Gustavo Duncan
Biographic Data
| ID | 3845716 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Gustavo Duncan |
| GIVEN NAMES | Gustavo |
| FAMILY NAME | Duncan |
| SIGNATURE | DUNCAN G |
| AFFILIATIONS | Universidad EAFIT |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 9 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 27 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 9 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2008 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 3 |
The Price of Protection: Exploring How Transnational Drug Traffickers Influence Politics
Continually confronted with myriad threats, transnational drug-trafficking organizations (TDTOs) employ different strategies to mitigate risk. In this article, we focus on the political consequences of these risk-mitigation strategies, and offer a theoretical framework through which to understand them. We start from the premise that TDTOs are not inherently political actors. Nonetheless, as illegal enterprises with access to considerable financia…
State-Building in the City: An Experiment in Civilian Alternatives to Policing
We helped design and evaluate a statebuilding intervention in Medellín, Colombia. The municipal government dramatically intensified nonpolice state presence in 40 neighborhoods over 20 months. On average, perceptions of security and legitimacy changed negligibly, suggesting that returns to statebuilding investments are generally low, at least within electoral cycles. Prespecified heterogeneity analysis, however, reveals significant increases in s…
Trust of demobilized combatants: Overcoming fear or becoming familiar
Background One critical challenge facing postconflict societies concerns the reintegration of former combatants as productive members of society. Public trust in the legitimacy of a peace agreement is a critical component of rebuilding the economic and social foundations of a war‐torn nation. Objectives We argue that the levels of trust of former combatants and confidence in their effective demobilization depend on two critical features of the po…
Beyond 'plata o plomo': Drugs and State Reconfiguration in Colombia
This Element introduces the concept of oligopoly of coercion to interpretate the interaction between drug trafficking and reconfiguration of the state in Colombia. Three elements are central to this interpretation: corruption in oligopolies of coercion must be understood as a payment by drug traffickers for acting like a parallel state; the state criminalizes more drug as merchandise than drug as capital – its equivalent in money; the politics an…
Oligarquía, poder político y narcotráfico en Colombia: Los casos de Medellín, Santa Marta y Muzo
The following article introduces the concept of “dilution” to show that the emergence of narcotics-trafficking and the territorial advance of paramilitarism in Colombia did not imply a total collapse or complete replacement of the traditional oligarchies. Instead, the events followed three different paths: the first was found in the big cities, where the capital from drugs and the armed conflict did not affect the relative wealth of the tradition…
Drug Trafficking and Political Power: Oligopolies of Coercion in Colombia and Mexico
Case studies of drug trafficking in Colombia and Mexico illuminate the effects of mafias on the relationship between political power and the social order. First, in addition to extracting income, mafias seek to impose social orders in peripheral spaces of society, mainly as an unintended consequence of the most obvious reason for their intervention in politics: to provide immunity to criminals facing potential threats of state repression. This ob…
Colombia: Un Panorama Menos Confuso
al alcanzar la mitad del periodo de gobierno del presidente Juan manuel santos (2010)(2011)(2012)(2013)(2014), este artículo se centra en un proceso de reconfiguración de las fuerzas políticas en colombia que comenzó en 2010 cuando este llegó a la presidencia y se selló en 2012, con la ruptura definitiva con el ex-presidente uribe, partiendo de la idea de que luego de un periodo de confusión y volatilidad política, se llegó finalmente a un panora…
Una lectura política de Pablo Escobar
Este artículo es una aproximación al carácter político de las mafias que protegen el tráfico de drogas desde una perspectiva mencionada pero poco tratada dentro del concepto mismo de mafia: la articulación de intereses de amplios grupos sociales dentro de su oferta de protección. Tanto las mafias de la droga que gozan de dominación social como las que no tienen mayor interacción social toman decisiones dirigidas a la imposición de sus intereses. …
El uso del DEA para la estimación del factor X en la definición de tarifas portuarias
The X factor in price cap systems is useful to identify the inefficiencies of the costs of port services. However its determination can be controversial and rife with risks due to the asymmetry of information. In this article, a model is proposed to set the X factor with the maximum tariff schema based on the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). With this tool it is possible to estimate the efficiency rate of the different elements of a group of deci…
Drug Trafficking and Political Power: Oligopolies of Coercion in Colombia and Mexico
Case studies of drug trafficking in Colombia and Mexico illuminate the effects of mafias on the relationship between political power and the social order. First, in addition to extracting income, mafias seek to impose social orders in peripheral spaces of society, mainly as an unintended consequence of the most obvious reason for their intervention in politics: to provide immunity to criminals facing potential threats of state repression. This ob…
Una lectura política de Pablo Escobar
Este artículo es una aproximación al carácter político de las mafias que protegen el tráfico de drogas desde una perspectiva mencionada pero poco tratada dentro del concepto mismo de mafia: la articulación de intereses de amplios grupos sociales dentro de su oferta de protección. Tanto las mafias de la droga que gozan de dominación social como las que no tienen mayor interacción social toman decisiones dirigidas a la imposición de sus intereses. …
Oligarquía, poder político y narcotráfico en Colombia: Los casos de Medellín, Santa Marta y Muzo
The following article introduces the concept of “dilution” to show that the emergence of narcotics-trafficking and the territorial advance of paramilitarism in Colombia did not imply a total collapse or complete replacement of the traditional oligarchies. Instead, the events followed three different paths: the first was found in the big cities, where the capital from drugs and the armed conflict did not affect the relative wealth of the tradition…
Trust of demobilized combatants: Overcoming fear or becoming familiar
Background One critical challenge facing postconflict societies concerns the reintegration of former combatants as productive members of society. Public trust in the legitimacy of a peace agreement is a critical component of rebuilding the economic and social foundations of a war‐torn nation. Objectives We argue that the levels of trust of former combatants and confidence in their effective demobilization depend on two critical features of the po…
Colombia: Un Panorama Menos Confuso
al alcanzar la mitad del periodo de gobierno del presidente Juan manuel santos (2010)(2011)(2012)(2013)(2014), este artículo se centra en un proceso de reconfiguración de las fuerzas políticas en colombia que comenzó en 2010 cuando este llegó a la presidencia y se selló en 2012, con la ruptura definitiva con el ex-presidente uribe, partiendo de la idea de que luego de un periodo de confusión y volatilidad política, se llegó finalmente a un panora…
El uso del DEA para la estimación del factor X en la definición de tarifas portuarias
The X factor in price cap systems is useful to identify the inefficiencies of the costs of port services. However its determination can be controversial and rife with risks due to the asymmetry of information. In this article, a model is proposed to set the X factor with the maximum tariff schema based on the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). With this tool it is possible to estimate the efficiency rate of the different elements of a group of deci…
Colombia: Un Panorama Menos Confuso
al alcanzar la mitad del periodo de gobierno del presidente Juan manuel santos (2010)(2011)(2012)(2013)(2014), este artículo se centra en un proceso de reconfiguración de las fuerzas políticas en colombia que comenzó en 2010 cuando este llegó a la presidencia y se selló en 2012, con la ruptura definitiva con el ex-presidente uribe, partiendo de la idea de que luego de un periodo de confusión y volatilidad política, se llegó finalmente a un panora…
Una lectura política de Pablo Escobar
Este artículo es una aproximación al carácter político de las mafias que protegen el tráfico de drogas desde una perspectiva mencionada pero poco tratada dentro del concepto mismo de mafia: la articulación de intereses de amplios grupos sociales dentro de su oferta de protección. Tanto las mafias de la droga que gozan de dominación social como las que no tienen mayor interacción social toman decisiones dirigidas a la imposición de sus intereses. …
Drug Trafficking and Political Power: Oligopolies of Coercion in Colombia and Mexico
Case studies of drug trafficking in Colombia and Mexico illuminate the effects of mafias on the relationship between political power and the social order. First, in addition to extracting income, mafias seek to impose social orders in peripheral spaces of society, mainly as an unintended consequence of the most obvious reason for their intervention in politics: to provide immunity to criminals facing potential threats of state repression. This ob…
Oligarquía, poder político y narcotráfico en Colombia: Los casos de Medellín, Santa Marta y Muzo
The following article introduces the concept of “dilution” to show that the emergence of narcotics-trafficking and the territorial advance of paramilitarism in Colombia did not imply a total collapse or complete replacement of the traditional oligarchies. Instead, the events followed three different paths: the first was found in the big cities, where the capital from drugs and the armed conflict did not affect the relative wealth of the tradition…
Beyond 'plata o plomo': Drugs and State Reconfiguration in Colombia
This Element introduces the concept of oligopoly of coercion to interpretate the interaction between drug trafficking and reconfiguration of the state in Colombia. Three elements are central to this interpretation: corruption in oligopolies of coercion must be understood as a payment by drug traffickers for acting like a parallel state; the state criminalizes more drug as merchandise than drug as capital – its equivalent in money; the politics an…
Trust of demobilized combatants: Overcoming fear or becoming familiar
Background One critical challenge facing postconflict societies concerns the reintegration of former combatants as productive members of society. Public trust in the legitimacy of a peace agreement is a critical component of rebuilding the economic and social foundations of a war‐torn nation. Objectives We argue that the levels of trust of former combatants and confidence in their effective demobilization depend on two critical features of the po…
The Price of Protection: Exploring How Transnational Drug Traffickers Influence Politics
Continually confronted with myriad threats, transnational drug-trafficking organizations (TDTOs) employ different strategies to mitigate risk. In this article, we focus on the political consequences of these risk-mitigation strategies, and offer a theoretical framework through which to understand them. We start from the premise that TDTOs are not inherently political actors. Nonetheless, as illegal enterprises with access to considerable financia…
State-Building in the City: An Experiment in Civilian Alternatives to Policing
We helped design and evaluate a statebuilding intervention in Medellín, Colombia. The municipal government dramatically intensified nonpolice state presence in 40 neighborhoods over 20 months. On average, perceptions of security and legitimacy changed negligibly, suggesting that returns to statebuilding investments are generally low, at least within electoral cycles. Prespecified heterogeneity analysis, however, reveals significant increases in s…
Political science (7 works) · Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance (6 works) · Law (5 works) · Politics (5 works) · Conflict, Peace, and Violence in Colombia (4 works) · Economics (4 works) · Business (3 works) · History and Politics in Latin America (3 works) · Humanities (3 works) · Market economy (3 works)