Marcus Noland
Biographic Data
| ID | 3710342 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Marcus Noland |
| GIVEN NAMES | Marcus |
| FAMILY NAME | Noland |
| SIGNATURE | NOLAND M |
| AFFILIATIONS | Marcus Noland is Deputy Director and Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and Senior Fellow at the East-West Center. |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 32 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 84 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 32 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1986 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2017 |
| H-INDEX | 6 |
Hard Target
Because authoritarian regimes like North Korea can impose the costs of sanctions on their citizens, they constitute “hard targets.” Yet such regimes may also be immune—and even hostile—to economic inducements if those inducements imply reform and opening. Can economic carrots and sticks by used effectively with respect to such systems? This book draws on an array of evidence—trade data, surveys of Chinese and South Korea firms doing business in N…
What Goes into a Medal
Objective This article examines determinants of women's participation and performance in the Olympics. Methods The authors analyze total and sport‐specific data on female Olympic athletic participation and medaling at the Summer Games between 1960 and 2012, controlling for a number of country‐level socioeconomic variables. Results Olympic outcomes are generated by a complex process involving the socioeconomic status of women and, more weakly, soc…
Gender in Transition
Economic Crime and Punishment in North Korea
STEPHAN HAGGARD is the Krause Distinguished Professor at the Graduate School of International Relations and Pacific Studies, the University of California San Diego. His work on North Korea includes, with Marcus Noland, Famine in North Korea: Markets, Aid and Reform (2007) and Witness to Transformation: Refugee Insights into North Korea (2011). MARCUS NOLAND is Deputy Director and Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics…
Sanctioning North Korea
Following North Korea's second nuclear test, the U.N. Security Council tightened sanctions. However, North Korea has tilted its relations toward partners uninterested in such measures. Since 2005, it has retreated from economic reform, most obviously in the 2009 confiscatory currency reform. These developments raise doubts about North Korea's interest in engagement
Telecommunications in North Korea
IntroductionTelecommunications are one of the basic building blocks of a modern economy. In a world of globalized competition, economic development can be hamstrung by inferior telecommunications. But the formation of telecommunications policy poses a challenge for authoritarian regimes: while improvements in telecommunications can contribute to material prosperity, and by extension, political legitimacy, they may also contribute to a loss of con…
A security and peace mechanism for Northeast Asia
Northeast Asia is notable for the relative absence of regional institutions. The Six Party Talks could constitute an embryonic starting point for the development of such institutions. The path toward greater institutionalization is likely to begin in a modest fashion. Functional working groups on topics such as the environment, maritime transport, technical barriers to trade, road and rail links, and energy could provide the locus for integrating…
North Korea in 2008
In 2008, North-South relations worsened, food shortages re-emerged, and the Six Party process yielded an interim agreement. The U.S. dropped North Korea from the terrorism list but nuclear verification issues remained contentious. Kim Jong-il reportedly suffered a stroke in August, casting uncertainty over all aspects of politics and policy
A rab E conomies at a T ipping P oint
North Korea in 2007
The year 2007 witnessed a gradual rapprochement between North Korea and the world, reflecting changes both in the country's external environment and domestic political economy. Key markers were the resumption of the Six-Party Talks and the second North-South summit. Whether these developments will endure depends largely on North Korean intentions
Religions, islam et croissance économique. L'apport des analyses empiriques.
This article investigates the relationship between religion, culture and economic performance, with a particular emphasis on the alleged impact of Islam. Dominant religious affiliations in some countries and areas of the world seem to be related to performance. Analyses were conducted on samples of 50 and 78 countries at the cross-national level and on data from India, Malaysia, and Ghana at the subnational level. Results do not support the claim…
The Economic Implications of a North Korean Nuclear Breakout
encompasses a wide range of topics, from research on the political economy of U.S. trade policy and the
Famine in North Korea
Religion and economic performance
Avoiding the Apocalypse
Famine in North Korea
The Asian Financial Crisis
Rigorous Speculation
The Philippines in the Asian Financial Crisis
The Philippines has long been regarded as the weak sister of Asia, but in the Asian financial crisis it performed relatively well. This is not simply a matter of not being able to fall out of the basement, either—in mid-1997 the Philippines economy was forecasted to grow at more than six percent in 1998, and both the post-crisis forecasts revisions, and the degree of the eventual contraction were less in the Philippines than elsewhere in Asia. Ra…
Learning to Love the WTO
The Costs and Benefits of Korean Unification
In South Korea, there is growing skepticism about the desirability of unification, driven in large part by the perception that it would be prohibitively costly. A veritable cottage industry now exists devoted to the estimation of the prospective costs of Korean unification; these are typically found to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars (some of the more notable studies are summarized in Table 1). Existing studies have adopted one of two c…
Public Policy, Private Preferences, and the Japanese Trade Pattern
As nontariff forms of trade protection proliferate it has become more difficult to analyze the impact of trade policy on trade flows. In a number of well-known papers researchers have attempted to infer the impact of trade policy indirectly by ascribing to trade policy the differences between actual and predicted trade flows. Much of the work has been applied to analysis of Japanese trade policy, and the conclusions of these studies have differed…
Chasing Phantoms
Trade barriers, though usually considered welfare-reducing, are globally ubiquitous. In light of the enormous clash between what is and what ought to be, researchers have begun addressing the question of why countries so consistently pursue such apparently counterproductive policies
Why North Korea Will Muddle Through
After consulting with their superiors, the guards at Rajin har bor allowed us to exit. Apparently two Americans on a morning jog were not thought to pose a grave threat to national security. As we ran up the hill overlooking the harbor, I noticed a small military installa tion. On our way down I watched two soldiers stealthily working their way through the dilapidated structures, eventually reaching an isolated corner of the base, far from their …
The Impact of Industrial Policy on Japan's Trade Specialization
Recent research has demonstrated the possibility of welfare-enhancing industrial policy. This paper analyzes the impact of industrial policy on Japan's trade pattern and explores the possibility that it has been welfare-enhancing. Econometric results indicate that industrial policies have had an impact on Japan's trade specialization. These results are obtained contemporaneously and when the explanatory variables are lagged, suggesting either tha…
Religion and economic performance
Chasing Phantoms
Trade barriers, though usually considered welfare-reducing, are globally ubiquitous. In light of the enormous clash between what is and what ought to be, researchers have begun addressing the question of why countries so consistently pursue such apparently counterproductive policies
Why North Korea Will Muddle Through
After consulting with their superiors, the guards at Rajin har bor allowed us to exit. Apparently two Americans on a morning jog were not thought to pose a grave threat to national security. As we ran up the hill overlooking the harbor, I noticed a small military installa tion. On our way down I watched two soldiers stealthily working their way through the dilapidated structures, eventually reaching an isolated corner of the base, far from their …
Gender in Transition
What Goes into a Medal
Objective This article examines determinants of women's participation and performance in the Olympics. Methods The authors analyze total and sport‐specific data on female Olympic athletic participation and medaling at the Summer Games between 1960 and 2012, controlling for a number of country‐level socioeconomic variables. Results Olympic outcomes are generated by a complex process involving the socioeconomic status of women and, more weakly, soc…
Sanctioning North Korea
Following North Korea's second nuclear test, the U.N. Security Council tightened sanctions. However, North Korea has tilted its relations toward partners uninterested in such measures. Since 2005, it has retreated from economic reform, most obviously in the 2009 confiscatory currency reform. These developments raise doubts about North Korea's interest in engagement
Famine in North Korea
Rigorous Speculation
The Philippines in the Asian Financial Crisis
The Philippines has long been regarded as the weak sister of Asia, but in the Asian financial crisis it performed relatively well. This is not simply a matter of not being able to fall out of the basement, either—in mid-1997 the Philippines economy was forecasted to grow at more than six percent in 1998, and both the post-crisis forecasts revisions, and the degree of the eventual contraction were less in the Philippines than elsewhere in Asia. Ra…
A security and peace mechanism for Northeast Asia
Northeast Asia is notable for the relative absence of regional institutions. The Six Party Talks could constitute an embryonic starting point for the development of such institutions. The path toward greater institutionalization is likely to begin in a modest fashion. Functional working groups on topics such as the environment, maritime transport, technical barriers to trade, road and rail links, and energy could provide the locus for integrating…
North Korea in 2008
In 2008, North-South relations worsened, food shortages re-emerged, and the Six Party process yielded an interim agreement. The U.S. dropped North Korea from the terrorism list but nuclear verification issues remained contentious. Kim Jong-il reportedly suffered a stroke in August, casting uncertainty over all aspects of politics and policy
A rab E conomies at a T ipping P oint
North Korea in 2007
The year 2007 witnessed a gradual rapprochement between North Korea and the world, reflecting changes both in the country's external environment and domestic political economy. Key markers were the resumption of the Six-Party Talks and the second North-South summit. Whether these developments will endure depends largely on North Korean intentions
Avoiding the Apocalypse
The Costs and Benefits of Korean Unification
In South Korea, there is growing skepticism about the desirability of unification, driven in large part by the perception that it would be prohibitively costly. A veritable cottage industry now exists devoted to the estimation of the prospective costs of Korean unification; these are typically found to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars (some of the more notable studies are summarized in Table 1). Existing studies have adopted one of two c…
Sources of International Comparative Advantage
Japanese Household Portfolio Allocation Behavior
International Trade Politics
Japanese Trade Elasticities and the J-Curve
Fiscal policies and the Japan-U.S. bilateral current account
Pacific Trade, Investment and Politics
The Impact of Industrial Policy on Japan's Trade Specialization
Recent research has demonstrated the possibility of welfare-enhancing industrial policy. This paper analyzes the impact of industrial policy on Japan's trade pattern and explores the possibility that it has been welfare-enhancing. Econometric results indicate that industrial policies have had an impact on Japan's trade specialization. These results are obtained contemporaneously and when the explanatory variables are lagged, suggesting either tha…
Reconcilable Differences? The United States-Japan Economic Conflict
United States-Japan economic conflict has four major dimensions: the large global trade imbalances of the two countries, structural differences between them, a large number of sectoral disputes, and their joint responsibility for global prosperity and stability. Two leading experts on United States-Japan economic relations examine the macroeconomic and microeconomic causes of these frictions and assess possible policy responses, including several…
Public Policy, Private Preferences, and the Japanese Trade Pattern
As nontariff forms of trade protection proliferate it has become more difficult to analyze the impact of trade policy on trade flows. In a number of well-known papers researchers have attempted to infer the impact of trade policy indirectly by ascribing to trade policy the differences between actual and predicted trade flows. Much of the work has been applied to analysis of Japanese trade policy, and the conclusions of these studies have differed…
Chasing Phantoms
Trade barriers, though usually considered welfare-reducing, are globally ubiquitous. In light of the enormous clash between what is and what ought to be, researchers have begun addressing the question of why countries so consistently pursue such apparently counterproductive policies
Why North Korea Will Muddle Through
After consulting with their superiors, the guards at Rajin har bor allowed us to exit. Apparently two Americans on a morning jog were not thought to pose a grave threat to national security. As we ran up the hill overlooking the harbor, I noticed a small military installa tion. On our way down I watched two soldiers stealthily working their way through the dilapidated structures, eventually reaching an isolated corner of the base, far from their …
The Costs and Benefits of Korean Unification
In South Korea, there is growing skepticism about the desirability of unification, driven in large part by the perception that it would be prohibitively costly. A veritable cottage industry now exists devoted to the estimation of the prospective costs of Korean unification; these are typically found to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars (some of the more notable studies are summarized in Table 1). Existing studies have adopted one of two c…
Learning to Love the WTO
The Asian Financial Crisis
Rigorous Speculation
The Philippines in the Asian Financial Crisis
The Philippines has long been regarded as the weak sister of Asia, but in the Asian financial crisis it performed relatively well. This is not simply a matter of not being able to fall out of the basement, either—in mid-1997 the Philippines economy was forecasted to grow at more than six percent in 1998, and both the post-crisis forecasts revisions, and the degree of the eventual contraction were less in the Philippines than elsewhere in Asia. Ra…
Avoiding the Apocalypse
Famine in North Korea
Religion and economic performance
Religions, islam et croissance économique. L'apport des analyses empiriques.
This article investigates the relationship between religion, culture and economic performance, with a particular emphasis on the alleged impact of Islam. Dominant religious affiliations in some countries and areas of the world seem to be related to performance. Analyses were conducted on samples of 50 and 78 countries at the cross-national level and on data from India, Malaysia, and Ghana at the subnational level. Results do not support the claim…
The Economic Implications of a North Korean Nuclear Breakout
encompasses a wide range of topics, from research on the political economy of U.S. trade policy and the
Famine in North Korea
A rab E conomies at a T ipping P oint
North Korea in 2007
The year 2007 witnessed a gradual rapprochement between North Korea and the world, reflecting changes both in the country's external environment and domestic political economy. Key markers were the resumption of the Six-Party Talks and the second North-South summit. Whether these developments will endure depends largely on North Korean intentions
Telecommunications in North Korea
IntroductionTelecommunications are one of the basic building blocks of a modern economy. In a world of globalized competition, economic development can be hamstrung by inferior telecommunications. But the formation of telecommunications policy poses a challenge for authoritarian regimes: while improvements in telecommunications can contribute to material prosperity, and by extension, political legitimacy, they may also contribute to a loss of con…
Economics (26 works) · Political science (22 works) · Korean Peninsula Historical and Political Studies (15 works) · Law (12 works) · International trade (10 works) · Development economics (9 works) · Law (9 works) · Business (8 works) · Global trade and economics (8 works) · Politics (8 works)