Jochen Müller
Biographic Data
| ID | 3718053 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Jochen Müller |
| GIVEN NAMES | Jochen |
| FAMILY NAME | Müller |
| SIGNATURE | MULLER J |
| AFFILIATIONS | Universität Greifswald |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-4021-7442 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 30 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 481 |
| WORKS AS AUTHOR | 30 |
| WORKS AS EDITOR | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2008 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 11 |
Party Competition and Voter Attitudes in German Border Regions
When studying questions of European democracy, research is still very much focused on national political actors. This can be partly explained by the fact that data on political parties’ positions toward Europe and citizens’ attitudes have been mainly collected at the national level, and because sample sizes at the regional or local levels are too small. However, political parties compete about issues related to Europe on different levels—and espe…
When do voters perceive intra-party conflict? A democratic life cycle perspective
Political parties commonly experience internal disagreements. Recently, evidence is accumulating that outright internal discord makes a party much less attractive to voters. However, we do not understand well when citizens perceive a party to be internally conflicted in the first place. We here explain citizens’ perceptions from a democratic life cycle perspective: Factors related to the periodic conduct of elections induce higher levels of intra…
Navigating complexity
State elections in Germany’s multi-level polity have important implications for politics at both the regional and the federal level: state governments’ composition makes a difference for both policy outputs and the federal government’s political leeway. We provide novel insights into long-term trends in state elections, including aspects of voting behavior, party systems, and government formations, covering elections between 1946 and 2023. We arg…
Parteiendifferenz in der Waldpolitik. Eine Analyse der deutschen Bundesländer
Welche Bedeutung messen die Landesparteien der Waldpolitik bei? Welche Waldfunktionen priorisieren sie? Inwieweit sind ihre Positionen von Parteiendifferenzen geprägt? Um diese Forschungsfragen zu adressieren, führen wir eine textanalytische Auswertung von Landtagswahlprogrammen durch, die im Zeitraum von 1990 bis 2019 veröffentlicht wurden. Unsere Analysen zeigen, dass die Positionen der Parteien nicht nur vom regionalen Kontext geprägt, sondern…
Seit Köln“, und „nach Chemnitz“ – Schlüsselereignisse im parlamentarischen Diskurs
Die Kölner Silvesternacht 2015/2016 und die Vorfälle in Chemnitz 2018 sind Schlüsselereignisse der jüngeren deutschen Geschichte, die eng mit den Konflikten in der Migrations- und Integrationspolitik verbunden sind. Wir untersuchen die diskursive Verarbeitung dieser Ereignisse in den Landtagen. Dazu verbinden wir qualitative und quantitative Verfahren der Textanalyse und werten einen umfangreichen Korpus aller Plenardebatten aus, die seit den Sil…
Parteienwettbewerb in den deutschen Bundesländern
The Unequal Distribution of Speaking Time in Parliamentary‐Party Groups
Parliamentary debates provide an arena where Members of Parliament (MPs) present, challenge, or defend public policies. However, the “plenary bottleneck” allows the party leadership to decide who participates in a debate. We argue that in this decision the timing of a debate matters: in proximity of elections, the leadership should be concerned with maintaining its brand name and therefore restrict floor access, in particular if the debate is sal…
Party Competition and Government Formation in Germany
The process of coalition formation following the 2017 Bundestag election was the most difficult in German post-war history. For the first time Germany saw negotiations fail, a minority government being discussed as a real possibility, and the federal president involved as formateur in coalition politics. The aim of this contribution is to explain why government formation was so intricate after the 2017 election. To this end, we trace patterns of …
Politikpositionen von Regierungen im Ländervergleich
German regional elections
This paper looks at German regional elections and evaluates the patterns of voting that can be observed in aggregate results and individual behaviour. In the first step, I summarize the characteristic features of political competition in the German multi-level system. I use elections held between 2013 and 2017 to illustrate contextual and election-specific factors that contribute to the observable patterns of voting. In a second step, I evaluate …
Assessing democratic representation in multi-level democracies
This article introduces the special issue ‘Assessing democratic representation in multi-level democracies’ from a conceptual perspective. It adapts Powell’s chain of responsiveness – as a model of the democratic process on the national level – to the context of multi-level systems and discusses conditions that might facilitate or hamper responsiveness in regional democracies. The theoretical reasoning identifies added complexity, multiple actors …
Modeling Preferences Using Roll Call Votes in Parliamentary Systems
Models of ideal point estimation usually build on the assumption of spatial preferences. This ignores legislators' non-policy incentives and is thus likely to produce implausible results for many legislatures. We study this problem in parliamentary systems and develop a model of roll call voting that considers both thepolicyand the non-policy,tacticalincentives of legislators. We go on to show how the relative weight of these policy and tactical …
Consociational and rational coalitions
Personal Characteristics of MPs and Legislative Behavior in Moral Policymaking
Theoretical and empirical models of legislative decision making in parliamentary democracies typically neglect the policy preferences of individual MPs and instead focus on political parties and possible institutional constraints. We argue that MPs actually make judgments and decisions on the basis of their preferences, which are shaped by their personal characteristics. However, given the strength of parties in most parliamentary systems, the im…
Voters on the Move or on the Run
This volume offers three things. First of all, unsurprisingly for a publication compiled by principal investigators of the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES), it represents a comprehensive s
Convictions and Signals in Parliamentary Speeches
While party unity in legislative voting is generally high in parliamentary democracies, debates provide MPs with the opportunity to express political views even if they deviate from the party line. Using the extensive parliamentary debates on the reform of the Irish abortion legislation in 2001 and 2013, we assess whether Teachtaí Dála (TD) send signals to their constituents. In doing so, we take into account literature on the individual preferen…
Salafismus als Ausweg? Zur Attraktivität des Salafismus unter Jugendlichen
Who Takes the Parliamentary Floor? The Role of Gender in Speech-making in the SwedishRiksdag
Legislative speeches are an important instrument for parties and members of parliament (MPs) to signal their positions and priorities. This raises the question of who speaks when. We evaluate whether a MP’s presence on the floor depends on his or her gender. We hypothesize that female MPs give in general less speeches in parliament and that this pattern results from debates dealing with “harder” policy issues. Our expectations are supported when …
Expected utility or learned familiarity? The formation of voters' coalition preferences
Das legislative Verhalten von Bundestagsabgeordneten zwischen persönlichen Charakteristika, Wahlkreisinteressen und Parteilinie
Die meisten Ansätze zur Erklärung legislativen Handelns und Entscheidens in parlamentarischen Demokratien konzentrieren sich auf institutionell basierte Anreize und die ideologisch-programmatischen Präferenzen der involvierten politischen Akteure. Im vorliegenden Beitrag argumentieren wir, dass insbesondere bei ethisch-religiös unterlegten Thematiken, bei denen vielfach nur ein geringes Maß an Parteidisziplin herrscht, persönliche Eigenschaften u…
Do Voters’ Coalition Preferences Affect Government Formation
Studies on coalition formation assume that political parties have two major goals: They aim to maximize office and policy payoffs. In this paper, we show that decision making in the government formation game is also determined by the voters’ coalition preferences. Since the coalition formation process is not a one shot game, parties have to take the coalition preferences of the electorate into account when they evaluate the utility of potential c…
The Programmatic Development of CDU and CSU since Reunification
Like all political parties in modern democracies, the major German parties face challenges caused by changes both in the social structure of the electorate and in value orientations. Generally speaking, parties have to adopt policy positions that take into account changes in the preferences and structure of the electorate in order to maximise their share of votes. This article focuses on the programmatic development of the German Christian Democr…
Second order“-Effekte und Determinanten der individuellen Wahlentscheidung bei Landtagswahlen
Regional Government Formation in Varying Multilevel Contexts
Bäck H., Debus M., Müller J. and Bäck H. Regional government formation in varying multilevel contexts: a comparison of eight European countries, Regional Studies. Although governance in multilevel settings has become a prominent research field in political science, there are few comparative studies that focus on explaining sub-national coalition outcomes in such settings. This paper sets out to study regional government formation in eight Europea…
Bewertung möglicher Regierungen oder Spiegel des politischen Wettbewerbs? Determinanten der Koalitionspräferenzen der Wähler in den Bundesländern von 1990 bis 2009
Coalition governments are the norm in the German multilevel-system. Their existence not only affects the political process and policy-making, but also increases the complexity of voting: The behaviour of voters at the polls is not only based on the evaluation of the parties, but also influenced by their opinion on the coalitions that the parties could form after the election. But we still know little about the determinants of voters' coalition pr…
Who Takes the Parliamentary Floor? The Role of Gender in Speech-making in the SwedishRiksdag
Legislative speeches are an important instrument for parties and members of parliament (MPs) to signal their positions and priorities. This raises the question of who speaks when. We evaluate whether a MP’s presence on the floor depends on his or her gender. We hypothesize that female MPs give in general less speeches in parliament and that this pattern results from debates dealing with “harder” policy issues. Our expectations are supported when …
Personal Characteristics of MPs and Legislative Behavior in Moral Policymaking
Theoretical and empirical models of legislative decision making in parliamentary democracies typically neglect the policy preferences of individual MPs and instead focus on political parties and possible institutional constraints. We argue that MPs actually make judgments and decisions on the basis of their preferences, which are shaped by their personal characteristics. However, given the strength of parties in most parliamentary systems, the im…
Regional Government Formation in Varying Multilevel Contexts
Bäck H., Debus M., Müller J. and Bäck H. Regional government formation in varying multilevel contexts: a comparison of eight European countries, Regional Studies. Although governance in multilevel settings has become a prominent research field in political science, there are few comparative studies that focus on explaining sub-national coalition outcomes in such settings. This paper sets out to study regional government formation in eight Europea…
The Impact of the Socio-Economic Context on the Länder Parties' Policy Positions
Like father, unlike sons: German parties at the state level (Länder parties) not only differ with regard to their roots, their membership structure and their electoral successes, they also exhibit remarkably varied policy preferences. Although several case studies of parties and party systems in the Länder offer important insights, we still lack systematic knowledge about the causes of this variation in policy. This article seeks to fill that voi…
Party Competition and Government Formation in Germany
The process of coalition formation following the 2017 Bundestag election was the most difficult in German post-war history. For the first time Germany saw negotiations fail, a minority government being discussed as a real possibility, and the federal president involved as formateur in coalition politics. The aim of this contribution is to explain why government formation was so intricate after the 2017 election. To this end, we trace patterns of …
Assessing democratic representation in multi-level democracies
This article introduces the special issue ‘Assessing democratic representation in multi-level democracies’ from a conceptual perspective. It adapts Powell’s chain of responsiveness – as a model of the democratic process on the national level – to the context of multi-level systems and discusses conditions that might facilitate or hamper responsiveness in regional democracies. The theoretical reasoning identifies added complexity, multiple actors …
Do Voters’ Coalition Preferences Affect Government Formation
Studies on coalition formation assume that political parties have two major goals: They aim to maximize office and policy payoffs. In this paper, we show that decision making in the government formation game is also determined by the voters’ coalition preferences. Since the coalition formation process is not a one shot game, parties have to take the coalition preferences of the electorate into account when they evaluate the utility of potential c…
The Unequal Distribution of Speaking Time in Parliamentary‐Party Groups
Parliamentary debates provide an arena where Members of Parliament (MPs) present, challenge, or defend public policies. However, the “plenary bottleneck” allows the party leadership to decide who participates in a debate. We argue that in this decision the timing of a debate matters: in proximity of elections, the leadership should be concerned with maintaining its brand name and therefore restrict floor access, in particular if the debate is sal…
Expected utility or learned familiarity? The formation of voters' coalition preferences
Die Bedeutung des regionalen Kontexts für die programmatische Positionierung von Schweizer Kantonalparteien1
In Mehrebenensystemen agierende Parteien sind mit sozialstrukturell sehr unterschiedlich zusammengesetzten Wählerschaften konfrontiert. Da für regionale Parteigliederungen – insbesondere in föderal organisierten Demokratien – der Wettbewerb um Wählerstimmen zuvorderst innerhalb der Grenzen der jeweiligen Region stattfindet, müssen sie den unterschiedlich zusammengesetzten Elektoraten differenzierte inhaltliche Angebote machen, die auf die spezifi…
Modeling Preferences Using Roll Call Votes in Parliamentary Systems
Models of ideal point estimation usually build on the assumption of spatial preferences. This ignores legislators' non-policy incentives and is thus likely to produce implausible results for many legislatures. We study this problem in parliamentary systems and develop a model of roll call voting that considers both thepolicyand the non-policy,tacticalincentives of legislators. We go on to show how the relative weight of these policy and tactical …
The Programmatic Development of CDU and CSU since Reunification
Like all political parties in modern democracies, the major German parties face challenges caused by changes both in the social structure of the electorate and in value orientations. Generally speaking, parties have to adopt policy positions that take into account changes in the preferences and structure of the electorate in order to maximise their share of votes. This article focuses on the programmatic development of the German Christian Democr…
Convictions and Signals in Parliamentary Speeches
While party unity in legislative voting is generally high in parliamentary democracies, debates provide MPs with the opportunity to express political views even if they deviate from the party line. Using the extensive parliamentary debates on the reform of the Irish abortion legislation in 2001 and 2013, we assess whether Teachtaí Dála (TD) send signals to their constituents. In doing so, we take into account literature on the individual preferen…
Das legislative Verhalten von Bundestagsabgeordneten zwischen persönlichen Charakteristika, Wahlkreisinteressen und Parteilinie
Die meisten Ansätze zur Erklärung legislativen Handelns und Entscheidens in parlamentarischen Demokratien konzentrieren sich auf institutionell basierte Anreize und die ideologisch-programmatischen Präferenzen der involvierten politischen Akteure. Im vorliegenden Beitrag argumentieren wir, dass insbesondere bei ethisch-religiös unterlegten Thematiken, bei denen vielfach nur ein geringes Maß an Parteidisziplin herrscht, persönliche Eigenschaften u…
Consociational and rational coalitions
The Attitudes to Chocolate Questionnaire
German regional elections
This paper looks at German regional elections and evaluates the patterns of voting that can be observed in aggregate results and individual behaviour. In the first step, I summarize the characteristic features of political competition in the German multi-level system. I use elections held between 2013 and 2017 to illustrate contextual and election-specific factors that contribute to the observable patterns of voting. In a second step, I evaluate …
Europeanization and government formation in multi-level systems
The development towards a ‘Europe of the Regions’ is accompanied by a complex system of cooperation and interdependence between the different levels of policy-making. In this article, we ask how European integration affects the party composition of regional governments. We argue that the European Union (EU) classification system of regions — the ‘Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics’ (NUTS) — establishes incentives to form similar coa…
When do voters perceive intra-party conflict? A democratic life cycle perspective
Political parties commonly experience internal disagreements. Recently, evidence is accumulating that outright internal discord makes a party much less attractive to voters. However, we do not understand well when citizens perceive a party to be internally conflicted in the first place. We here explain citizens’ perceptions from a democratic life cycle perspective: Factors related to the periodic conduct of elections induce higher levels of intra…
Bewertung möglicher Regierungen oder Spiegel des politischen Wettbewerbs? Determinanten der Koalitionspräferenzen der Wähler in den Bundesländern von 1990 bis 2009
Coalition governments are the norm in the German multilevel-system. Their existence not only affects the political process and policy-making, but also increases the complexity of voting: The behaviour of voters at the polls is not only based on the evaluation of the parties, but also influenced by their opinion on the coalitions that the parties could form after the election. But we still know little about the determinants of voters' coalition pr…
Navigating complexity
State elections in Germany’s multi-level polity have important implications for politics at both the regional and the federal level: state governments’ composition makes a difference for both policy outputs and the federal government’s political leeway. We provide novel insights into long-term trends in state elections, including aspects of voting behavior, party systems, and government formations, covering elections between 1946 and 2023. We arg…
Government Formation after the 2009 Federal Election
The question ‘who gets in?’ is one of the central research areas in studies on coalition politics. This paper analyses government formation after the 2009 Bundestag elections in Germany. On the basis of the ‘Political Heart’ model, which is modified in a way so as to include the parties' pre-electoral coalition statements, it is argued that the Christian Democrats maintained a pivotal position during the 2009 German coalition formation game. In a…
The Attitudes to Chocolate Questionnaire
The Impact of the Socio-Economic Context on the Länder Parties' Policy Positions
Like father, unlike sons: German parties at the state level (Länder parties) not only differ with regard to their roots, their membership structure and their electoral successes, they also exhibit remarkably varied policy preferences. Although several case studies of parties and party systems in the Länder offer important insights, we still lack systematic knowledge about the causes of this variation in policy. This article seeks to fill that voi…
Die Bedeutung des regionalen Kontexts für die programmatische Positionierung von Schweizer Kantonalparteien1
In Mehrebenensystemen agierende Parteien sind mit sozialstrukturell sehr unterschiedlich zusammengesetzten Wählerschaften konfrontiert. Da für regionale Parteigliederungen – insbesondere in föderal organisierten Demokratien – der Wettbewerb um Wählerstimmen zuvorderst innerhalb der Grenzen der jeweiligen Region stattfindet, müssen sie den unterschiedlich zusammengesetzten Elektoraten differenzierte inhaltliche Angebote machen, die auf die spezifi…
Government Formation after the 2009 Federal Election
The question ‘who gets in?’ is one of the central research areas in studies on coalition politics. This paper analyses government formation after the 2009 Bundestag elections in Germany. On the basis of the ‘Political Heart’ model, which is modified in a way so as to include the parties' pre-electoral coalition statements, it is argued that the Christian Democrats maintained a pivotal position during the 2009 German coalition formation game. In a…
Europeanization and government formation in multi-level systems
The development towards a ‘Europe of the Regions’ is accompanied by a complex system of cooperation and interdependence between the different levels of policy-making. In this article, we ask how European integration affects the party composition of regional governments. We argue that the European Union (EU) classification system of regions — the ‘Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics’ (NUTS) — establishes incentives to form similar coa…
Second order“-Effekte und Determinanten der individuellen Wahlentscheidung bei Landtagswahlen
Regional Government Formation in Varying Multilevel Contexts
Bäck H., Debus M., Müller J. and Bäck H. Regional government formation in varying multilevel contexts: a comparison of eight European countries, Regional Studies. Although governance in multilevel settings has become a prominent research field in political science, there are few comparative studies that focus on explaining sub-national coalition outcomes in such settings. This paper sets out to study regional government formation in eight Europea…
Bewertung möglicher Regierungen oder Spiegel des politischen Wettbewerbs? Determinanten der Koalitionspräferenzen der Wähler in den Bundesländern von 1990 bis 2009
Coalition governments are the norm in the German multilevel-system. Their existence not only affects the political process and policy-making, but also increases the complexity of voting: The behaviour of voters at the polls is not only based on the evaluation of the parties, but also influenced by their opinion on the coalitions that the parties could form after the election. But we still know little about the determinants of voters' coalition pr…
Das legislative Verhalten von Bundestagsabgeordneten zwischen persönlichen Charakteristika, Wahlkreisinteressen und Parteilinie
Die meisten Ansätze zur Erklärung legislativen Handelns und Entscheidens in parlamentarischen Demokratien konzentrieren sich auf institutionell basierte Anreize und die ideologisch-programmatischen Präferenzen der involvierten politischen Akteure. Im vorliegenden Beitrag argumentieren wir, dass insbesondere bei ethisch-religiös unterlegten Thematiken, bei denen vielfach nur ein geringes Maß an Parteidisziplin herrscht, persönliche Eigenschaften u…
Do Voters’ Coalition Preferences Affect Government Formation
Studies on coalition formation assume that political parties have two major goals: They aim to maximize office and policy payoffs. In this paper, we show that decision making in the government formation game is also determined by the voters’ coalition preferences. Since the coalition formation process is not a one shot game, parties have to take the coalition preferences of the electorate into account when they evaluate the utility of potential c…
The Programmatic Development of CDU and CSU since Reunification
Like all political parties in modern democracies, the major German parties face challenges caused by changes both in the social structure of the electorate and in value orientations. Generally speaking, parties have to adopt policy positions that take into account changes in the preferences and structure of the electorate in order to maximise their share of votes. This article focuses on the programmatic development of the German Christian Democr…
Salafismus als Ausweg? Zur Attraktivität des Salafismus unter Jugendlichen
Who Takes the Parliamentary Floor? The Role of Gender in Speech-making in the SwedishRiksdag
Legislative speeches are an important instrument for parties and members of parliament (MPs) to signal their positions and priorities. This raises the question of who speaks when. We evaluate whether a MP’s presence on the floor depends on his or her gender. We hypothesize that female MPs give in general less speeches in parliament and that this pattern results from debates dealing with “harder” policy issues. Our expectations are supported when …
Expected utility or learned familiarity? The formation of voters' coalition preferences
Consociational and rational coalitions
Personal Characteristics of MPs and Legislative Behavior in Moral Policymaking
Theoretical and empirical models of legislative decision making in parliamentary democracies typically neglect the policy preferences of individual MPs and instead focus on political parties and possible institutional constraints. We argue that MPs actually make judgments and decisions on the basis of their preferences, which are shaped by their personal characteristics. However, given the strength of parties in most parliamentary systems, the im…
Voters on the Move or on the Run
This volume offers three things. First of all, unsurprisingly for a publication compiled by principal investigators of the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES), it represents a comprehensive s
Convictions and Signals in Parliamentary Speeches
While party unity in legislative voting is generally high in parliamentary democracies, debates provide MPs with the opportunity to express political views even if they deviate from the party line. Using the extensive parliamentary debates on the reform of the Irish abortion legislation in 2001 and 2013, we assess whether Teachtaí Dála (TD) send signals to their constituents. In doing so, we take into account literature on the individual preferen…
Modeling Preferences Using Roll Call Votes in Parliamentary Systems
Models of ideal point estimation usually build on the assumption of spatial preferences. This ignores legislators' non-policy incentives and is thus likely to produce implausible results for many legislatures. We study this problem in parliamentary systems and develop a model of roll call voting that considers both thepolicyand the non-policy,tacticalincentives of legislators. We go on to show how the relative weight of these policy and tactical …
Politikpositionen von Regierungen im Ländervergleich
German regional elections
This paper looks at German regional elections and evaluates the patterns of voting that can be observed in aggregate results and individual behaviour. In the first step, I summarize the characteristic features of political competition in the German multi-level system. I use elections held between 2013 and 2017 to illustrate contextual and election-specific factors that contribute to the observable patterns of voting. In a second step, I evaluate …
Assessing democratic representation in multi-level democracies
This article introduces the special issue ‘Assessing democratic representation in multi-level democracies’ from a conceptual perspective. It adapts Powell’s chain of responsiveness – as a model of the democratic process on the national level – to the context of multi-level systems and discusses conditions that might facilitate or hamper responsiveness in regional democracies. The theoretical reasoning identifies added complexity, multiple actors …
The Unequal Distribution of Speaking Time in Parliamentary‐Party Groups
Parliamentary debates provide an arena where Members of Parliament (MPs) present, challenge, or defend public policies. However, the “plenary bottleneck” allows the party leadership to decide who participates in a debate. We argue that in this decision the timing of a debate matters: in proximity of elections, the leadership should be concerned with maintaining its brand name and therefore restrict floor access, in particular if the debate is sal…
Party Competition and Government Formation in Germany
The process of coalition formation following the 2017 Bundestag election was the most difficult in German post-war history. For the first time Germany saw negotiations fail, a minority government being discussed as a real possibility, and the federal president involved as formateur in coalition politics. The aim of this contribution is to explain why government formation was so intricate after the 2017 election. To this end, we trace patterns of …
Parteienwettbewerb in den deutschen Bundesländern
Political science (28 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (21 works) · Politics (15 works) · Economics (14 works) · Political economy (14 works) · Law (13 works) · Law (13 works) · Political Systems and Governance (10 works) · Public Administration (9 works) · Public Administration (9 works)