Robin Hanson
Biographic Data
| ID | 3714982 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Robin Hanson |
| GIVEN NAMES | Robin |
| FAMILY NAME | Hanson |
| SIGNATURE | HANSON R |
| AFFILIATIONS | George Mason University |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-8026-5604 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 6 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 21 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 6 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1998 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2019 |
| H-INDEX | 2 |
Long-term trajectories of human civilization
Purpose: This paper formalizes long-term trajectories of human civilization as a scientific and ethical field of study. The long-term trajectory of human civilization can be defined as the path that human civilization takes during the entire future time period in which human civilization could continue to exist. Approach: We focus on four types of trajectories: status quo trajectories, in which human civilization persists in a state broadly simil…
Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs
A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy
Prediction markets are low volume speculative markets whose prices offer informative forecasts on particular policy topics. Observers worry that traders may attempt to mislead decision makers by manipulating prices. We adapt a Kyle‐style market microstructure model to this case, adding a manipulator with an additional quadratic preference regarding the price. In this model, when other traders are uncertain about the manipulator's target price, th…
Designing real terrorism futures
The policy analysis market
No abstract available.
Consensus By Identifying Extremists
Long-term trajectories of human civilization
Purpose: This paper formalizes long-term trajectories of human civilization as a scientific and ethical field of study. The long-term trajectory of human civilization can be defined as the path that human civilization takes during the entire future time period in which human civilization could continue to exist. Approach: We focus on four types of trajectories: status quo trajectories, in which human civilization persists in a state broadly simil…
Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs
A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy
Prediction markets are low volume speculative markets whose prices offer informative forecasts on particular policy topics. Observers worry that traders may attempt to mislead decision makers by manipulating prices. We adapt a Kyle‐style market microstructure model to this case, adding a manipulator with an additional quadratic preference regarding the price. In this model, when other traders are uncertain about the manipulator's target price, th…
Designing real terrorism futures
Consensus By Identifying Extremists
The policy analysis market
No abstract available.
Designing real terrorism futures
A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy
Prediction markets are low volume speculative markets whose prices offer informative forecasts on particular policy topics. Observers worry that traders may attempt to mislead decision makers by manipulating prices. We adapt a Kyle‐style market microstructure model to this case, adding a manipulator with an additional quadratic preference regarding the price. In this model, when other traders are uncertain about the manipulator's target price, th…
Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs
Long-term trajectories of human civilization
Purpose: This paper formalizes long-term trajectories of human civilization as a scientific and ethical field of study. The long-term trajectory of human civilization can be defined as the path that human civilization takes during the entire future time period in which human civilization could continue to exist. Approach: We focus on four types of trajectories: status quo trajectories, in which human civilization persists in a state broadly simil…
Computer Science (4 works) · Artificial Intelligence (2 works) · Artificial Intelligence (2 works) · Economics (2 works) · Incentive (2 works) · Microeconomics (2 works) · Philosophy (2 works) · Sports Analytics and Performance (2 works) · Actuarial science (1 works) · Agricultural risk and resilience (1 works)