Dean Lacy
Biographic Data
| ID | 3717751 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Dean Lacy |
| GIVEN NAMES | Dean |
| FAMILY NAME | Lacy |
| SIGNATURE | LACY D |
| AFFILIATIONS | The Ohio State University |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-3490-4505 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 18 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 425 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 18 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1995 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2021 |
| H-INDEX | 10 |
Changing Votes, Changing Identities
Although racial identity is usually assumed to be unchanging, recent research shows otherwise. The role of politics in racial identity change has received little attention. Using panel data with waves around two recent presidential elections, this article reveals survey evidence of racial fluidity and its strong relationship with vote switching patterns. Across several models and robust to various controls, switching from a non-Republican vote in…
Measuring Preferences for Divided Government: Some Americans Want Divided Government and Vote to Create It
Who Votes for the Future? Information, Expectations, and Endogeneity in Economic Voting
Information and Heterogeneity in Issue Voting: Evidence from the 2008 Presidential Election in Taiwan
A voter's capacity to acquire and retain information moderates the relationship between issues and the vote. Issues differ in their distance from the voter's personal experience. Proximate issues, such as personal economic conditions, affect the vote decisions of highly informed and less informed voters equally. Distant issues, such as national economic conditions and foreign affairs, affect the vote of highly informed voters but not less informe…
Affective Forecasting Errors in the 2008 Election: Underpredicting Happiness
Individuals tend to be very bad at predicting their emotional responses to future events, often overestimating both the intensity and duration of their responses, particularly to negative events. The authors studied affective forecasting errors in the 2008 election in a large sample of undergraduates at Dartmouth College. Replicating past research, McCain supporters overpredicted their negative affect in response to the (future) election of Barac…
Testing proximity versus directional voting using experiments
A Theory of Economic Sanctions and Issue Linkage: The Roles of Preferences, Information, and Threats
A realistic theory of economic sanctions should be built on the facts that sanctions are a game of issue linkage involving two or more issues, players may not know each other's preferences for the outcome of the game, and threatening sanctions may be as important as imposing sanctions as a strategy in international disputes. The threat and use of economic sanctions are modeled as a multistage game of two-sided incomplete information between a tar…
The Origins and Impact of Votes for Third-Party Candidates: A Case Study of the 1998 Minnesota Gubernatorial Election
The Origins and Impact of Votes for Third-Party Candidates: A Case Study of the 1998 Minnesota Gubernatorial Election
We estimate a multinomial probit model of vote choice and turnout to examine the 1998 Minnesota gubernatorial election. Like supporters of recent third-party presidential candidates, voters who elected Jesse Vetura tended to be young, male, lower in education, liberal on social issues, and fiscally conservative. Ventura support was not due to a geeral dissatisfaction with U.S. government, but it was correlated with voter dissatisfaction with Minn…
Economic Performance, Job Insecurity and Electoral Choice
The existing literature on economic voting concentrates on egocentric and sociotropic evaluations of short-term economic performance. Scant attention is paid to other economic concerns people may have. In a neo-liberal economy characterized by global economic competition and a down-sized labour market, one widely-publicized economic concern – and one whose consequences political scientists have largely ignored – is job insecurity. Data from a sur…
Nonseparable Preferences, Measurement Error, and Unstable Survey Responses
A person has nonseparable preferences when her preference on an issue depends on the outcome of other issues. A model of survey responses in which preferences are measured with error implies that responses will change depending on the order of questions and vary over time when respondents have nonseparable preferences. Results from two survey experiments confirm that changes in survey responses due to question order are explained by nonseparable …
A Theory of Nonseparable Preferences in Survey Responses
A person has nonseparable preferences when her preferences for the outcome of one issue or set of issues depend on the outcome of other issues. A model of individual-level responses to issue questions in public opinion surveys implies that when people have nonseparable preferences, their responses will change depending on the order of questions. An individual's responses may also vary over as her perception of the status quo changes. A telephone …
A Problem with Referendums
When some voters have nonseparable preferences across multiple binary issues, majority rule may not select a Condorcet winning set of outcomes when one exists, and the social choice may be a Condorcet loser or Pareto-dominated by every other set of outcomes. We present an empirical example of one such paradox from voting on the Internet. We evaluate potential solutions to the problem of nonseparable preferences in referendums, including set-wise …
The Vote-Stealing and Turnout Effects of Ross Perot in the 1992 U.S. Presidential Election
Including abstention as a choice in vote choice models enables one to calculate the votestealing and turnout effects of third-party candidates. A model of the vote including abstention also produces parameter estimates and marginal effects for some explanatory variables that differ from the results of a model that excludes abstention. We present two multinomial probit models of vote choice in the 1992 U.S. presidential election. One model include…
Retrospective and prospective voting in a one-party-dominant democracy: Taiwan's 1996 presidential election
Elections in Double-Member Districts with Nonseparable Voter Preferences
We derive Nash equilibrium candidate strategies in a double-member district election when voters have nonseparable preferences for candidates in a single-dimensional policy space. When candidates are elected simultaneously, nonseparable voter preferences create multiple equilibria, including some in which candidates adopt extreme positions. The results are robust to limited voter uncertainty about candidate interaction in the legislature. Nonsepa…
Downsian Voting and the Separation of Powers
Theory: Voters, as Downs (1957) argues, cast instrumental rather than expressive votes. Voters choose between candidates based on the policy outcomes they expect from the candidates rather than on the policy platforms of the candidates. Voters' expectations about the policy outputs of candidates depend on the partisan control of the separate branches of government in a separation of powers system. Hypotheses: Voters perceive differences between a…
Activities and Appointments
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. As you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button
A Theory of Economic Sanctions and Issue Linkage: The Roles of Preferences, Information, and Threats
A realistic theory of economic sanctions should be built on the facts that sanctions are a game of issue linkage involving two or more issues, players may not know each other's preferences for the outcome of the game, and threatening sanctions may be as important as imposing sanctions as a strategy in international disputes. The threat and use of economic sanctions are modeled as a multistage game of two-sided incomplete information between a tar…
The Vote-Stealing and Turnout Effects of Ross Perot in the 1992 U.S. Presidential Election
Including abstention as a choice in vote choice models enables one to calculate the votestealing and turnout effects of third-party candidates. A model of the vote including abstention also produces parameter estimates and marginal effects for some explanatory variables that differ from the results of a model that excludes abstention. We present two multinomial probit models of vote choice in the 1992 U.S. presidential election. One model include…
Economic Performance, Job Insecurity and Electoral Choice
The existing literature on economic voting concentrates on egocentric and sociotropic evaluations of short-term economic performance. Scant attention is paid to other economic concerns people may have. In a neo-liberal economy characterized by global economic competition and a down-sized labour market, one widely-publicized economic concern – and one whose consequences political scientists have largely ignored – is job insecurity. Data from a sur…
A Theory of Nonseparable Preferences in Survey Responses
A person has nonseparable preferences when her preferences for the outcome of one issue or set of issues depend on the outcome of other issues. A model of individual-level responses to issue questions in public opinion surveys implies that when people have nonseparable preferences, their responses will change depending on the order of questions. An individual's responses may also vary over as her perception of the status quo changes. A telephone …
Downsian Voting and the Separation of Powers
Theory: Voters, as Downs (1957) argues, cast instrumental rather than expressive votes. Voters choose between candidates based on the policy outcomes they expect from the candidates rather than on the policy platforms of the candidates. Voters' expectations about the policy outputs of candidates depend on the partisan control of the separate branches of government in a separation of powers system. Hypotheses: Voters perceive differences between a…
Testing proximity versus directional voting using experiments
Who Votes for the Future? Information, Expectations, and Endogeneity in Economic Voting
A Problem with Referendums
When some voters have nonseparable preferences across multiple binary issues, majority rule may not select a Condorcet winning set of outcomes when one exists, and the social choice may be a Condorcet loser or Pareto-dominated by every other set of outcomes. We present an empirical example of one such paradox from voting on the Internet. We evaluate potential solutions to the problem of nonseparable preferences in referendums, including set-wise …
Changing Votes, Changing Identities
Although racial identity is usually assumed to be unchanging, recent research shows otherwise. The role of politics in racial identity change has received little attention. Using panel data with waves around two recent presidential elections, this article reveals survey evidence of racial fluidity and its strong relationship with vote switching patterns. Across several models and robust to various controls, switching from a non-Republican vote in…
Nonseparable Preferences, Measurement Error, and Unstable Survey Responses
A person has nonseparable preferences when her preference on an issue depends on the outcome of other issues. A model of survey responses in which preferences are measured with error implies that responses will change depending on the order of questions and vary over time when respondents have nonseparable preferences. Results from two survey experiments confirm that changes in survey responses due to question order are explained by nonseparable …
The Origins and Impact of Votes for Third-Party Candidates: A Case Study of the 1998 Minnesota Gubernatorial Election
We estimate a multinomial probit model of vote choice and turnout to examine the 1998 Minnesota gubernatorial election. Like supporters of recent third-party presidential candidates, voters who elected Jesse Vetura tended to be young, male, lower in education, liberal on social issues, and fiscally conservative. Ventura support was not due to a geeral dissatisfaction with U.S. government, but it was correlated with voter dissatisfaction with Minn…
Elections in Double-Member Districts with Nonseparable Voter Preferences
We derive Nash equilibrium candidate strategies in a double-member district election when voters have nonseparable preferences for candidates in a single-dimensional policy space. When candidates are elected simultaneously, nonseparable voter preferences create multiple equilibria, including some in which candidates adopt extreme positions. The results are robust to limited voter uncertainty about candidate interaction in the legislature. Nonsepa…
Retrospective and prospective voting in a one-party-dominant democracy: Taiwan's 1996 presidential election
Measuring Preferences for Divided Government: Some Americans Want Divided Government and Vote to Create It
Affective Forecasting Errors in the 2008 Election: Underpredicting Happiness
Individuals tend to be very bad at predicting their emotional responses to future events, often overestimating both the intensity and duration of their responses, particularly to negative events. The authors studied affective forecasting errors in the 2008 election in a large sample of undergraduates at Dartmouth College. Replicating past research, McCain supporters overpredicted their negative affect in response to the (future) election of Barac…
Information and Heterogeneity in Issue Voting: Evidence from the 2008 Presidential Election in Taiwan
A voter's capacity to acquire and retain information moderates the relationship between issues and the vote. Issues differ in their distance from the voter's personal experience. Proximate issues, such as personal economic conditions, affect the vote decisions of highly informed and less informed voters equally. Distant issues, such as national economic conditions and foreign affairs, affect the vote of highly informed voters but not less informe…
The Origins and Impact of Votes for Third-Party Candidates: A Case Study of the 1998 Minnesota Gubernatorial Election
Activities and Appointments
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. As you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button
Retrospective and prospective voting in a one-party-dominant democracy: Taiwan's 1996 presidential election
Elections in Double-Member Districts with Nonseparable Voter Preferences
We derive Nash equilibrium candidate strategies in a double-member district election when voters have nonseparable preferences for candidates in a single-dimensional policy space. When candidates are elected simultaneously, nonseparable voter preferences create multiple equilibria, including some in which candidates adopt extreme positions. The results are robust to limited voter uncertainty about candidate interaction in the legislature. Nonsepa…
Downsian Voting and the Separation of Powers
Theory: Voters, as Downs (1957) argues, cast instrumental rather than expressive votes. Voters choose between candidates based on the policy outcomes they expect from the candidates rather than on the policy platforms of the candidates. Voters' expectations about the policy outputs of candidates depend on the partisan control of the separate branches of government in a separation of powers system. Hypotheses: Voters perceive differences between a…
The Vote-Stealing and Turnout Effects of Ross Perot in the 1992 U.S. Presidential Election
Including abstention as a choice in vote choice models enables one to calculate the votestealing and turnout effects of third-party candidates. A model of the vote including abstention also produces parameter estimates and marginal effects for some explanatory variables that differ from the results of a model that excludes abstention. We present two multinomial probit models of vote choice in the 1992 U.S. presidential election. One model include…
A Problem with Referendums
When some voters have nonseparable preferences across multiple binary issues, majority rule may not select a Condorcet winning set of outcomes when one exists, and the social choice may be a Condorcet loser or Pareto-dominated by every other set of outcomes. We present an empirical example of one such paradox from voting on the Internet. We evaluate potential solutions to the problem of nonseparable preferences in referendums, including set-wise …
Nonseparable Preferences, Measurement Error, and Unstable Survey Responses
A person has nonseparable preferences when her preference on an issue depends on the outcome of other issues. A model of survey responses in which preferences are measured with error implies that responses will change depending on the order of questions and vary over time when respondents have nonseparable preferences. Results from two survey experiments confirm that changes in survey responses due to question order are explained by nonseparable …
A Theory of Nonseparable Preferences in Survey Responses
A person has nonseparable preferences when her preferences for the outcome of one issue or set of issues depend on the outcome of other issues. A model of individual-level responses to issue questions in public opinion surveys implies that when people have nonseparable preferences, their responses will change depending on the order of questions. An individual's responses may also vary over as her perception of the status quo changes. A telephone …
The Origins and Impact of Votes for Third-Party Candidates: A Case Study of the 1998 Minnesota Gubernatorial Election
The Origins and Impact of Votes for Third-Party Candidates: A Case Study of the 1998 Minnesota Gubernatorial Election
We estimate a multinomial probit model of vote choice and turnout to examine the 1998 Minnesota gubernatorial election. Like supporters of recent third-party presidential candidates, voters who elected Jesse Vetura tended to be young, male, lower in education, liberal on social issues, and fiscally conservative. Ventura support was not due to a geeral dissatisfaction with U.S. government, but it was correlated with voter dissatisfaction with Minn…
Economic Performance, Job Insecurity and Electoral Choice
The existing literature on economic voting concentrates on egocentric and sociotropic evaluations of short-term economic performance. Scant attention is paid to other economic concerns people may have. In a neo-liberal economy characterized by global economic competition and a down-sized labour market, one widely-publicized economic concern – and one whose consequences political scientists have largely ignored – is job insecurity. Data from a sur…
A Theory of Economic Sanctions and Issue Linkage: The Roles of Preferences, Information, and Threats
A realistic theory of economic sanctions should be built on the facts that sanctions are a game of issue linkage involving two or more issues, players may not know each other's preferences for the outcome of the game, and threatening sanctions may be as important as imposing sanctions as a strategy in international disputes. The threat and use of economic sanctions are modeled as a multistage game of two-sided incomplete information between a tar…
Testing proximity versus directional voting using experiments
Affective Forecasting Errors in the 2008 Election: Underpredicting Happiness
Individuals tend to be very bad at predicting their emotional responses to future events, often overestimating both the intensity and duration of their responses, particularly to negative events. The authors studied affective forecasting errors in the 2008 election in a large sample of undergraduates at Dartmouth College. Replicating past research, McCain supporters overpredicted their negative affect in response to the (future) election of Barac…
Information and Heterogeneity in Issue Voting: Evidence from the 2008 Presidential Election in Taiwan
A voter's capacity to acquire and retain information moderates the relationship between issues and the vote. Issues differ in their distance from the voter's personal experience. Proximate issues, such as personal economic conditions, affect the vote decisions of highly informed and less informed voters equally. Distant issues, such as national economic conditions and foreign affairs, affect the vote of highly informed voters but not less informe…
Who Votes for the Future? Information, Expectations, and Endogeneity in Economic Voting
Measuring Preferences for Divided Government: Some Americans Want Divided Government and Vote to Create It
Changing Votes, Changing Identities
Although racial identity is usually assumed to be unchanging, recent research shows otherwise. The role of politics in racial identity change has received little attention. Using panel data with waves around two recent presidential elections, this article reveals survey evidence of racial fluidity and its strong relationship with vote switching patterns. Across several models and robust to various controls, switching from a non-Republican vote in…
Political science (17 works) · Politics (16 works) · Economics (15 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (14 works) · Law (13 works) · Law (13 works) · Voting (11 works) · Public economics (8 works) · Psychology (7 works) · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy (6 works)