Toshi Yoshihara
Biographic Data
| ID | 4064822 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Toshi Yoshihara |
| GIVEN NAMES | Toshi |
| FAMILY NAME | Yoshihara |
| SIGNATURE | YOSHIHARA T |
| AFFILIATIONS | Naval War College |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 26 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 50 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 25 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 1 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2002 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 4 |
Friendly Proliferation and the Future of the Japan-US Alliance
The United States appears to be on the verge of a new grand strategy debate, one that could have profound implications for the spread of nuclear weapons and the sources of international conflict. W
Conquering Taiwan by Other Means: China’s Expanding Coercive Options
The New Makers of Modern Strategy: From the Ancient World to the Digital Age
The Real Challenge of China’s Nuclear Modernization
Taking Stock of China's Growing Navy: The Death and Life of Surface Fleets
Deterring China in the “Gray Zone”: Lessons of the South China Sea for U.S. Alliances
Responding to China's Rising Sea Power
Middle Powers and the Rise of China
Sino-Japanese Rivalry at Sea: How Tokyo Can Go Anti-Access on China
The US Navy's Indo–Pacific challenge
Beginning in late 2011, successive US defence policy documents and official pronouncements explicitly depicted American strategy in Asia in Indo–Pacific terms. Secretary of State Hilary Clinton was the first top US official to frame expanding US partnerships with Australia, India, and Indonesia in the broader Indo–Pacific context. Subsequently, President Barak Obama reaffirmed Clinton's vision in his November 2011 speech to the Australian House o…
Chinese Views of India in the Indian Ocean: A Geopolitical Perspective
In recent years, China's strategic community has emerged as an increasingly vocal and influential constituent of Chinese policy debates. This article focuses on Chinese analysts steeped in the realpolitik tradition. These intellectuals and strategists discern a troubling trend towards intense competition and zero-sum interactions in the Indian Ocean. In their view, a progressively assertive India will set the pace of the impending maritime rivalr…
Strategy in the Second Nuclear Age: Power, Ambition, and the Ultimate Weapon
1. IntroductionToshi Yoshihara and James R. Holmes 2. After Proliferation: Deterrence Theory and Emerging Powers Joshua Rovner 3. South Africa's Strategy: Deterring Total Onslaught and Nuclear Blackmail in Three StagesHelen E. Purkitt and Stephen F. Burgess 4. The Future of Chinese Policy and StrategyChristopher T. Yeaw, Andrew S. Erickson, and Michael S. Chase 5. North Korea's Weapons Program: Motivations, Strategy, and DoctrineTerence Roehrig 6…
An Ocean Too Far: Offshore Balancing in the Indian Ocean
We take aim at “offshore balancing,” a foreign-policy concept that has come into vogue in a United States beset by war weariness, a stagnant economy, and skyrocketing defense procurement costs. Retiring from continental Eurasia is an appealing prospect, but returning in times of systemic conflict would be problematic – even in the relatively accessible rimlands of Western Europe and East Asia. It verges on impossible in the remote, inaccessible I…
China's Vision of Its Seascape: The First Island Chain and Chinese Seapower
This article examines the lively Chinese discourse about Beijing's maritime geography. In particular, the debates over the so‐called first island chain, which stretches from the Japanese archipelago through Taiwan to the Philippines, offer a unique window onto Chinese geostrategic thought. This article relies on an extensive open‐source literature in China to discern the contours of this debate. It finds that the first island chain construct reso…
Can China Defend a “Core Interest” in the South China Sea
China's “Soft” Naval Power in the Indian Ocean
For the past several years, Beijing has been attempting to “shape” the diplomatic and strategic environment in maritime Asia, projecting an image of itself as an innately trustworthy great power. As a part of this public relations campaign, Chinese leaders have retailed the story of Zheng He, the Ming Dynasty eunuch admiral who voyaged to destinations throughout the South China Sea and the Indian Ocean six centuries ago. They have touted the feat…
Strongman, Constable, or Free-Rider? India's “Monroe Doctrine” and Indian Naval Strategy
Many scholars assume that the European model of realpolitik will prevail in Asia as the dual rise of China and India reorders regional politics. Others predict that Asia's China-centric tradition of hierarchy will reassert itself. But Indians look as much to nineteenth-century U.S. history as to any European or Asian model. Indeed, successive prime ministers explicitly cited the Monroe Doctrine to justify intervention in hotspots around the India…
History Rhymes: The German Precedent for Chinese Seapower
Japan's Emerging Maritime Strategy: Out of Sync or Out of Reach
Japanese political and military leaders are allowing a gap between policy and maritime strategy to open, endangering the operational effectiveness of the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force. Tokyo has come to recognize the diplomatic value of nontraditional military missions such as disaster response and humanitarian relief—witness its robust response to the 2004 tsunami. Such missions now represent a core task of the JMSDF. At the same time, Tokyo…
China's Naval Ambitions in the Indian Ocean
This article argues that an increasingly sea-power-minded China will neither shelter passively in coastal waters, nor throw itself into competition with the United States in the Pacific Ocean. Rather, Beijing will direct its energies toward South and Southeast Asia, where supplies of oil, natural gas, and other commodities critical to China's economic development must pass. There China will encounter an equally sea-power-minded India that enjoys …
China's Energy-Driven ‘Soft Power’
China's "Caribbean" in the South China Sea
Can the United States accommodate the rise of China without the strife that typically accompanies a disturbance to a settled equilibrium? Discerning how China views the seas will help answer this question. We argue that vocal strategists in Beijing look to Alfred Thayer Mahan for guidance on maritime strategy. Mahanian sea-power theory has predisposed many in Beijing to regard the South China Sea much as Americans once regarded the Caribbean Sea:…
The Influence of Mahan upon China's Maritime Strategy
“Summer Pulse 1904,” an exercise designed to test the ability of the U.S. Navy to operate in multiple theaters simultaneously, excited lively commentary among China's official press. In many cases this commentary drew on the writings of an American naval theorist, Alfred Thayer Mahan. Mahan's writings on sea power and geopolitics spurred the United States to build up its navy at the turn of the 19 th century and to seek out a share of the Asia tr…
Command of the Sea with Chinese Characteristics
Averting a Sino‐U.S. space race
The United States and China are on the threshold of a space race that could radically influence international security, yet the incentives to cooperate remain woefully limited. Given the stakes involved, both sides should seek to avert, or at least to manage, this looming competition
Deterring China in the “Gray Zone”: Lessons of the South China Sea for U.S. Alliances
China's Energy-Driven ‘Soft Power’
The New Makers of Modern Strategy: From the Ancient World to the Digital Age
The Real Challenge of China’s Nuclear Modernization
Sino-Japanese Rivalry at Sea: How Tokyo Can Go Anti-Access on China
Can China Defend a “Core Interest” in the South China Sea
History Rhymes: The German Precedent for Chinese Seapower
China's Vision of Its Seascape: The First Island Chain and Chinese Seapower
This article examines the lively Chinese discourse about Beijing's maritime geography. In particular, the debates over the so‐called first island chain, which stretches from the Japanese archipelago through Taiwan to the Philippines, offer a unique window onto Chinese geostrategic thought. This article relies on an extensive open‐source literature in China to discern the contours of this debate. It finds that the first island chain construct reso…
Command of the Sea with Chinese Characteristics
China's Naval Ambitions in the Indian Ocean
This article argues that an increasingly sea-power-minded China will neither shelter passively in coastal waters, nor throw itself into competition with the United States in the Pacific Ocean. Rather, Beijing will direct its energies toward South and Southeast Asia, where supplies of oil, natural gas, and other commodities critical to China's economic development must pass. There China will encounter an equally sea-power-minded India that enjoys …
Averting a Sino‐U.S. space race
The United States and China are on the threshold of a space race that could radically influence international security, yet the incentives to cooperate remain woefully limited. Given the stakes involved, both sides should seek to avert, or at least to manage, this looming competition
Conquering Taiwan by Other Means: China’s Expanding Coercive Options
Taking Stock of China's Growing Navy: The Death and Life of Surface Fleets
Responding to China's Rising Sea Power
The US Navy's Indo–Pacific challenge
Beginning in late 2011, successive US defence policy documents and official pronouncements explicitly depicted American strategy in Asia in Indo–Pacific terms. Secretary of State Hilary Clinton was the first top US official to frame expanding US partnerships with Australia, India, and Indonesia in the broader Indo–Pacific context. Subsequently, President Barak Obama reaffirmed Clinton's vision in his November 2011 speech to the Australian House o…
An Ocean Too Far: Offshore Balancing in the Indian Ocean
We take aim at “offshore balancing,” a foreign-policy concept that has come into vogue in a United States beset by war weariness, a stagnant economy, and skyrocketing defense procurement costs. Retiring from continental Eurasia is an appealing prospect, but returning in times of systemic conflict would be problematic – even in the relatively accessible rimlands of Western Europe and East Asia. It verges on impossible in the remote, inaccessible I…
China's “Soft” Naval Power in the Indian Ocean
For the past several years, Beijing has been attempting to “shape” the diplomatic and strategic environment in maritime Asia, projecting an image of itself as an innately trustworthy great power. As a part of this public relations campaign, Chinese leaders have retailed the story of Zheng He, the Ming Dynasty eunuch admiral who voyaged to destinations throughout the South China Sea and the Indian Ocean six centuries ago. They have touted the feat…
India and Pakistan at the Edge
Averting a Sino‐U.S. space race
The United States and China are on the threshold of a space race that could radically influence international security, yet the incentives to cooperate remain woefully limited. Given the stakes involved, both sides should seek to avert, or at least to manage, this looming competition
The Influence of Mahan upon China's Maritime Strategy
“Summer Pulse 1904,” an exercise designed to test the ability of the U.S. Navy to operate in multiple theaters simultaneously, excited lively commentary among China's official press. In many cases this commentary drew on the writings of an American naval theorist, Alfred Thayer Mahan. Mahan's writings on sea power and geopolitics spurred the United States to build up its navy at the turn of the 19 th century and to seek out a share of the Asia tr…
Command of the Sea with Chinese Characteristics
China's "Caribbean" in the South China Sea
Can the United States accommodate the rise of China without the strife that typically accompanies a disturbance to a settled equilibrium? Discerning how China views the seas will help answer this question. We argue that vocal strategists in Beijing look to Alfred Thayer Mahan for guidance on maritime strategy. Mahanian sea-power theory has predisposed many in Beijing to regard the South China Sea much as Americans once regarded the Caribbean Sea:…
China's Energy-Driven ‘Soft Power’
Japan's Emerging Maritime Strategy: Out of Sync or Out of Reach
Japanese political and military leaders are allowing a gap between policy and maritime strategy to open, endangering the operational effectiveness of the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force. Tokyo has come to recognize the diplomatic value of nontraditional military missions such as disaster response and humanitarian relief—witness its robust response to the 2004 tsunami. Such missions now represent a core task of the JMSDF. At the same time, Tokyo…
China's Naval Ambitions in the Indian Ocean
This article argues that an increasingly sea-power-minded China will neither shelter passively in coastal waters, nor throw itself into competition with the United States in the Pacific Ocean. Rather, Beijing will direct its energies toward South and Southeast Asia, where supplies of oil, natural gas, and other commodities critical to China's economic development must pass. There China will encounter an equally sea-power-minded India that enjoys …
Strongman, Constable, or Free-Rider? India's “Monroe Doctrine” and Indian Naval Strategy
Many scholars assume that the European model of realpolitik will prevail in Asia as the dual rise of China and India reorders regional politics. Others predict that Asia's China-centric tradition of hierarchy will reassert itself. But Indians look as much to nineteenth-century U.S. history as to any European or Asian model. Indeed, successive prime ministers explicitly cited the Monroe Doctrine to justify intervention in hotspots around the India…
History Rhymes: The German Precedent for Chinese Seapower
China's “Soft” Naval Power in the Indian Ocean
For the past several years, Beijing has been attempting to “shape” the diplomatic and strategic environment in maritime Asia, projecting an image of itself as an innately trustworthy great power. As a part of this public relations campaign, Chinese leaders have retailed the story of Zheng He, the Ming Dynasty eunuch admiral who voyaged to destinations throughout the South China Sea and the Indian Ocean six centuries ago. They have touted the feat…
Can China Defend a “Core Interest” in the South China Sea
Chinese Views of India in the Indian Ocean: A Geopolitical Perspective
In recent years, China's strategic community has emerged as an increasingly vocal and influential constituent of Chinese policy debates. This article focuses on Chinese analysts steeped in the realpolitik tradition. These intellectuals and strategists discern a troubling trend towards intense competition and zero-sum interactions in the Indian Ocean. In their view, a progressively assertive India will set the pace of the impending maritime rivalr…
Strategy in the Second Nuclear Age: Power, Ambition, and the Ultimate Weapon
1. IntroductionToshi Yoshihara and James R. Holmes 2. After Proliferation: Deterrence Theory and Emerging Powers Joshua Rovner 3. South Africa's Strategy: Deterring Total Onslaught and Nuclear Blackmail in Three StagesHelen E. Purkitt and Stephen F. Burgess 4. The Future of Chinese Policy and StrategyChristopher T. Yeaw, Andrew S. Erickson, and Michael S. Chase 5. North Korea's Weapons Program: Motivations, Strategy, and DoctrineTerence Roehrig 6…
An Ocean Too Far: Offshore Balancing in the Indian Ocean
We take aim at “offshore balancing,” a foreign-policy concept that has come into vogue in a United States beset by war weariness, a stagnant economy, and skyrocketing defense procurement costs. Retiring from continental Eurasia is an appealing prospect, but returning in times of systemic conflict would be problematic – even in the relatively accessible rimlands of Western Europe and East Asia. It verges on impossible in the remote, inaccessible I…
China's Vision of Its Seascape: The First Island Chain and Chinese Seapower
This article examines the lively Chinese discourse about Beijing's maritime geography. In particular, the debates over the so‐called first island chain, which stretches from the Japanese archipelago through Taiwan to the Philippines, offer a unique window onto Chinese geostrategic thought. This article relies on an extensive open‐source literature in China to discern the contours of this debate. It finds that the first island chain construct reso…
The US Navy's Indo–Pacific challenge
Beginning in late 2011, successive US defence policy documents and official pronouncements explicitly depicted American strategy in Asia in Indo–Pacific terms. Secretary of State Hilary Clinton was the first top US official to frame expanding US partnerships with Australia, India, and Indonesia in the broader Indo–Pacific context. Subsequently, President Barak Obama reaffirmed Clinton's vision in his November 2011 speech to the Australian House o…
Middle Powers and the Rise of China
Sino-Japanese Rivalry at Sea: How Tokyo Can Go Anti-Access on China
Responding to China's Rising Sea Power
Taking Stock of China's Growing Navy: The Death and Life of Surface Fleets
Deterring China in the “Gray Zone”: Lessons of the South China Sea for U.S. Alliances
The Real Challenge of China’s Nuclear Modernization
The New Makers of Modern Strategy: From the Ancient World to the Digital Age
Conquering Taiwan by Other Means: China’s Expanding Coercive Options
Political science (23 works) · Law (20 works) · China (18 works) · Law (17 works) · International Relations and Foreign Policy (14 works) · Economics (13 works) · Maritime Security and History (12 works) · Politics (11 works) · Economy (10 works) · History (10 works)