Guillermo Cruces
Biographic Data
| ID | 383680 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Guillermo Cruces |
| GIVEN NAMES | Guillermo |
| FAMILY NAME | Cruces |
| SIGNATURE | CRUCES G |
| AFFILIATIONS | Universidad Nacional de La Plata |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-1965-5897 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 23 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 78 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 23 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2007 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 5 |
Design of Partial Population Experiments with an Application to Spillovers in Tax Compliance
We develop a framework to analyze partial population experiments, a generalization of the cluster experimental design where clusters are assigned to different treatment intensities. Our framework allows for heterogeneity in cluster sizes and outcome distributions. We study the large-sample behavior of OLS estimators and cluster-robust variance estimators and show that (i) ignoring cluster heterogeneity may result in severely underpowered experime…
Tobacco consumption, gender and caregiving
Tobacco price increases in Argentina may yield significant gender-specific economic benefits, particularly for female caregivers and low-income households. These findings highlight an additional economic rationale for implementing robust tobacco control policies, beyond direct health benefits, by demonstrating their potential to enhance female economic empowerment and reduce household poverty
Large firms and the intensive margin of labor informality evidence from an enforcement intervention in Peru
In developing countries, informal labor is not only employed by illegal or unregistered firms but also by legal firms that hire workers informally, known as the intensive margin of labor informality. Reducing this type of work may have ambiguous effects on formal employment, depending on factors such as firm size and productivity. In collaboration with Peru’s labor inspection authority, we conducted a randomized mailing experiment targeting large…
Unraveling the Paradox of Anticorruption Messaging
On the impacts of higher tobacco taxes in Argentina
The widely documented positive effects of higher tobacco taxes (including a healthier population, more productive workers, savings from avoided costs of medical treatment for tobacco-related diseases, reductions in the number of new young smokers, among others) would far outweigh the nearly null effect of higher taxes on total net employment
Differential price responses for tobacco consumption
Increasing tobacco taxes is considered the most effective an cost-effective policy to reduce tobacco consumption. However, a common objection to tobacco taxes is that they tend to rely disproportionately on the poorest individuals since less affluent smokers incur proportionately greater expenditures on cigarettes compared with more affluent smokers. Such objections usually assume that all smokers throughout the income distribution react similarl…
Conditional cash transfers, female bargaining power and parental labour supply
Recent empirical evidence shows that conditional cash transfer (CCT) programmes do not have an aggregate effect on the adult labour supply. However, little attention has been paid to the role of other intrahousehold dynamics. This paper examines how the parental labour supply response to CCT programmes varies with the bargaining power structure of households. We analyse a randomized experimental CCT design from rural areas of Honduras (PRAF) and …
Community Monitoring Interventions to Curb Corruption and Increase Access and Quality in Service Delivery
There is a belief that allowing communities monitoring power over providers could be beneficial for improving service delivery and reducing corruption in service delivery. In community monitoring interventions (CMIs), the community is given the opportunity to observe and assess providers’ performance and provide feedback to providers and politicians. This systematic review and meta-analysis appraises and synthesises evidence on the effects of CMI…
Growth, Employment, and Poverty in Latin America
This book examines the links between economic growth, changing employment conditions, and the reduction of poverty in Latin America in the 2000s. Its analysis answers the following broad questions: Has economic growth resulted in gains in standards of living and reductions in poverty via improved labour market conditions in Latin America in the 2000s, and have these improvements halted or been reversed since the international crisis of 2008? How …
Partisan Interactions
We conducted a field experiment to study social influences on partisan political participation. We sent letters to 92,000 contributors during the 2012 presidential election campaign. We randomized features of the letters and measured the effects of these variations on the recipients’ subsequent contributions. We find that making an individual’s contributions more visible to her neighbors increases the contributions of supporters of the local majo…
The growth-employment-poverty nexus in Latin America in the 2000s
During the 2000s Chile achieved rapid economic growth and improved most labour market indicators: the unemployment rate fell; the mix of employment by occupational position and sector improved; the educational level of the employed population, the percentage of registered workers, and labour earnings increased; and all poverty and inequality indicators decreased. The economy suffered a recession during the international crisis of 2008, but recove…
The growth-employment-poverty nexus in Latin America in the 2000s
Venezuela experienced slow economic growth during the 2000s. The economy suffered a recession in the early years of the period and during the international crisis of 2008, but most labour market indicators improved and moved along with the business cycle over the period. The only indicators that did not improve were the composition of employment by occupational position and the percentage of workers registered with social security, which remained…
The growth-employment-poverty nexus in Latin America in the 2000s
In the 2000s, Costa Rica experienced moderate economic growth and a general improvement in labour market conditions. From 2000 to 2012, Costa Rica grew at the Latin American average. Most labour market indicators improved during 2001–09 and 2010–12 (the series with comparable data). However, the unemployment rate increased in both periods, the mix of employment by occupations polarized from 2010 to 2012, and some poverty and inequality indicators…
Estimating poverty transitions using repeated cross-sections
Income and Beyond
Income and Beyond
Biased perceptions of income distribution and preferences for redistribution
Welfare programs and labor supply in developing countries
Intra-Generational Mobility and Repeated Cross-Sections
This paper validates a recently proposed method to estimate intra-generational mobility through repeated cross-sectional surveys. The technique allows the creation of a "synthetic panel" -- done by predicting future or past household income using a set of simple modeling and error structure assumptions -- and thus permits the estimation of lower and upper bounds on directional mobility measures. The authors validate the approach in three differen…
Economic Crises, Maternal and Infant Mortality, Low Birth Weight and Enrollment Rates
Fertility and female labor supply in Latin America
Risk-adjusted poverty in Argentina
This paper presents a methodology for adjusting measures of income and poverty for the risk faced by a household. The approach draws on the standard economic concept of risk aversion, and it is based on the intuition that households will prefer a steady stream of income to a variable one with the same mean. Relying on a Constant Relative Risk Aversion utility function, we use panel data for Argentina to compute risk-adjusted income and poverty me…
Challenges for Health and Social Protection in Latin America
Income and Beyond
Welfare programs and labor supply in developing countries
Partisan Interactions
We conducted a field experiment to study social influences on partisan political participation. We sent letters to 92,000 contributors during the 2012 presidential election campaign. We randomized features of the letters and measured the effects of these variations on the recipients’ subsequent contributions. We find that making an individual’s contributions more visible to her neighbors increases the contributions of supporters of the local majo…
Estimating poverty transitions using repeated cross-sections
Economic Crises, Maternal and Infant Mortality, Low Birth Weight and Enrollment Rates
Fertility and female labor supply in Latin America
Risk-adjusted poverty in Argentina
This paper presents a methodology for adjusting measures of income and poverty for the risk faced by a household. The approach draws on the standard economic concept of risk aversion, and it is based on the intuition that households will prefer a steady stream of income to a variable one with the same mean. Relying on a Constant Relative Risk Aversion utility function, we use panel data for Argentina to compute risk-adjusted income and poverty me…
Challenges for Health and Social Protection in Latin America
Intra-Generational Mobility and Repeated Cross-Sections
This paper validates a recently proposed method to estimate intra-generational mobility through repeated cross-sectional surveys. The technique allows the creation of a "synthetic panel" -- done by predicting future or past household income using a set of simple modeling and error structure assumptions -- and thus permits the estimation of lower and upper bounds on directional mobility measures. The authors validate the approach in three differen…
Economic Crises, Maternal and Infant Mortality, Low Birth Weight and Enrollment Rates
Biased perceptions of income distribution and preferences for redistribution
Welfare programs and labor supply in developing countries
Income and Beyond
Income and Beyond
Estimating poverty transitions using repeated cross-sections
The growth-employment-poverty nexus in Latin America in the 2000s
During the 2000s Chile achieved rapid economic growth and improved most labour market indicators: the unemployment rate fell; the mix of employment by occupational position and sector improved; the educational level of the employed population, the percentage of registered workers, and labour earnings increased; and all poverty and inequality indicators decreased. The economy suffered a recession during the international crisis of 2008, but recove…
The growth-employment-poverty nexus in Latin America in the 2000s
Venezuela experienced slow economic growth during the 2000s. The economy suffered a recession in the early years of the period and during the international crisis of 2008, but most labour market indicators improved and moved along with the business cycle over the period. The only indicators that did not improve were the composition of employment by occupational position and the percentage of workers registered with social security, which remained…
The growth-employment-poverty nexus in Latin America in the 2000s
In the 2000s, Costa Rica experienced moderate economic growth and a general improvement in labour market conditions. From 2000 to 2012, Costa Rica grew at the Latin American average. Most labour market indicators improved during 2001–09 and 2010–12 (the series with comparable data). However, the unemployment rate increased in both periods, the mix of employment by occupations polarized from 2010 to 2012, and some poverty and inequality indicators…
Community Monitoring Interventions to Curb Corruption and Increase Access and Quality in Service Delivery
There is a belief that allowing communities monitoring power over providers could be beneficial for improving service delivery and reducing corruption in service delivery. In community monitoring interventions (CMIs), the community is given the opportunity to observe and assess providers’ performance and provide feedback to providers and politicians. This systematic review and meta-analysis appraises and synthesises evidence on the effects of CMI…
Growth, Employment, and Poverty in Latin America
This book examines the links between economic growth, changing employment conditions, and the reduction of poverty in Latin America in the 2000s. Its analysis answers the following broad questions: Has economic growth resulted in gains in standards of living and reductions in poverty via improved labour market conditions in Latin America in the 2000s, and have these improvements halted or been reversed since the international crisis of 2008? How …
Partisan Interactions
We conducted a field experiment to study social influences on partisan political participation. We sent letters to 92,000 contributors during the 2012 presidential election campaign. We randomized features of the letters and measured the effects of these variations on the recipients’ subsequent contributions. We find that making an individual’s contributions more visible to her neighbors increases the contributions of supporters of the local majo…
Conditional cash transfers, female bargaining power and parental labour supply
Recent empirical evidence shows that conditional cash transfer (CCT) programmes do not have an aggregate effect on the adult labour supply. However, little attention has been paid to the role of other intrahousehold dynamics. This paper examines how the parental labour supply response to CCT programmes varies with the bargaining power structure of households. We analyse a randomized experimental CCT design from rural areas of Honduras (PRAF) and …
Differential price responses for tobacco consumption
Increasing tobacco taxes is considered the most effective an cost-effective policy to reduce tobacco consumption. However, a common objection to tobacco taxes is that they tend to rely disproportionately on the poorest individuals since less affluent smokers incur proportionately greater expenditures on cigarettes compared with more affluent smokers. Such objections usually assume that all smokers throughout the income distribution react similarl…
On the impacts of higher tobacco taxes in Argentina
The widely documented positive effects of higher tobacco taxes (including a healthier population, more productive workers, savings from avoided costs of medical treatment for tobacco-related diseases, reductions in the number of new young smokers, among others) would far outweigh the nearly null effect of higher taxes on total net employment
Design of Partial Population Experiments with an Application to Spillovers in Tax Compliance
We develop a framework to analyze partial population experiments, a generalization of the cluster experimental design where clusters are assigned to different treatment intensities. Our framework allows for heterogeneity in cluster sizes and outcome distributions. We study the large-sample behavior of OLS estimators and cluster-robust variance estimators and show that (i) ignoring cluster heterogeneity may result in severely underpowered experime…
Tobacco consumption, gender and caregiving
Tobacco price increases in Argentina may yield significant gender-specific economic benefits, particularly for female caregivers and low-income households. These findings highlight an additional economic rationale for implementing robust tobacco control policies, beyond direct health benefits, by demonstrating their potential to enhance female economic empowerment and reduce household poverty
Large firms and the intensive margin of labor informality evidence from an enforcement intervention in Peru
In developing countries, informal labor is not only employed by illegal or unregistered firms but also by legal firms that hire workers informally, known as the intensive margin of labor informality. Reducing this type of work may have ambiguous effects on formal employment, depending on factors such as firm size and productivity. In collaboration with Peru’s labor inspection authority, we conducted a randomized mailing experiment targeting large…
Unraveling the Paradox of Anticorruption Messaging
Economics (21 works) · Economic growth (15 works) · Political science (13 works) · Demographic economics (12 works) · Income, Poverty, and Inequality (11 works) · Poverty (10 works) · Latin Americans (9 works) · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics (8 works) · Poverty, Education, and Child Welfare (8 works) · Development economics (7 works)