different social classes until 2100. Based on a five-dimensional scenario space, we simulate global economic development in 120 scenarios that differ in labor productivity growth, per-capita consumption growth, fossil resource availability, climate change severity, and climate system sensitivity. In …

  • From Greener growth to sufficiency

    Open Access•Arthur Lauer, Luis Llases•ARTICLE•Environmental Innovation and…•2026

    This study quantifies two contrasting global sustainability scenarios—FST1: Greener Growth and FST5: Sufficiency Economies—using the MORDRED model. While both pursue high decarbonization without speculative technologies, they embody distinct paradigms: FST1 prioritizes green growth, whereas FST5 centers on sufficiency, redistribution, and well-being within ecological limits. Simulations generate demographic, economic, and biophysical trajectories…

  • Examining the Effects of Different Policy Approaches to Rural Depopulation Across Spanish Territories

    Open Access•Luis Llases, Juan José Mediavilla Merino et al.•ARTICLE•Population Space and Place•2026•References: 5

    Rural depopulation linked to aging populations, economic decline, and reduced public services has accelerated migration to urban centres in various parts of the European Union and increasingly attracts the attention of policymakers. This study employs the SPANDAM system dynamics model to evaluate the effectiveness of different policy approaches across three representative Spanish rural territories ( Zamora , Pirineo Navarro , and Vitigudino ) thr…

  • Beyond Green capitalism

    Open Access•Arthur Lauer, Carlos De Castro et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Innovation and…•2025

    Introduction of functionalist and neo-Gramscian state theory into scenario building. • Development of six qualitative fast sustainability transition (FST) scenarios. • Emergence of environmental, socio-ecological and deep-ecological states. • Scenario storylines linked with quantifiable scenario objectives and policies. • High structural barriers and risks to successful and timely transitions. Addressing the theoretical underpinnings of state inv…

  • Towards a sustainable mobility lifestyle

    Open Access•David Álvarez-Antelo, David Álvarez Antelo et al.•ARTICLE•Ecological Economics•2025

  • A comparative review of de- and post-growth modeling studies

    Open Access•A Robert Lauer, Arthur Lauer et al.•ARTICLE•Ecological Economics•2025

    In recent years, a small but rapidly growing field of modeling alternatives to growth as represented by the de- (DG) and post-growth (PG) discourses has emerged. We compare selected model characteristics of 75 DG and PG related modeling studies, compiled through a systematic literature review (2000−2023), and link model structures and results to different theoretically contested debates surrounding DG/PG. The reviewed studies cover different geog…

  • In search of a missing South

    Arthur Lauer, Óscar Carpintero et al.•ARTICLE•Globalizations•2025•References: 25

  • Toward global environmental scenarios for (and by) the ‘bottom billion’

    Open Access•Arthur Lauer, Luis Llases et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Science & Policy•2025•References: 25

    Producción Científica

  • Creating local storylines for climate mitigation and adaptation with policymakers across Europe

    Open Access•Paola López-Muñoz, Luis Llases et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2025•References: 12

    Producción Científica

  • Between continuous presents and disruptive futures

    Open Access•A Robert Lauer, Arthur Lauer et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2024•Cited by: 4•References: 110

    Despite the great relevance of global environmental scenarios for the study of environmental change and sustainability transitions, they have rarely been the object of analysis for scholars of the social sciences. In this article, we analyze the ideological assumptions of 993 global environmental scenarios contained in 243 academic works. By developing a new categorization of environmental scenarios, we investigate the economic and governance org…

  • Between continuous presents and disruptive futures

    Open Access•A Robert Lauer, Arthur Lauer et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2024•Cited by: 4•References: 110

    Despite the great relevance of global environmental scenarios for the study of environmental change and sustainability transitions, they have rarely been the object of analysis for scholars of the social sciences. In this article, we analyze the ideological assumptions of 993 global environmental scenarios contained in 243 academic works. By developing a new categorization of environmental scenarios, we investigate the economic and governance org…

  • Between continuous presents and disruptive futures

    Open Access•A Robert Lauer, Arthur Lauer et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2024•Cited by: 4•References: 110

    Despite the great relevance of global environmental scenarios for the study of environmental change and sustainability transitions, they have rarely been the object of analysis for scholars of the social sciences. In this article, we analyze the ideological assumptions of 993 global environmental scenarios contained in 243 academic works. By developing a new categorization of environmental scenarios, we investigate the economic and governance org…

  • Beyond Green capitalism

    Open Access•Arthur Lauer, Carlos De Castro et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Innovation and…•2025

    Introduction of functionalist and neo-Gramscian state theory into scenario building. • Development of six qualitative fast sustainability transition (FST) scenarios. • Emergence of environmental, socio-ecological and deep-ecological states. • Scenario storylines linked with quantifiable scenario objectives and policies. • High structural barriers and risks to successful and timely transitions. Addressing the theoretical underpinnings of state inv…

  • Towards a sustainable mobility lifestyle

    Open Access•David Álvarez-Antelo, David Álvarez Antelo et al.•ARTICLE•Ecological Economics•2025

  • A comparative review of de- and post-growth modeling studies

    Open Access•A Robert Lauer, Arthur Lauer et al.•ARTICLE•Ecological Economics•2025

    In recent years, a small but rapidly growing field of modeling alternatives to growth as represented by the de- (DG) and post-growth (PG) discourses has emerged. We compare selected model characteristics of 75 DG and PG related modeling studies, compiled through a systematic literature review (2000−2023), and link model structures and results to different theoretically contested debates surrounding DG/PG. The reviewed studies cover different geog…

  • In search of a missing South

    Arthur Lauer, Óscar Carpintero et al.•ARTICLE•Globalizations•2025•References: 25

  • Toward global environmental scenarios for (and by) the ‘bottom billion’

    Open Access•Arthur Lauer, Luis Llases et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Science & Policy•2025•References: 25

    Producción Científica

  • Creating local storylines for climate mitigation and adaptation with policymakers across Europe

    Open Access•Paola López-Muñoz, Luis Llases et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2025•References: 12

    Producción Científica

  • A comparative assessment of the efficacy of rural depopulation policies in Spain

    Luis Llases, Arthur Lauer et al.•ARTICLE•European Planning Studies•2026

    Depopulation in rural areas has become a critical issue in Europe. We examine the efficacy of rural development policies aimed at addressing depopulation, focusing on two case studies in Spain: Cinco Villas and Pirineo Navarro. Although both territories have been affected by depopulation, they exhibit structural differences in their population size, geographical concentration, and age structure, leading to distinct depopulation challenges. To con…

  • Limits to growth revisited

    Open Access•Arthur Lauer, Luis Llases•ARTICLE•Ecological Economics•2026

    We use a system dynamics environment-economy model to explore how multiple limits to growth may affect global economic output and consumption across different social classes until 2100. Based on a five-dimensional scenario space, we simulate global economic development in 120 scenarios that differ in labor productivity growth, per-capita consumption growth, fossil resource availability, climate change severity, and climate system sensitivity. In …

  • From Greener growth to sufficiency

    Open Access•Arthur Lauer, Luis Llases•ARTICLE•Environmental Innovation and…•2026

    This study quantifies two contrasting global sustainability scenarios—FST1: Greener Growth and FST5: Sufficiency Economies—using the MORDRED model. While both pursue high decarbonization without speculative technologies, they embody distinct paradigms: FST1 prioritizes green growth, whereas FST5 centers on sufficiency, redistribution, and well-being within ecological limits. Simulations generate demographic, economic, and biophysical trajectories…

  • Examining the Effects of Different Policy Approaches to Rural Depopulation Across Spanish Territories

    Open Access•Luis Llases, Juan José Mediavilla Merino et al.•ARTICLE•Population Space and Place•2026•References: 5

    Rural depopulation linked to aging populations, economic decline, and reduced public services has accelerated migration to urban centres in various parts of the European Union and increasingly attracts the attention of policymakers. This study employs the SPANDAM system dynamics model to evaluate the effectiveness of different policy approaches across three representative Spanish rural territories ( Zamora , Pirineo Navarro , and Vitigudino ) thr…

Global Energy and Sustainability Research (7 works) · Economics (6 works) · Climate change (5 works) · Political science (4 works) · Climate Change Policy and Economics (3 works) · Ecology (3 works) · Environmental resource management (3 works) · Natural resource economics (3 works) · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance (3 works) · Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy (3 works)

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