Aiko Wagner
Biographic Data
| ID | 3717481 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Aiko Wagner |
| GIVEN NAMES | Aiko |
| FAMILY NAME | Wagner |
| SIGNATURE | WAGNER A |
| AFFILIATIONS | WZB Berlin Social Science Center |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-6456-2710 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 18 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 115 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 17 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 1 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2012 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 7 |
Populist Parties, Female Populist Leaders, and the Gendered Vote in Germany
Studying the relationship between gender and populist voting is challenging because few electoral contexts allow for a direct comparison of relevant populist parties from different ideological camps under shared structural conditions. The 2025 German federal election provides a rare case: two ideologically distinct populist parties, both led by prominent female leaders, competed nationally. Alice Weidel headed the radical-right AfD, while Sahra W…
Issue congruence outweighs geography: Understanding the appeal of Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) in east and west Germany
Worth the Risk? Mass Obstruction, Vigilantism, and Public Support for Climate Activists
This study examines the influence of mass obstruction tactics within the new climate movement on public support for activists and their goals. Using a survey experiment that manipulates different protest scenarios, we analyze the impact of obstructive protests with and without vigilante intervention on public opinion. Our results suggest that while obstructive tactics are perceived negatively by the public, they do not significantly affect suppor…
Eine Frage der Perspektive: Zur Einordnung von Wahlergebnissen aus Anlass der Europawahl 2024
Nach Europawahlen werden von Medien, Parteien und auch der Wissenschaft häufig Rückschlüsse auf die politische Stimmung in einem Mitgliedsland gezogen. Die Wahlen zum Europäischen Parlament stellen allerdings Nebenwahlen dar, die von den Bürger:innen häufig als „Denkzettel“ für die nationalen Regierungsparteien genutzt werden. Eine geringere und selektivere Wahlbeteiligung, sowie andere Themenlagen als bei nationalen Hauptwahlen tragen oft zu deu…
Fighting for a Lost Cause? Availability of Populist Radical Right Voters for Established Parties. The Case of Germany
This study examines the availability of populist radical right voters for mainstream parties. Are there segments within the electorate of PRRPs that can be regained by (specific) established non-populist parties? Focusing on the German context, the paper analyzes the availability of AfD voters on the electoral market. We demonstrate that relatively low availability can be traced back to the voters' distance in issue positions, the strength of pop…
Party System Change in Eastern and Western Germany Between Convergence and Dissimilarity
This paper compares the evolution of critical characteristics of the party systems in Eastern and Western Germany since unification. While the institutionalisation hypothesis implies that the party system in Eastern Germany should adjust towards its Western German counterpart, the ongoing dealignment suggests a loosening of party-voter-linkages and, ultimately, non-institutionalisation in Eastern Germany and party system de-institutionalisation i…
Germany Going Postal? Comparing Postal and Election Day Voters in the 2017 German Federal Election
The proportion of voters casting their votes by mail days or even weeks before election day has risen from initially five per cent to nearly thirty per cent in the 2017 German federal election. At the same time, the differences in election results between postal and election day voters are increasing, reaching a record at the Bundestag election in 2017. Against this background, it seems particularly surprising that there are only a small number o…
Wählen in der Pandemie: Herausforderungen und Konsequenzen
Die Herausforderungen durch das Coronavirus erfassen alle Lebensbereiche, nicht zuletzt die Politik im "Superwahljahr" 2021. Anders als z. B. Sportveranstaltungen können Wahlen jedoch nicht einfach abgesagt, verschoben oder ohne Zuschauer:innen durchgeführt werden. Während in Israel während des Ausbruchs der Epidemie Anfang März spezielle Wahllokale mit medizinischem Personal in Schutzkleidung für unter Quarantäne stehende Wähler:innen eingericht…
Becoming part of the gang? Established and nonestablished populist parties and the role of external efficacy
In this article, we examine the extent to which the influence of external efficacy on support for populist parties is conditional on the degree to which a populist party is an established player in a given party system. We do so using a two-step regression approach that allows us to investigate the varying effect of external efficacy in a multilevel setting. Making use of data on 23 European Union member states, we empirically demonstrate that th…
Do parties perceive their voter potentials correctly? Reconsidering the spatial logic of electoral competition
How party characteristics drive voters' evaluation criteria
Rekonvaleszenz der Demokratie? Die Erholung bürgerlicher Freiheitsrechte im internationalen Vergleich
A micro perspective on political competition: Electoral availability in the European electorates
Wirtschaft, Krise und Wahlverhalten
Contrasting First- and Second-Order Electoral Behaviour: Determinants of Individual Party Choice in European and German Federal Elections
In contrast to national elections, both parties and voters are assumed to think that ‘less is at stake’ in European elections: Campaigns are less intense, turnout is lower, and citizens are more inclined to ‘vote with their hearts’. The latter should be reflected in differing rationales of voting – party choice should not be based on identical determinants in national and European elections. However, this hypothesis has not been sufficiently test…
Räumliche Modelle des Repräsentationsgefühls. Vergleichende Analysen mit Fokus auf die Bundestagswahl 2009
It’s the responsibility, stupid: Determinanten der Verantwortlichkeitszuschreibung zwischen Europäischer Union und nationaler Regierung für die wirtschaftliche Lage
Parties and their Leaders. Does it matter how they match? The German General Elections 2009 in comparison
Becoming part of the gang? Established and nonestablished populist parties and the role of external efficacy
In this article, we examine the extent to which the influence of external efficacy on support for populist parties is conditional on the degree to which a populist party is an established player in a given party system. We do so using a two-step regression approach that allows us to investigate the varying effect of external efficacy in a multilevel setting. Making use of data on 23 European Union member states, we empirically demonstrate that th…
A micro perspective on political competition: Electoral availability in the European electorates
Contrasting First- and Second-Order Electoral Behaviour: Determinants of Individual Party Choice in European and German Federal Elections
In contrast to national elections, both parties and voters are assumed to think that ‘less is at stake’ in European elections: Campaigns are less intense, turnout is lower, and citizens are more inclined to ‘vote with their hearts’. The latter should be reflected in differing rationales of voting – party choice should not be based on identical determinants in national and European elections. However, this hypothesis has not been sufficiently test…
Parties and their Leaders. Does it matter how they match? The German General Elections 2009 in comparison
Fighting for a Lost Cause? Availability of Populist Radical Right Voters for Established Parties. The Case of Germany
This study examines the availability of populist radical right voters for mainstream parties. Are there segments within the electorate of PRRPs that can be regained by (specific) established non-populist parties? Focusing on the German context, the paper analyzes the availability of AfD voters on the electoral market. We demonstrate that relatively low availability can be traced back to the voters' distance in issue positions, the strength of pop…
How party characteristics drive voters' evaluation criteria
Do parties perceive their voter potentials correctly? Reconsidering the spatial logic of electoral competition
Party System Change in Eastern and Western Germany Between Convergence and Dissimilarity
This paper compares the evolution of critical characteristics of the party systems in Eastern and Western Germany since unification. While the institutionalisation hypothesis implies that the party system in Eastern Germany should adjust towards its Western German counterpart, the ongoing dealignment suggests a loosening of party-voter-linkages and, ultimately, non-institutionalisation in Eastern Germany and party system de-institutionalisation i…
Germany Going Postal? Comparing Postal and Election Day Voters in the 2017 German Federal Election
The proportion of voters casting their votes by mail days or even weeks before election day has risen from initially five per cent to nearly thirty per cent in the 2017 German federal election. At the same time, the differences in election results between postal and election day voters are increasing, reaching a record at the Bundestag election in 2017. Against this background, it seems particularly surprising that there are only a small number o…
Parties and their Leaders. Does it matter how they match? The German General Elections 2009 in comparison
Räumliche Modelle des Repräsentationsgefühls. Vergleichende Analysen mit Fokus auf die Bundestagswahl 2009
It’s the responsibility, stupid: Determinanten der Verantwortlichkeitszuschreibung zwischen Europäischer Union und nationaler Regierung für die wirtschaftliche Lage
Wirtschaft, Krise und Wahlverhalten
Contrasting First- and Second-Order Electoral Behaviour: Determinants of Individual Party Choice in European and German Federal Elections
In contrast to national elections, both parties and voters are assumed to think that ‘less is at stake’ in European elections: Campaigns are less intense, turnout is lower, and citizens are more inclined to ‘vote with their hearts’. The latter should be reflected in differing rationales of voting – party choice should not be based on identical determinants in national and European elections. However, this hypothesis has not been sufficiently test…
Rekonvaleszenz der Demokratie? Die Erholung bürgerlicher Freiheitsrechte im internationalen Vergleich
A micro perspective on political competition: Electoral availability in the European electorates
How party characteristics drive voters' evaluation criteria
Do parties perceive their voter potentials correctly? Reconsidering the spatial logic of electoral competition
Wählen in der Pandemie: Herausforderungen und Konsequenzen
Die Herausforderungen durch das Coronavirus erfassen alle Lebensbereiche, nicht zuletzt die Politik im "Superwahljahr" 2021. Anders als z. B. Sportveranstaltungen können Wahlen jedoch nicht einfach abgesagt, verschoben oder ohne Zuschauer:innen durchgeführt werden. Während in Israel während des Ausbruchs der Epidemie Anfang März spezielle Wahllokale mit medizinischem Personal in Schutzkleidung für unter Quarantäne stehende Wähler:innen eingericht…
Becoming part of the gang? Established and nonestablished populist parties and the role of external efficacy
In this article, we examine the extent to which the influence of external efficacy on support for populist parties is conditional on the degree to which a populist party is an established player in a given party system. We do so using a two-step regression approach that allows us to investigate the varying effect of external efficacy in a multilevel setting. Making use of data on 23 European Union member states, we empirically demonstrate that th…
Germany Going Postal? Comparing Postal and Election Day Voters in the 2017 German Federal Election
The proportion of voters casting their votes by mail days or even weeks before election day has risen from initially five per cent to nearly thirty per cent in the 2017 German federal election. At the same time, the differences in election results between postal and election day voters are increasing, reaching a record at the Bundestag election in 2017. Against this background, it seems particularly surprising that there are only a small number o…
Fighting for a Lost Cause? Availability of Populist Radical Right Voters for Established Parties. The Case of Germany
This study examines the availability of populist radical right voters for mainstream parties. Are there segments within the electorate of PRRPs that can be regained by (specific) established non-populist parties? Focusing on the German context, the paper analyzes the availability of AfD voters on the electoral market. We demonstrate that relatively low availability can be traced back to the voters' distance in issue positions, the strength of pop…
Party System Change in Eastern and Western Germany Between Convergence and Dissimilarity
This paper compares the evolution of critical characteristics of the party systems in Eastern and Western Germany since unification. While the institutionalisation hypothesis implies that the party system in Eastern Germany should adjust towards its Western German counterpart, the ongoing dealignment suggests a loosening of party-voter-linkages and, ultimately, non-institutionalisation in Eastern Germany and party system de-institutionalisation i…
Eine Frage der Perspektive: Zur Einordnung von Wahlergebnissen aus Anlass der Europawahl 2024
Nach Europawahlen werden von Medien, Parteien und auch der Wissenschaft häufig Rückschlüsse auf die politische Stimmung in einem Mitgliedsland gezogen. Die Wahlen zum Europäischen Parlament stellen allerdings Nebenwahlen dar, die von den Bürger:innen häufig als „Denkzettel“ für die nationalen Regierungsparteien genutzt werden. Eine geringere und selektivere Wahlbeteiligung, sowie andere Themenlagen als bei nationalen Hauptwahlen tragen oft zu deu…
Issue congruence outweighs geography: Understanding the appeal of Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) in east and west Germany
Worth the Risk? Mass Obstruction, Vigilantism, and Public Support for Climate Activists
This study examines the influence of mass obstruction tactics within the new climate movement on public support for activists and their goals. Using a survey experiment that manipulates different protest scenarios, we analyze the impact of obstructive protests with and without vigilante intervention on public opinion. Our results suggest that while obstructive tactics are perceived negatively by the public, they do not significantly affect suppor…
Populist Parties, Female Populist Leaders, and the Gendered Vote in Germany
Studying the relationship between gender and populist voting is challenging because few electoral contexts allow for a direct comparison of relevant populist parties from different ideological camps under shared structural conditions. The 2025 German federal election provides a rare case: two ideologically distinct populist parties, both led by prominent female leaders, competed nationally. Alice Weidel headed the radical-right AfD, while Sahra W…
Political science (17 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (12 works) · Law (11 works) · Politics (11 works) · Law (10 works) · Political economy (8 works) · Economics (7 works) · German (6 works) · Populism, Right-Wing Movements (6 works) · Humanities (5 works)