Mario Herrero
Biographic Data
| ID | 3705593 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Mario Herrero |
| GIVEN NAMES | Mario |
| FAMILY NAME | Herrero |
| SIGNATURE | HERRERO M |
| AFFILIATIONS | Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-7741-5090 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 64 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 257 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 64 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2007 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 10 |
Informality in food environments
Livelihood implications of dietary shifts to animal-source food alternatives
Although dietary shifts from animal-source foods (ASFs) to alternatives (Alt-ASFs) could considerably affect livelihoods in food supply chains, the effects will likely vary by the type of Alt-ASFs. In this Review we identified 45 studies, including descriptive analysis of the present state of the sector and modelling studies of future trends. Key findings indicate that cell-based foods would likely reduce overall employment opportunities, while f…
Ambitious food system interventions required to mitigate the risk of exceeding Earth’s environmental limits
Exploring women’s dietary diversity amidst climate variability
It is anticipated that climate change and climate variability will threaten food and nutrition security through multiple pathways, yet evidence on its impact on minimum dietary diversity for women (MDD-W), especially in low- and middle- income countries (LMICs) is limited. Using Bayesian hierarchical statistical modeling, we analyzed the impacts of climate variability on MDD-W, of 142 484 non-pregnant women, aged 15–49 years, in eight LMICs (Burk…
Bundling measures for food systems transformation
Advances and future needs for modelling sustainable and just food systems transformations
Affordability and nutritional challenges for the future of EAT diets
Integrating circularity into the 2025 EAT–Lancet framework
The AVINA Foundation, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Cornell Atkinson Center for Sustainability, and funding related to the 2025 EAT-Lancet Commission
Planetary boundaries under a land-based climate change mitigation scenario with a food demand transformation
EAT-Lancet Commission 2.0
Ambitious food system interventions required to mitigate the risk of exceeding Earth’s environmental limits
Transforming the global food system is essential to avoid exceeding Earth’s environmental limits. A robust evidence base is crucial to assess the scale and combination of interventions required for a sustainable transformation. We developed a risk assessment framework, underpinned by an evidence synthesis of global food system modeling studies, to quantify the potential of individual and combined interventions to mitigate the risk of exceeding gl…
Navigating sustainability trade-offs in global beef production
The future of human behaviour research
Covid-19 pandemic lessons for agri-food systems innovation
COVID-19 pandemic lessons for agri-food systems innovation, Christopher B Barrett, Jessica Fanzo, Mario Herrero, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Alexander Mathys, Philip Thornton, Stephen Wood, Tim G Benton, Shenggen Fan, Laté Lawson-Lartego, Rebecca Nelson, Jianbo Shen, Lindiwe Majele Sibanda
China’s future food demand and its implications for trade and environment
Income, consumer preferences, and the future of livestock-derived food demand
In recent decades there has been a sustained and substantial shift in human diets across the globe towards including more livestock-derived foods. Continuing debates scrutinize how these dietary shifts affect human health, the natural environment, and livelihoods. However, amidst these debates there remain unanswered questions about how demand for livestock-derived foods may evolve over the upcoming decades for a range of scenarios for key driver…
Viewpoint
Food systems that support healthy diets in sustainable, resilient, just, and equitable ways can engender progress in eradicating poverty and malnutrition; protecting human rights; and restoring natural resources. Food system activities have contributed to great gains for humanity but have also led to significant challenges, including hunger, poor diet quality, inequity, and threats to nature. While it is recognized that food systems are central t…
Viewpoint
Global food systems are currently facing unprecedented challenges with respect to production and nutritional targets, inclusivity and environmental footprint. Several recent reports highlight the need for major, rapid reconfiguration of our food systems as a result. International publicly funded agricultural research for development will play an increasingly vital role in support of such goals as reducing poverty, improving food and nutrition sec…
Innovation can accelerate the transition towards a sustainable food system
Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy
Increased efforts are required to prevent further losses to terrestrial biodiversity and the ecosystem services that it provides1,2. Ambitious targets have been proposed, such as reversing the declining trends in biodiversity3; however, just feeding the growing human population will make this a challenge4. Here we use an ensemble of land-use and biodiversity models to assess whether—and how—humanity can reverse the declines in terrestrial biodive…
Global rangeland production systems and livelihoods at threat under climate change and variability
Rangelands are one of the Earth’s major ice-free land cover types. They provide food and support livelihoods for millions of people in addition to delivering important ecosystems services. However, rangelands are at threat from climate change, although the extent and magnitude of the potential impacts are poorly understood. Any declines in vegetation biomass and fluctuations in grazing availability would be of concern for food production and ecos…
Bundling innovations to transform agri-food systems
Multiple cropping systems of the world and the potential for increasing cropping intensity
Multiple cropping, defined as harvesting more than once a year, is a widespread land management strategy in tropical and subtropical agriculture. It is a way of intensifying agricultural production and diversifying the crop mix for economic and environmental benefits. Here we present the first global gridded data set of multiple cropping systems and quantify the physical area of more than 200 systems, the global multiple cropping area and the pot…
The Global Syndemic of Obesity, Undernutrition, and Climate Change
Food in the Anthropocene
The impact of nutrient-rich food choices on agricultural water-use efficiency
The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2
Studies of global environmental change make extensive use of scenarios to explore how the future can evolve under a consistent set of assumptions. The recently developed Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) create a framework for the study of climate-related scenario outcomes. Their five narratives span a wide range of worlds that vary in their challenges for climate change mitigation and adaptation. Here we provide background on the quantificati…
Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change
This paper examines the development and use of scenarios as an approach to guide action in multi-level, multi-actor adaptation contexts such as food security under climate change. Three challenges are highlighted: (1) ensuring the appropriate scope for action; (2) moving beyond intervention-based decision guidance; and (3) developing long-term shared capacity for strategic planning. To overcome these challenges we have applied explorative scenari…
Viewpoint
Food systems that support healthy diets in sustainable, resilient, just, and equitable ways can engender progress in eradicating poverty and malnutrition; protecting human rights; and restoring natural resources. Food system activities have contributed to great gains for humanity but have also led to significant challenges, including hunger, poor diet quality, inequity, and threats to nature. While it is recognized that food systems are central t…
Exploring future changes in smallholder farming systems by linking socio-economic scenarios with regional and household models
Livestock, livelihoods and the environment
China’s future food demand and its implications for trade and environment
Coping Strategies in Livestock-dependent Households in East and Southern Africa
Bundling innovations to transform agri-food systems
The environmental costs and benefits of high-yield farming
The potential of future foods for sustainable and healthy diets
Income growth and climate change effects on global nutrition security to mid-century
The vulnerabilities of agricultural land and food production to future water scarcity
We examine risks to current agricultural land to future changes in water availability. • We present a multiple model inter-comparison of future land demand and water availability. • Eleven percent of croplands and ten percent of grasslands are at risk from declining water availability. • Changes in diet and waste reduction offer a buffer against land loss and food insecurity. Rapidly increasing populations coupled with increased food demand requi…
Income, consumer preferences, and the future of livestock-derived food demand
In recent decades there has been a sustained and substantial shift in human diets across the globe towards including more livestock-derived foods. Continuing debates scrutinize how these dietary shifts affect human health, the natural environment, and livelihoods. However, amidst these debates there remain unanswered questions about how demand for livestock-derived foods may evolve over the upcoming decades for a range of scenarios for key driver…
Re‐framing the climate change debate in the livestock sector
Livestock play a key role in the climate change debate. As with crop‐based agriculture, the sector is both a net greenhouse gas emitter and vulnerable to climate change. At the same time, it is an essential food source for millions of people worldwide, with other functions apart from food security such as savings and insurance. By comparison with crop‐based agriculture, the interactions of livestock and climate change have been much less studied.…
Multiple cropping systems of the world and the potential for increasing cropping intensity
Multiple cropping, defined as harvesting more than once a year, is a widespread land management strategy in tropical and subtropical agriculture. It is a way of intensifying agricultural production and diversifying the crop mix for economic and environmental benefits. Here we present the first global gridded data set of multiple cropping systems and quantify the physical area of more than 200 systems, the global multiple cropping area and the pot…
Integrating livestock feeds and production systems into agricultural multi-market models
The various ways in which livestock production systems can be incorporated into economic, partial-equilibrium, multi-market models are presented, and the challenges outlined. A particular focus and illustrative case is livestock feed. Foremost among the challenges is the reconciliation of scientific understanding of livestock feed requirements and production characteristics with the available national data. Another challenge is in estimating herd…
Planetary boundaries under a land-based climate change mitigation scenario with a food demand transformation
EAT-Lancet Commission 2.0
The future of human behaviour research
Navigating sustainability trade-offs in global beef production
Livelihood Choices and Returns among Pastoralists
Pastoral systems are rapidly changing in Africa and elsewhere, yet relatively little is known regarding what, and how well, households in these systems are now doing. This article addresses livelihood choices and income diversification strategies in a traditionally Maasai pastoral area of southern Kenya, and the factors influencing the returns to their diverse livelihood strategies. We explore how well household-level versus geographic factors ex…
Integrating circularity into the 2025 EAT–Lancet framework
The AVINA Foundation, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Cornell Atkinson Center for Sustainability, and funding related to the 2025 EAT-Lancet Commission
Identifying recommendation domains for targeting dual-purpose maize-based interventions in crop-livestock systems in East Africa
Use of Visual Material for Eliciting Shepherds' Perceptions of Grassland in Highland Peru
People's perceptions of their environment in high mountain rangelands ultimately affect the fragile ecosystems on which they depend, and thus their welfare. This is especially true in developing countries, where the livelihoods of people living in such ecosystems depend on grazing livestock. The present study, conducted in the central mountain region of Peru, used photographs and Q methodology to investigate the criteria and preferences that shep…
Livelihood Choices and Returns among Pastoralists
Pastoral systems are rapidly changing in Africa and elsewhere, yet relatively little is known regarding what, and how well, households in these systems are now doing. This article addresses livelihood choices and income diversification strategies in a traditionally Maasai pastoral area of southern Kenya, and the factors influencing the returns to their diverse livelihood strategies. We explore how well household-level versus geographic factors ex…
Coping Strategies in Livestock-dependent Households in East and Southern Africa
Carbon sequestration and farm income in West Africa
The impacts of climate change on livestock and livestock systems in developing countries
Livestock, livelihoods and the environment
Smart Investments in Sustainable Food Production
Farmers in mixed crop-livestock systems produce about half of the world’s food. In small holdings around the world, livestock are reared mostly on grass, browse, and nonfood biomass from maize, millet, rice, and sorghum crops and in their turn supply manure and traction for future crops. Animals act as insurance against hard times and supply farmers with a source of regular income from sales of milk, eggs, and other products. Thus, faced with pop…
Private farmers' compensation and viability of protected areas
Nairobi National Park (NNP) is unable to incorporate the spatial and temporal dynamics of many migratory mammals that rely on the area as a dry season refuge because of its small size. During the wet season, wildlife must be able to migrate to the south into the Kitengela dispersal area. This area is privately owned and rapidly undergoing land-use change, which affects the structure and function of the dispersal corridors, jeopardising the ecolog…
Adapting agriculture to climate change in Kenya
Biomass use, production, feed efficiencies, and greenhouse gas emissions from global livestock systems
Significance This report is unique in presenting a high-resolution dataset of biomass use, production, feed efficiencies, and greenhouse gas emissions by global livestock. This information will allow the global-change research community in enhancing our understanding of the sustainability of livestock systems and their role in food security, livelihoods and environmental sustainability.
Sustainable Intensification in Agriculture
Clearer understanding is needed of the premises underlying SI and how it relates to food-system priorities.
How much land‐based greenhouse gas mitigation can be achieved without compromising food security and environmental goals?
Feeding 9–10 billion people by 2050 and preventing dangerous climate change are two of the greatest challenges facing humanity. Both challenges must be met while reducing the impact of land management on ecosystem services that deliver vital goods and services, and support human health and well‐being. Few studies to date have considered the interactions between these challenges. In this study we briefly outline the challenges, review the supply‐ …
The roles of livestock in developing countries
Livestock play a significant role in rural livelihoods and the economies of developing countries. They are providers of income and employment for producers and others working in, sometimes complex, value chains. They are a crucial asset and safety net for the poor, especially for women and pastoralist groups, and they provide an important source of nourishment for billions of rural and urban households. These socio-economic roles and others are i…
Agricultural productivity and greenhouse gas emissions
In this letter, we investigate the effects of crop yield and livestock feed efficiency scenarios on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from agriculture and land use change in developing countries. We analyze mitigation associated with different productivity pathways using the global partial equilibrium model GLOBIOM. Our results confirm that yield increase could mitigate some agriculture-related emissions growth over the next decades. Closing yield g…
Identifying recommendation domains for targeting dual-purpose maize-based interventions in crop-livestock systems in East Africa
Cattle ranching intensification in Brazil can reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by sparing land from deforestation
Significance Could the intensification of pasture-based cattle ranching allow Brazil to protect its forests and reduce its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions while increasing its agricultural production? Would these benefits be substantially undermined by increased deforestation and GHGs triggered abroad? We model two policies for increasing cattle ranching productivity in Brazil: a tax on conventional pasture and a subsidy for semi-intensive pasture…
Climate change mitigation through livestock system transitions
Significance The livestock sector contributes significantly to global warming through greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. At the same time, livestock is an invaluable source of nutrition and livelihood for millions of poor people. Therefore, climate mitigation policies involving livestock must be designed with extreme care. Here we demonstrate the large mitigation potential inherent in the heterogeneity of livestock production systems. We find that e…
Climate variability and vulnerability to climate change
The focus of the great majority of climate change impact studies is on changes in mean climate. In terms of climate model output, these changes are more robust than changes in climate variability. By concentrating on changes in climate means, the full impacts of climate change on biological and human systems are probably being seriously underestimated. Here, we briefly review the possible impacts of changes in climate variability and the frequenc…
Climate change induced transformations of agricultural systems
Climate change might impact crop yields considerably and anticipated transformations of agricultural systems are needed in the coming decades to sustain affordable food provision. However, decision-making on transformational shifts in agricultural systems is plagued by uncertainties concerning the nature and geography of climate change, its impacts, and adequate responses. Locking agricultural systems into inadequate transformations costly to adj…
Reducing uncertainty in nitrogen budgets for African livestock systems
Livestock is poorly represented in N budgets for the African continent although some studies have examined livestock-related N flows at different levels. Livestock plays an important role in N cycling and therefore on N budgets including livestock-related flows. This study reviews the literature on N budgets for Africa to identify factors contributing to uncertainties. Livestock densities are usually modelled because of the lack of observational …
Exploring future changes in smallholder farming systems by linking socio-economic scenarios with regional and household models
Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change
This paper examines the development and use of scenarios as an approach to guide action in multi-level, multi-actor adaptation contexts such as food security under climate change. Three challenges are highlighted: (1) ensuring the appropriate scope for action; (2) moving beyond intervention-based decision guidance; and (3) developing long-term shared capacity for strategic planning. To overcome these challenges we have applied explorative scenari…
Integrating livestock feeds and production systems into agricultural multi-market models
The various ways in which livestock production systems can be incorporated into economic, partial-equilibrium, multi-market models are presented, and the challenges outlined. A particular focus and illustrative case is livestock feed. Foremost among the challenges is the reconciliation of scientific understanding of livestock feed requirements and production characteristics with the available national data. Another challenge is in estimating herd…
Historical trade-offs of livestock’s environmental impacts
Human demand for animal products has risen markedly over the past 50 years with important environmental impacts. Dairy and cattle production have disproportionately contributed to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and land use, while crop demands of more intensive systems have increased fertilizer use and competition for available crop calories. At the same time, chicken and pig production has grown more rapidly than for ruminants, indicating a chan…
Livestock in a changing climate
Livestock farming is the world's largest land use sector and utilizes around 60% of the global biomass harvest. Over the coming decades, climate change will affect the natural resource base of livestock production, especially the productivity of rangeland and feed crops. Based on a comprehensive impact modeling chain, we assess implications of different climate projections for agricultural production costs and land use change and explore the effe…
Economics (48 works) · Agriculture (47 works) · Geography (45 works) · Business (41 works) · Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact (38 works) · Natural resource economics (37 works) · Environmental Science (31 works) · Ecology (27 works) · Environmental resource management (24 works) · Food security (23 works)